London, 14 June 2017 -- Moody's Investors Service (Moody's) has today changed to stable
from negative the outlook on the Ba1 corporate family rating (CFR) and
Ba1-PD probability of default rating (PDR) of Polyus Gold International
Limited (PGIL), which holds a majority stake in Russia's largest
gold miner PJSC Polyus (Polyus). At the same time, Moody's
has changed to stable from negative the outlook on the Ba1 (LGD 3) ratings
of the $500 million senior unsecured notes due 2022 (the Notes)
and the $800 million senior unsecured notes due 2023 issued by
Polyus Finance Plc. Concurrently, Moody's has affirmed
these ratings.
Moody's has also assigned a Ba1 CFR and a Ba1-PD PDR to Polyus.
The outlook on the ratings is stable. The rating agency will subsequently
withdraw the Ba1 CFR, Ba1-PD PDR and stable outlook of PGIL.
The assignment of ratings to Polyus and the pending withdrawal of the
ratings of PGIL follow the company's corporate reorganisation, under
which Polyus replaced PGIL as the ultimate holding company for the group.
Polyus consolidates all the group's assets and will be the reporting
entity for the consolidated group going forward.
RATINGS RATIONALE
-- CHANGE OF OUTLOOK TO STABLE --
The change of outlook on PGIL's ratings to stable from negative
and the concurrent affirmation of PGIL's ratings reflects Moody's
expectation that the company will (1) maintain its Moody's-adjusted
debt/EBITDA below 3.5x on a sustainable basis; (2) retain
healthy liquidity; and (3) pursue a balanced financial policy,
with no elevated shareholder distributions and capex.
-- ASSIGNMENT OF Ba1 RATING --
Polyus's Ba1 CFR factors in (1) the company's global cost leadership
and large high-grade reserve base, dominated by open-pit
mines; (2) track record of cost-cutting and operational enhancements;
(3) Moody's assumption that the debt-financed $3.4
billion share buyback completed in May 2016 was one-off,
and Polyus will adhere to a balanced financial policy going forward,
with further shareholder distributions not exerting excessive pressure
on leverage; (4) the company's very high Moody's-adjusted
EBITDA margin of 62.7% at year-end 2016, backed
by the weak rouble and completed operational enhancements; (5) the
company's leverage decline to 3.2x Moody's-adjusted
debt/EBITDA at 31 March 2017 from 3.5x at year-end 2016,
and Moody's expectation that the company will reduce its leverage
towards or below 3.0x over the next 12-18 months after the
commissioning of operations at the Natalka deposit by the end of 2017;
(6) the company's strong liquidity and long-term debt maturity
profile; and (7) Moody's expectation that the company will
demonstrate prudent corporate governance.
At the same time, the rating takes into account the company's
(1) fairly moderate size in the global context, with gold production
of 1.97 million ounces (Moz) in 2016, although the company
is the largest gold miner in Russia; (2) operating and geographic
concentration, with only six active mines/deposits and one mine
under construction, all located in Eastern Siberia and Far East
in Russia; (3) product concentration, as the company produces
no by-products; (4) dividend policy which anticipates fairly
high dividend payouts; (5) concentrated ownership-related
risks, including potential rapid changes in strategy and financial/dividend
policy, although mitigated by the anticipated sale of an up to 15%
stake in Polyus to a consortium of international investors and public
offering of a 7% stake in Polyus on the Moscow and London stock
exchanges; (6) large capex programme and execution risks, which
are common for mining companies; (7) exposure to volatility in price
of gold, although mitigated by revenue stabiliser programme to an
extent, and rouble exchange rate; and (8) exposure to Russia's
macroeconomic, regulatory and operating environment, as all
of the company's operating assets and the predominant share of sales
are concentrated in Russia.
-- WITHDRAWAL OF PGIL'S RATINGS
Moody's will subsequently withdraw PGIL's ratings because of the
corporate reorganisation, as a result of which Polyus has become
the ultimate holding company of the group instead of PGIL, following
the transfer of all rights and obligations under all three outstanding
Eurobond issues from PGIL to Polyus Finance Plc, a wholy-owned
subsidiary of Polyus. Polyus consolidates all the group's
assets and will be the reporting entity for the consolidated group going
forward. Please refer to the Moody's Investors Service's Policy
for Withdrawal of Credit Ratings, available on its website,
www.moodys.com.
-- AFFIRMATION OF Ba1 NOTES' RATINGS --
The affirmation of the notes' ratings follows (1) the substitution
of the Notes' issuer, as a result of which all rights and
obligations under the Notes were transferred from PGIL to Polyus Finance
Plc on 30 May 2017; and (2) the assignment of CFR to Polyus,
which is a parent company of Polyus Finance Plc. The affirmation
of the ratings reflects the fact that after the issuer substitution (1)
both notes will continue to rank pari passu with each other and other
unsecured and unsubordinated obligations of Polyus's group;
and (2) both notes' guarantee structure continues to include the
guarantee provided by Polyus's key operating subsidiary, Joint
Stock Company Polyus Krasnoyarsk (renamed from Joint-Stock Company
Gold-Mining Company Polyus).
RATIONALE FOR THE STABLE OUTLOOK
The stable outlook on Polyus's ratings reflects Moody's expectation
that the company will (1) maintain its Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA
below 3.5x on a sustainable basis; (2) retain healthy liquidity;
and (3) pursue a balanced financial policy, with no elevated shareholder
distributions and capex.
WHAT COULD CHANGE RATINGS UP/DOWN
Moody's could upgrade the rating if it were to upgrade Russia's
sovereign rating and raise the foreign-currency bond country ceiling,
and the company were to (1) reduce its Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA
below 2.5x on a sustainable basis; (2) generate a positive
free cash flow on a sustainable basis; (3) maintain healthy liquidity;
and (4) pursue a balanced financial policy and prudent corporate governance.
Moody's could downgrade the rating if it were to downgrade Russia's
sovereign rating, or the company's (1) Moody's-adjusted
debt/EBITDA were to rise above 3.5x on a sustained basis;
(2) shareholder distributions or capex were to materially exceed Moody's
current expectations; or (3) operating performance and liquidity
were to deteriorate materially.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Global Mining Industry
published in August 2014. Please see the Rating Methodologies page
on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.
Jersey-domiciled PGIL is a holder of a 93.14% effective
stake (excluding treasury shares) in Polyus, which is one of the
lowest-cost gold producers globally, with six operating mines
and one development project in Russia. In 2016, the company
produced 1.97 million ounces of gold, ranking as the eighth-largest
producer globally (according to the company's estimate), and
generated revenues of $2.5 billion and reported EBITDA of
$1.5 billion. PGIL, which is beneficially controlled
by Mr. Said Kerimov, owns a 91.73% stake in
Polyus, while a 1.51% stake are treasury shares and
6.76% is in free float on the Moscow Exchange and ADRs in
the OTC market.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to
each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their
credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating.
For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory
disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and
in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to
the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction
structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive
rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further
information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the
respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action,
and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action,
the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Artem Frolov
VP - Senior Credit Officer
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service Limited, Russian Branch
7th floor, Four Winds Plaza
21 1st Tverskaya-Yamskaya St.
Moscow 125047
Russia
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
Client Service: 44 20 7772 5454
Victoria Maisuradze
Associate Managing Director
Corporate Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
Client Service: 44 20 7772 5454
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