Actions follow the change in outlook to stable on Italy's Baa2 government bond rating
London, 18 February 2014 -- Moody's Investors Service has today affirmed the ratings and changed the
outlook to stable from negative of three Italian insurance groups and
their related entities:
- Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A (Generali) and subsidiaries
(see debt list below): parent company insurance financial strength
rating (IFSR) affirmed at Baa1 and senior debt rating affirmed at Baa2.
French subsidiaries' IFSRs affirmed at Baa1; German subsidiaries'
IFSRs affirmed at A3. The outlook on all the ratings was changed
to stable from negative
- Allianz S.p.A. (Allianz Italy): IFSR
affirmed at A3. The outlook was changed to stable from negative
- UnipolSai Assicurazioni S.p.A. (UnipolSai):
IFSR affirmed at Baa2. The senior debt rating of the parent company,
Unipol Gruppo Finanziario S.p.A, affirmed at Ba2.
The outlook on both ratings was changed to stable from negative
The outlook changes follow the stabilisation of the Italian government's
creditworthiness, reflected in Moody's change to stable from
negative of the outlook on Italy's Baa2 government bond ratings,
on 14 February 2014. For more details on the rationale for the
sovereign action, please refer to the press release https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-changes-outlook-to-stable-on-Italys-Baa2-government-bond--PR_292815.
The change of outlook to stable from negative reflects Moody's view that
these insurance groups' key credit fundamentals (asset quality,
capitalisation, profitability and financial flexibility) are correlated
with -- and thus linked to -- the economic
and market conditions in Italy, where the entities are domiciled
and have significant operations.
Moody's notes that the IFSRs of both Generali and Allianz Italy remain
above the sovereign rating, reflecting in the former the significant
geographical diversification of the Generali Group, and in the latter
the benefits of ownership from a strong parent (Allianz SE, Aa3
IFSR, negative).
RATINGS RATIONALE
--- ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI S.P.A
Moody's affirmed the Baa1 IFSR and all the debt ratings of Generali and
changed the outlook to stable from negative on all the ratings.
Moody's says the change in outlook to stable reflects the change of outlook
to stable from negative of the Italian sovereign rating.
Generali has meaningful direct exposure to Italian sovereign risk in terms
of both investment portfolio and business profile. As at 30 September
2013, Italian government bonds represented 21% (EUR57.0
billion) of Generali's total fixed-income portfolio, or 270%
of shareholders' equity (gross, before policyholders' participation).
Furthermore, 29% of its gross written premiums (GWPs) were
sourced in Italy in 2012. However, the insurer's broad diversification
through ownership of non-Italian subsidiaries and flexible product
characteristics, which partly insulate the company from credit stress
at the sovereign level, lead to Generali's IFSR being one
notch above the Italian sovereign rating.
In particular, Generali's non-Italian businesses accounted
for over 70% of gross written premium in 2012, with most
of this business located in strong economic environments, such as
Germany (Aaa negative) and France (Aa1 negative). In addition,
Moody's believes that the risk-sharing mechanism of the insurer's
Italian life insurance products materially mitigates the exposure to Italian
sovereign debt. This mechanism offers a relatively high ability
to share losses with policyholders through reducing credited returns,
given the current spread between investments returns and average guarantees.
--- GENERALI FRANCE
Moody's affirmed the Baa1 IFSRs of Generali Vie and Generali IARD --
the main operating companies of the Generali Group in France --
and changed the outlook to stable from negative on all ratings.
Moody's says the change in outlook to stable reflects the changes of outlook
to stable from negative of (1) the Italian sovereign rating; and
(2) the parent company Generali. Even though Generali's French
operations have little direct exposure to Italian bonds or the Italian
economy, Moody's believes that the credit profile of these operations
are linked to those of the Generali Group overall, mainly through
the Group's financial flexibility and franchise.
--- GENERALI DEUTSCHLAND
Moody's affirmed the A3 IFSRs of Generali Deutschland's main operations
(see list below) and changed the outlook to stable from negative on all
ratings. Moody's says the change in outlook to stable reflects
the changes of outlook to stable from negative of (1) the Italian sovereign
rating; and (2) the parent company Generali.
The IFSR of Generali Deutschland is one notch above Generali's IFSR
as Moody's believes that the contagion risk induced by Generali Group
is lower for Generali's German operations than for its French operations.
In particular Moody's believes that the German operations' credit
profile is protected by (1) its multi-brand strategy; around
40% of the business is written under the AachenMuenchener brand
and around 20% of the business is written under the CosmosDirekt
brand; (2) its higher control of its distribution networks relative
to Generali in France; and/or (3) sizeable capital in the form of
RfB. Furthermore, Generali's German operations have little
direct exposure to Italian bonds or the Italian economy.
--- ALLIANZ S.P.A.
Moody's affirmed the A3 IFSR of Allianz S.p.A.,
which is fully owned by Allianz SE, and changed the outlook to stable
from negative. Moody's says the change in outlook to stable reflects
the change of outlook to stable from negative of the Italian sovereign
rating.
Allianz Italy has meaningful direct exposure to Italian sovereign risk
in terms of both investment portfolio and business profile. Italian
government bonds represented around 50% (EUR19.0 billion)
of Allianz Italy's total fixed-income portfolio at the end of June
2013, or over 4.0x of shareholders' equity, and 100%
of its GWP were sourced in Italy in 2012. Nonetheless, Moody's
continues to rate Allianz Italy's IFSR two notches above the Italian sovereign
rating, reflecting the benefit of parental support from Allianz
SE. Allianz Italy is one of the largest operations outside Germany
for Allianz SE, and is consistently one of the largest contributors
in terms of operating profit.
--- UNIPOLSAI ASSICURAZIONI S.P.A.
Moody's affirmed the Baa2 IFSRs of of UnipolSai Assicurazioni S.p.A.
(UnipolSai) and changed the outlook to stable from negative. Moody's
says the change in outlook to stable reflects the change of outlook to
stable from negative of the Italian sovereign rating.
Unipol Gruppo Finanziario S.p.A., whose main
operating entity is UnipolSai, has a very meaningful direct exposure
to Italian sovereign risk in terms of both investment portfolio and business
profile. Italian government bonds represented around 65%
(EUR31.4 billion) of the group's total investment portfolio
and around 4.2x group's shareholders' equity as at third
quarter 2013, and most of its GWP were sourced in Italy.
As a result, UnipolSai's IFSR is constrained by Italy's sovereign
rating.
Moody's also changed the outlook to stable from negative of Unipol
Banca's Ba2 deposit rating following the change of outlook of the
parent. This reflects Moody's expectation that parental support
would likely mitigate any potential moderate deterioration in Unipol Banca's
standalone Baseline Credit Assessment (BCA) of caa1.
WHAT COULD MOVE THE RATINGS UP/DOWN
--- ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI S.P.A
Upwards pressure on Generali's ratings could develop following (1) an
upgrade of Italy's sovereign rating; and/or (2) a material improvement
of the group's solvency.
Downwards pressure on Generali's ratings could develop following (1) a
downgrade of Italy's sovereign rating; (2) a material deterioration
of the group's solvency and/or operating performance; (3) material
deterioration of the group's financial flexibility; and/or (4) a
deterioration in the cash flows at the holding, for example with
a significant reduction in the cash flow coverage below 2x and/or a significant
reduction on the cash flows from the (re)insurance business.
--- ALLIANZ S.P.A.
Upwards pressure on Allianz Italy's ratings could develop following (1)
an upgrade of Italy's sovereign rating; and/or (2) an upgrade of
Allianz SE.
Downwards pressure on Allianz Italy's ratings could develop following
(1) a downgrade of Italy's sovereign rating; (2) a change in the
status of the company within the German group; and/or (3) material
deterioration in the company's standalone solvency, earnings,
operating performance, or capitalisation levels.
--- UNIPOLSAI ASSICURAZIONI S.P.A.
Upwards pressure on UnipolSai's ratings could develop following
an upgrade of Italy's sovereign rating.
Downwards pressure on UnipolSai's ratings could develop following (1)
a downgrade of Italy's sovereign rating; (2) any further significant
assets impairments and costs associated to the integration, including
legal and compensatory expenses; and/or (3) any significant loss
of market share, in excess of the reduction related to the assets'
disposal required by the Italian antitrust Authority in relation to the
acquisition of Premafin.
SUMMARY PROFILES OF AFFECTED GROUPS
Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A, headquartered in Trieste,
Italy, is a major international multi-line insurer.
It reported gross premiums written of EUR65.9 billion in 2012,
total assets of EUR442 billion and shareholders' equity of EUR22.6
billion at 31 December 2012.
Allianz S.p.A., headquartered in Trieste,
Italy, is a major Italian multi-line insurer. It reported
gross premiums written of EUR7.4 billion, total assets of
EUR63.3 billion in 2012 and shareholders' equity of EUR5.1
billion at 31 December 2012.
Unipol Gruppo Finanziario S.p.A., based in
Bologna, Italy, is the parent company of UnipolSai Assicurazioni
S.p.A. and Unipol Banca. Unipol Gruppo Finanziario
S.p.A. reported a consolidated net profit of EUR469
million in 2012, total assets of EUR83.1 billion and shareholders'
equity of EUR7.0 billion as at 31 December 2012.
The following ratings were affirmed and their outlook changed to stable
from negative:
Affirmations:
..Issuer: Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A
.Insurance financial strength rating Baa1
....Multiple Seniority Medium-Term
Note Program, Affirmed (P)Baa3
....Multiple Seniority Medium-Term
Note Program, Affirmed (P)Baa2
....Pref. Stock Preferred Stock,
Affirmed Ba1 (hyb)
....Senior Subordinated Regular Bond/Debenture,
Affirmed Baa3 (hyb)
....Senior Unsecured Regular Bond/Debenture,
Affirmed Baa2
..Issuer: Generali Finance B.V.
....Junior Subordinated Regular Bond/Debenture,
Affirmed Ba1 (hyb)
....Multiple Seniority Medium-Term
Note Program, Affirmed (P)Baa2
....Multiple Seniority Medium-Term
Note Program, Affirmed (P)Baa3
....Senior Unsecured Regular Bond/Debenture,
Affirmed Baa2
..Issuer: Unipol Assicurazioni S.p.a.
....Subordinate Regular Bond/Debenture (assumed
by UnipolSai), Affirmed Ba1 (hyb)
..Issuer: Unipol Banca
....Senior Unsecured Deposit Rating,
Affirmed Ba2
..Issuer: Unipol Gruppo Finanziario S.p.A.
....Issuer Rating, Affirmed Ba2
....Senior Unsecured Medium-Term Note
Program, Affirmed (P)Ba2
....Senior Unsecured Regular Bond/Debenture,
Affirmed Ba2
..Issuer: UnipolSai Assicurazioni S.p.A.
.Insurance financial strength rating Baa2
..Issuer: Allianz S.p.A.
.Insurance financial strength rating A3
..Issuer: Generali Deutschland Holding AG
.Insurance financial strength rating A3
..Issuer: AachenMuenchener Lebensversicherung AG
.Insurance financial strength rating A3
..Issuer: AachenMuenchener Versicherung AG
.Insurance financial strength rating A3
..Issuer: Generali Lebensversicherung AG
.Insurance financial strength rating A3
..Issuer: Generali Versicherung AG
.Insurance financial strength rating A3
..Issuer: Advocard Rechtschutzversicherung AG
.Insurance financial strength rating A3
..Issuer: Generali Deutschland Pensionskasse AG
.Insurance financial strength rating A3
..Issuer: Central Krankenversicherung AG
.Insurance financial strength rating A3
..Issuer: Cosmos Lebensversicherungs-AG
.Insurance financial strength rating A3
..Issuer: Cosmos Versicherung AG
.Insurance financial strength rating A3
..Issuer: Dialog Lebensversicherungs-AG
.Insurance financial strength rating A3
..Issuer: Envivas Krankenversicherung AG
.Insurance financial strength rating A3
..Issuer: Generali IARD
.Insurance financial strength rating Baa1
..Issuer: Generali Vie
.Insurance financial strength rating Baa1
The following ratings were affirmed and their outlook changed to no outlook
from stable:
..Issuer: Unipol Banca
..Bank Financial Strength Rating, Affirmed E
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGIES
The principal methodologies used in rating Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A,
Generali Deutschland Holding AG, AachenMuenchener Lebensversicherung
AG, AachenMuenchener Versicherung AG, Advocard Rechtschutzversicherung
AG, Generali Deutschland Pensionskasse AG, Central Krankenversicherung
AG, Cosmos Lebensversicherungs-AG, Cosmos Versicherung
AG, Dialog Lebensversicherungs-AG, Envivas Krankenversicherung
AG, Generali Lebensversicherung AG, Generali Versicherung
AG, Generali IARD, Generali Vie, Generali Finance BV,
Unipol Gruppo Finanziario S.p.A., UnipolSai
Assicurazioni S.p.A., Unipol Assicurazioni
S.p.a. and Allianz S.p.A. were
Moody's Global Rating Methodology for Property and Casualty Insurers Published
in December 2013, and Moody's Global Rating Methodology for Life
Insurers published in December 2013. Please see the Credit Policy
page on www.moodys.com for a copy of these methodologies.
The principal methodology used in rating Unipol Banca was Global Banks
published in May 2013. Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com
for a copy of this methodology.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular
rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the
support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive
rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt,
in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed
prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would
have affected the rating. For further information please see the
ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this rating action, and
whose ratings may change as a result of this rating action, the
associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
The subordinate debt 293905 of rated entity Unipol Assicurazioni S.p.a
was initiated by Moody's and was not requested by this rated entity.
This rated entity or its agent(s) participated in the rating process.
The rated entity or its agent(s)provided Moody's access to the books,
records and other relevant internal documents of these rated entities.
The below contact information is provided for information purposes only.
Please see the ratings tab of the issuer page at www.moodys.com,
for each of the ratings covered, Moody's disclosures on the
lead analyst and the Moody's legal entity that has issued the ratings.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Antonello Aquino
Senior Vice President
Financial Institutions Group
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
United Kingdom
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Simon Harris
MD - Financial Institutions
Financial Institutions Group
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
United Kingdom
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Moody's changes the outlook of three Italian insurance groups to stable from negative