NOTE: On December 7, 2016, the press release was corrected as follows: The fifteenth paragraph of the Ratings Rationale section was amended to include special purpose vehicles. Revised release follows.
NOTE: On November 17, 2016, the press release was corrected as follows: In the Ratings Rationale section, the paragraph regarding Special Purpose Vehicles was removed. Revised release follows.
Hong Kong, March 30, 2016 -- Moody's Investors Service has confirmed the Aa3 issuer ratings of China
National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC Group) and its key subsidiary,
CNOOC Limited.
At the same time, Moody's has also confirmed the Aa3 issuer
rating of CNOOC Finance Corporation Ltd (CNOOC Finance), as well
as the following guaranteed bond ratings:
(1) the Aa3 senior unsecured ratings of the bonds issued by CNOOC Finance
(2003) Limited; CNOOC Finance (2011) Limited; CNOOC Finance
(2012) Limited; CNOOC Finance (2013) Limited; CNOOC Nexen Finance
(2014) ULC; CNOOC Finance (2015) U.S.A. LLC;
and CNOOC Finance (2015) Australia Pty Ltd. These issuances are
guaranteed by CNOOC Limited;
(2) the Aa3 senior unsecured ratings of the bonds issued by CNOOC Curtis
Funding No.1 Pty Ltd and guaranteed by CNOOC Group.
(3) the Aa3 senior unsecured ratings of the bonds issued by Nexen Energy
ULC as well as (P)Aa3 senior unsecured shelf.
The ratings outlook is negative.
These rating actions conclude the review for downgrade announced by Moody's
on 17 February 2016.
RATINGS RATIONALE
Moody's has lowered CNOOC Group's Baseline Credit Assessment (BCA) to
baa1 from a3 as a result of a deterioration in CNOOCs' financial
profile due to t the weak oil price environment which we expect to continue.
However its final Aa3 issuer rating is unchanged as it continues to incorporate
our assessment of the likelihood of a very high level of support from
the Chinese government (Aa3, negative) if required under Moody's
joint default analysis approach for government related issuers.
The assessment of a very high level of support reflects CNOOC Group's
strategic importance to China, given that it is one of the three
major national oil companies in the country and that it dominates the
offshore oil & gas operations. CNOOC Group is 100% owned
by the government of China and CNOOC Limited is 64.44 %
owned by CNOOC Group.
The lower BCA of baa1 reflects Moody's expectation that CNOOC Group's
credit metrics will continue to weaken.
Under Moody's price assumption of USD33/barrel for Brent in 2016
and USD38/barrel for 2017, CNOOC Group's retained cash flow
(RCF)/net debt will likely be in the range of 25% to 30%
in the next two years, lower than Moody's estimates of 32%
in 2015.
These key credit metrics are more in line with its baa1 BCA relative to
Moody's-rated global peers.
We expect a similar weakening trend for its core subsidiary, CNOOC
Limited. In our view, the credit profiles of CNOOC Limited
and CNOOC Group are closely linked as CNOOC Limited accounts for the majority
of the parent group's revenue, profits and assets.
CNOOC Group's baa1 BCA and CNOOC Limited's standalone credit
strength are supported by their: (1) larger reserves and production
scales when compared to most of their rated exploration and production
(E&P) peers; (2) dominant positions in China's offshore
oil & gas sector; and (3) very strong internal liquidity sources
and access to liquidity.
They are also most exposed to the low crude oil price among the rated
Chinese national oil companies given their businesses focus more on upstream
E&P business.
Moody's believes that CNOOC Group and CNOOC Limited are likely to
report negative free cash flow in 2016, but they will be able to
use their cash on hand and liquid financial assets to prevent an material
increase in their gross debt levels.
The negative outlook is in line with the negative outlook on China's Aa3
sovereign rating.
The ratings of CNOOC Group and CNOOC Limited are unlikely to be upgraded
in the near term, given the negative outlook.
A stable outlook could be considered if China's sovereign rating
outlook returns to stable.
The ratings of CNOOC Limited and CNOOC Group could be downgraded if (1)
China's sovereign rating is downgraded; or (2) the companies embark
on large debt-funded acquisitions; or (3) crude oil prices
drop further beyond Moody's expectations, such that RCF/net debt
falls below 20%-25% for both companies.
CNOOC Finance's Aa3 issuer rating is closely linked with the rating of
CNOOC Group as it is the sole entity managing CNOOC Group's treasury operations.
There is a commitment letter from CNOOC Group -- as required
under the regulations for Chinese corporates -- that reinforces the
importance of CNOOC Finance within CNOOC Group, and the parent's
willingness to provide support to CNOOC Finance. Furthermore,
CNOOC Finance does not have any external debt.
The principal methodology used in rating China National Offshore Oil Corporation, CNOOC Curtis Funding No.1 Pty Ltd, and CNOOC Finance Corporation Ltd was Global Integrated Oil & Gas Industry published in April 2014. Other methodologies used include the Government-Related Issuers published in October 2014. The principal methodology used in rating CNOOC Limited, CNOOC Finance (2003) Limited, CNOOC Finance (2011) Limited, CNOOC Finance (2012) Limited, CNOOC Finance (2013) Limited, CNOOC Finance (2015) Australia Pty Ltd, CNOOC Finance (2015) U.S.A. LLC, CNOOC Nexen Finance (2014) ULC, and Nexen Energy ULC was Global Independent Exploration and Production Industry published in December 2011. Please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com for a copy of these methodologies.
CNOOC Limited, incorporated in Hong Kong, is an oil and gas
exploration and production (E&P) company with operations mainly in
offshore China. It is 64.44%-owned by China
National Offshore Oil Corporation.
China National Offshore Oil Corporation is an integrated Chinese energy
company that is wholly-owned by China's State Council and ultimately,
the People's Republic of China. The company has substantial interests
in its listed subsidiaries, which are engaged in E&P and the
provision of oil services. It also has interests in other downstream
businesses, including refining and petrochemicals.
The Local Market analyst for these ratings is Kai Hu, +86 (21)
2057-4012.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular
rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the
support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive
rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt,
in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed
prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would
have affected the rating. For further information please see the
ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this rating action, and
whose ratings may change as a result of this rating action, the
associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
The first name below is the lead rating analyst for this Credit Rating
and the last name below is the person primarily responsible for approving
this Credit Rating.
Chenyi Lu
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service Hong Kong Ltd.
24/F One Pacific Place
88 Queensway
Hong Kong
China (Hong Kong S.A.R.)
JOURNALISTS: (852) 3758 -1350
SUBSCRIBERS: (852) 3551-3077
Gary Lau
MD - Corporate Finance
Corporate Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: (852) 3758 -1350
SUBSCRIBERS: (852) 3551-3077
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service Hong Kong Ltd.
24/F One Pacific Place
88 Queensway
Hong Kong
China (Hong Kong S.A.R.)
JOURNALISTS: (852) 3758 -1350
SUBSCRIBERS: (852) 3551-3077