Tokyo, June 26, 2020 -- Moody's Japan K.K. has confirmed SoftBank Group Corp.'s
(SBG) corporate family rating (CFR) and senior unsecured rating at Ba3,
and its subordinate rating at B2.
The outlook has been changed to negative from ratings under review.
This rating action concludes the review for downgrade initiated on 25
March 2020.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The confirmation of SBG's ratings reflects the substantial amount
of cash held at the holding company level that can cover debt maturities
over the next two years, and ownership of its highly valuable investment
portfolio including a majority stake in SoftBank Corp. and a stake
of about 25% in Alibaba Group Holding Limited (Alibaba, A1
stable).
However, these strengths are balanced against: (1) the potential
for substantial changes in its credit profile as a result of its large
recapitalization plan, which could alter the value and quality of
its investment portfolio as well as its capital structure; (2) its
thin interest coverage in the low 1x range; and (3) its aggressive
financial policy and associated governance concerns, including the
scope of the recapitalization and the use of margin loans which have resulted
in debt raised against holdings in investee companies.
Under its recapitalization plan, the company plans to monetize up
to JPY4.5 trillion (about $41 billion) of its investment
portfolio in fiscal year 2020 and use the proceeds to repurchase up to
JPY2 trillion ($18 billion) of its own shares. It plans
to use the remaining JPY2.5 trillion ($23 billion) to reduce
debt and increase its cash liquidity at the holding company. Major
asset sales have been announced but given the structured nature of the
transactions, cash proceeds may not all yet have been received or
applied towards debt reduction.
The negative outlook takes into account the risks associated with the
successful execution of its recapitalization plan, volatile capital
market conditions that could weaken the valuation of SBG's investee companies,
and the company's governance and financial policies, including the
use of collateralized margin loans which Moody's believes signals
a heightened tolerance for risk and financial complexity.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Given the negative outlook, an upgrade of the ratings is unlikely
in the foreseeable future. However, the outlook could return
to stable if SBG successfully executes on its recapitalization plan,
including paying down a substantial amount of debt with the asset sale
proceeds, and demonstrates greater transparency and sustainability
of its assets and capital structure. The elimination of governance
concerns would also be credit positive.
Moody's would consider downgrading the ratings if (1) there is a
significant deterioration in the credit quality and transparency of SBG's
investee companies, including a material decline in the ownership
of its dividend-paying SoftBank Corp. subsidiary or a further
reduction in its stake in Alibaba; (2) cash held at the holding company
level diminishes, whereby its cash and committed credit facilities
no longer cover two years of debt maturities; (3) its debt increases,
including margin loans and other secured debt; (4) legal or other
contingent obligations crystallize; or (5) governance concerns rise
further.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Investment Holding
Companies and Conglomerates (Japanese) published in August 2018 and available
at https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_1135855.
Alternatively, please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com
for a copy of this methodology.
Headquartered in Tokyo, SoftBank Group Corp. is a Japanese
holding company, with subsidiaries engaged in various businesses,
including telecommunications, internet and other technology businesses.
The following ratings are affected by today's rating actions:
..Issuer: SoftBank Group Corp.
....LT Corporate Family Rating, Confirmed
at Ba3
....Senior Unsecured Regular Bond/Debenture
(Foreign Currency), Confirmed at Ba3
....Subordinate Regular Bond/Debenture (Foreign
Currency), Confirmed at B2
....Outlook, Changed To Negative From
Rating Under Review
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and
sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and
Sensitivity to Assumptions in the disclosure form. Moody's
Rating Symbols and Definitions can be found at: https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_79004
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Mariko Semetko
VP - Senior Credit Officer
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's Japan K.K.
Atago Green Hills Mori Tower 20fl
2-5-1 Atago, Minato-ku
Tokyo 105-6220
Japan
JOURNALISTS: 81 3 5408 4110
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Mihoko Manabe
Associate Managing Director
Corporate Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 81 3 5408 4110
Client Service: 81 3 5408 4100
Releasing Office:
Moody's Japan K.K.
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