London, 06 March 2014 -- Moody's Investors Service has today confirmed the ratings of three mezzanine
notes in Saecure 8 NHG B.V. as a result of the rating agency's
detailed analysis of swap counterparty exposure.
Today's rating action concludes the review of the ratings of Class B,
C and D notes in Saecure 8 NHG B.V. (Saecure 8), which
Moody's placed on review on 14 November 2013, in relation to swap
counterparty exposure following the introduction of the rating agency's
updated approach to assessing swap counterparty linkage in structured
finance transactions (https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-reviews-for-downgrade-EMEA-RMBS-and-ABS-transactions-due--PR_286515).
For a detailed list of affected ratings, refer to the section 'List
of affected securities' in this press release.
RATINGS RATIONALE
Today's rating action takes into consideration the exposure of the transaction
to the swap counterparties following the introduction of the rating agency's
updated approach to assessing swap counterparties in structured finance
cash flow transactions ("Approach to Assessing Swap Counterparties in
Structured Finance Cash Flow Transactions" published on the 12 November
2013). In Moody's view the risk of the transaction of becoming
un-hedged is mitigated by the counterparties credit quality and
the structural elements in place.
In Saecure 8, Aegon Derivatives N.V. (not rated --
a subsidiary of Aegon N.V. A3/P-2) acts as swap counterparty
and Royal Bank of Scotland plc (A3/P-2/Ratings under review) acts
as back-up swap counterparty. Upon the breach of certain
credit conditions, the swap agreement between Saecure 8 and Aegon
Derivatives N.V. will be automatically transferred to Royal
Bank of Scotland plc. The underlying interest rate risk is of fixed-floating
nature, with the pool of mortgage loans paying the fixed rate (currently
approximately 5% interest rate) and the notes paying the floating
rate (EURIBOR three months). In its analysis, Moody's
takes into account (i) the A3 replacement trigger expected to be effective,
(ii) the low default correlation assumed between the swap counterparty
and its back-up provider and (iii) the compliance of the swap agreement
with Moody's criteria. These considerations resulted in the
confirmation of the current ratings of the affected notes.
Moody's run cash flow models taking into consideration additional losses
to be incurred if the affected transactions become un-hedged.
Moody's determined that available excess spread and credit enhancement
in each transaction mitigate the risk of swap counterparty default.
FACTORS THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATING
Factors or circumstances that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings
affected by today's action would be the worse-than-expected
performance of the underlying collateral or deterioration in the credit
quality of the counterparties.
Factors or circumstances that could lead to an upgrade of the ratings
affected by today's action would be the better-than-expected
performance of the underlying assets, or a decline in counterparty
risk.
The principal methodology used in this rating was "Moody's Approach to
Rating RMBS Using the MILAN Framework" published in November 2013.
Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for
a copy of this methodology.
LIST OF AFFECTED SECURITIES
Issuer: SAECURE 8 NHG B.V.
....EUR29.6M Class B Notes, Confirmed
at Aa1 (sf); previously on Nov 14, 2013 Aa1 (sf) Placed Under
Review for Possible Downgrade
....EUR14.8M Class C Notes, Confirmed
at Aa2 (sf); previously on Nov 14, 2013 Aa2 (sf) Placed Under
Review for Possible Downgrade
....EUR14.8M Class D Notes, Confirmed
at Aa3 (sf); previously on Nov 14, 2013 Aa3 (sf) Placed Under
Review for Possible Downgrade
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and
sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and
Sensitivity to Assumptions of the disclosure form.
Moody's did not receive or take into account a third-party
assessment on the due diligence performed regarding the underlying assets
or financial instruments related to the monitoring of this transaction
in the past six months.
The analysis relies on an assessment of collateral characteristics to
determine the collateral loss distribution, that is, the function
that correlates to an assumption about the likelihood of occurrence to
each level of possible losses in the collateral. As a second step,
Moody's evaluates each possible collateral loss scenario using a
model that replicates the relevant structural features to derive payments
and therefore the ultimate potential losses for each rated instrument.
The loss a rated instrument incurs in each collateral loss scenario,
weighted by assumptions about the likelihood of events in that scenario
occurring, results in the expected loss of the rated instrument.
As the section on loss and cash flow analysis describes, Moody's
quantitative analysis entails an evaluation of scenarios that stress factors
contributing to sensitivity of ratings and take into account the likelihood
of severe collateral losses or impaired cash flows. Moody's
weights the impact on the rated instruments based on its assumptions of
the likelihood of the events in such scenarios occurring.
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular
rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the
support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive
rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt,
in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed
prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would
have affected the rating. For further information please see the
ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this rating action, and
whose ratings may change as a result of this rating action, the
associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Lyudmila Udot
Asst Vice President - Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
United Kingdom
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Carole Bernard
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Sebastian Hoepfner
Analyst
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
United Kingdom
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Moody's confirms three notes in one Dutch NHG RMBS transaction