Economic challenges prompt assignment of negative outlooks on Puerto Rican banks
New York, October 07, 2013 -- Moody's Investors Service downgraded the senior unsecured rating of Doral
Financial Corporation (Doral Financial) to Caa3 from Caa1. Doral
Financial's rating outlook remains negative. Doral Financial's
lead bank, Doral Bank, is unrated. The rating agency
also downgraded the senior secured bonds (CUSIPs 74527BLB8, 74527BLC6,
74527BLD4, and 74527BSL9) issued by Doral Properties, Inc.
through the Puerto Rico Industrial, Tourist, Educational,
Medical and Environmental Control Facilities Financing Authority (AFICA)
to Caa3 from Caa1. Doral Properties, Inc. is a wholly-owned
subsidiary of Doral Financial, which is legally responsible for
the payments on the AFICA bonds that are currently outstanding.
Moody's also took the following actions today:
- Banco Santander Puerto Rico (BSPR): Affirmed all ratings
(deposits Baa1, standalone bank financial strength rating (BFSR)/baseline
credit assessment (BCA) D+/ba1). Rating outlook on BSPR's
standalone BFSR/BCA changed to negative from stable. Stable outlook
maintained on the bank's supported deposit and debt ratings.
BSPR's deposit and debt ratings benefit from uplift because the
bank has a higher-rated US affiliate, Sovereign Bank (deposits
Baa1 stable, standalone BFSR/BCA C-/baa1 stable).
Moody's believes that within a US banking family, the deposit
ratings of affiliates should be equalized because of regulatory powers
afforded by the cross-indemnification provisions of the Federal
Deposit Insurance Act.
- Popular, Inc. (Popular) and its subsidiaries:
Affirmed all ratings (lead bank deposits Ba2, standalone BFSR/BCA
D/ba2). Rating outlook changed to negative from stable.
- FirstBank Puerto Rico (FirstBank): Affirmed all ratings
(deposits B2, standalone BFSR/BCA E+/b2). Rating outlook
changed to negative from stable.
RATINGS RATIONALE
Moody's said the downgrade of Doral Financial's senior unsecured
rating was driven by the company's extremely weak financial condition.
Doral Financial's credit profile reflects very poor asset quality,
weak capital, and a funding profile that is highly-dependent
on non-core sources.
Doral Financial's poor asset quality is evidenced by its extremely
high level of non-performing assets (NPAs), which Moody's
defines as non-accrual loans, loans past due 90 days or more
and still accruing, all restructured loans, and other real
estate owned (OREO). At 30 June 2013, Doral Financial's
NPAs represented 19% of loans plus OREO and 249% of tier
1 common equity plus reserves. These ratios are by far the weakest
of any rated Puerto Rican bank. Moreover, there is little
likelihood of significant improvement in the company's asset quality
given Puerto Rico's very weak economy. This will place further
negative pressure on the company's already-weak capital position.
At 30 June, Doral Financial's tier 1 common ratio was a low
5.99%. Moody's added that Doral Financial is
highly-dependent on non-core funding, such as brokered
deposits. At 30 June, brokered deposits accounted for 36%
of total deposits and core deposits only funded 31% of total loans.
The negative outlooks on the ratings of BSPR, Popular and FirstBank
reflect the continued weakening of Puerto Rico's already-poor
economy, which is in the midst of a protracted recession that began
in 2006. The economy is challenged by high unemployment,
low workforce participation, high poverty levels compared to the
US mainland, a declining population, and weakness in its key
pharmaceutical sector. Continued weakening is evidenced by the
recent increase in the unemployment rate to 13.9% in August
2013 and the higher-than-expected 5% year-over-year
decline in the Government Development Bank for Puerto Rico's Economic
Activity Index, which is a good proxy for the health of the Puerto
Rican economy.
Moreover, the prospects for a sustainable recovery are constrained
by the commonwealth's poor finances. The commonwealth is
challenged by a very large unfunded pension liability even after recently-enacted
reforms, and an increasingly heavy debt load. The commonwealth
also has a high dependence on capital markets financing that has led to
increased refinancing risk and reduced financial flexibility as it waits
out currently-volatile market conditions.
Actions to address the commonwealth's fiscal problems will likely
put additional stress on the economy. This will continue to threaten
the health of the banking system. The banks' NPAs remain
extremely high relative to US mainland banks, which could lead to
significant losses if conditions do not improve.
The recent market volatility also creates uncertainties for the Puerto
Rican banking system. Although the banks' deposit flows have
been steady during this period of heightened volatility, ongoing
volatility could put additional stress on funding profiles that tend to
be weaker than US mainland banks.
Following today's actions, the negative outlooks on the ratings
of BSPR, Popular, FirstBank, and Doral are consistent
with the negative outlook on the commonwealth. Moody's affirmed
Puerto Rico's Baa3 government obligation rating on 3 October 2013
(see press release "Moody's affirms Puerto Rico general obligation
bonds at Baa3; affirms notched and related debt as well,"
available on moodys.com).
The principal methodology used in these rating were Global Banks published
in May 2013. Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com
for a copy of this methodology.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular
rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the
support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive
rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt,
in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed
prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would
have affected the rating. For further information please see the
ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this rating action, and
whose ratings may change as a result of this rating action, the
associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
The below contact information is provided for information purposes only.
Please see the ratings tab of the issuer page at www.moodys.com,
for each of the ratings covered, Moody's disclosures on the lead
analyst and the Moody's legal entity that has issued the ratings.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Joseph Pucella
VP - Senior Credit Officer
Financial Institutions Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Robert Franklyn Young
MD - Financial Institutions
Financial Institutions Group
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Moody's downgrades Doral Financial to Caa3