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Rating Action:

Moody's downgrades Give & Go's CFR to Caa1; outlook now stable

12 Jun 2018

Approximately $575 million of debt rated

Toronto, June 12, 2018 -- Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") downgraded Give and Go Prepared Foods Corp.'s (Give & Go) corporate family rating (CFR) to Caa1 from B2, probability of default rating to Caa1-PD from B2-PD, and senior secured first lien credit facilities ratings to B3 from B1. The ratings outlook was changed to stable from negative.

"Give & Go was downgraded because Moody's expects leverage to increase to 8x for fiscal 2018 due to cost pressures and will likely not improve meaningfully in fiscal 2019, free cash flow will continue to be negative and execution risks exist on its operational improvement plans", said Peter Adu, a Moody's Vice President and Senior Analyst.

Ratings Downgraded:

Corporate Family Rating, to Caa1 from B2

Probability of Default Rating, to Caa1-PD from B2-PD

$485M Senior Secured First Lien Term Loan due 2023, to B3 (LGD3) from B1 (LGD3)

$90M Senior Secured First Lien Revolving Credit Facility due 2021, B3 (LGD3) from B1 (LGD3)

Outlook Actions:

Outlook, Changed to Stable from Negative

RATINGS RATIONALE

Give & Go's Caa1 CFR is constrained by: (1) its narrowly-defined in-store bakery business; (2) Moody's expectation that leverage (adjusted Debt/EBITDA) will be sustained towards 7.5x in the next 12 to 18 months (was 7.5x at LTM Q3/2018 and going to 8x for fiscal 2018); (3) declining profitability as rising costs are hard to pass on to customers; (4) exposure to increasing consumer demand for healthy foods; (5) small scale relative to baked goods rated peers; (6) continuing negative free cash flow; and (7) ownership by private equity, which took out a leveraging dividend last year and may do so again in the future. The company benefits from: (1) its strong and defensible market position, which provides revenue stability; (2) long standing relationships with its large and high profile customers, which allows for recurring revenue; and (3) decent top line growth prospects and potential for incremental growth in underserved channels like foodservice.

Give & Go has adequate liquidity over the next year. Sources exceed C$83 million compared to about C$26 million of uses. Sources include cash of C$13 million at Q3/2018 (March 2018) and at least C$70 million of availability under its $90 million revolving credit facility due in 2021 while Moody's expects negative free cash flow of about C$20 million through March 2019 as the company increases capital expenditures to automate some of its processes, and C$6 million of term loan amortization. Give & Go's revolver is subject to a springing maximum first lien net leverage covenant when drawings exceed a certain threshold. Moody's expects the covenant to be applicable in the next four quarters, with cushion of at least 10%. The company has no refinancing risk until 2021 when the revolver comes due.

Give & Go's stable outlook reflects Moody's expectation that the company will stabilize its operating performance within the next 12 to 18 months.

The ratings could be upgraded if Give & Go sustains adjusted Debt/EBITDA towards 7x (7.5x at LTM Q3/2018) and EBIT/Interest above 1x (1.1x at LTM Q3/2018). The ratings could be downgraded if Give & Go's liquidity weakens, possibly from continuing negative free cash flow generation or if the company is unable to stem the decline in its profitability in the next 12 months. Engaging in leveraging acquisitions or leveraging distributions to its financial sponsor could also cause a downgrade.

The principal methodology used in these ratings was Global Packaged Goods published in January 2017. Please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.

Give & Go, headquartered in Toronto, Ontario, is a manufacturer and distributor of thaw-and-sell sweet baked goods to retailers and foodservice operators in North America. Revenue for the last twelve months ended March 31, 2018 exceeded C$530 million. The company is owned by Thomas H. Lee, a private equity firm.

REGULATORY DISCLOSURES

For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.

For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action, and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action, the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity. Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures, if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.

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Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.

Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.

Peter Adu, CFA
VP - Senior Analyst
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's Canada Inc.
70 York Street
Suite 1400
Toronto, ON M5J 1S9
Canada
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653

Donald S. Carter, CFA
MD - Corporate Finance
Corporate Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653

Releasing Office:
Moody's Canada Inc.
70 York Street
Suite 1400
Toronto, ON M5J 1S9
Canada
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653

No Related Data.
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