London, 05 September 2012 -- Moody's Investors Service has today downgraded the standalone credit assessment
of Locindus to ba3 from ba1 and assigned a negative outlook. Locindus's
deposit ratings of A2/Prime-1 and its stable outlook are unaffected
by today's announcement.
Locindus's standalone credit assessment was lowered because of (1)
the risks stemming from the entity's limited franchise and inherent concentration
risks arising from its exposure to the commercial real-estate (CRE)
sector; (2) the pressure on the institution's profitability and asset
quality resulting from the weakening macroeconomic environment; and
(3) its reliance on its parent Crédit Foncier de France (CFF;
A2 deposits, stable; D-/ba3 standalone bank financial
strength rating/standalone credit assessment, negative) for risk
management and refinancing.
Moody's employed its Finance Company Global Rating Methodology,
published in March 2012, as the primary methodology to assign the
ba3 standalone credit assessment for Locindus. The previous standalone
credit profile of D+/ba1, placed under review for downgrade
on 15 February 2012, was determined under the Consolidated Global
Bank Rating Methodology, published in June 2012. With the
change in primary methodology for our assessment of Locindus's standalone
credit profile, Moody's will no longer separately disclose
a BFSR for this entity.
RATINGS RATIONALE
FIRST DRIVER FOR THE STANDALONE CREDIT ASSESSMENT -- LIMITED
FRANCHISE AND HIGH CREDIT CONCENTRATION
As a specialised French credit institution focusing on CRE leasing,
Locindus is a monoline institution. With EUR863 million in total
assets and a property finance lease and loan portfolio of EUR680 million
at end-June 2012, Locindus is a very small player in the
domestic CRE market. Despite its experience and good brand recognition
in its niche market, Locindus's client base remains limited
and is unlikely to expand going forward. Moreover, its lease
portfolio is highly concentrated. As of end-June 2012,
the 25 largest customers formed 58% of total credit exposures,
representing 174% of Locindus's tangible common equity.
Moody's believes that the low granularity of Locindus's client
portfolio, its very high asset concentrations (ca. 42%
of the exposures relate to shopping outlets) and low geographical diversification
(ca. 42% of the exposures originated from the Paris region
at H1 2012), render Locindus vulnerable to the deteriorating operating
environment and to a CRE sector downturn.
SECOND DRIVER -- PRESSURE FROM THE DETERIORATION OF THE
MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
As a monoline institution, Locindus's profitability is inherently
volatile and reliant on the trends in both the CRE market and the operating
environment. Locindus's recent profitability indicators were
sustained by exceptional items, stemming from the divestment of
its rental portfolio (managed in run-off since 2007) and the transformation
of long-term rental contracts into leasing contracts. Excluding
those exceptional items, Moody's believes that Locindus's
underlying profitability remains weak.
Although asset-quality indicators remain adequate as of today,
Moody's believes that Locindus is inherently exposed to a rapid
deterioration of its cost of risk, considering its high borrower
concentrations. In addition, the firm remains vulnerable
to a macro-economic downturn, illustrated at end-2011
when non-performing loans as a percentage of gross loans suddenly
jumped to 1.5% from 0.1% at year-end
2010, due to a EUR10.2 million surge in non-performing
loans stemming from one deal, which has since been transferred to
CFF.
Moody's anticipates that the French economy, and more generally
most European economies, will continue to register weak performance
for the foreseeable future. For this reason, Moody's
expects Locindus's profitability to remain under pressure in the quarters
to come.
THIRD DRIVER -- HIGH INTEGRATION AND RELIANCE ON CREDIT
FONCIER
Since CFF acquired the majority of Locindus in 2007 and the management
agreement was put in place the same year, Locindus is now highly
integrated and reliant on its direct parent CFF, notably for funding
and liquidity but also for sourcing new business. Moody's
believes that there are extensive operational linkages between Locindus
and CFF for the following reasons:
(1) Locindus's commercial strategy is highly integrated with that of CFF,
which uses Locindus's expertise for complex real-estate leasing
operations. While Locindus will continue to complement CFF's commercial
offerings, its loan production is expected to remain at a modest
level. Locindus's rental activity has been in run-off
mode since 2007, whereas CFF has embarked on a selective deleveraging
process focusing mainly on its international business;
(2) As part of the management agreement between CFF and Locindus,
risk-management, human resources and IT functions are delegated
to CFF, thereby further increasing the level of integration between
the two institutions. In addition, Locindus is fully reliant
on CFF for refinancing and ALM financial risk management.
Although Moody's recognises the tangible benefits to Locindus's liquidity
profile of the access to CFF funding, Moody's believes that
the credit weaknesses of its parent, notably its wholesale funding
profile, should be appropriately captured in Locindus's standalone
credit assessment. CFF's standalone credit assessment is
D-/ba3 with negative outlook.
RATIONALE FOR NEGATIVE OUTLOOK OF THE STANDALONE CREDIT ASSESSMENT
The outlook on Locindus's standalone credit assessment is negative
and reflects Moody's view that the firm's financial strength
may come under further pressure in the event of a more pronounced macro-economic
downturn. It also reflects the firm's high correlation with
and liquidity reliance on CFF, deriving from the strong operational
linkages between the two institutions.
DEPOSIT RATINGS UNAFFECTED
Locindus's A2 long-term deposit rating with stable outlook,
which is seven notches higher than its standalone credit assessment of
ba3, is unaffected by today's announcement. The high
support uplift results from the firm's affiliation to BPCE (A2 stable/Prime-1;
D/ba2 stable) and its inclusion within the group solidarity mechanism.
WHAT COULD MOVE THE RATING UP/DOWN
Upward pressure on Locindus's standalone credit assessment is unlikely
as it carries a negative outlook. Any upward pressure on its standalone
credit strength is unlikely to trigger an upgrade of the long-term
deposit ratings, given the very high uplift incorporated into Locindus's
deposit rating.
Locindus's standalone credit assessment could be downgraded if Moody's
considers that a macroeconomic slowdown could materially affect the firm's
profitability or asset quality and as such, challenge the overall
viability of the firm's franchise and business model.
Locindus's A2 long-term deposit rating would likely be downgraded
if Moody's believes that Groupe BPCE's creditworthiness has
deteriorated (BPCE ultimately provides support to Locindus, if needed,
through CFF). Downwards pressure could also develop if (1) Moody's
believes there has been significant deterioration in the probability of
mutualist support from the group, due to a change in Locindus's
affiliation status, and/or a weakening solidarity mechanism;
and (2) Moody's believes there is a lower probability of systemic
support being provided to Groupe BPCE, and in turn to Locindus.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGIES
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Finance Company Global
Rating Methodology, published on March 2012. Please see the
Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this
methodology.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation
to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular
rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the
support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings,
this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation
to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive
rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt,
in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed
prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would
have affected the rating. For further information please see the
ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
Moody's considers the quality of information available on the rated
entity, obligation or credit satisfactory for the purposes of issuing
a rating.
Moody's adopts all necessary measures so that the information it
uses in assigning a rating is of sufficient quality and from sources Moody's
considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent
third-party sources. However, Moody's is not
an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate
information received in the rating process.
Please see Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions on the Rating
Process page on www.moodys.com for further information on
the meaning of each rating category and the definition of default and
recovery.
Please see ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for the last rating action and the rating history. The date on
which some ratings were first released goes back to a time before Moody's
ratings were fully digitized and accurate data may not be available.
Consequently, Moody's provides a date that it believes is
the most reliable and accurate based on the information that is available
to it. Please see the ratings disclosure page on our website www.moodys.com
for further information.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has
issued the rating.
Andrea Usai
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Financial Institutions Group
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
United Kingdom
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Carola Schuler
MD - Banking
Financial Institutions Group
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
United Kingdom
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Moody's downgrades Locindus's standalone credit assessment to ba3 from ba1; outlook negative; A2/P-1 deposit ratings and stable outlook unaffected