New York, November 16, 2022 -- Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") has downgraded the senior unsecured rating of Office Properties Income Trust (OPI) to Ba1 from Baa3. Moody's has also withdrawn OPI's issuer rating and assigned it a CFR of Ba1, placed on review for downgrade and SGL-3 rating. Moody's also downgraded the senior unsecured rating of Select Income REIT to Ba1 from Baa3. The ratings of Office Properties Income Trust and Select Income REIT were placed under review for further downgrade. The ratings downgrades reflect OPI's elevated leverage and challenges it faces as it seeks to execute asset sales and reduce debt levels amidst a challenging transaction environment for commercial office real estate. The downgrade also considers risks to operating cash flows as OPI faces a large amount of lease expirations in 2023 and 2024. Moody's review will focus on the REIT's prospects for selling assets and raising capital needed to address 2024 refinancing needs, including the maturity of its unsecured revolver and $350 million bonds that come due.
The following ratings have been downgraded and placed on review for downgrade:
..Issuer: Office Properties Income Trust
....Senior Unsecured Regular Bond/Debenture, Downgraded to Ba1 from Baa3; Placed on Review for Downgrade
..Issuer: Select Income REIT
....Senior Unsecured Regular Bond/Debenture, Downgraded to Ba1 from Baa3; Placed on Review for Downgrade
The following ratings have been assigned and placed on review for downgrade:
..Issuer: Office Properties Income Trust
......Corporate Family Rating, Assigned Ba1, Placed on Review for Downgrade
The following rating has been assigned:
..Issuer: Office Properties Income Trust
......Speculative Grade Liquidity Rating, Assigned SGL-3
The following ratings have been withdrawn:
..Issuer: Office Properties Income Trust
......Issuer rating, Withdrawn, previously rated Baa3
Outlook Actions:
..Issuer: Office Properties Income Trust
....Outlook, Changed To Ratings Under Review From Negative
..Issuer: Select Income REIT
....Outlook, Changed to Ratings Under Review From Negative
RATINGS RATIONALE
The Ba1 senior unsecured rating reflects OPI's high-quality tenant base which includes a large percentage of investment-grade and government tenants. OPI also maintains low secured debt levels and a mostly unencumbered property portfolio which enhances financial flexibility as it considers upcoming funding needs. Liquidity is adequate through 2023 and fixed charge coverage is solid for the existing rating levels and it has modest floating rate debt, although Moody's expects this metric to decline with rising interest rates and revolver usage.
Credit challenges include OPI's elevated leverage and difficult office leasing conditions due to a weak macroeconomic environment and the evolving transition to a hybrid work environment. Debt reduction will be challenging and depend on the REIT's ability to execute targeted asset sales and leasing activity as it has 28% of leases expiring over the course of 2023 and 2024. OPI also has some redevelopment risk as it has two projects under construction totaling about $340 million of investment. One of these projects is 54% pre-leased and the other is 28%, which will weigh on cash flows until they are leased and yielding their expected returns. Moody's also views OPI's external management structure as a credit challenge, creating potentially significant conflicts of interest between investors and management.
OPI's SGL-3 rating reflects the REIT's adequate liquidity as we consider its funding needs over the next two years. OPI had $630 million of liquidity as of 30-September 2022, including $615 million available on its $750 million unsecured revolver and $14 million cash. We expect the REIT to use some of this liquidity and rely on its revolver in order to fund $225 million needed to complete its two partially leased redevelopment projects expected to deliver in 2023. Furthermore, OPI will need to address the maturity of its revolver which has a final maturity in January 2024 in addition to $350 million of bonds that come due in mid-2024. OPI does have a mostly unencumbered property portfolio that enhances financial flexibility, but there is risk that the REIT places mortgage debt on some of its higher quality assets in order to secure needed capital, thereby reducing the value of assets left for unsecured bondholders.
Moody's review will focus on OPI's prospects for raising capital needed to address upcoming funding needs, including redevelopment spend, the maturity of its revolver and 2024 bond maturity.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
OPI's ratings would be downgraded if the REIT doesn't take steps to raise capital and demonstrate material progress with respect to its upcoming lease maturities.
An upgrade is unlikely near-term but would reflect Net Debt/EBITDA below 6.25x and sound operating performance as evidenced by same-property occupancy and NOI trends.
Office Properties Income Trust (Nasdaq: OPI) is a REIT focused on owning, operating and leasing properties primarily leased to tenants with high credit quality characteristics. OPI is managed by the operating subsidiary of The RMR Group Inc. (Nasdaq: RMR), an alternative asset management company that is headquartered in Newton, Massachusetts.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was REITs and Other Commercial Real Estate Firms published in September 2022 and available at https://ratings.moodys.com/api/rmc-documents/393395. Alternatively, please see the Rating Methodologies page on https://ratings.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity to Assumptions in the disclosure form. Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions can be found on https://ratings.moodys.com/rating-definitions.
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Lori Marks
VP - Senior Credit Officer
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
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Philip Kibel
Associate Managing Director
Corporate Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653
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