New York, April 15, 2020 -- Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") today downgraded Steak n Shake Inc.'s
("Steak n Shake") Corporate Family Rating (CFR) to Ca from
Caa2, Probability of Default Rating to Ca-PD/LD from Caa2-PD,
and senior secured term loan to Ca from Caa2. In addition,
given that Steak n Shake's partial repurchase of its senior secured
term loan is viewed as a distressed exchange and event of default under
Moody's definition of default, Moody's appended the company's
Probability of Default Rating with a LD (limited default) designation.
The rating outlook is negative.
"The downgrade reflects the expectation that Steak n Shake will face extreme
challenges in addressing the March 2021 maturity of its term loan at par
and on economic terms given the material deterioration in earnings,
cash flow and credit metrics driven by the restrictions and closures across
its restaurant base due to the efforts to contain the spread of the coronavirus
" stated Bill Fahy, Moody's Senior Credit Officer. In response
to these operating challenges and to strengthen liquidity, Steak
n Shake is looking to refinance its term loan and is focusing on reducing
all non-essential operating expenses and discretionary capex.
"While many quick service restaurants (QSR) are still able to provide
service through the drive-thru and delivery, restaurant sales
will still be well below normal operating levels for the typical QSR restaurant",
added Fahy.
Downgrades:
..Issuer: Steak n Shake Inc.
.... Probability of Default Rating,
Downgraded to Ca-PD/LD from Caa2-PD
.... Corporate Family Rating, Downgraded
to Ca from Caa2
....Senior Secured Bank Credit Facility,
Downgraded to Ca (LGD3) from Caa2 (LGD3)
Outlook Actions:
..Issuer: Steak n Shake Inc.
....Outlook, Remains Negative
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rapid and widening spread of the coronavirus outbreak, deteriorating
global economic outlook, falling oil prices, and asset price
declines are creating a severe and extensive credit shock across many
sectors, regions and markets. The combined credit effects
of these developments are unprecedented. The restaurant sector
has been one of the sectors most significantly affected by the shock given
its sensitivity to consumer demand and sentiment. More specifically,
the weaknesses in Steak n Shakes' credit profile, including its
exposure to widespread location closures have left it vulnerable to shifts
in market sentiment in these unprecedented operating conditions and Steak
n Shake remains vulnerable to the outbreak continuing to spread.
We regard the coronavirus outbreak as a social risk under our ESG framework,
given the substantial implications for public health and safety.
Today's action reflects the impact of the breadth and severity of the
shock, and the broad deterioration in credit quality it has triggered.
Steak n Shake's credit profile is constrained by the company's already
high leverage of over 13 times and an inability to even partially cover
interest expense prior to the impact of COVID19. Moody's believes
this level of leverage is unsustainable. Also, Steak n Shake
is facing earnings pressures from the coronavirus pandemic. As
a result, Moody's believes Steak n Shake will face significant challenges
in refinancing its March 2021 debt maturity at par and on economic terms.
Steak n Shake is also constrained by its modest scale in terms of revenue,
number of restaurants, weak liquidity, and shareholder focused
financial strategy. Steak n Shake is supported by strong brand
awareness in its core markets and a relentless focus on value that has
historically aided same store sales.
The negative outlook reflects the uncertainty with regards to the potential
length and severity of closures and the ultimate impact these restrictions
and closures will have on Steak n Shakes liquidity and its ability to
successfully address the near term maturity of its term loan. The
outlook also takes into account the negative impact on consumers ability
and willingness to spend on eating out until the crisis materially subsides.
Governance is another rating constraint as Steak n Shake is owned by a
private equity firm. Financial strategies are always a key concern
of private equity companies given their higher leverage and potential
for debt financed returns to shareholders or more aggressive growth strategies.
Restaurants by their nature and relationship with sourcing food and packaging,
as well as an extensive labor force and constant consumer interaction
are deeply entwined with sustainability, social and environmental
concerns.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Steak n Shake's ratings could be upgraded with sustained improvement in
liquidity that included the refinancing of its term on reasonable terms
as well as a sustained improvement in operating performance, credit
metrics and liquidity on a sustained basis.
Ratings could be downgraded should Steak n Shake file for bankruptcy,
miss an interest or principal payment or should overall recovery rate
weakens.
Steak n Shake Inc. is the owner, operator and franchisor
of Steak n Shake restaurants which sells premium steakburgers and milk
shakes in about 374 owned and 237 franchised restaurants. Steak
n Shake is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Biglari Holdings Inc.
and generated total revenue of approximately $594 million for the
last twelve month period ended December 25, 2019.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Restaurant Industry
published in January 2018 and available at https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_1108012.
Alternatively, please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com
for a copy of this methodology.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and
sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and
Sensitivity to Assumptions in the disclosure form. Moody's
Rating Symbols and Definitions can be found at: https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_79004.
For ratings issued on a program, series, category/class of
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in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the
same series, category/class of debt, security or pursuant
to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing
ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings
issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain
regulatory disclosures in relation to the credit rating action on the
support provider and in relation to each particular credit rating action
for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's
credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement
provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional
rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may
be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each
case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior
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affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings
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For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action,
and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action,
the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
The ratings have been disclosed to the rated entity or its designated
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These ratings are solicited. Please refer to Moody's Policy
for Designating and Assigning Unsolicited Credit Ratings available on
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Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
Moody's general principles for assessing environmental, social
and governance (ESG) risks in our credit analysis can be found at https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_1133569.
At least one ESG consideration was material to the credit rating outcome
announced and described above.
The Global Scale Credit Rating on this Credit Rating Announcement was
issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the EU and is endorsed
by Moody's Deutschland GmbH, An der Welle 5, Frankfurt
am Main 60322, Germany, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph
3 of the Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies.
Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moody's
office that issued the credit rating is available on www.moodys.com.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
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Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
William V. Fahy
VP - Senior Credit Officer
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653
Margaret Taylor
Associate Managing Director
Corporate Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
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U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653