Please Note
We brought you to this page based on your search query. If this isn't what you are looking for, you can continue to Search Results for ""
The maximum number of items you can export is 3,000. Please reduce your list by using the filtering tool to the left.
Close
Close
Email Research
Recipient email addresses will not be used in mailing lists or redistributed.
Recipient's
Email

Use semicolon to separate each address, limit to 20 addresses.
Enter the
characters you see
Enter the above code here:
Close
Email Research
Thank you for your interest in sharing Moody's Research. You have reached the daily limit of Research email sharings.
Close
Thank you!
You have successfully sent the research.
Please note: some research requires a paid subscription in order to access.
Rating Action:

Moody's downgrades the ratings of CLO notes issued by Zohar CDO 2003-1 Limited.

Global Credit Research - 11 Feb 2011

USD $458 million of debt securities affected

New York, February 11, 2011 -- Moody's Investors Service announced today that it has downgraded the ratings of the following notes issued by Zohar CDO 2003-1 Limited.:

U.S. $150,000,000 Class A-1 Floating Rate Senior Secured Revolving Notes due 2015 (current outstanding balance of $143,984,975), Downgraded to B3 (sf); previously on June 12, 2009 Downgraded to B1 (sf);

U.S. $32,000,000 Class A-2 Floating Rate Senior Secured Delayed Drawdown Notes due 2015 (current outstanding balance of $30,716,795), Downgraded to B3 (sf); previously on June 12, 2009 Downgraded to B1 (sf);

U.S. $297,500,000 Class A-3a Floating Rate Senior Secured Delayed Drawdown Notes due 2015 (current outstanding balance of $283,464,942), Downgraded to B3 (sf); previously on June 12, 2009 Downgraded to Ba1 (sf).

RATINGS RATIONALE

According to Moody's, the rating actions taken on the notes are a result of further credit deterioration of the underlying portfolio since the rating action in June 2009.

Credit deterioration of the collateral pool is observed through a decline in the average credit rating (as measured through the weighted average rating factor and calculated by Moody's), an increase in the dollar amount of defaulted securities, and an increase in the proportion of securities from issuers with a Credit Estimate of Caa1 and below. Based on the December 2010 trustee report, the weighted average rating factor is 4017 compared to 2954 in March 2009 and the dollar amount of defaulted securities has increased to about $55 million from approximately $37 million in March 2009. The Class A overcollateralization ratio has remained stable and is reported at 119.0%, versus March 2009 level of 119.9%.

Moody's assessed the collateral pool's elevated concentration risk of obligors in excess of 3% with stale credit estimates and the credit deterioration in the underlying pool as a result of an increase in the rating factors and decline in recovery rates of updated credit estimates. Moody's also notes that approximately 43% of the assets in the collateral pool are either unrated, have no Credit Estimate or have a Credit Estimate that has not been updated for more than 15 months.

Moody's also observes the slow paced delevering of the senior notes, since the end of its reinvestment period in November 2008 the Class A1, Class A2 and Class A3a have delevered by $21 million or 4% of the original balance.

In addition, the ratings on Class A-1 and A-2 Notes reflect the financial guarantee insurance policy issued by MBIA Insurance Corporation. The above actions are a result of, and are consistent with, Moody's modified approach to rating structured finance securities wrapped by financial guarantors as described in the press release dated July 14, 2009, titled "Moody's modifies approach to rating structured finance securities wrapped by financial guarantors."

Due to the impact of revised and updated key assumptions referenced in "Moody's Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" and "Annual Sector Review (2009): Global CLOs," key model inputs used by Moody's in its analysis, such as par, weighted average rating factor, diversity score, and weighted average recovery rate, may be different from the trustee's reported numbers. In its base case, Moody's analyzed the underlying collateral pool to have a performing par and principal proceeds balance of $561 million, defaulted par of $62 million, weighted average default probability of 70.97% (implying a WARF of 8593), a weighted average recovery rate upon default of 37.5%, and a diversity score of 20. Moody's adjusted WARF has increased since the last rating action due to the percentage of securities in the underlying portfolio that are unrated, have no Credit Estimate or have a Credit Estimate that has not been updated for more than 15 months. These default and recovery properties of the collateral pool are incorporated in cash flow model analysis where they are subject to stresses as a function of the target rating of each CLO liability being reviewed. The default probability is derived from the credit quality of the collateral pool and Moody's expectation of the remaining life of the collateral pool. The average recovery rate to be realized on future defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance trends and collateral manager latitude for trading the collateral are also factors.

Zohar CDO 2003-1 Limited, issued on November 13, 2003, is a collateralized loan obligation backed primarily by a portfolio of senior secured loans, most of which rely on credit estimates.

The principal methodologies used in this rating were "Moody's Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in August 2009, and "Updated Approach to the Usage of Credit Estimates in Rated Transactions" published in October 2009.

Moody's Investors Service did not receive or take into account a third-party due diligence report on the underlying assets or financial instruments related to the monitoring of this transaction in the past six months.

Moody's modeled the transaction using the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1 of the "Moody's Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" rating methodology published in August 2009. In addition, due to the low diversity of the collateral pool, CDOROM 2.6 was used to simulate a default distribution that was then applied as an input in the cash flow model.

For securities whose default probabilities are assessed through credit estimates ("CEs"), Moody's applied additional default probability stresses by assuming an equivalent of Caa3 for CEs that were not updated within the last 15 months, which currently account for approximately 10% of the collateral balance. In addition, Moody's applied a 0.5 notch-equivalent assumed downgrade for CEs last updated between 6-12 months ago. For each CE where the related exposure constitutes more than 3% of the collateral pool, Moody's applied a 2-notch equivalent assumed downgrade (but only on the CEs representing in aggregate the largest 30% of the pool) in lieu of the aforementioned stresses. Notwithstanding the foregoing, in all cases the lowest assumed rating equivalent is Caa3.

In addition to the base case analysis described above, Moody's also performed sensitivity analyses to test the impact on all rated notes of various default probabilities.

Below is a summary of the impact of different default probabilities (expressed in terms of WARF levels) on all rated notes (shown in terms of the number of notches' difference versus the current model output, where a positive difference corresponds to lower expected loss), assuming that all other factors are held equal:

Moody's Adjusted WARF -- 20% (6874)

Class A1: +3

Class A2: +3

Class A3a: +5

Class A3b: +1

Moody's notes that this transaction is subject to a high level of macroeconomic uncertainty, as evidenced by 1) uncertainties of credit conditions in the general economy and 2) the large concentration of speculative-grade debt maturing between 2012 and 2014 which may create challenges for issuers to refinance. CDO notes' performance may also be impacted by 1) the managers' investment strategies and behavior and 2) divergence in legal interpretation of CDO documentation by different transactional parties due to embedded ambiguities.

Sources of additional performance uncertainties are described below:

1) Delevering: A source of uncertainty in this transaction is the slow pace of delevering.

2) Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in defaulted assets reported by the trustee and those assumed to be defaulted by Moody's may create volatility in the deal's overcollateralization levels. Further, the timing of recoveries and the manager's decision to work out versus sell defaulted assets create additional uncertainties.

3) Weighted average life: The notes' ratings are sensitive to the weighted average life assumption of the portfolio, which may be extended due to the manager's decision to participate in amend-to-extend offerings.

4) Exposure to credit estimates: The deal is exposed to a large number of securities whose default probabilities are assessed through credit estimates. In the event that Moody's is not provided the necessary information to update the credit estimates in a timely fashion, the transaction may be impacted by any default probability stresses Moody's may assume in lieu of updated credit estimates. Moody's also conducted stress tests to assess the collateral pool's concentration risk in obligors bearing a credit estimate that constitute more than 3% of the collateral pool.

Further information on Moody's analysis of this transaction is available on www.moodys.com. In addition, Moody's publishes a weekly summary of structured finance credit, ratings and methodologies, available to all registered users of our web site, at www.moodys.com/SFQuickCheck.

REGULATORY DISCLOSURES

Information sources used to prepare the credit rating are the following: parties involved in the ratings, public information, and confidential and proprietary Moody's Investors Service information.

Moody's Investors Service considers the quality of information available on the issuer or obligation satisfactory for the purposes of maintaining a credit rating.

However, Moody's notes that the transaction has significant exposure to unrated securities and securities whose default probabilities were assessed through Moody's credit estimates issued more than fifteen months ago.

Moody's adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality and from sources Moody's considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, Moody's is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process.

Please see ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on Moodys.com for the last rating action and the rating history.

The date on which some Credit Ratings were first released goes back to a time before Moody's Investors Service's Credit Ratings were fully digitized and accurate data may not be available. Consequently, Moody's Investors Service provides a date that it believes is the most reliable and accurate based on the information that is available to it. Please see the ratings disclosure page on our website www.moodys.com for further information.

Please see the Credit Policy page on Moodys.com for the methodologies used in determining ratings, further information on the meaning of each rating category and the definition of default and recovery.

New York
Raina Patel
Associate Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

New York
Jian Hu
MD - Structured Finance
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

Moody's Investors Service
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

Moody's downgrades the ratings of CLO notes issued by Zohar CDO 2003-1 Limited.
No Related Data.

 

© 2014 Moody's Corporation, Moody's Investors Service, Inc., Moody's Analytics, Inc. and/or their licensors and affiliates (collectively, "MOODY'S"). All rights reserved.

 


CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE, INC. ("MIS") AND ITS AFFILIATES ARE MOODY'S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND RESEARCH PUBLICATIONS PUBLISHED BY MOODY'S ("MOODY'S PUBLICATION") MAY INCLUDE MOODY'S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES. MOODY'S DEFINES CREDIT RISK AS THE RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL, FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY COME DUE AND ANY ESTIMATED FINANCIAL LOSS IN THE EVENT OF DEFAULT. CREDIT RATINGS DO NOT ADDRESS ANY OTHER RISK, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO: LIQUIDITY RISK, MARKET VALUE RISK, OR PRICE VOLATILITY. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY'S OPINIONS INCLUDED IN MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACT. MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS MAY ALSO INCLUDE QUANTITATIVE MODEL-BASED ESTIMATES OF CREDIT RISK AND RELATED OPINIONS OR COMMENTARY PUBLISHED BY MOODY'S ANALYTICS, INC. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS DO NOT CONSTITUTE OR PROVIDE INVESTMENT OR FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT AND DO NOT PROVIDE RECOMMENDATIONS TO PURCHASE, SELL, OR HOLD PARTICULAR SECURITIES. NEITHER CREDIT RATINGS NOR MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS COMMENT ON THE SUITABILITY OF AN INVESTMENT FOR ANY PARTICULAR INVESTOR. MOODY'S ISSUES ITS CREDIT RATINGS AND PUBLISHES MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS WITH THE EXPECTATION AND UNDERSTANDING THAT EACH INVESTOR WILL, WITH DUE CARE, MAKE ITS OWN STUDY AND EVALUATION OF EACH SECURITY THAT IS UNDER CONSIDERATION FOR PURCHASE, HOLDING, OR SALE.

 


MOODY'S CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT INTENDED FOR USE BY RETAIL INVESTORS AND IT WOULD BE RECKLESS FOR RETAIL INVESTORS TO CONSIDER MOODY'S CREDIT RATINGS OR MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS IN MAKING ANY INVESTMENT DECISION. IF IN DOUBT YOU SHOULD CONTACT YOUR FINANCIAL OR OTHER PROFESSIONAL ADVISER.

 


ALL INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS PROTECTED BY LAW, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, COPYRIGHT LAW, AND NONE OF SUCH INFORMATION MAY BE COPIED OR OTHERWISE REPRODUCED, REPACKAGED, FURTHER TRANSMITTED, TRANSFERRED, DISSEMINATED, REDISTRIBUTED OR RESOLD, OR STORED FOR SUBSEQUENT USE FOR ANY SUCH PURPOSE, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, IN ANY FORM OR MANNER OR BY ANY MEANS WHATSOEVER, BY ANY PERSON WITHOUT MOODY'S PRIOR WRITTEN CONSENT.

 


All information contained herein is obtained by MOODY'S from sources believed by it to be accurate and reliable. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, all information contained herein is provided "AS IS" without warranty of any kind. MOODY'S adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality and from sources MOODY'S considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, MOODY'S is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process or in preparing the Moody’s Publications.

 


To the extent permitted by law, MOODY'S and its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors and suppliers disclaim liability to any person or entity for any indirect, special, consequential, or incidental losses or damages whatsoever arising from or in connection with the information contained herein or the use of or inability to use any such information, even if MOODY'S or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors or suppliers is advised in advance of the possibility of such losses or damages, including but not limited to: (a) any loss of present or prospective profits or (b) any loss or damage arising where the relevant financial instrument is not the subject of a particular credit rating assigned by MOODY’S.

 


To the extent permitted by law, MOODY'S and its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors and suppliers disclaim liability for any direct or compensatory losses or damages caused to any person or entity, including but not limited to by any negligence (but excluding fraud, willful misconduct or any other type of liability that, for the avoidance of doubt, by law cannot be excluded) on the part of, or any contingency within or beyond the control of, MOODY'S or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors or suppliers, arising from or in connection with the information contained herein or the use of or inability to use any such information.

 


NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH RATING OR OTHER OPINION OR INFORMATION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY MOODY'S IN ANY FORM OR MANNER WHATSOEVER.

 


MIS, a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody’s Corporation ("MCO"), hereby discloses that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by MIS have, prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to MIS for appraisal and rating services rendered by it fees ranging from $1,500 to approximately $2,500,000. MCO and MIS also maintain policies and procedures to address the independence of MIS's ratings and rating processes. Information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities, and between entities who hold ratings from MIS and have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%, is posted annually at www.moodys.com under the heading "Shareholder Relations — Corporate Governance — Director and Shareholder Affiliation Policy."

 


For Australia only: Any publication into Australia of this document is pursuant to the Australian Financial Services License of MOODY'S affiliate, Moody's Investors Service Pty Limited ABN 61 003 399 657AFSL 336969 and/or Moody's Analytics Australia Pty Ltd ABN 94 105 136 972 AFSL 383569 (as applicable). This document is intended to be provided only to "wholesale clients" within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. By continuing to access this document from within Australia, you represent to MOODY'S that you are, or are accessing the document as a representative of, a "wholesale client" and that neither you nor the entity you represent will directly or indirectly disseminate this document or its contents to "retail clients" within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. MOODY'S credit rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness of a debt obligation of the issuer, not on the equity securities of the issuer or any form of security that is available to retail clients. It would be dangerous for "retail clients" to make any investment decision based on MOODY'S credit rating. If in doubt you should contact your financial or other professional adviser.

© 2014 Moody's Investors Service, Inc., Moody’s Analytics, Inc. and/or their affiliates and licensors. All rights reserved.
Regional Sites: