New York, August 05, 2010 -- Moody's Investors Service announced today that it has downgraded the ratings
of three classes of notes issued by Trainer Wortham First Republic CBO
V Limited. The notes affected by today's rating action are as follows:
U.S.$255,000,000 Class A-1 First
Priority Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes Due 2040 (current balance
of $149,389,276), Downgraded to Caa3 (sf);
previously on October 29, 2009 Downgraded to Caa2 (sf);
U.S.$34,000,000 Class A-2 Second
Priority Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes Due 2040, Downgraded
to C (sf); previously on October 29, 2009 Downgraded to Ca
(sf);
U.S.$28,000,000 Class B Third Priority
Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes Due 2040, Downgraded to C (sf);
previously on October 29, 2009 Downgraded to Ca (sf).
Trainer Wortham First Republic CBO V Limited is a collateralized debt
obligation issuance backed by a portfolio of primarily Residential Mortgage-Backed
Securities (RMBS) originated between 2004 and 2007.
According to Moody's, the rating downgrade actions today are the
result of deterioration in the credit quality of the underlying portfolio.
Such credit deterioration is observed through numerous factors,
including a decline in the average credit rating of the portfolio (as
measured by an increase in the weighted average rating factor),
an increase in the dollar amount of defaulted securities, and failure
of the coverage tests. Defaulted securities, as reported
by the trustee, have increased from $83 million in October
2009 to $87 million in July 2010. The Class A/B Overcollateralization
Ratio, as reported by the trustee, has decreased from 76.48
to 69.50 in that period. Moody's noted that the transaction
is negatively impacted by a large pay-fixed, receive-floating
interest rate swap where payments to the hedge counterparty absorb a large
portion of the excess spread in the deal. Additionally, approximately
$49 million of RMBS within the underlying portfolio are currently
on review for possible downgrade as a result of Moody's updated loss projections.
Moody's explained that in arriving at the rating action noted above,
the ratings of subprime, Alt-A and Option-ARM RMBS
which are currently on review for possible downgrade were stressed.
For purposes of monitoring its ratings of SF CDOs with exposure to such
2005-2007 vintage RMBS, Moody's used certain projections
of the lifetime average cumulative losses as set forth in Moody's press
releases dated January 13th for subprime, January 14th for Alt-A,
and January 27th for Option-ARM. Based on the anticipated
ratings impact of the updated cumulative loss numbers, the stress
varied based on vintage, current rating, and RMBS asset type.
For 2005 Alt-A and Option-ARM securities, securities
that are currently rated Aaa or Aa were stressed by eleven notches,
and securities currently rated A or Baa were stressed by eight notches.
Those securities currently rated in the Ba or B range were stressed to
Caa3, while current Caa securities were treated as Ca. For
2006 and 2007 Alt-A and Option-ARM securities, currently
Aaa or Aa rated securities were stressed by eight notches, and securities
currently rated A, Baa or Ba were stressed by five notches.
Those securities currently rated in the B range were stressed to Caa3,
while current Caa securities were treated as Ca.
For 2005 subprime RMBS, those currently rated Aa, A or Baa
were stressed by five notches, Ba rated securities were stressed
to Caa3, and B or Caa securities were treated as Ca. For
subprime RMBS originated in the first half of 2006, those currently
rated Aaa were stressed by four notches, while Aa, A and Baa
rated securities were stressed by eight notches. Those securities
currently rated in the Ba range were stressed to Caa3, while current
B and Caa securities were treated as Ca. For subprime RMBS originated
in the second half of 2006, those currently rated Aa, A,
Baa or Ba were stressed by four notches, currently B rated securities
were treated as Caa3, and currently Caa rated securities were treated
as Ca. For 2007 subprime RMBS, currently Ba rated securities
were stressed by four notches, currently B rated securities were
treated as Caa3, and currently Caa rated securities were treated
as Ca.
Moody's noted that the stresses applicable to categories of 2005-2007
subprime RMBS that are not listed above will be two notches if the RMBS
ratings are on review for possible downgrade.
For purposes of monitoring its ratings of SF CDOs with exposure to pre-2005
vintage RMBS, Moody's considered the various factors indicating
continued negative performance that were described in Moody's press releases
dated April 8th for subprime, April 12th for Option-ARM and
April 13th for Alt-A. Such seasoned deals will have varying
stress based on RMBS asset type.
For pre-2005 Alt-A, Aaa rated securities were stressed
by four notches, Aa rated securities by six notches, and A
or Baa rated securities by nine notches. Pre-2005 Option-ARM
securities currently rated Aaa were stressed by two notches, Aa
and A by six notches, and Baa by nine notches.
For pre-2005 subprime, Aaa and Aa rated securities were stressed
by two notches, A rated securities were stressed by six notches,
and Baa rated securities were stressed by nine notches.
All subprime, Alt-A and Option-ARM RMBS securities
which originated prior to 2005, are currently rated Ba or below,
and are also currently on review for possible downgrade have been stressed
to Ca.
Moody's further explained that these stresses are based on a preliminary
sample analysis of deals from a given vintage and asset type, and
that they will be utilized in its SF CDO rating analysis while subprime,
Alt-A and Option-ARM securities remain on review for downgrade.
Current public ratings will be used for securities that have undergone
an in depth review by our RMBS team, and that are no longer on review
for downgrade.
In addition to the quantitative factors that are explicitly modeled,
qualitative factors are part of rating committee considerations.
These qualitative factors include the structural protections in each transaction,
the recent deal performance in the current market environment, the
legal environment, specific documentation features, the collateral
manager's track record, and the potential for selection bias in
the portfolio. All information available to rating committees,
including macroeconomic forecasts, input from other Moody's analytical
groups, market factors, and judgments regarding the nature
and severity of credit stress on the transactions, may influence
the final rating decision.
Moody's continues to monitor this transaction using primarily the methodology
and its supplements for ABS CDOs as described in Moody's Special Report
below:
- Moody's Approach to Rating SF CDOs (August 2009)
In deriving its ratings, Moody's uses the collateral instrument's
current rating-based expected loss, Moody's recovery rate
table, and the original rating of the instrument along with its
average life to infer an unadjusted default probability. In addition
to the quantitative factors that are explicitly modeled, qualitative
factors are part of rating committee considerations. These qualitative
factors include the structural protections in each transaction,
the recent deal performance in the current market environment, the
legal environment, and specific documentation features. All
information available to rating committees, including macroeconomic
forecasts, input from other Moody's analytical groups, market
factors, and judgments regarding the nature and severity of credit
stress on the transactions, may influence the final rating decision.
Other methodologies and factors that may have been considered in the process
of rating this issue can also be found in the Rating Methodologies sub-directory
on Moody's website. In addition, Moody's publishes a weekly
summary of structured finance credit, ratings and methodologies,
available to all registered users of our website, at www.moodys.com/SFQuickCheck.
New York
Rodrigo Araya
Senior Vice President
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
New York
Alena Chen
Associate Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Moody's Investors Service
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
USA
Moody's downgrades the ratings of Notes issued by Trainer Wortham First Republic CBO V Limited, an ABS CDO