Approximately RUB 3,000.5 million of Debt Securities affected
London, 12 November 2013 -- Moody's Investors Service has assigned definitive long-term credit
ratings to Notes issued by Closed Joint Stock Company "Mortgage agent
ITB 2013":
....RUB 3,000.5M Class A Residential
Mortgage Backed Fixed Rate Notes due 2046, Definitive Rating Assigned
Baa3 (sf)
....RUB 529.5M Class B Notes were not
rated by Moody's.
This transaction is the second securitisation of mortgages originated
by Investment Trade Bank (B3). The portfolio consists of the Russian
residential mortgage loans serviced by Investment Trade Bank (ITB).
DeltaCredit Bank (Baa3/P-3) will be acting as back-up servicer
in the transaction.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating takes into account the credit quality of the underlying mortgage
loan pool, from which Moody's determined the MILAN Credit Enhancement
and the portfolio expected loss, as well as the transaction structure
and legal considerations. The expected portfolio loss of 8%
and the MILAN required credit enhancement of 29% serve as input
parameters for Moody's cash flow model and tranching model, which
is based on a probabilistic lognormal distribution as described in the
report "The Lognormal Method Applied to ABS Analysis", published
in July 2000.
The most significant driver for the MILAN Credit Enhancement number,
which is in line with other MILAN CE numbers in the Russian RMBS transactions
was the limited amount of historical information available from the originator
and the fact that for about 37.2% of the borrowers income
was verified using forms provided by the bank rather than official tax
forms. The main driver for the expected loss, which is also
in line with expected losses assumed for other Russian RMBS transactions,
was the limited historical data available on the originator's portfolio.
The weighted average current loan-to-value (LTV) of 68.82%
based on minimum of purchase price and valuation or 63.05%
based on valuation alone is slightly higher than the LTV observed in other
Russian RMBS transactions.
The MILAN Credit Enhancement and the expected loss also reflect the fact
that approximately 70.1% of mortgages were originated by
the third-party originators and purchased by ITB. As such,
there is only limited information available on the historical performance
of the mortgages originated by these entities. This is mitigated
by the fact that the third-party originators were accredited by
Agency for Housing Mortgage Lending OJSC ("AHML") and the ITB and all
mortgages were underwritten by ITB in accordance with their underwriting
processes before being granted by the third-party originators.
The transaction benefits from an amortising reserve fund initially sized
at 2.35% of the notes at closing and building up to 4.7%
of the outstanding notes balance with the excess spread. The reserve
fund is replenished before the interest payment on the unrated Class B
notes. Subject to conditions such as cumulative defaults being
below 5%, no unpaid principal deficiency, and Servicer
rating being at least B3, the reserve fund may amortise at 4.7%
of the outstanding notes down to a floor of 1.5% of initial
note balance.
Ratings address the expected loss posed to investors by the legal final
maturity of the notes. Moody's ratings only address the credit
risk associated with the transaction. Other non-credit risks
have not been addressed, but may have a significant effect on yield
to investors.
The V Score for this transaction is High, which is in line with
the score assigned for the Russian RMBS sector. The High V-Score
reflects uncertainty associated with legal and regulatory environment
in the sector, limited experience of the originator in the securitisation
market, and limited performance data available for the book of the
originator. V-Scores are a relative assessment of the quality
of available credit information and of the degree of dependence on various
assumptions used in determining the rating. High variability in
key assumptions could expose a rating to more likelihood of rating changes.
The V-Score has been assigned accordingly to the report "V Scores
and Parameter Sensitivities in the Major EMEA RMBS Sectors" published
in April 2009.
Moody's Parameter Sensitivities: If the portfolio expected loss
was increased from 8.0% to 12.0% and MILAN
Credit Enhancement was increased from 29% to 34.8%,
the model output indicates that the Class A notes would not achieve Baa3.
Moody's Parameter Sensitivities provide a quantitative/model-indicated
calculation of the number of rating notches that a Moody's structured
finance security may vary if certain input parameters used in the initial
rating process differed. The analysis assumes that the deal has
not aged and is not intended to measure how the rating of the security
might migrate over time, but rather how the initial rating of the
security might have differed if key rating input parameters were varied.
Parameter Sensitivities for the typical EMEA RMBS transaction are calculated
by stressing key variable inputs in Moody's primary rating model.
The principal methodology used in this rating was Moody's Approach to
Rating RMBS Using the MILAN Framework published in November 2013.
Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for
a copy of this methodology.
Other Factors used in this rating are described in Key Legal and Structural
Rating Issues in Russian Securitisation Transactions published in June
2007.
In rating this transaction, Moody's used a cash flow model to model
the cash flows and determine the loss for each tranche. The cash
flow model evaluates all default scenarios that are then weighted considering
the probabilities of the lognormal distribution assumed for the portfolio
default rate. In each default scenario, the corresponding
loss for each class of notes is calculated given the incoming cash flows
from the assets and the outgoing payments to third parties and noteholders.
Therefore, the expected loss or EL for each tranche is the sum product
of (i) the probability of occurrence of each default scenario; and
(ii) the loss derived from the cash flow model in each default scenario
for each tranche.
Therefore, Moody's analysis encompasses the assessment of
stress scenarios.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
Moody's did not receive or take into account a third-party
assessment on the due diligence performed regarding the underlying assets
or financial instruments in this transaction.
Further information on the representations and warranties and enforcement
mechanisms available to investors are available on https://www.moodys.com/research/CJSC-Mortgage-Agent-ITB-2013-Deal-v11-Compared-To-RMBS--PBS_SF347396.
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular
rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the
support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive
rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt,
in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed
prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would
have affected the rating. For further information please see the
ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this rating action, and
whose ratings may change as a result of this rating action, the
associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Olga Gekht
VP - Senior Credit Officer
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
United Kingdom
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Michelangelo Margaria
VP - Sr Credit Officer/Manager
Structured Finance Group
Telephone:+39-02-9148-1100
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
United Kingdom
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Moody's has assigned definitive ratings to notes issued by Closed Joint Stock Company "Mortgage agent ITB 2013", Russian RMBS