EUR 546m of CMBS affected
Frankfurt am Main, February 24, 2012 -- Moody's announced today that it has placed on review for possible
downgrade 3 classes of Notes issued by Titan Europe 2006-1 p.l.c.
....EUR433.76M A Certificate,
Aa2 (sf) Placed Under Review for Possible Downgrade; previously on
Aug 3, 2011 Downgraded to Aa2 (sf)
....EUR112.05M B Certificate,
B2 (sf) Placed Under Review for Possible Downgrade; previously on
Jul 1, 2010 Downgraded to B2 (sf)
....X Certificate, Aa2 (sf) Placed Under
Review for Possible Downgrade; previously on Aug 3, 2011 Downgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
The Class C, Class D, and Class E Notes are not affected by
this rating action. Moody's does not rate the Class F, Class
G and the Class H Notes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The review is triggered by the notice issued by the Issuer on 23 February
2012. It states that the Issuer has received a letter from the
Liquidity Facility Provider asserting that - inter alia-
(i) a Liquidity Facility Event of Default is outstanding, (ii) the
facility commitment is cancelled, (iii) no further drawings can
be made under the facility and (iv) the amounts outstanding under the
facility are due and payable. The Issuer also states that it conducts
an independent review of the matter to determine its response.
One of Moody's main concerns is that a cancellation of the Liquidity Facility
can lead to a non-payment of interest on all classes of Notes on
the next IPD in April 2012. The cancellation of the Liquidity Facility
might trigger a claim of the Liquidity Facility provider against the Issuer
to fully repay the Liquidity Facility on the April 2012 IPD. Historic
quarterly interest income levels of the Issuer have been below the outstanding
amount of the Liquidity Facility. If a repayment of the outstanding
Liquidity Facility is required on the next IPD, it is possible that
a non-payment of interest on all classes of Notes occurs,
unless further principal proceeds are received by the Issuer that can
be used to pay interest on the Notes. Even without an immediate
repayment of the Liquidity Facility, the Issuer Income might be
insufficient to fully make interest payments on the Notes, given
the underperformance of the KQ loan and the Mangusta loan.
Moody's will conclude on the review once the consequences of the
notice are fully understood and communicated. The new ratings will
mostly depend on (i) whether or not the Liquidity Facility will be finally
cancelled; and (ii) in case the Liquidity Facility is cancelled,
how the repayment mechanics will look like.
The key parameters in Moody's analysis are the default probability of
the securitised loans (both during the term and at maturity) as well as
Moody's value assessment for the properties securing these loans.
Moody's derives from those parameters a loss expectation for the securitised
pool.
In general, Moody's analysis reflects a forward-looking view
of the likely range of commercial real estate collateral performance over
the medium term. From time to time, Moody's may, if
warranted, change these expectations. Performance that falls
outside an acceptable range of the key parameters such as property value
or loan refinancing probability for instance, may indicate that
the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker than Moody's had
anticipated when the related securities ratings were issued. Even
so, a deviation from the expected range will not necessarily result
in a rating action nor does performance within expectations preclude such
actions . There may be mitigating or offsetting factors to an improvement
or decline in collateral performance, such as increased subordination
levels due to amortisation and loan re- prepayments or a decline
in subordination due to realised losses.
Primary sources of assumption uncertainty are the current stressed macro-economic
environment and continued weakness in the occupational and lending markets.
Moody's anticipates (i) delayed recovery in the lending market persisting
through 2013, while remaining subject to strict underwriting criteria
and heavily dependent on the underlying property quality, (ii) strong
differentiation between prime and secondary properties, with further
value declines expected for non-prime properties, and (iii)
occupational markets will remain under pressure in the short term and
will only slowly recover in the medium term in line with anticipated economic
recovery. Overall, Moody's central global macroeconomic
scenario is for a material slowdown in growth in 2012 for most of the
world's largest economies fueled by fiscal consolidation efforts,
household and banking sector deleveraging and persistently high unemployment
levels. We expect a mild recession in the Euro area.
As noted in Moody's comment 'Rising Severity of Euro Area Sovereign Crisis
Threatens Credit Standing of All EU Sovereigns' (28 November 2011),
the risk of sovereign defaults or the exit of countries from the Euro
area is rising. As a result, Moody's could lower the maximum
achievable rating for structured finance transactions in some countries,
which could result in rating downgrades.
RATING METHODOLOGY
The methodologies used in this rating were Moody's Approach to Real Estate
Analysis for CMBS in EMEA: Portfolio Analysis (MORE Portfolio) published
in April 2006 and Update on Moody's Real Estate Analysis for CMBS Transaction
in EMEA published in June 2005. Please see the Credit Policy page
on www.moodys.com for a copy of these methodologies.
Other Factors used in this rating are described in European CMBS:
2012 Central Scenarios published in February 2012.
The updated assessment is a result of Moody's on-going surveillance
of commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS) transactions. Moody's
prior assessment is summarised in a press release dated 03 August 2011.
The last Performance Overview for this transaction was published on 14
November 2011.
No cash flow analysis or stress scenarios have been conducted as the rating
was directly derived from the Notice dated 23 February 2012.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation
to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular
rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the
support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings,
this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation
to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive
rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt,
in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed
prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would
have affected the rating. For further information please see the
ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
The rating has been disclosed to the rated entity or its designated agent(s)
and issued with no amendment resulting from that disclosure.
Information sources used to prepare the rating are the following :
parties involved in the ratings, parties not involved in the ratings,
public information, and confidential and proprietary Moody's
Investors Service information.
Moody's did not receive or take into account a third-party
assessment on the due diligence performed regarding the underlying assets
or financial instruments related to the monitoring of this transaction
in the past six months.
Moody's considers the quality of information available on the rated
entity, obligation or credit satisfactory for the purposes of issuing
this review.
Moody's adopts all necessary measures so that the information it
uses in assigning a rating is of sufficient quality and from sources Moody's
considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent
third-party sources. However, Moody's is not
an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate
information received in the rating process.
Moody's Investors Service may have provided Ancillary or Other Permissible
Service(s) to the rated entity or its related third parties within the
two years preceding the credit rating action. Please see the special
report "Ancillary or other permissible services provided to entities
rated by MIS's EU credit rating agencies" on the ratings disclosure
page on our website www.moodys.com for further information.
Please see the ratings disclosure page on www.moodys.com
for general disclosure on potential conflicts of interests.
Please see the ratings disclosure page on www.moodys.com
for information on (A) MCO's major shareholders (above 5%)
and for (B) further information regarding certain affiliations that may
exist between directors of MCO and rated entities as well as (C) the names
of entities that hold ratings from MIS that have also publicly reported
to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%.
A member of the board of directors of this rated entity may also be a
member of the board of directors of a shareholder of Moody's Corporation;
however, Moody's has not independently verified this matter.
Please see Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions on the Rating
Process page on www.moodys.com for further information on
the meaning of each rating category and the definition of default and
recovery.
Please see ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for the last rating action and the rating history. The date on
which some ratings were first released goes back to a time before Moody's
ratings were fully digitized and accurate data may not be available.
Consequently, Moody's provides a date that it believes is
the most reliable and accurate based on the information that is available
to it. Please see the ratings disclosure page on our website www.moodys.com
for further information.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has
issued the rating.
Oliver Schmitt
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Deutschland GmbH
An der Welle 5
Frankfurt am Main 60322
Germany
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Christophe de Noaillat
Associate Managing Director
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Releasing Office:
Moody's Deutschland GmbH
An der Welle 5
Frankfurt am Main 60322
Germany
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Moody's places 3 classes of Notes issued by Titan Europe 2006-1 p.l.c. on review for possible downgrade