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Rating Action:

Moody's places on review for upgrade the ratings on USD 109.5 million of CLO notes issued by NewStar Commercial Loan Trust 2007-1

13 May 2014

New York, May 13, 2014 -- Moody's Investors Service has placed on review for possible upgrade the ratings on the following notes issued by NewStar Commercial Loan Trust 2007-1:

U.S. $24,000,000 Class B Notes due 2022, Aa1 (sf) Placed Under Review for Possible Upgrade; previously on June 14, 2013 Upgraded to Aa1 (sf);

U.S. $58,500,000 Class C Notes due 2022, A2 (sf) Placed Under Review for Possible Upgrade; previously on June 14, 2013 Upgraded to A2 (sf);

U.S. $27,000,000 Class D Notes due 2022, Baa2 (sf) Placed Under Review for Possible Upgrade; previously on June 14, 2013 Upgraded to Baa2 (sf).

NewStar Commerical Loan Trust 2007-1, issued in June 2007, is a collateralized loan obligation backed primarily by a portfolio of senior secured loans issued by middle market obligors. The transaction's reinvestment period ended in May 2013.

RATINGS RATIONALE

These rating actions are primarily a result of deleveraging of the senior notes. The Class A notes have been paid down by approximately 26% or $108 million since May 2013. Based on Moody's calculations, the implied over-collateralization (OC) ratios for the Class A, Class B, Class C, Class D and Class E notes are 153.32%, 142.30%, 121.08%, 113.28%, and 105.93%, respectively, versus May 2013 levels of 139.94%, 132.34%, 116.87%, 110.88%, and 105.08%, respectively.

These rating actions also reflect the discovery of an error in Moody's previous modelling approach. According to Moody's, its analysis in the June 2013 rating action assumed a shorter weighted average life horizon to associate with the expected loss (EL) calculated for the notes, with the result of comparing such ELs with more conservative maximum EL benchmarks.

Methodology Used for the Rating Action:

The principal methodology used in this rating was "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in February 2014. Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.

Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Rating:

This transaction is subject to a number of factors and circumstances that could lead to either an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:

1) Macroeconomic uncertainty: CLO performance is subject to a) uncertainty about credit conditions in the general economy and b) the large concentration of upcoming speculative-grade debt maturities, which could make refinancing difficult for issuers.

2) Collateral Manager: Performance can also be affected positively or negatively by a) the manager's investment strategy and behavior and b) differences in the legal interpretation of CLO documentation by different transactional parties owing to embedded ambiguities.

3) Collateral credit risk: A shift towards collateral of better credit quality, or better credit performance of assets collateralizing the transaction than Moody's current expectations, can lead to positive CLO performance. Conversely, a negative shift in credit quality or performance of the collateral can have adverse consequences for CLO performance.

4) Deleveraging: An important source of uncertainty in this transaction is whether deleveraging from unscheduled principal proceeds will continue and at what pace. Deleveraging of the CLO could accelerate owing to high prepayment levels in the loan market and/or collateral sales by the manager, which could have a significant impact on the notes' ratings. Note repayments that are faster than Moody's current expectations will usually have a positive impact on CLO notes, beginning with those with the highest payment priority.

5) Post-Reinvestment Period Loan Substitution: Subject to certain requirements, the deal is allowed to substitute certain loans after the end of the reinvestment period, and as such the manager has the flexibility to deteriorate some collateral quality metrics to the covenant levels.

6) Exposure to credit estimates: The deal is exposed to a large number of securities whose default probabilities are assessed through credit estimates. In the event that Moody's is not provided the necessary information to update the credit estimates in a timely fashion, the transaction may be impacted by any default probability adjustments Moody's may assume in lieu of updated credit estimates.

REGULATORY DISCLOSURES

For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity to Assumptions of the disclosure form.

Moody's did not receive or take into account a third-party assessment on the due diligence performed regarding the underlying assets or financial instruments related to the monitoring of this transaction in the past six months.

Moody's did not use any models, or loss or cash flow analysis, in its analysis.

Moody's did not use any stress scenario simulations in its analysis.

For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.

For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit support from the primary entity(ies) of this rating action, and whose ratings may change as a result of this rating action, the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity. Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures, if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.

Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating review.

Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.

Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.

Shan Lai
Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

Ramon O Torres
Senior Vice President/Manager
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

Moody's places on review for upgrade the ratings on USD 109.5 million of CLO notes issued by NewStar Commercial Loan Trust 2007-1
No Related Data.
© 2022 Moody’s Corporation, Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., Moody’s Analytics, Inc. and/or their licensors and affiliates (collectively, “MOODY’S”). All rights reserved.

CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S CREDIT RATINGS AFFILIATES ARE THEIR CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND MATERIALS, PRODUCTS, SERVICES AND INFORMATION PUBLISHED BY MOODY’S (COLLECTIVELY, “PUBLICATIONS”) MAY INCLUDE SUCH CURRENT OPINIONS. MOODY’S DEFINES CREDIT RISK AS THE RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY COME DUE AND ANY ESTIMATED FINANCIAL LOSS IN THE EVENT OF DEFAULT OR IMPAIRMENT. SEE APPLICABLE MOODY’S RATING SYMBOLS AND DEFINITIONS PUBLICATION FOR INFORMATION ON THE TYPES OF CONTRACTUAL FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS ADDRESSED BY MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS. CREDIT RATINGS DO NOT ADDRESS ANY OTHER RISK, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO: LIQUIDITY RISK, MARKET VALUE RISK, OR PRICE VOLATILITY. CREDIT RATINGS, NON-CREDIT ASSESSMENTS (“ASSESSMENTS”), AND OTHER OPINIONS INCLUDED IN MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACT. MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS MAY ALSO INCLUDE QUANTITATIVE MODEL-BASED ESTIMATES OF CREDIT RISK AND RELATED OPINIONS OR COMMENTARY PUBLISHED BY MOODY’S ANALYTICS, INC. AND/OR ITS AFFILIATES. MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS, ASSESSMENTS, OTHER OPINIONS AND PUBLICATIONS DO NOT CONSTITUTE OR PROVIDE INVESTMENT OR FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS, ASSESSMENTS, OTHER OPINIONS AND PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT AND DO NOT PROVIDE RECOMMENDATIONS TO PURCHASE, SELL, OR HOLD PARTICULAR SECURITIES. MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS, ASSESSMENTS, OTHER OPINIONS AND PUBLICATIONS DO NOT COMMENT ON THE SUITABILITY OF AN INVESTMENT FOR ANY PARTICULAR INVESTOR. MOODY’S ISSUES ITS CREDIT RATINGS, ASSESSMENTS AND OTHER OPINIONS AND PUBLISHES ITS PUBLICATIONS WITH THE EXPECTATION AND UNDERSTANDING THAT EACH INVESTOR WILL, WITH DUE CARE, MAKE ITS OWN STUDY AND EVALUATION OF EACH SECURITY THAT IS UNDER CONSIDERATION FOR PURCHASE, HOLDING, OR SALE.

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MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) hereby disclose that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) have, prior to assignment of any credit rating, agreed to pay to MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) for credit ratings opinions and services rendered by it fees ranging from JPY100,000 to approximately JPY550,000,000.

MJKK and MSFJ also maintain policies and procedures to address Japanese regulatory requirements.

​
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