Singapore, September 05, 2016 -- Moody's Investors Service, ("Moody's") has
today placed on review for upgrade the long-term credit ratings
of seven Vietnamese banks.
At the same time, Moody's has placed on review for upgrade
the baseline credit assessments (BCAs) and long-term counterparty
risk assessments (CRAs) of these seven banks and those of two more banks.
The institutions affected are: An Binh Commercial Joint Stock Bank
(ABB), Asia Commercial Bank (ACB), JSC Bank for Foreign Trade
of Vietnam (Vietcombank), Military Commercial Joint Stock Bank (Military
Bank), Saigon - Hanoi Commercial Joint Stock Bank (SHB),
Saigon Thuong Tin Commercial Joint-Stock Bank (Sacombank),
Vietnam Bank for Industry and Trade (Vietinbank), Vietnam International
Bank (VIB), and Vietnam Technological and Comm'l JSB (TCB).
The rating action reflects Moody's expectation that the more benign operating
and economic environment for banks in Vietnam (B1 stable) will lead to
improvements in the banks' credit profiles and notably their asset quality
and profitability metrics, while also contributing to relative stability
in their funding and liquidity.
The improvement in the operating and economic environment for banks has
been reflected in Moody's change of Vietnam's Macro Profile to "Weak"
from "Weak-". A Macro Profile captures the risks related
to the banks' operating and economic environment.
Despite the improvement, Moody's considers that the Vietnamese
banking system remains undercapitalized against the backdrop of rapid
credit growth and a high share of legacy problem assets which are not
always adequately disclosed on the banks' balance sheets.
Moody's expects that these challenges will continue to persist in
the medium-term, despite some improvements.
Moody's expects to conclude the review on the Vietnamese banks within
the next 90 days.
The BCAs and long-term ratings of Bank for Investment & Development
of Vietnam, Vietnam Maritime Commercial Joint Stock Bank,
and Vietnam Prosperity Jt. Stk. Commercial Bank are not
affected by this action.
RATINGS RATIONALE
IMPROVED OPERATING AND ECONOMIC CONDITIONS LEAD TO A HIGHER MACRO PROFILE
The rating action reflects Moody's expectation that the somewhat improved
operating and economic environment for banks in Vietnam will support the
banks' asset quality and profitability metrics, while also contributing
to relative stability in their funding and liquidity profiles.
To capture the improved operating and economic conditions for Vietnamese
banks, Moody's has increased Vietnam's Macro Profile
to "Weak" from "Weak-".
According to Moody's, Vietnamese banks benefit from the country's
robust economic growth, as well as from the enhanced—albeit
still weak—institutional strength.
Moody's expects that Vietnam's GDP will expand by 6.0%
in real terms in both 2016 and 2017, supported by the recovery of
domestic demand and robust export performance. The robust economic
performance is positive for Vietnamese banks because it supports their
liquidity and funding profiles, and improves the recovery value
of the banks' legacy problem assets.
Vietnam's institutional strength has improved for a third consecutive
year, reflecting a longer track record of benign inflation,
improved government effectiveness, rule of law and control of corruption
as reflected in better scores on the World Bank's Worldwide Governance
Indicators, as well as the recent progress on economic reform.
The robust economic growth and improved business confidence contribute
to the rapid credit growth in Vietnam, raising concerns about the
quality of new bank credit. Moody's generally views rapid
credit growth as negative for the banks' future asset quality.
According to the World Bank, Vietnam's domestic credit to
the private sector has increased to 112% of GDP in 2015 --
a high level for a developing country -- from 100%
in 2014.
WHAT COULD CHANGE THE RATINGS UP/DOWN
During the review process, Moody's will assess the materiality
and sustainability that the improved operating conditions in Vietnam might
have on the banks' standalone credit profiles, or BCAs.
In case improvements in solvency and liquidity metrics are viewed as tangible
and sustainable, Moody's will consider upgrading the banks'
BCAs, which in turn could lead to upgrades of their long-term
credit ratings.
Moody's notes that the possible improvements in the banks'
asset quality and profitability metrics will be considered in the context
of the banks' capital buffers, which weakened in 2015 for
most Moody's-rated banks in Vietnam because of rapid credit
growth and weak internal capital generation.
The long-term CRAs of nine banks were placed on review for upgrade
due to the upward pressure on their BCAs.
RATIONALE BEHIND THE AFFIRMATION OF RATINGS
Moody's has affirmed the long-term deposit and issuer ratings
of Vietinbank and Vietcombank because their ratings are already positioned
at the same level as the rating and ceilings of the government of Vietnam.
The outlook on these bank ratings is stable.
Moreover, Moody's has affirmed the B2 foreign currency deposit
ratings of ABB, ACB, VIB and TCB because these ratings are
constrained by the B2 foreign currency deposit ceiling for Vietnam.
The outlook's on VIB's B2 foreign currency deposit rating
was revised to stable, in line with the outlook on the sovereign
rating.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Banks published in
January 2016. Please see the Ratings Methodologies page on www.moodys.com
for a copy of this methodology.
Taking into account today's announcement, the affected ratings are
as follows:
An Binh Commercial Joint Stock Bank
- The local currency long-term deposit rating was placed
on review for upgrade, currently at B2
- The foreign currency long-term deposit rating was affirmed
at B2, outlook remains stable
- The local currency and foreign currency long-term issuer
ratings were placed on review for upgrade, currently at B2
- The BCA and adjusted BCA were placed on review for upgrade,
currently at b3
- The long-term counterparty risk assessment was placed
on review for upgrade, currently at B2(cr)
- The local currency and foreign currency short-term deposit
ratings were affirmed at NP
- The local currency and foreign currency short-term issuer
ratings were affirmed at NP
- The short-term counterparty risk assessment was affirmed
at NP(cr)
- Outlook for the bank revised to review for upgrade from stable
Headquartered in Ho Chi Minh, the bank reported total assets of
VND 64,375 billion (USD 2.9 billion) at end-December
2015.
Asia Commercial Bank
- The local currency long-term deposit rating was placed
on review for upgrade, currently at B2
- The foreign currency long-term deposit rating was affirmed
at B2, outlook remains stable
- The local currency and foreign currency long-term issuer
ratings were placed on review for upgrade, currently at B2
- The BCA and adjusted BCA were placed on review for upgrade,
currently at b3
- The long-term counterparty risk assessment was placed
on review for upgrade, currently at B2(cr)
- The local currency and foreign currency short-term deposit
ratings were affirmed at NP
- The local currency and foreign currency short-term issuer
ratings were affirmed at NP
- The short-term counterparty risk assessment was affirmed
at NP(cr)
- Outlook for the bank revised to review for upgrade from stable
Headquartered in Ho Chi Minh, the bank reported total assets of
VND 201,457 billion (USD 9.0 billion) at end-December
2015.
JSC Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam
- The local currency long-term deposit rating was affirmed
at B1, outlook remains stable
- The foreign currency long-term deposit rating was affirmed
at B2, outlook remains stable
- The local currency and foreign currency long-term issuer
ratings were affirmed at B1; outlook remains stable
- The BCA and adjusted BCA were placed on review for upgrade,
currently at b2
- The long-term counterparty risk assessment was placed
on review for upgrade, currently at B1(cr)
- The local currency and foreign currency short-term deposit
ratings were affirmed at NP
- The local currency and foreign currency short-term issuer
ratings were affirmed at NP
- The short-term counterparty risk assessment was affirmed
at NP(cr)
- Outlook for the bank maintained at stable
Headquartered in Hanoi, the bank had total assets of VND 679,001
billion (USD 31.0 billion) at end-June 2016.
Military Commercial Joint Stock Bank
- The local and foreign currency long-term deposit ratings
were placed on review for upgrade, currently at B3
- The local currency and foreign currency long-term issuer
ratings were placed on review for upgrade, currently at B3
- The BCA and adjusted BCA were placed on review for upgrade,
currently at caa1
- The long-term counterparty risk assessment of B2(cr) was
placed on review for upgrade
- The local currency and foreign currency short-term deposit
ratings were affirmed at NP
- The local currency and foreign currency short-term issuer
ratings were affirmed at NP
- The short-term counterparty risk assessment was affirmed
at NP(cr)
- Outlook for the bank revised to review for upgrade from positive
Headquartered in Hanoi, the bank had total assets of VND 221,042
billion (USD 9.8 billion) at end-December 2015.
Saigon - Hanoi Commercial Joint Stock Bank
- The local and foreign currency long-term deposit ratings
were placed on review for upgrade, currently at B3
- The local currency and foreign currency long-term issuer
ratings were placed on review for upgrade, currently at B3
- The BCA and adjusted BCA were placed on review for upgrade,
currently at caa1
- The long-term counterparty risk assessment was placed
on review for upgrade, currently at B2(cr)
- The local currency and foreign currency short-term deposit
ratings were affirmed at NP
- The local currency and foreign currency short-term issuer
ratings were affirmed at NP
- The short-term counterparty risk assessment was affirmed
at NP(cr)
- Outlook for the bank revised to review for upgrade from stable
Headquartered in Hanoi, the bank had total assets of VND 204,704
billion (USD 9.1 billion) at end-December 2015.
Saigon Thuong Tin Commercial Joint-Stock Bank
- The local and foreign currency long-term deposit ratings
were placed on review for upgrade, currently at B3
- The local currency and foreign currency long-term issuer
ratings were placed on review for upgrade, currently at B3
- The BCA and adjusted BCA were placed on review for upgrade,
currently at caa1
- The long-term counterparty risk assessment was placed
on review for upgrade, currently at B2(cr)
- The local currency and foreign currency short-term deposit
ratings were affirmed at NP
- The local currency and foreign currency short-term issuer
ratings were affirmed at NP
- The short-term counterparty risk assessment was affirmed
at NP(cr)
- Outlook for the bank revised to review for upgrade from stable
Headquartered in Ho Chi Minh, the bank had total assets of VND 210,778
billion (USD 9.7 billion) at end-June 2015.
Vietnam Bank for Industry and Trade
- The local currency long-term deposit rating was affirmed
at B1, outlook remains stable
- The foreign currency long-term deposit rating was affirmed
at B2, outlook remains stable
- The local currency and foreign currency long-term issuer
ratings were affirmed at B1; outlook remains stable
- The foreign currency senior unsecured rating was affirmed at
B1; outlook remains stable
- The BCA and adjusted BCA were placed on review for upgrade,
currently at b3
- The long-term counterparty risk assessment was placed
on review for upgrade, currently at B1(cr)
- The local currency and foreign currency short-term deposit
ratings were affirmed at NP
- The local currency and foreign currency short-term issuer
ratings were affirmed at NP
- The short-term counterparty risk assessment was affirmed
at NP(cr)
- Outlook for the bank maintained at stable
Headquartered in Hanoi, the bank had total assets of VND 779,483
billion (USD 34.7 billion) at end-December 2015.
Vietnam International Bank
- The local currency long-term deposit rating was placed
on review for upgrade, currently at B2
- The foreign currency long-term deposit rating was affirmed
at B2, outlook revised to stable from positive
- The local currency and foreign currency long-term issuer
ratings were placed on review for upgrade, currently at B2
- The BCA and adjusted BCA were placed on review for upgrade,
currently at b3
- The long-term counterparty risk assessment was placed
on review for upgrade, currently at B2(cr)
- The local currency and foreign currency short-term deposit
ratings were affirmed at NP
- The local currency and foreign currency short-term issuer
ratings were affirmed at NP
- The short-term counterparty risk assessment was affirmed
at NP(cr)
- Outlook for the bank revised to review for upgrade from positive
Headquartered in Hanoi, the bank had total assets of VND 84,309
billion (USD 3.8 billion) at end-December 2015.
Vietnam Technological and Comm'l JSB
- The local currency long-term deposit rating was placed
on review for upgrade, currently at B2
- The foreign currency long-term deposit rating was affirmed
at B2, outlook remains stable
- The local currency and foreign currency long-term issuer
ratings were placed on review for upgrade, currently at B2
- The BCA and adjusted BCA were placed on review for upgrade,
currently at b3
- The long-term counterparty risk assessment was placed
on review for upgrade, currently at B2(cr)
- The local currency and foreign currency short-term deposit
ratings were affirmed at NP
- The local currency and foreign currency short-term issuer
ratings were affirmed at NP
- The short-term counterparty risk assessment was affirmed
at NP(cr)
- Outlook for the bank revised to review for upgrade from stable
Headquartered in Hanoi, the bank had total assets of VND 191,994
billion (USD 8.5 billion) at end-December 2015.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to
each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their
credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating.
For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory
disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and
in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to
the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction
structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive
rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further
information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the
respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action,
and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action,
the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
The below contact information is provided for information purposes only.
Please see the ratings tab of the issuer page at www.moodys.com,
for each of the ratings covered, Moody's disclosures on the
lead analyst and the Moody's legal entity that has issued the ratings.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Eugene Tarzimanov
VP - Senior Credit Officer
Financial Institutions Group
Moody's Investors Service Singapore Pte. Ltd.
50 Raffles Place #23-06
Singapore Land Tower
Singapore 48623
Singapore
JOURNALISTS: (852) 3758 -1350
SUBSCRIBERS: (852) 3551-3077
Stephen Long
MD - Financial Institutions
Financial Institutions Group
JOURNALISTS: (852) 3758 -1350
SUBSCRIBERS: (852) 3551-3077
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service Singapore Pte. Ltd.
50 Raffles Place #23-06
Singapore Land Tower
Singapore 48623
Singapore
JOURNALISTS: (852) 3758 -1350
SUBSCRIBERS: (852) 3551-3077