New York, February 28, 2022 -- Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") placed the
ratings of wholesale used vehicle auction company KAR Auction Services,
Inc ("KAR") on review for upgrade, including the B2
corporate family rating, the B2-PD probability of default
rating, the Ba3 senior secured rating and the Caa1 senior unsecured
rating. KAR's outlook was changed to ratings under review,
from stable. These actions follow KAR's announcement that
it agreed to sell its US physical auction business to Carvana, Inc.
for $2.2 billion in cash. The transaction is expected
to close in the second quarter of 2022. The SGL-1 speculative
grade liquidity rating remains unchanged.
The proceeds of the sale will significantly reduce the amount of funded
debt and related interest cost. However, the possibility
of a rating upgrade may be limited by the company's reliance on
a sizeable receivable securitization program, which Moody's
views as debt and results in still very high adjusted leverage.
Pro forma for the transaction, Moody's estimates debt/EBITDA
to be 6.5 times, compared to 8.5 times at year-end
2021. Therefore, Moody's review will focus on:
(i) KAR's strategy to transform its auction business to a digital-only
wholesale remarketing model, the digital platforms that KAR acquired
in the last 18 months to establish a presence in the digital auction segment,
as well as the competitive environment for digital marketplaces;
(ii) the relative earnings and cash flow contributions of the remaining
auction and floor plan financing operations, and the still high
adjusted debt levels; (iii) the impact of the planned $1.65
billion debt reduction on KAR's capital structure, including
the shift in relative proportions of secured and unsecured debt,
and the ensuing impact on instrument ratings using Moody's loss-given-default
model, including the possibility of lower recovery prospects for
secured debt as a result of the sale of a significant part of KAR's
operations; (iv) the potential for additional acquisitions and related
impact on financial leverage.
The following rating actions were taken:
On Review for Upgrade:
..Issuer: KAR Auction Services, Inc
.... Corporate Family Rating, Placed
on Review for Upgrade, currently B2
.... Probability of Default Rating,
Placed on Review for Upgrade, currently B2-PD
....Senior Secured Bank Credit Facility,
Placed on Review for Upgrade, currently Ba3 (LGD2)
....Senior Unsecured Regular Bond/Debenture,
Placed on Review for Upgrade, currently Caa1 (LGD5)
Outlook Actions:
..Issuer: KAR Auction Services, Inc
....Outlook, Changed To Rating Under
Review From Stable
RATINGS RATIONALE / FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE
OF THE RATINGS
Prior to the transaction and the review of the ratings, KAR's
B2 corporate family rating reflected the company's leading position
in the North American wholesale used vehicle auction industry.
A deep network of established relationships with institutional sellers,
fleet managers and dealers underpins KAR's market presence.
The sale of KAR's physical auction business in the US allows KAR
to focus on its strategy to transform its operations to a digital-only
wholesale remarketing model. However, KAR's transformation
remains at an early stage, while KAR also has to contend with competition
in the digital marketplace segment from both well-established used
vehicle auction services providers and new online entrants.
KAR's mid-teens EBITA margin is attractive. However,
the margin is boosted by KAR's very profitable floor plan financing
business.
Moody's expects liquidity to remain very good (SGL-1),
largely attributable to strong free cash flow and about $300 million
of availability under the revolving credit facility.
The ratings could be upgraded if Moody's expects sustained strong organic
growth at or above mid-single digit rates, supporting KAR's
competitive position against digital disruption and decelerating off-lease
trends. Other considerations for an upgrade include debt/EBITDA
(including collateralized obligations) sustained below 5.5 times
and free cash flow/debt (including collateralized obligations) above 6.0%,
while maintaining financial policies; and good liquidity.
The ratings could be downgraded if revenue or EBITA margin becomes pressured
due to auction volumes remaining depressed, increased competition
or a protracted integration of acquired digital auction platforms.
The ratings could also be downgraded if debt/EBITDA (including collateralized
obligations) is expected to increase to 7 times or more, free cash
flow/debt (including collateralized obligations) is anticipated to be
less than 3%, or if liquidity deteriorates.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Business and Consumer
Services published in November 2021 and available at https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_1287897.
Alternatively, please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com
for a copy of this methodology.
KAR Auction Services, Inc. is a leading provider of used
vehicle auction and related vehicle remarketing services in North America
and Europe. The company provides used car auction services through
its wholly owned subsidiary, ADESA, Inc ("ADESA"), and
short-term floor plan financing to independent dealers through
its wholly owned subsidiary, Automotive Finance Corporation ("AFC").
Revenue was $2.3 billion in 2021.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and
sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and
Sensitivity to Assumptions in the disclosure form. Moody's
Rating Symbols and Definitions can be found at: https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_79004.
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and governance (ESG) risks in our credit analysis can be found at http://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_1288235.
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issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the EU and is endorsed
by Moody's Deutschland GmbH, An der Welle 5, Frankfurt
am Main 60322, Germany, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph
3 of the Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies.
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Rene Lipsch
VP - Senior Credit Officer
Corporate Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653
Dean Diaz
Associate Managing Director
Corporate Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653
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