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Rating Action:

Moody's takes action on $173 million of RMBS Issued from 2004 to 2007

10 Nov 2017

New York, November 10, 2017 -- Moody's Investors Service, ("Moody's") has upgraded the ratings of four bonds, downgraded the ratings of five bonds, and confirmed the ratings of four Interest-Only (IO) bonds from six RMBS transactions. These IO bonds were among those placed on review 29 August 2017 in connection with a reassessment of our internal linkage of certain IO bonds to their reference bond(s) or pool(s).

Complete rating actions are as follows:

Issuer: Bear Stearns Alt-A Trust 2006-8

Cl. III-A-1, Downgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Aug 17, 2015 Confirmed at Baa1 (sf)

Cl. III-X-1, Confirmed at Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 29, 2017 Caa2 (sf) Placed Under Review Direction Uncertain

Issuer: CWALT, Inc. Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2004-J8

Cl. M-IO, Confirmed at C (sf); previously on Aug 29, 2017 C (sf) Placed Under Review for Possible Upgrade

Issuer: Lehman XS Trust Series 2007-15N

Cl. 1C-A1, Upgraded to B2 (sf); previously on Dec 22, 2016 Upgraded to Caa1 (sf)

Cl. 3-AX, Confirmed at C (sf); previously on Aug 29, 2017 C (sf) Placed Under Review for Possible Upgrade

Cl. 4-AX, Confirmed at C (sf); previously on Aug 29, 2017 C (sf) Placed Under Review for Possible Upgrade

Issuer: MASTR Seasoned Securitization Trust 2005-2

Cl. 1-A-1, Upgraded to B2 (sf); previously on Apr 10, 2013 Downgraded to Caa1 (sf)

Cl. 1-A-2, Upgraded to B2 (sf); previously on Apr 10, 2013 Downgraded to Caa1 (sf)

Issuer: Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors Trust 2006-AF2

Cl. AF-1, Downgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Jan 27, 2015 Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)

Cl. AF-2, Downgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Jan 27, 2015 Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)

Cl. AV-1, Downgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2010 Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)

Cl. PO, Downgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2010 Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)

Issuer: Structured Asset Mortgage Investments II Trust 2005-AR2

Cl. II-A-1, Upgraded to B3 (sf); previously on Apr 1, 2015 Upgraded to Caa2 (sf)

RATINGS RATIONALE

The rating upgrades are primarily due to the total credit enhancement available to the bonds. The rating downgrades are due to the erosion of credit enhancement available to the bonds. The actions reflect the recent performance of the underlying pools and Moody's updated loss expectation on these pools.

Today's action resolves the review of four IO bonds which were among those placed on watch in connection with a reassessment of the IO bond linkages captured in our internal database. The factors that Moody's considers in rating an IO bond depend on the type of referenced securities or assets to which the IO bond is linked. Following the linkage reassessment, we determined that the ratings of these four IO bonds correctly reflect the linkage of the bonds to their referenced securities or asset pools, as well as the performance of the respective transactions, and have therefore confirmed these ratings. The rating on Class III-X-1 from Bear Stearns Alt-A Trust 2006-8 has been confirmed at Caa2(sf) notwithstanding today's downgrade of one of its referenced securities. Class III-X-1 notional balance is linked to the balance of Class III-A-1, Class III-A-2, Class III-B-1, Class III-B-2, and Class III-B-3. The rating of an IO bond referencing multiple bonds is based on the weighted average current rating of all referenced bonds based on the current balance. For this reason, the rating downgrade on Class III-A-1 did not result in a change in the rating of Class III-X-1. The ratings of the referenced tranches for IO bonds Class 3-AX and Class 4-AX from Lehman XS Trust Series 2007-15N remain unchanged. As such the ratings on the Class 3-AX and Class 4-AX were confirmed.

The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US RMBS Surveillance Methodology" published in January 2017. Please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.

Additionally, the methodology used in rating Bear Stearns Alt-A Trust 2006-8 Cl. III-X-1, CWALT, Inc. Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2004-J8 Cl. M-IO, Lehman XS Trust Series 2007-15N Cl. 3-AX and Cl. 4-AX, MASTR Seasoned Securitization Trust 2005-2 Cl. 1-A-2 was "Moody's Approach to Rating Structured Finance Interest-Only (IO) Securities" published in June 2017. Please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.

Factors that can lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:

Ratings in the US RMBS sector remain exposed to the high level of macroeconomic uncertainty, and in particular the unemployment rate. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1% in October 2017 from 4.8% in October 2016. Moody's forecasts an unemployment central range of 4.5% to 5.5% for the 2017 year. Deviations from this central scenario could lead to rating actions in the sector. House prices are another key driver of US RMBS performance. Moody's expects house prices to continue to rise in 2017. Lower increases than Moody's expects or decreases could lead to negative rating actions. Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent on servicer procedures.

An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline in the credit quality of the reference bonds and/or pools.

A list of these actions including CUSIP identifiers and the associated pool losses and tranche recoveries may be found at:

Excel: http://www.moodys.com/viewresearchdoc.aspx?docid=PBS_SF462862

For more information please see www.moodys.com.

REGULATORY DISCLOSURES

For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity to Assumptions of the disclosure form.

The analysis includes an assessment of collateral characteristics and performance to determine the expected collateral loss or a range of expected collateral losses or cash flows to the rated instruments. As a second step, Moody's estimates expected collateral losses or cash flows using a quantitative tool that takes into account credit enhancement, loss allocation and other structural features, to derive the expected loss for each rated instrument.

Moody's quantitative analysis entails an evaluation of scenarios that stress factors contributing to sensitivity of ratings and take into account the likelihood of severe collateral losses or impaired cash flows. Moody's weights the impact on the rated instruments based on its assumptions of the likelihood of the events in such scenarios occurring.

For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.

For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action, and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action, the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity. Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures, if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.

Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating review.

Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.

Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.

Ilana Fried
Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653

Ola Hannoun-Costa
VP-Sr Credit Officer/Manager
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653

Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653

No Related Data.
© 2022 Moody’s Corporation, Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., Moody’s Analytics, Inc. and/or their licensors and affiliates (collectively, “MOODY’S”). All rights reserved.

CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S CREDIT RATINGS AFFILIATES ARE THEIR CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND MATERIALS, PRODUCTS, SERVICES AND INFORMATION PUBLISHED BY MOODY’S (COLLECTIVELY, “PUBLICATIONS”) MAY INCLUDE SUCH CURRENT OPINIONS. MOODY’S DEFINES CREDIT RISK AS THE RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY COME DUE AND ANY ESTIMATED FINANCIAL LOSS IN THE EVENT OF DEFAULT OR IMPAIRMENT. SEE APPLICABLE MOODY’S RATING SYMBOLS AND DEFINITIONS PUBLICATION FOR INFORMATION ON THE TYPES OF CONTRACTUAL FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS ADDRESSED BY MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS. CREDIT RATINGS DO NOT ADDRESS ANY OTHER RISK, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO: LIQUIDITY RISK, MARKET VALUE RISK, OR PRICE VOLATILITY. CREDIT RATINGS, NON-CREDIT ASSESSMENTS (“ASSESSMENTS”), AND OTHER OPINIONS INCLUDED IN MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACT. MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS MAY ALSO INCLUDE QUANTITATIVE MODEL-BASED ESTIMATES OF CREDIT RISK AND RELATED OPINIONS OR COMMENTARY PUBLISHED BY MOODY’S ANALYTICS, INC. AND/OR ITS AFFILIATES. MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS, ASSESSMENTS, OTHER OPINIONS AND PUBLICATIONS DO NOT CONSTITUTE OR PROVIDE INVESTMENT OR FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS, ASSESSMENTS, OTHER OPINIONS AND PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT AND DO NOT PROVIDE RECOMMENDATIONS TO PURCHASE, SELL, OR HOLD PARTICULAR SECURITIES. MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS, ASSESSMENTS, OTHER OPINIONS AND PUBLICATIONS DO NOT COMMENT ON THE SUITABILITY OF AN INVESTMENT FOR ANY PARTICULAR INVESTOR. MOODY’S ISSUES ITS CREDIT RATINGS, ASSESSMENTS AND OTHER OPINIONS AND PUBLISHES ITS PUBLICATIONS WITH THE EXPECTATION AND UNDERSTANDING THAT EACH INVESTOR WILL, WITH DUE CARE, MAKE ITS OWN STUDY AND EVALUATION OF EACH SECURITY THAT IS UNDER CONSIDERATION FOR PURCHASE, HOLDING, OR SALE.

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All information contained herein is obtained by MOODY’S from sources believed by it to be accurate and reliable. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, all information contained herein is provided “AS IS” without warranty of any kind. MOODY'S adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality and from sources MOODY'S considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, MOODY’S is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process or in preparing its Publications.

To the extent permitted by law, MOODY’S and its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors and suppliers disclaim liability to any person or entity for any indirect, special, consequential, or incidental losses or damages whatsoever arising from or in connection with the information contained herein or the use of or inability to use any such information, even if MOODY’S or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors or suppliers is advised in advance of the possibility of such losses or damages, including but not limited to: (a) any loss of present or prospective profits or (b) any loss or damage arising where the relevant financial instrument is not the subject of a particular credit rating assigned by MOODY’S.

To the extent permitted by law, MOODY’S and its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors and suppliers disclaim liability for any direct or compensatory losses or damages caused to any person or entity, including but not limited to by any negligence (but excluding fraud, willful misconduct or any other type of liability that, for the avoidance of doubt, by law cannot be excluded) on the part of, or any contingency within or beyond the control of, MOODY’S or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors or suppliers, arising from or in connection with the information contained herein or the use of or inability to use any such information.

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Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody’s Corporation (“MCO”), hereby discloses that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. have, prior to assignment of any credit rating, agreed to pay to Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. for credit ratings opinions and services rendered by it fees ranging from $1,000 to approximately $5,000,000. MCO and Moody’s Investors Service also maintain policies and procedures to address the independence of Moody’s Investors Service credit ratings and credit rating processes. Information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities, and between entities who hold credit ratings from Moody’s Investors Service and have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%, is posted annually at www.moodys.com under the heading “Investor Relations — Corporate Governance — Director and Shareholder Affiliation Policy.”

Additional terms for Australia only: Any publication into Australia of this document is pursuant to the Australian Financial Services License of MOODY’S affiliate, Moody’s Investors Service Pty Limited ABN 61 003 399 657AFSL 336969 and/or Moody’s Analytics Australia Pty Ltd ABN 94 105 136 972 AFSL 383569 (as applicable). This document is intended to be provided only to “wholesale clients” within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. By continuing to access this document from within Australia, you represent to MOODY’S that you are, or are accessing the document as a representative of, a “wholesale client” and that neither you nor the entity you represent will directly or indirectly disseminate this document or its contents to “retail clients” within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. MOODY’S credit rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness of a debt obligation of the issuer, not on the equity securities of the issuer or any form of security that is available to retail investors.

Additional terms for Japan only: Moody's Japan K.K. (“MJKK”) is a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody's Group Japan G.K., which is wholly-owned by Moody’s Overseas Holdings Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of MCO. Moody’s SF Japan K.K. (“MSFJ”) is a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of MJKK. MSFJ is not a Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization (“NRSRO”). Therefore, credit ratings assigned by MSFJ are Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings. Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings are assigned by an entity that is not a NRSRO and, consequently, the rated obligation will not qualify for certain types of treatment under U.S. laws. MJKK and MSFJ are credit rating agencies registered with the Japan Financial Services Agency and their registration numbers are FSA Commissioner (Ratings) No. 2 and 3 respectively.

MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) hereby disclose that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) have, prior to assignment of any credit rating, agreed to pay to MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) for credit ratings opinions and services rendered by it fees ranging from JPY100,000 to approximately JPY550,000,000.

MJKK and MSFJ also maintain policies and procedures to address Japanese regulatory requirements.

​
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