New York, September 12, 2014 -- Moody's Investors Service has upgraded the ratings of seven tranches backed
by Prime Jumbo RMBS loans, issued by miscellaneous issuers.
Complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: CHL Mortgage Pass-Through Trust 2004-J1
Cl. 2-A-1, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously
on Apr 19, 2011 Downgraded to Ba3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-3, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously
on Apr 19, 2011 Downgraded to Ba3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-4, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously
on Apr 19, 2011 Downgraded to Ba3 (sf)
Issuer: CSFB Mortgage-Backed Pass-Through Certificates,
Series 2003-AR18
Cl. II-A-4, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously
on May 24, 2012 Confirmed at Ba2 (sf)
Cl. C-B-1, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously
on May 24, 2012 Confirmed at B1 (sf)
Issuer: WaMu Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates Series 2004-AR3
Trust
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on
Apr 11, 2012 Downgraded to Ba3 (sf)
Cl. A-2, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on
Apr 11, 2012 Downgraded to Ba3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The actions are a result of the recent performance of the underlying pools
and reflect Moody's updated loss expectations on the pools. The
upgrade rating actions are a result of improving performance of the related
pools and/or faster pay-down of the bonds due to high prepayments/fast
liquidations. The rating actions for CHL Mortgage Pass-Through
Trust 2004-J1 also reflect updates and corrections to the cash-flow
model used by Moody's in rating this transaction. The changes
pertain to the calculation of the senior percentage post subordination
depletion, the loss allocation to the bonds and the allocation of
principal to the subordinate bonds.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US RMBS Surveillance
Methodology" published in November 2013. Please see the Credit
Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the rating:
Ratings in the US RMBS sector remain exposed to the high level of macroeconomic
uncertainty, and in particular the unemployment rate. The
unemployment rate fell to 6.1% in August 2014 from 7.2%
in August 2013. Moody's forecasts an unemployment central range
of 6.5% to 7.5% for the 2014 year.
Deviations from this central scenario could lead to rating actions in
the sector. House prices are another key driver of US RMBS performance.
Moody's expects house prices to continue to rise in 2014. Lower
increases than Moody's expects or decreases could lead to negative
rating actions. Finally, performance of RMBS continues to
remain highly dependent on servicer procedures. Any change resulting
from servicing transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact
the performance of these transactions.
A list of these actions including CUSIP identifiers may be found at:
Excel: http://www.moodys.com/viewresearchdoc.aspx?docid=PBS_SF377885
A list of updated estimated pool losses and bond recoveries is being posted
on an ongoing basis for the duration of this review period and may be
found at:
Excel: http://www.moodys.com/viewresearchdoc.aspx?docid=PBS_SF243269
For more information please see www.moodys.com.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and
sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and
Sensitivity to Assumptions of the disclosure form.
Moody's did not receive or take into account a third-party
assessment on the due diligence performed regarding the underlying assets
or financial instruments related to the monitoring of these transactions
in the past six months.
The analysis includes an assessment of collateral characteristics and
performance to determine the expected collateral loss or a range of expected
collateral losses or cash flows to the rated instruments. As a
second step, Moody's estimates expected collateral losses or cash
flows using a quantitative tool that takes into account credit enhancement,
loss allocation and other structural features, to derive the expected
loss for each rated instrument.
As the section on loss and cash flow analysis describes, Moody's
quantitative analysis entails an evaluation of scenarios that stress factors
contributing to sensitivity of ratings and take into account the likelihood
of severe collateral losses or impaired cash flows. Moody's
weights the impact on the rated instruments based on its assumptions of
the likelihood of the events in such scenarios occurring.
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular
rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the
support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive
rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt,
in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed
prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would
have affected the rating. For further information please see the
ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this rating action, and
whose ratings may change as a result of this rating action, the
associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Ilana J Fried
Associate Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Deepika Kothari
VP - Sr Credit Officer/Manager
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Moody's takes action on $188 Million of Prime Jumbo RMBS issued from 2003 to 2004