New York, September 14, 2016 -- Moody's Investors Service has upgraded the ratings of fifteen tranches
and downgraded the ratings of two tranches backed by Prime Jumbo RMBS
loans, issued by Citicorp Mortgage Securities.
Complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Citicorp Mortgage Securities Trust, Series 2006-5
Cl. IIIA-1, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on
Jul 15, 2011 Downgraded to B3 (sf)
Issuer: Citicorp Mortgage Securities Trust, Series 2006-7
Cl. IIA-1, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on
May 19, 2010 Downgraded to B2 (sf)
Cl. IIIA-1, Upgraded to B2 (sf); previously on
May 19, 2010 Downgraded to Caa1 (sf)
Issuer: Citicorp Mortgage Securities Trust, Series 2007-2
Cl. IIA-IO, Downgraded to B2 (sf); previously
on Feb 22, 2012 Downgraded to Ba3 (sf)
Issuer: Citicorp Mortgage Securities Trust, Series 2007-4
Cl. IIA-IO, Downgraded to B2 (sf); previously
on Feb 22, 2012 Downgraded to Ba3 (sf)
Issuer: Citicorp Mortgage Securities Trust, Series 2007-9
Cl. IIA-1, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously
on Nov 20, 2015 Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Issuer: Citicorp Mortgage Securities Trust, Series 2008-2
Cl. IIA-1, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on
Sep 21, 2012 Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. IIA-2, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on
Jun 26, 2014 Upgraded to B3 (sf)
Cl. IIA-IO, Upgraded to B2 (sf); previously on
May 26, 2015 Downgraded to Caa1 (sf)
Issuer: Citicorp Mortgage Securities, Inc. 2005-5
Cl. IA-3, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on
May 26, 2015 Upgraded to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. IA-6, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on
May 26, 2015 Upgraded to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. IA-7, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on
May 26, 2015 Upgraded to Ba3 (sf)
Cl. IA-8, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on
May 26, 2015 Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. IA-10, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on
May 26, 2015 Upgraded to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. IA-11, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on
May 26, 2015 Upgraded to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. IA-12, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on
May 26, 2015 Upgraded to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. IA-13, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on
May 26, 2015 Upgraded to Ba2 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The actions are a result of the recent performance of the underlying pool
and reflect Moody's updated loss expectation on the pool, as well
as the correction of a prior error. The rating upgrades on CITICORP
MORTGAGE SECURITIES TRUST 2007-9 IIA-1, CITICORP MORTGAGE
SECURITIES TRUST, SERIES 2008-2 Cl. IIA-IO,
and CITICORP MORTGAGE SECURITIES TRUST 2005-5 IA-3,
IA-6, IA-7, IA-8, IA-10,
IA-11, IA-12, and IA-13 are primarily
a result of total credit enhancement available to the bonds, while
the rating downgrades on two interest-only classes CITIGROUP MORTGAGE
LOAN TRUST 2007-2 IIA-IO and CITICORP MORTGAGE SECURITIES
TRUST 2007-4 IIA-IO are due to the erosion of enhancement
available to the bonds. The rating upgrades on CITIGROUP MORTGAGE
LOAN TRUST 2006-5 IIIA-1, CITIGROUP MORTGAGE LOAN
TRUST 2006-7 IIA-1 and IIIA-1, and CITICORP
MORTGAGE SECURITIES TRUST, SERIES 2008-2 IIA-1 and
IIA-2 are primarily due to correction of the senior percentage
calculation in the cash flow models used by Moody's in rating these
transactions. In prior rating actions, the post-credit
support depletion date (CSDD) senior percentage of each transaction was
calculated as the total senior bond balance of each group divided by each
group's total collateral balance, instead of the total senior
bond balance of each group divided by each group's total bond balance.
The error has now been corrected, and today's rating actions
reflect this change.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US RMBS Surveillance
Methodology" published in November 2013. Please see the Ratings
Methodologies page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this
methodology.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Ratings in the US RMBS sector remain exposed to the high level of macroeconomic
uncertainty, and in particular the unemployment rate. The
unemployment rate fell to 4.9% in August 2016 from 5.1%
in August 2015. Moody's forecasts an unemployment central range
of 4.5% to 5.5% for the 2016 year.
Deviations from this central scenario could lead to rating actions in
the sector.
House prices are another key driver of US RMBS performance. Moody's
expects house prices to continue to rise in 2016. Lower increases
than Moody's expects or decreases could lead to negative rating
actions.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing transfers
or other policy or regulatory change can impact the performance of these
transactions.
A list of these actions including CUSIP identifiers may be found at:
Excel: http://www.moodys.com/viewresearchdoc.aspx?docid=PBS_SF439532.
A list of updated estimated pool losses and bond recoveries is being posted
on an ongoing basis for the duration of this review period and may be
found at:
Excel: http://www.moodys.com/viewresearchdoc.aspx?docid=PBS_SF243269
For more information please see www.moodys.com.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity
analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity
to Assumptions of the disclosure form.
The analysis includes an assessment of collateral characteristics and
performance to determine the expected collateral loss or a range of expected
collateral losses or cash flows to the rated instruments. As a
second step, Moody's estimates expected collateral losses or cash
flows using a quantitative tool that takes into account credit enhancement,
loss allocation and other structural features, to derive the expected
loss for each rated instrument.
Moody's quantitative analysis entails an evaluation of scenarios
that stress factors contributing to sensitivity of ratings and take into
account the likelihood of severe collateral losses or impaired cash flows.
Moody's weights the impact on the rated instruments based on its
assumptions of the likelihood of the events in such scenarios occurring.
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to
each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their
credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating.
For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory
disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and
in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to
the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction
structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive
rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further
information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the
respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action,
and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action,
the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Michael Gallagher
Associate Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Youriy Koudinov
VP - Senior Credit Officer
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653