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Rating Action:

Moody's takes actions on 994.5 million of subprime RMBS issued from 2005 to 2007

24 Oct 2019

New York, October 24, 2019 -- Moody's Investors Service (Moody's) has upgraded the ratings of 30 tranches and downgraded the ratings of two tranches from 16 RMBS transactions, backed by Subprime loans.

The complete rating actions are as follows:

Issuer: Accredited Mortgage Loan Trust 2005-2, Asset-Backed Notes, Series 2005-2

Cl. M-6, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Jan 25, 2019 Upgraded to B2 (sf)

Cl. M-7, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jan 25, 2019 Upgraded to Ca (sf)

Issuer: Accredited Mortgage Loan Trust 2005-3, Asset-Backed Notes, Series 2005-3

Cl. M-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 26, 2018 Upgraded to Caa3 (sf)

Issuer: Accredited Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-1

Cl. A-4, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Mar 26, 2018 Upgraded to Baa3 (sf)

Issuer: ABFC Asset Backed Certificates, Series 2005-WF1

Cl. M-6, Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2018 Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)

Cl. M-7, Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2018 Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)

Issuer: Asset Backed Funding Corporation Asset-Backed Certificates, Series 2006-OPT1

Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Aug 29, 2018 Upgraded to A1 (sf)

Cl. A-3C1, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Aug 29, 2018 Upgraded to A3 (sf)

Cl. A-3C2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Aug 29, 2018 Upgraded to A3 (sf)

Cl. A-3D, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 29, 2018 Upgraded to Baa1 (sf)

Issuer: Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-NC1

Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Aug 29, 2018 Upgraded to A1 (sf)

Issuer: Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-WFHE4

Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Dec 28, 2017 Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)

Cl. M-3A, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Mar 19, 2009 Downgraded to C (sf)

Cl. M-3B, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Mar 19, 2009 Downgraded to C (sf)

Issuer: CWABS Asset-Backed Certificates Trust 2005-15

Cl. M-3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 31, 2018 Upgraded to Ca (sf)

Issuer: CWABS Asset-Backed Certificates Trust 2005-BC5

Cl. M-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 26, 2017 Upgraded to Ca (sf)

Issuer: CWABS Asset-Backed Certificates Trust 2006-18

Cl. 1-A, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jan 15, 2019 Upgraded to Ba3 (sf)

Cl. 2-A-2, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Jan 15, 2019 Upgraded to B3 (sf)

Issuer: CWABS Asset-Backed Certificates Trust 2006-25

Cl. 1-A, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 17, 2016 Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)

Cl. 2-A-3, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Nov 20, 2018 Upgraded to Ba2 (sf)

Cl. 2-A-4, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Nov 20, 2018 Upgraded to B2 (sf)

Issuer: CWABS Asset-Backed Certificates Trust 2007-BC2

Cl. 2-A-3, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Jan 11, 2019 Upgraded to Ba3 (sf)

Cl. 2-A-4, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Jan 11, 2019 Upgraded to B3 (sf)

Issuer: Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors Trust 2006-WMC1

Cl. A-1A, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Apr 19, 2018 Upgraded to B3 (sf)

Cl. A-1B, Currently Rated A3 (sf); previously on Jul 5, 2016 Upgraded to A3 (sf)

Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Apr 19, 2018 Upgraded to B3 (sf)

Financial Guarantor: Assured Guaranty Corp (A3, Stable on Aug 13, 2019)

Cl. A-2D, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 4, 2011 Downgraded to Ca (sf)

Issuer: Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors Trust Series 2006-HE5

Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Nov 27, 2018 Upgraded to Ba3 (sf)

Issuer: Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors, Inc. 2005-WMC2

Cl. M-5, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Jul 17, 2017 Upgraded to Baa3 (sf)

Cl. M-6, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Jul 19, 2010 Downgraded to C (sf)

Issuer: Morgan Stanley ABS Capital I Inc. Trust 2007-HE7

Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jan 15, 2019 Upgraded to Ba3 (sf)

Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Jan 15, 2019 Upgraded to B1 (sf)

Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Jan 15, 2019 Upgraded to B3 (sf)

RATINGS RATIONALE

The rating upgrades are primarily due to improved underlying collateral performance and increased credit enhancement available to the bonds. Bonds that have been upgraded in the transactions also benefit from failed cumulative loss triggers that divert principal payments from subordinate bonds to the most senior bond in the capital structure. The cumulative loss triggers, in addition to higher levels of prepayment in some transactions, have accelerated the buildup of credit enhancement for the upgraded senior and mezzanine bonds. The actions also reflect Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pools.

The ratings downgrades are primarily due to the outstanding interest shortfalls on the bonds that are not expected to be recouped. In the transaction's waterfall structure, interest shortfalls are reimbursed from excess interest only after the overcollateralization has built to a pre-specified target amount. Due to the transaction's performance and its level of overcollateralization, the shortfalls are unlikely to be reimbursed and could be permanent. As of 9/25/19, the Class M-6 and Class M-7 have $8,160 and $11,071 in outstanding interest shortfall, respectively.

The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US RMBS Surveillance Methodology" published in February 2019. Please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.

Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:

Ratings in the US RMBS sector remain exposed to the high level of macroeconomic uncertainty, and in particular the unemployment rate. The unemployment rate fell to 3.5% in September 2019 from 3.7% in September 2018. Moody's forecasts an unemployment central range of 3.5% to 4.5% for the 2019 year. Deviations from this central scenario could lead to rating actions in the sector. House prices are another key driver of US RMBS performance. Moody's expects house prices to continue to rise in 2019. Lower increases than Moody's expects or decreases could lead to negative rating actions.

Finally, the performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent on servicer procedures. Any changes resulting from servicing transfers, or other policy or regulatory shifts can impact the performance of these transactions.

A list of the actions including the CUSIP identifiers and the associated pool losses may be found at:

Excel: http://www.moodys.com/viewresearchdoc.aspx?docid=PBS_SF484587

For more information please see www.moodys.com.

REGULATORY DISCLOSURES

For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity to Assumptions of the disclosure form.

The analysis includes an assessment of collateral characteristics and performance to determine the expected collateral loss or a range of expected collateral losses or cash flows to the rated instruments. As a second step, Moody's estimates expected collateral losses or cash flows using a quantitative tool that takes into account credit enhancement, loss allocation and other structural features, to derive the expected loss for each rated instrument.

Moody's quantitative analysis entails an evaluation of scenarios that stress factors contributing to sensitivity of ratings and take into account the likelihood of severe collateral losses or impaired cash flows. Moody's weights the impact on the rated instruments based on its assumptions of the likelihood of the events in such scenarios occurring.

For ratings issued on a program, series, category/class of debt or security this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series, category/class of debt, security or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.

For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action, and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action, the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity. Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures, if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.

Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating review.

Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.

Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.

Donald Lee
AVP-Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653

Karandeep Bains
VP-Sr Credit Officer/Manager
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653

Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376
Client Service: 1 212 553 1653

No Related Data.
© 2021 Moody’s Corporation, Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., Moody’s Analytics, Inc. and/or their licensors and affiliates (collectively, “MOODY’S”). All rights reserved.

CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S CREDIT RATINGS AFFILIATES ARE THEIR CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND MATERIALS, PRODUCTS, SERVICES AND INFORMATION PUBLISHED BY MOODY’S (COLLECTIVELY, “PUBLICATIONS”) MAY INCLUDE SUCH CURRENT OPINIONS. MOODY’S DEFINES CREDIT RISK AS THE RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY COME DUE AND ANY ESTIMATED FINANCIAL LOSS IN THE EVENT OF DEFAULT OR IMPAIRMENT. SEE APPLICABLE MOODY’S RATING SYMBOLS AND DEFINITIONS PUBLICATION FOR INFORMATION ON THE TYPES OF CONTRACTUAL FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS ADDRESSED BY MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS. CREDIT RATINGS DO NOT ADDRESS ANY OTHER RISK, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO: LIQUIDITY RISK, MARKET VALUE RISK, OR PRICE VOLATILITY. CREDIT RATINGS, NON-CREDIT ASSESSMENTS (“ASSESSMENTS”), AND OTHER OPINIONS INCLUDED IN MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACT. MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS MAY ALSO INCLUDE QUANTITATIVE MODEL-BASED ESTIMATES OF CREDIT RISK AND RELATED OPINIONS OR COMMENTARY PUBLISHED BY MOODY’S ANALYTICS, INC. AND/OR ITS AFFILIATES. MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS, ASSESSMENTS, OTHER OPINIONS AND PUBLICATIONS DO NOT CONSTITUTE OR PROVIDE INVESTMENT OR FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS, ASSESSMENTS, OTHER OPINIONS AND PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT AND DO NOT PROVIDE RECOMMENDATIONS TO PURCHASE, SELL, OR HOLD PARTICULAR SECURITIES. MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS, ASSESSMENTS, OTHER OPINIONS AND PUBLICATIONS DO NOT COMMENT ON THE SUITABILITY OF AN INVESTMENT FOR ANY PARTICULAR INVESTOR. MOODY’S ISSUES ITS CREDIT RATINGS, ASSESSMENTS AND OTHER OPINIONS AND PUBLISHES ITS PUBLICATIONS WITH THE EXPECTATION AND UNDERSTANDING THAT EACH INVESTOR WILL, WITH DUE CARE, MAKE ITS OWN STUDY AND EVALUATION OF EACH SECURITY THAT IS UNDER CONSIDERATION FOR PURCHASE, HOLDING, OR SALE.

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Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody’s Corporation (“MCO”), hereby discloses that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. have, prior to assignment of any credit rating, agreed to pay to Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. for credit ratings opinions and services rendered by it fees ranging from $1,000 to approximately $5,000,000. MCO and Moody’s Investors Service also maintain policies and procedures to address the independence of Moody’s Investors Service credit ratings and credit rating processes. Information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities, and between entities who hold credit ratings from Moody’s Investors Service and have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%, is posted annually at www.moodys.com under the heading “Investor Relations — Corporate Governance — Director and Shareholder Affiliation Policy.”

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