New York, January 28, 2009 -- Moody's Investors Service has taken the following ratings actions
on dealer floorplan asset-backed notes issued by GMAC LLC ("GMAC").
The ratings actions are due to the high degree of uncertainty around several
key variables associated with floorplan financings. These include
the financial strength of the dealerships, the market value of the
vehicles that secure the loans, and the macroeconomic and business
challenges facing General Motor Corporation ("GM").
The transactions feature revolving pools of receivables payable by auto
dealers and secured by the dealers' related inventory of vehicles.
The dealers' accounts were originated and are serviced by GMAC.
Superior Wholesale Inventory Financing Trust X
Class A Notes, including RN1 and RN2, Downgraded to A3 from
Aa3 and remain Under Review for further Possible Downgrade; previous
on 11/25/2008 Downgraded to Aa3 from Aaa and Placed Under Review for further
Possible Downgrade
Class B Notes, remain Under Review for further Possible Downgrade;
previous on 11/25/2008 Downgraded to B2 from A2 and Placed Under Review
for further Possible Downgrade
Class C Notes, remain Under Review for further Possible Downgrade;
previous on 11/25/2008 Downgraded to B3 from Baa2 and Placed Under Review
for further Possible Downgrade
Superior Wholesale Inventory Financing Trust XI
Class A Notes, including RN1 and RN2, Downgraded to A3 from
Aa2 and remain Under Review for further Possible Downgrade; previous
on 11/25/2008 Downgraded to Aa2 from Aaa and Placed Under Review for further
Possible Downgrade
Class B Notes, Downgraded to B2 from B1 and remain Under Review
for further Possible Downgrade; previous on 11/25/2008 Downgraded
to B1 from A2 and Placed Under Review for further Possible Downgrade
Class C Notes, remain Under Review for further Possible Downgrade;
previous on 11/25/2008 Downgraded to B3 from Baa2 and Placed Under Review
for further Possible Downgrade
Superior Wholesale Inventory Financing Trust 2007-AE-1
Class A Notes, Downgraded to Aa2 from Aaa and remain Under Review
for further possible downgrade
Class B Notes, Downgraded to Aa3 from Aaa and remain Under Review
for further Possible Downgrade; previous on 11/25/2008 Placed Under
Review for Possible Downgrade
Class C Notes, Downgraded to Baa1 from Aa1 and remain Under Review
for further Possible Downgrade; previous on 11/25/2008 Downgraded
to Aa1 from Aaa and Placed Under Review for further Possible Downgrade
Class D Notes, Downgraded to Baa3 from Aa2 and remain Under Review
for further Possible Downgrade; previous on 11/25/2008 Downgraded
to Aa2 from Aaa and Placed Under Review for further Possible Downgrade
SWIFT Master Auto Receivables Trust Series 2007-1
Class A Notes, Downgraded to Aa2 from Aaa and remain Under Review
for further possible downgrade
Class B Notes, Downgraded to Aa3 from Aaa and remain Under Review
for further Possible Downgrade; previous on 11/25/2008 Placed Under
Review for Possible Downgrade
Class C Notes, Downgraded to Baa1 from Aa1 and remain Under Review
for further Possible Downgrade; previous on 11/25/2008 Downgraded
to Aa1 from Aaa and Placed Under Review for further Possible Downgrade
Class D Notes, Downgraded to Baa3 from A1 and remain Under Review
for further Possible Downgrade; previous on 11/25/2008 Downgraded
to A1 from Aaa and Placed Under Review for further Possible Downgrade
SWIFT Master Auto Receivables Trust Series 2007-2
Class A Notes, Downgraded to Aa2 from Aaa and remain Under Review
for further possible downgrade
Class B Notes, Downgraded to Aa3 from Aaa and remain Under Review
for further Possible Downgrade; previous on 11/25/2008 Placed Under
Review for Possible Downgrade
Class C Notes, Downgraded to Baa1 from Aa1 and remain Under Review
for further Possible Downgrade; previous on 11/25/2008 Downgraded
to Aa1 from Aaa and Placed Under Review for further Possible Downgrade
Class D Notes, Downgraded to Baa3 from A1 and remain Under Review
for further Possible Downgrade; previous on 11/25/2008 Downgraded
to A1 from Aaa and Placed Under Review for further Possible Downgrade
RATIONALE
Since the rating actions on the GMAC auto floorplan deals on November
25, 2008, Moody's further assessed, among other
things, the potential for bankruptcy at GM (reorganization and liquidation),
potential dealer default rates, collateral recovery values,
and servicer readiness to monitor dealers and secure collateral should
numerous dealers default simultaneously. The rating actions reflect
Moody's updated view of key driving factors in the floorplan transactions
following the review process.
Our rating action reflects the high degree of uncertainty around a number
of assumptions, particularly those applicable to Chapter 11 or Chapter
7 bankruptcy scenarios. The ratings of the subordinated notes also
reflect high loss severities upon default for the smaller sized bonds.
The notes remain on review for further possible downgrade due to significant
uncertainty surrounding GM in 2009. On December 4, 2008,
the Bush Administration approved $17.4 billion in short-term
emergency loans for General Motors and Chrysler. The loans provided
near-term liquidity to both companies, but also identified
key targets against which the companies must show substantial progress
if the existing loans are to be extended beyond March 31, 2009 and
if additional requested funding is to be provided. Whether the
funding will still be available and whether a more complete agreement
can be reached with the government in early 2009 should have implications
on GM's floorplan transactions because of their direct exposure
to GM.
RATING METHODOLOGY
Moody's floorplan analysis is based on a joint-default probability
analysis of both the manufacturer and dealers. Loss given default
is determined by analyzing the collateral at risk net of recoveries.
The total collateral at risk upon a joint-default of manufacturer
and dealer is the remaining unpaid floorplan loan balance. The
balance is calculated based on total payments as determined by monthly
payment rate prior to dealer default.
The analysis is implemented through a simulation model, which simulates
losses during a two year amortization period following an event of default
based on a set of key modeled assumptions as follows:
- Manufacturer bankruptcy scenarios
- Dealer default rates
- Recovery rates
- Payment rates
In addition, Moody's includes other assumptions in the simulation
model such as the impact of macroeconomic activity on manufacturer and
dealer default probability, the correlation of default between manufacturer
and dealer. In addition, the model includes assumptions about
the frequency of diversion of vehicle sale proceeds by the dealership
("sold out of trust").
The above modeled assumptions form the basis of the quantitative analysis
executed through a simulation model. Manufacturer default is simulated,
which is further specified into Chapter 11 and Chapter 7 bankruptcies.
Manufacturer default probability is modeled based on committee assessment,
often with reference to the manufacturer rating. Next, the
simulation model simulates dealer default, which takes place randomly
throughout the two-year amortization period. The final step
in simulation is to calculate total principal collections. For
defaulted dealers, the model calculates total collateral at risk
determined by payment rate prior to dealer default and then applies a
recovery rate under different circumstances where the manufacturer is
either in a non-bankrupt status, a Chapter 11 bankruptcy
or a Chapter 7 bankruptcy.
Each simulation run simulates a total loss and corresponding internal
rate of return ("IRR") reduction for each bond. This
IRR reduction helps form the quantitative basis of our rating assessment.
Moody's also evaluates qualitative factors such as the quality of
provided information, servicer strength, and dealership profile.
Combining the qualitative and quantitative analysis, a final rating
level is determined.
Other methodologies and factors that may have been considered in the process
of rating this issue can also be found at www.moodys.com
in the Credit Policy & Methodologies directory, in the Ratings
Methodologies subdirectory.
SERVICER
GMAC provides wholesale, retail, and lease financing,
primarily to GM dealers and is one of the world's largest auto finance
companies. General Motor Corporation, headquartered in Detroit,
Michigan, is one the world's largest auto manufacturers.
GM's long-term unsecured bonds are rated Ca with a negative
outlook, while GMAC's long-term unsecured bonds are
rated C.
For more information, please see www.moodys.com.
New York
Mark DiRienz
Managing Director
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
New York
Wei Hu
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Moody's takes actions on GMAC auto floorplan transactions