NOTE: On July 09 2015, the press release was corrected as follows: In the debt list, under issuer Mid-State Trust IV, the following was added: “Underlying Rating Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on May 29, 2009 Upgraded to A2 (sf)" and "
Financial Guarantor: Capital Markets Assurance Corporation (Rating Withdrawn on December 19, 2011).” Revised release follows.
New York, July 06, 2015 -- Moody's Investors Service has upgraded the ratings of six tranches issued
by three Mid-State transactions. The collateral backing
these transactions consists primarily of stick-built single family
homes.
Complete rating action follows:
Issuer: Mid-State Capital Corporation 2004-1 Trust
Cl. A, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Mar 14,
2012 Downgraded to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on
Mar 14, 2012 Downgraded to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on
Sep 19, 2014 Upgraded to Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Sep 19,
2014 Upgraded to Ba2 (sf)
Issuer: Mid-State Trust IV
A, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on May 29, 2009 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Underlying Rating Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on May 29, 2009 Upgraded to A2 (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Capital Markets Assurance Corporation (Rating Withdrawn on December 19, 2011)
Issuer: Mid-State Trust VI
A-4, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Mar 14,
2012 Confirmed at Baa3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions are a result of the recent performance of the underlying
pools and reflects Moody's updated loss expectations on the pools.
The ratings upgraded are primarily due to the build-up in credit
enhancement from non-declining over-collateralization.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US RMBS Surveillance
Methodology" published in November 2013. Please see the Credit
Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the rating:
Ratings in the US RMBS sector remain exposed to the high level of macroeconomic
uncertainty, and in particular the unemployment rate. The
unemployment rate fell to 5.3% in June 2015 from 6.1%
in June 2014. Moody's forecasts an unemployment central range of
5% to 6% for the 2015 year. Deviations from this
central scenario could lead to rating actions in the sector. House
prices are another key driver of US RMBS performance. Moody's expects
house prices to continue to rise in 2015. Lower increases than
Moody's expects or decreases could lead to negative rating actions.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures.
Any change resulting from servicing transfers or other policy or regulatory
change can impact the performance of these transactions.
A list of these actions including CUSIP identifiers may be found at:
Excel: http://www.moodys.com/viewresearchdoc.aspx?docid=PBS_SF412235
A list of updated estimated pool losses is being posted on an ongoing
basis for the duration of this review period and may be found at:
Excel: http://www.moodys.com/viewresearchdoc.aspx?docid=PBS_SF336175
For more information please see www.moodys.com.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity
analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity
to Assumptions of the disclosure form.
The analysis relies on an assessment of collateral characteristics to
determine the collateral loss distribution, that is, the function
that correlates to an assumption about the likelihood of occurrence to
each level of possible losses in the collateral. As a second step,
Moody's evaluates each possible collateral loss scenario using a
model that replicates the relevant structural features to derive payments
and therefore the ultimate potential losses for each rated instrument.
The loss a rated instrument incurs in each collateral loss scenario,
weighted by assumptions about the likelihood of events in that scenario
occurring, results in the expected loss of the rated instrument.
Moody's quantitative analysis entails an evaluation of scenarios
that stress factors contributing to sensitivity of ratings and take into
account the likelihood of severe collateral losses or impaired cash flows.
Moody's weights the impact on the rated instruments based on its
assumptions of the likelihood of the events in such scenarios occurring.
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular
rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the
support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive
rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt,
in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed
prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would
have affected the rating. For further information please see the
ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this rating action, and
whose ratings may change as a result of this rating action, the
associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Angela Akwule
Associate Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Deepika Kothari
Senior Vice President
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Moody's upgrades $142.8 million of securities issued by three Mid-State transactions