NOTE: On May 08, 2014, the press release was revised as follows: In the first paragraph, added the following as the third sentence: “Moody’s has also affirmed the Prime-1 short-term ratings of BNP Paribas’s affected subsidiaries”.
In addition, in the list of affected ratings, for issuers BNP Paribas Securities Services and BNP Paribas, New York Branch, added: “Short-term Bank Deposit affirmed at P-1”. Revised release follows.
London, 04 April 2014 -- Moody's Investors Service has today upgraded to A1 from A2 the debt and
deposit rating of BNP Paribas, as well as the ratings of some of
its subsidiaries, and assigned a stable outlook. Concurrently,
Moody's raised BNP Paribas's baseline credit assessment to
baa1 from baa2 and affirmed the bank's standalone bank financial
strength rating (BFSR) of C- and Prime-1 short-term
rating. Moody’s has also affirmed the Prime-1 short-term ratings of BNP Paribas’s affected subsidiaries. A full list of affected entities and ratings is included
at the end of this press release.
The upgrade of the long-term ratings was prompted by Moody's
raising BNP Paribas's baseline credit assessment to baa1 from baa2,
reflecting the bank's (1) significant improvements in its liquidity
and funding profiles that we expect to endure and (2) reduced uncertainty
associated with its exposures to Italy. The rating also continues
to incorporate BNP's strong retail and commercial banking franchises
that generate significant earnings "shock-absorbers"
and its improved capital and leverage positions.
"The improvements in BNP's liquidity and funding position
and the reduction in uncertainties that the bank faces with regard to
its large exposures to Italy, have strengthened BNP's credit
profile" said Alessandro Roccati, Moody's Senior Vice President.
BNP's A1 supported long-term and deposit ratings are driven by
the baa1 unsupported credit assessment as well as Moody's view that senior
depositors and bondholders will very likely benefit from French government
support if needed, providing three notches of uplift from the unsupported
credit assessment. Moody's view on systemic support for BNP is
in line with the view it takes for the other large systemically important
French banks.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The raising of BNP's standalone credit assessment to baa1 from baa2
reflects, in part, BNP's continuing improvements in its liquidity
and funding profile. Liquidity buffers have increased and their
quality continues to improve, whilst short term wholesale funding
needs are reducing; these liquidity buffers are at a level in line
with that of most European banks with large capital markets activities.
Furthermore, the wholesale funding risk arising from BNP's
customer funding gap (the difference between customer deposits and customer
loans) has significantly declined resulting from an increase in deposits
and more effective asset and liability management, which we expect
to be sustained over the long term. Moody's notes,
however, that BNP's funding structure continues to depend
on a large amount of confidence-sensitive wholesale funding (EUR305
billion at end-2013 ) to support its substantial capital market
operations.
Today's action also reflects Moody's view that the potential
losses from BNP's exposures to Italy will be manageable in the context
of BNP's loss absorption capacity. BNP has large exposures
to the Italian economy mainly through its BNL retail customer loan book
(EUR80 billion at end-2013 or 13% of BNP group loans),
its large corporate loan book and its large holdings of Italian sovereign
bonds (EUR12 billion at end-2013 or 14% of shareholders'
equity) that remain subject to the unfavourable, albeit improving,
Italian economic environment. Whilst the ECB's comprehensive
assessment could generate additional credit adjustments in 2014,
we view BNL's risk as manageable for BNP. BNP's large
earnings "shock-absorbers" from its more stable and
profitable retail business lines in France and Belgium, insurance,
and asset and wealth management businesses provide comfortable buffers,
even in an Italian stress scenario. Longer term, we expect
BNL's weak profitability to show mild improvements driven by a moderate
decrease in its cost of credit.
BNP's standalone credit assessment of baa1 is also supported by
Moody's expectation that the bank's fundamentals will improve
over the next few years due to the reliability of earnings generation
and the bank's ability to continue to build capital organically.
BNP enjoys a position that includes strong retail and commercial banking
franchises across various product lines and geographies (representing
around two thirds of revenues) that will provide the bank with a stable
and low volatility earnings stream. Reliance on more volatile capital
market activities (at 14% of firm-wide revenue in 2013)
is lower than for its global peers, and is expected to remain at
this level. The moderate improvement in the outlook for the euro
area economy (representing around two thirds of BNP's credit exposures)
is also supportive of our standalone rating.
BNP's baa1 standalone credit assessment also incorporates its improved
capital and leverage positions. Moody's expects that BNP's
current position and strong operating capital generation will allow it
to be able to comply with more stringent regulatory requirements.
These include increasing capital requirements, the Basel 3 leverage
ratio and proposed rules on recovery and resolution, and requirements
in the US to set up an intermediate holding company (IHC). At end-2013,
the bank recorded a pro-forma Basel 3 common equity Tier 1 ratio
of 10.3%, slightly above the median of its peers and
a Basel 3 leverage ratio of 3.7%, well above the regulatory
requirement of 3% from 2018 and above the average of most European
banks with large capital markets activities.
RATIONALE FOR THE STABLE OUTLOOK
Moody's has assigned a stable outlook to the A1 long-term ratings
and C- BFSR to reflect its view of the bank's large and stable
shock-absorbing businesses that Moody's expects will provide
strong operating capital generation and advantages in terms of risk diversification
and loss absorption capacity. The stable outlook also incorporates
Moody's expectations regarding the sustainability of both BNP's
improved capital and leverage positions, which makes regulatory
pressures manageable; and its improved funding and liquidity position,
now more in line with international peers.
LIST OF AFFECTED RATINGS
The following ratings were affected and, where relevant, assigned
stable outlook.
BNP Paribas
- Bank Financial Strength Rating affirmed at C-
- Baseline Credit Assessment and adjusted Credit Assessment upgraded
to baa1 from baa2
- Long-term Bank Deposits upgraded to A1 from A2
- Short-term Bank Deposit and Deposit Note/CD Program affirmed
at P-1
- Issuer Rating upgraded to A1 from A2
- Other Short Term affirmed at (P)P-1
- Senior Unsecured upgraded to A1 from A2
- Senior Unsecured MTN upgraded to (P)A1 from (P)A2
- Subordinate upgraded to Baa2 from Baa3
- Subordinate MTN upgraded to (P)Baa2 from (P)Baa3
- Junior Subordinate upgraded to Baa3 from Ba1
- Junior Subordinate MTN upgraded to (P)Baa3 from (P)Ba1
- BACKED Senior Unsecured upgraded to A1 from A2
- BACKED Senior Unsecured MTN upgraded to (P)A1 from (P)A2
- BACKED Subordinate MTN upgraded to (P)Baa2 from (P)Baa3
- BACKED Other Short Term affirmed at (P)P-1
- Pref. Stock Non-cumulative upgraded to Ba1(hyb)
from Ba2(hyb)
BNP Paribas Canada
- BACKED Commercial Paper affirmed at P-1
BNP Paribas Finance, Inc.
- BACKED Commercial Paper affirmed at P-1
BNP Paribas Securities Services
- Bank Deposits upgraded to A1 from A2
- Short-term Bank Deposit affirmed at P-1
BNP Paribas US Medium-Term Note Program LLC
- BACKED Senior Unsecured upgraded to A1 from A2
- BACKED Senior Unsecured MTN upgraded to (P)A1 from (P)A2
- BACKED Subordinate upgraded to Baa2 from Baa3
- BACKED Subordinate MTN upgraded to (P)Baa2 from (P)Baa3
- BACKED Other Short Term affirmed at (P)P-1
BNP Paribas, Australian Branch
- Other Short Term affirmed at (P)P-1
- Senior Unsecured upgraded to A1 from A2
- Senior Unsecured MTN upgraded to (P)A1 from (P)A2
BNP Paribas, New York Branch
- Deposit Note/CD Program upgraded to A1 from A2
- Bank Deposits upgraded to A1 from A2
- Short-term Bank Deposit affirmed at P-1
Banque Paribas
- BACKED Senior Unsecured upgraded to A1 from A2
Compagnie Bancaire
- BACKED Senior Unsecured upgraded to A1 from A2
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Global Banks published
in May 2013. Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com
for a copy of this methodology.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular
rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the
support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive
rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt,
in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed
prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would
have affected the rating. For further information please see the
ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this rating action, and
whose ratings may change as a result of this rating action, the
associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Alessandro Roccati
Senior Vice President
Financial Institutions Group
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
United Kingdom
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Robert Franklyn Young
MD - Financial Institutions
Financial Institutions Group
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
United Kingdom
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Moody's upgrades BNP Paribas to A1 and assigns stable outlook