Hong Kong, June 20, 2017 -- Moody's Investors Service has today upgraded to Baa2 from Baa3 the
issuer rating and senior unsecured debt rating of ENN Energy Holdings
Limited.
The outlook for the ratings has changed to stable from positive.
RATINGS RATIONALE
"The ratings upgrade reflects the continued strengthening in ENN's
credit profile, supported by ongoing stability in its business model
and strong financial metrics that exceed our expectation for the previous
rating," says Ivy Poon, a Moody's Vice President and
Senior Analyst.
"We expect the company's financial profile will be consistent
with the Baa2 rating level in the next three years, due to healthy
operating cash flow and moderate capital spending plan," adds
Poon.
"However, China's evolving regulatory regime and ENN's
increasing exposure in energy trading will remain as the key challenges
for the company's rating," says Poon.
ENN's Baa2 rating is underpinned by the ongoing stability in its
business profile with an established market position and geographically
diversified operations. The company, one of the largest city
gas distributors in China (A1 stable), maintained a robust performance
over the past two years despite moderating gas demand.
Moody's expects ENN will continue to focus on organic growth in
the medium term. The risk of merger and acquisition activity has
declined considerably from two years ago, which had constrained
ENN's credit profile in the past.
Moody's expects the company's financial profile will remain
strong and consistent with its Baa2 rating over the next three years,
with funds from operations (FFO)/debt at 27%-30%,
retained cash flow (RCF)/debt at 19%-22%, and
debt/ EBITDA at around 2.7x. Annual capital expenditure
will be moderate at RMB4.0 billion-RMB5.0 billion.
The sound prospects for city gas distributors will further fuel the company's
business growth in the medium to long term.
The Chinese government reiterated its commitment to promoting natural
gas in its 13th Five Year Plan for natural gas development (2016-2020)
and in Dec 2016 published a consultation paper to promote the usage of
natural gas. The country aims to increase natural gas consumption
to 8%-10% of its primary energy mix by 2020 and 15%
by 2030, up from 5.9% in 2015.
Despite these favorable industry prospects, the evolving regulatory
regime and ongoing reforms in China's oil and gas sector continue
to constrain ENN's issuer rating.
In particular, the ongoing sector reforms could create near-term
volatility in ENN's financial performance.
ENN's Baa2 rating has incorporated the risk of a potential decline
in investment returns in its city gas projects. Moody's expects
ENN would have a moderate financial headroom against this potential volatility.
However, Moody's will reassess the rating impact if the regulatory
decision on the investment return is more serious to the extent that negatively
affects ENN's financial profile beyond Moody's expectation.
ENN has rapidly expanded its energy trading business --
mainly LNG wholesales -- in 2016. This unregulated business
entails higher business risk than the company's city gas projects.
Nevertheless, Moody's expects ENN will manage its business
model, especially for the LNG import in 2019, such that it
could minimize the relevant price risk and inventory risk.
The stable outlook reflects Moody's expectation that the company's
credit profile and the regulatory environment will remain stable over
the next 12-18 months.
Upward ratings pressure could emerge in case of (1) favorable regulatory
changes that significantly improve the company's ability to pass
through costs; (2) a material improvement in ENN's business
model and financial profile.
Financial metrics that could trigger an upgrade include RCF/debt above
28%-30% and debt/EBITDA below 2.2x,
on a sustained basis.
ENN's ratings could come under pressure in case of (1) unfavorable
regulatory changes that significantly impact the company's credit profile;
(2) a significant weakening of its credit metrics due to aggressive debt-funded
capital expenditure or acquisitions; (3) a material increase in the
risk exposure of its energy trading business.
Financial metrics that could trigger a downgrade include RCF/debt below
12%-15% and debt/EBITDA above 4.0x for a prolonged
period.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Regulated Electric
and Gas Utilities published in December 2013. Please see the Rating
Methodologies page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this
methodology.
ENN Energy Holdings Limited is listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.
The company constructs and operates facilities for city gas distribution
in a number of cities in China. In 2016, the company reported
total revenues of RMB34 billion.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to
each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their
credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating.
For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory
disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and
in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to
the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction
structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive
rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further
information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the
respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action,
and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action,
the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
The first name below is the lead rating analyst for this Credit Rating
and the last name below is the person primarily responsible for approving
this Credit Rating.
Ivy Poon
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Project & Infrastructure Finance
Moody's Investors Service Hong Kong Ltd.
24/F One Pacific Place
88 Queensway
Hong Kong
China (Hong Kong S.A.R.)
JOURNALISTS: 852 3758 1350
Client Service: 852 3551 3077
Terry Fanous
MD-Public Proj & Infstr Fin
Project & Infrastructure Finance
JOURNALISTS: 852 3758 1350
Client Service: 852 3551 3077
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service Hong Kong Ltd.
24/F One Pacific Place
88 Queensway
Hong Kong
China (Hong Kong S.A.R.)
JOURNALISTS: 852 3758 1350
Client Service: 852 3551 3077