Approximately $3.4 billion of asset backed securities affected
New York, January 14, 2010 -- Moody's Investors Service has upgraded the ratings of thirteen classes
of notes issued from nine auto lease securitizations sponsored by GMAC
Inc. ("GMAC"). The rating actions reflect the continued
improvement in performance, particularly with recoveries on residual
value from terminated leases. Furthermore, the ratings account
for the emergence from bankruptcy of General Motors Company ("New
GM"), the manufacturer of the underlying vehicles, and
reduced uncertainty surrounding the future of GMAC, the servicer
of the transactions; both lowering the potential for volatility of
future performance.
Weaker than expected residual value realization had motivated the previous
downgrades of these transactions. The concerns centered around
(1) the affect of a prolonged contentious GM bankruptcy on the recoveries
of the vehicles backing the underlying lease pool and (2) the ability
of GMAC, given its linkage to GM as its captive finance arm,
to effectively remarket the leases without any meaningful disruption.
The lack of historical precedents for a bankruptcy of such size in the
industry added to the uncertainty. Positive residual value realization
trends have enabled the affected securities to build substantial credit
enhancement. At the same time, the financial and operational
restructuring of GM and GMAC have alleviated immediate concerns about
the operational risk of these entities and its impact on the performance
of the transactions, though both firms continue to face longer-term
operating challenges.
General Motors Corporation ("Old GM") filed Chapter 11 bankruptcy on June
11, 2009. Moody's, however, did not observe
any material adverse impact of the Old GM bankruptcy on residual values.
Residual values experienced unprecedented volatility at various points
during the last fifteen months due to the broader macroeconomic environment
and the deteriorating financial condition of the auto industry.
They stabilized for GM as well as the industry during first half of 2009
and improved further into the second half of the year. The swift
and successful emergence of New GM from bankruptcy on July 10 through
support from the U.S. government seems to have mitigated
downward pressure on GM residual values. Other factors that could
have contributed to the improving trends include increased consumer demand
for used vehicles as a cheaper alternative to buying a new vehicle.
Uncertainties relating to the role of GMAC as the servicer, particularly
its ability to remarket a sizeable number of off-lease vehicles
in a short period of time, were mitigated by the U.S.
government's support and increasing stake in the company that have improved
its liquidity and capital positions. The agreement with Chrysler
LLC to provide financing to Chrysler dealers and customers further strengthened
GMAC's competitive position in the market.
The senior securities that were upgraded to Aaa are expected to withstand
residual value loss per vehicle of approximately 50% or higher
during the peak period of lease maturities. This level is roughly
twice the average peak residual value loss levels experienced by the sector
during the second half of 2008, when losses were at their highest.
Residual value losses on turned-in vehicles fluctuated from low-to-mid
single digits from the second quarter of 2008 to mid 20% range
during the last quarter. The senior securities that were upgraded
to Aa are expected to withstand residual value loss per vehicle of approximately
40% to 50% during the peak period of lease maturities.
Moody's also took the distribution of lease maturities into consideration
in deriving the final ratings. The transactions where leases are
expected to mature in the near term are more likely to benefit from the
current rebound in the vehicle market. Conversely, transactions
where lease maturities are further out into 2011 are subject to greater
uncertainty.
The principal methodology used in rating the transaction is "Auto Lease
Securitization: Moody's Rating Approach," November 1998,
which can be found at www.moodys.com in the Rating Methodologies
sub-directory under the Research & Ratings tab. The
rating actions are based on the credit enhancement available relative
to the probability-based loss expectation. Other methodologies
and factors that may have been considered in the process of rating these
transactions can also be found in the Rating Methodologies sub-directory
on Moody's website.
In addition, Moody's publishes a weekly summary of structured finance
credit, ratings and methodologies, available to all registered
users of our website, at www.moodys.com/SFQuickCheck.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Capital Auto Receivables Asset Trust 2007-SN2
Cl. A-3, Upgraded to Aaa; previously on 7/30/2009,
Baa1 Placed on Review for Possible Upgrade
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Aaa; previously on 7/30/2009,
Baa1 Placed on Review for Possible Upgrade
Cl. B, Upgraded to Aa2; previously on 7/30/2009,
Baa3 Placed on Review for Possible Upgrade
Cl. C, Upgraded to A2; previously on 7/30/2009,
Ba3 Placed on Review for Possible Upgrade
Cl. D, Upgraded to Baa2; previously on 7/30/2009,
B3 Placed on Review for Possible Upgrade
Issuer: Capital Auto Receivables Asset Trust 2007-SNE
Cl. A, Upgraded to Aa1; previously on 7/30/2009,
Baa1 Placed on Review for Possible Upgrade
Issuer: Capital Auto Receivables Asset Trust 2007-SNG
Cl. A, Upgraded to Aa2; previously on 7/30/2009,
Baa1 Placed on Review for Possible Upgrade
Issuer: Capital Auto Receivables Asset Trust 2008-SNA
Cl. A, Upgraded to Aa2; previously on 7/30/2009,
Baa1 Placed on Review for Possible Upgrade
Issuer: Capital Auto Receivables Asset Trust 2008-SNB
Cl. A, Upgraded to Aa2; previously on 7/30/2009,
Baa1 Placed on Review for Possible Upgrade
Issuer: Capital Auto Receivables Asset Trust 2008-SND
Cl. A, Upgraded to Aa2; previously on 7/30/2009,
Baa1 Placed on Review for Possible Upgrade
Issuer: Capital Auto Receivables Asset Trust 2008-SNE
Cl. A, Upgraded to Aa3; previously on 7/30/2009,
Baa1 Placed on Review for Possible Upgrade
Issuer: Capital Auto Receivables Asset Trust 2008-SNF
Cl. A, Upgraded to Aa3; previously on 7/30/2009,
Baa1 Placed on Review for Possible Upgrade
Issuer: Capital Auto Receivables Asset Trust 2008-SNH
Cl. A, Upgraded to Aaa; previously on 7/30/2009,
A2 Placed on Review for Possible Upgrade
SERVICER
GMAC provides wholesale, retail, and lease financing,
primarily to General Motors Company and Chrysler dealers and is one of
the world's largest auto finance companies. GMAC's senior unsecured
rating was upgraded from C to Ca on June 10, 2009. The rating
remains under review for further possible upgrade. The upgrade
and the review reflect the firm's lower bankruptcy risk resulting from
the U.S. government's support of the firm, including
significant capital injections that have improved its liquidity and capital
positions; U.S. government ownership of approximately
56% of common equity; and GMAC's role in the U.S.
government's efforts to reinvigorate the U.S. domestic auto
industry. General Motors Company ("New GM"), headquartered
in Detroit, Michigan, is one the world's largest auto manufacturers.
New York
Luisa De Gaetano
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
New York
Sanjay Wahi
Asst Vice President - Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Moody's upgrades GMAC auto lease securitizations