London, 27 November 2015 -- Moody's Investors Service has today upgraded the rating of the Class C
notes to Baa1 (sf) from Ba1 (sf) and affirmed the ratings of the Class
A and B notes in Magellan Mortgages No. 2 plc. The rating
upgrade reflects (1) the increased level of credit enhancement for the
affected note and (2) the assignment of Banco Comercial Portugues,
S.A.'s Counterparty Risk ("CR") Assessment on 11 June 2015.
Issuer: Magellan Mortgages No. 2 plc
....EUR930M Class A Notes, Affirmed
A1 (sf); previously on Feb 6, 2015 Upgraded to A1 (sf)
....EUR40M Class B Notes, Affirmed A1
(sf); previously on Feb 6, 2015 Upgraded to A1 (sf)
....EUR25M Class C Notes, Upgraded to
Baa1 (sf); previously on Feb 6, 2015 Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating action is prompted by (1) the deal deleveraging resulting in
an increase in credit enhancement for the notes and (2) the assignment
of Banco Comercial Portugues, S.A.'s CR assessment
to Ba3 (cr). Banco Comercial Portugues, S.A.
acts as the servicer in the transaction.
Moody's affirmed the ratings of the notes that had sufficient credit enhancement
to maintain current rating on the affected notes.
Increase in Available Credit Enhancement
Sequential amortization and non-amortising reserve funds led to
the increase in the credit enhancement available in this transaction.
For instance, the credit enhancement for the Class C tranche affected
by today's rating action increased from 7.66% to 8.58%
since the last rating action in February 2015.
Counterparty Exposure
Today's rating actions took into consideration the notes'
exposure to relevant counterparties, such as servicer, account
banks or swap providers.
Banco Comercial Portugues, S.A., acting as the
servicer and collateral account bank in the transaction, has been
assigned a CR assessment of Ba3 (cr) on 11 June 2015. Moody's matches
banks' exposure in structured finance transactions to the CR Assessment
for commingling risk, and to the bank deposit rating when analyzing
set-off risk. Moody's used a recovery rate assumption of
45% for both exposures.
Key Collateral Assumptions:
As part of the rating action, Moody's reassessed its lifetime loss
expectation for the portfolio reflecting the collateral performance to
date. Moody's has maintained the expected loss assumption at 2.15%
as a percentage of original pool balance and the portfolio credit Milan
assumption at 7.5%.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Approach
to Rating RMBS Using the MILAN Framework" published in January 2015.
Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for
a copy of this methodology.
The analysis undertaken by Moody's at the initial assignment of ratings
for RMBS securities may focus on aspects that become less relevant or
typically remain unchanged during the surveillance stage. Please
see Moody's Approach to Rating RMBS Using the MILAN Framework for further
information on Moody's analysis at the initial rating assignment and the
on-going surveillance in RMBS.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Factors or circumstances that could lead to an upgrade of the ratings
include (1) performance of the underlying collateral that is better than
Moody's expected, (2) deleveraging of the capital structure,
(3) improvements in the credit quality of the transaction counterparties
and (4) a decrease in sovereign risk.
Factors or circumstances that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings
include (1) an increase in sovereign risk, (2) performance of the
underlying collateral that is worse than Moody's expected, (3) deterioration
in the notes' available credit enhancement and (4) deterioration in the
credit quality of the transaction counterparties.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity
analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity
to Assumptions of the disclosure form.
The analysis relies on an assessment of collateral characteristics to
determine the collateral loss distribution, that is, the function
that correlates to an assumption about the likelihood of occurrence to
each level of possible losses in the collateral. As a second step,
Moody's evaluates each possible collateral loss scenario using a
model that replicates the relevant structural features to derive payments
and therefore the ultimate potential losses for each rated instrument.
The loss a rated instrument incurs in each collateral loss scenario,
weighted by assumptions about the likelihood of events in that scenario
occurring, results in the expected loss of the rated instrument.
Moody's quantitative analysis entails an evaluation of scenarios
that stress factors contributing to sensitivity of ratings and take into
account the likelihood of severe collateral losses or impaired cash flows.
Moody's weights the impact on the rated instruments based on its
assumptions of the likelihood of the events in such scenarios occurring.
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular
rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the
support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive
rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt,
in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed
prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would
have affected the rating. For further information please see the
ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this rating action, and
whose ratings may change as a result of this rating action, the
associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Cristina Quintana
Associate Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
United Kingdom
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Carole Bernard
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Alexander Roll
Associate Analyst
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
United Kingdom
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Moody's upgrades one note and affirms two notes in Portuguese Magellan Mortgages No. 2 plc