London, 23 November 2015 -- Moody's Investors Service has today upgraded the ratings of seven notes
and affirmed the rating of one note in two Italian transactions (Bipitalia
Residential S.r.l. and Voba Finance S.r.l.)
and one Belgian transaction (PENATES FUNDING N.V./ S.A.,
Compartment PENATES-4).
Please refer to the end of the Ratings Rationale section for a list of
affected ratings.
RATINGS RATIONALE
Today's upgrades (other than tranche C in Bipitalia Residencial S.r.l.)
and affirmation reflect the correction of an error in our assessment of
the account bank risk in each of the three transactions.
Today's upgrade of the rating of tranche C in Bipitalia Residencial
S.r.l. reflects the reduced uncertainty related to
the collateral assumption of this seasoned portfolio.
Correction of our assessment of the account bank risk in the transactions:
In line with application of 'The Temporary Use of Cash in Structured
Finance Transactions: Eligible Investment and Bank Guidelines' cross-sector
methodology we apply the relevant ratings cap unless the modeling of the
risk results in a materially different outcome. In this case the
account bank risk was not modelled and, had it been it would have
resulted in a higher rating and the cap therefore would not have applied.
The Class B of Penates-4 had model result in line with the current
rating.
Reduced uncertainty of Key collateral assumptions:
Moody's reviewed the key collateral assumptions for the three transactions.
Expected loss and MILAN CE assumptions remain unchanged for the three
deals.
However, given the recent more favorable economic conditions ( low
interest rates, slightly higher GDP growth and slightly improved
unemployment rate) as well as stability in the delinquencies and defaults
of the Italian RMBS market we believe uncertainty in the sector in general,
and in these two seasoned transactions in particular, has reduced.
Due to the reduced uncertainty in the sector, we have removed the
additional stress analysis of key collateral assumptions.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Approach
to Rating RMBS Using the MILAN Framework" published in January 2015.
Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for
a copy of this methodology.
The analysis undertaken by Moody's at the initial assignment of ratings
for RMBS securities may focus on aspects that become less relevant or
typically remain unchanged during the surveillance stage. Please
see Moody's Approach to Rating RMBS Using the MILAN Framework for further
information on Moody's analysis at the initial rating assignment and the
on-going surveillance in RMBS.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Factors or circumstances that could lead to an upgrade of the ratings
include (1) further decrease in sovereign risk in the case of Italian
deals; (2) better-than-expected performance of the
underlying collateral; (3) deleveraging of the capital structure;
and (4) improvements in the credit quality of the transaction counterparties.
Factors or circumstances that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings
include (1) an increase in sovereign risk; (2) worse-than-expected
performance of the underlying collateral; (3) deterioration in the
notes' available credit enhancement; and (4) deterioration in the
credit quality of the transaction counterparties.
LIST OF AFFECTED RATINGS
Issuer: Bipitalia Residential S.r.l.
....EUR733M A2 Notes, Upgraded to Aa2
(sf); previously on Apr 1, 2015 Upgraded to A1 (sf)
....EUR16M B Notes, Upgraded to Aa2
(sf); previously on Apr 1, 2015 Upgraded to A1 (sf)
....EUR19M C Notes, Upgraded to Aa3
(sf); previously on Apr 1, 2015 Upgraded to A3 (sf)
Issuer: PENATES FUNDING N.V./ S.A.,
Compartment PENATES-4
....EUR8077.5M A Notes, Upgraded
to Aaa (sf); previously on Jun 23, 2015 Affirmed Aa1 (sf)
....EUR472.5M B Notes, Affirmed
Aa1 (sf); previously on Jun 23, 2015 Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
Issuer: Voba Finance S.r.l.
....EUR295.05M A2 Notes, Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf); previously on Apr 1, 2015 Upgraded to Aa3 (sf)
....EUR5.65M B Notes, Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf); previously on Apr 1, 2015 Upgraded to Aa3 (sf)
....EUR5.65M C Notes, Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf); previously on Apr 1, 2015 Upgraded to Aa3 (sf)
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity
analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity
to Assumptions of the disclosure form.
The analysis relies on an assessment of collateral characteristics to
determine the collateral loss distribution, that is, the function
that correlates to an assumption about the likelihood of occurrence to
each level of possible losses in the collateral. As a second step,
Moody's evaluates each possible collateral loss scenario using a
model that replicates the relevant structural features to derive payments
and therefore the ultimate potential losses for each rated instrument.
The loss a rated instrument incurs in each collateral loss scenario,
weighted by assumptions about the likelihood of events in that scenario
occurring, results in the expected loss of the rated instrument.
Moody's quantitative analysis entails an evaluation of scenarios
that stress factors contributing to sensitivity of ratings and take into
account the likelihood of severe collateral losses or impaired cash flows.
Moody's weights the impact on the rated instruments based on its
assumptions of the likelihood of the events in such scenarios occurring.
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series
or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings
are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's
rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular
rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the
support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings,
this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive
rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt,
in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed
prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would
have affected the rating. For further information please see the
ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
support from the primary entity(ies) of this rating action, and
whose ratings may change as a result of this rating action, the
associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures,
if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure
to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit
rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
review.
The below contact information is provided for information purposes only.
Please see the ratings tab of the issuer page at www.moodys.com,
for each of the ratings covered, Moody's disclosures on the
lead analyst and the Moody's legal entity that has issued the ratings.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to
the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued
the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Christophe Larpin
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
United Kingdom
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Masako Oshima
Senior Vice President/Manager
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Alexander Roll
Associate Analyst
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
One Canada Square
Canary Wharf
London E14 5FA
United Kingdom
JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454
Moody's upgrades seven notes and affirms one note in two Italian and one Belgian transaction