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Rating Action:

Moody's upgrades the rating of USD 26 million of CLO notes issued by Harch CLO II Limited

19 Aug 2013

Moody's also downgrades the rating of USD 7 million of notes and affirms the ratings of $42.4 million of notes

New York, August 19, 2013 -- Moody's Investors Service announced today that it has upgraded the rating of the following notes issued by Harch CLO II Limited :

U.S. $26,000,000 Class D Deferrable Floating Rate Notes Due October 22, 2017, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on July 15, 2013 Ba1 (sf) Placed Under Review for Possible Upgrade.

Moody's also downgraded the rating of the following notes:

U.S. $10,000,000 Class E Deferrable Floating Rate Notes Due October 22, 2017 (current outstanding balance of $7,060,555), Downgraded to B3 (sf); previously on March 21, 2013 Affirmed B1 (sf).

Additionally, Moody's affirmed the ratings of the following notes:

U.S. $38,000,000 Class B Floating Rate Notes Due October 22, 2017 (current outstanding balance of $28,405,313), Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on March 21, 2013 Affirmed Aaa (sf);

U.S. $14,000,000 Class C Deferrable Floating Rate Notes Due October 22, 2017, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on July 15, 2013 Upgraded to Aaa (sf).

RATINGS RATIONALE

According to Moody's the rating action taken on Class D Notes is primarily a result of the improvement in the transaction's overcollateralization ratios since the rating action in March 2013. Moody's notes the Class B, Class C, and Class D Notes continue to benefit from the deleveraging of the senior notes. According to the latest trustee report, dated July 2013, the Class A/B, Class C and Class D overcollateralization ratios are reported at 201.5%, 155.1% and 108.6%, respectively, versus February 2013 levels of 146.4%, 129.4% and 106.3%, respectively.

Notwithstanding benefits of deleveraging, Moody's noted a number of credit concerns that resulted in the rating action taken on the Class E Notes. In particular, Moody's observed a reduction in the transaction's excess interest since the rating action in March 2013. A high level of loan prepayments and collateral sales in the past six months have reduced the amount of excess interest proceeds that can be diverted to amortize the Class E Notes in case the Class E Par Value Test is not satisfied. As a result, the credit enhancement benefit that Class E Notes can expect to receive from this "turbo" structural feature has declined. In addition, the Class E overcollateralization ratio has deteriorated since February 2013. The Class E Par Value Test is reported at 100.0% in the July 2013 trustee report compared to the February 2013 level of 101.2%. Based on its calculation, Moody's also notes that the diversity score has declined to 22 compared to 36 at the time of the rating action in March 2013.

Moody's also announced that it has concluded its review of its ratings on the issuer's Class D Notes announced on July 15, 2013. At that time, Moody's said that it had upgraded and placed certain of the issuer's ratings on review primarily as a result of substantial deleveraging of the senior notes and increases in OC ratios resulting from high rates of loan collateral prepayments during the first half of 2013.

Moody's notes that the key model inputs used by Moody's in its analysis, such as par, weighted average rating factor, diversity score, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on its published methodology and may be different from the trustee's reported numbers. In its base case, Moody's analyzed the underlying collateral pool to have a performing par and principal proceeds balance of $71.9 million, defaulted par of $9.7 million, a weighted average default probability of 12.46% (implying a WARF of 2357), a weighted average recovery rate upon default of 48.39%, and a diversity score of 22. The default and recovery properties of the collateral pool are incorporated in cash flow model analysis where they are subject to stresses as a function of the target rating of each CLO liability being reviewed. The default probability is derived from the credit quality of the collateral pool and Moody's expectation of the remaining life of the collateral pool. The average recovery rate to be realized on future defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance trends and collateral manager latitude for trading the collateral are also factors.

Harch CLO II Limited, issued in November 2005, is a collateralized loan obligation backed primarily by a portfolio of senior secured loans.

The principal methodology used in this rating was "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in May 2013. Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.

Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3 of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2013.

In addition to the base case analysis described above, Moody's also performed sensitivity analyses to test the impact on all rated notes of various default probabilities. Below is a summary of the impact of different default probabilities (expressed in terms of WARF levels) on all rated notes (shown in terms of the number of notches' difference versus the current model output, where a positive difference corresponds to lower expected loss), assuming that all other factors are held equal:

Moody's Adjusted WARF -- 20% (1886)

Class B: 0

Class C: 0

Class D: +2

Class C: +3

Moody's Adjusted WARF + 20% (2829)

Class B: 0

Class C: 0

Class D: -1

Class C: -1

Moody's notes that this transaction is subject to a high level of macroeconomic uncertainty, as evidenced by 1) uncertainties of credit conditions in the general economy and 2) the large concentration of upcoming speculative-grade debt maturities which may create challenges for issuers to refinance. CLO notes' performance may also be impacted by 1) the manager's investment strategy and behavior and 2) divergence in legal interpretation of CLO documentation by different transactional parties due to embedded ambiguities.

Sources of additional performance uncertainties are described below:

1) Deleveraging: The main source of uncertainty in this transaction is whether deleveraging from unscheduled principal proceeds will continue and at what pace. Deleveraging may accelerate due to high prepayment levels in the loan market and/or collateral sales by the manager, which may have significant impact on the notes' ratings.

2) Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in defaulted assets reported by the trustee and those assumed to be defaulted by Moody's may create volatility in the deal's overcollateralization levels. Further, the timing of recoveries and the manager's decision to work out versus sell defaulted assets create additional uncertainties. Moody's analyzed the deal's sensitivity to various recovery rates assumed for current holdings of defaulted (or assumed to be defaulted) assets, including with respect to a position in a Ca-rated security representing 2.5% of total par.

Further information on Moody's analysis of this transaction is available on www.moodys.com.

REGULATORY DISCLOSURES

Moody's did not receive or take into account a third-party assessment on the due diligence performed regarding the underlying assets or financial instruments related to the monitoring of this transaction in the past six months.

For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.

For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit support from the primary entity(ies) of this rating action, and whose ratings may change as a result of this rating action, the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity. Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures, if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.

Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating review.

Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.

Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.

Xixian Feng
Associate Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

Ramon O Torres
Senior Vice President/Manager
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

Moody's upgrades the rating of USD 26 million of CLO notes issued by Harch CLO II Limited
No Related Data.
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