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Related Issuers
Rating Action:

Moody's upgrades the rating of notes issued by Nicholas-Applegate CBO I

28 Mar 2011

USD $12.8 million of debt securities affected

New York, March 28, 2011 -- Moody's Investors Service announced today that it has upgraded the rating of the following notes issued by Nicholas-Applegate CBO I:

U.S.$12,830,000 Class C Participating Notes, Due 2012, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on May 5, 2009 Downgraded to C (sf).

RATINGS RATIONALE

According to Moody's, the rating action taken on the notes results primarily from the delevering of the Class A, Class B-1 and Class B-2 Notes, which have been paid down by approximately 95% or $28 million since the rating action in June 2010. Moody's expects the remainder of the Class B-1 and Class B-2 Notes to be paid in full within six months on the next payment date in August 2011. In addition to principal pay downs, excess spread is currently being diverted to pay down the Class B Notes as a result of the failure of the Class C Par Value Test. As a result of the delevering, the overcollateralization ratios have increased since the rating action in June 2010. As of the latest trustee report dated March 10, 2011, the Class B and Class C overcollateralization ratios are reported at 1028.4% and 102.1%, respectively, versus May 2010 levels of 138.8% and 96.6%, respectively.

Due to the impact of revised and updated key assumptions referenced in "Moody's Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" and "Annual Sector Review (2009): Global CLOs," key model inputs used by Moody's in its analysis, such as par, weighted average rating factor, diversity score, and weighted average recovery rate, may be different from the trustee's reported numbers. In its base case, Moody's analyzed the underlying collateral pool to have a performing par and principal proceeds balance of $11.5 million, defaulted par of $7.5 million, a weighted average default probability of 16.13% (implying a WARF of 5006), a weighted average recovery rate upon default of 17.39%, and a diversity score of 5. These default and recovery properties of the collateral pool are incorporated in cash flow model analysis where they are subject to stresses as a function of the target rating of each CLO liability being reviewed. The default probability is derived from the credit quality of the collateral pool and Moody's expectation of the remaining life of the collateral pool. The average recovery rate to be realized on future defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance trends and collateral manager latitude for trading the collateral are also factors.

Nicholas-Applegate CBO I, issued in August 2000, is a collateralized bond obligation backed primarily by a portfolio of senior unsecured bonds.

The principal methodology used in this rating was"Moody's Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in August 2009. This publication incorporates rating criteria that apply to both collateralized loan obligations and collateralized bond obligations. Other methodologies and factors that may have been considered in the process of rating this issuer can also be found on Moody's website.

Moody's Investors Service did not receive or take into account a third party due diligence report on the underlying assets or financial instruments related to the monitoring of this transaction in the past six months.

Moody's modeled the transaction using the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1 of the "Moody's Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" rating methodology published in August 2009. In addition, due to the low diversity of the collateral pool, CDOROM 2.6 was used to simulate a default distribution that was then applied as an input in the cash flow model.

In addition to the base case analysis described above, Moody's also performed sensitivity analyses to review the impact on all the rated notes of various default scenarios beyond the default probabilities implied by Moody's ratings. A default by any of the remaining obligations in the portfolio could cause the Class C Notes in particular to be undercollateralized and would adversely impact the rating.

Moody's notes that this transaction is subject to a high level of macroeconomic uncertainty, as evidenced by 1) uncertainties of credit conditions in the general economy and 2) the large concentration of speculative-grade debt maturing between 2012 and 2014 which may create challenges for issuers to refinance. CDO notes' performance may also be impacted by 1) the manager's investment strategy and behavior and 2) divergence in legal interpretation of CDO documentation by different transactional parties due to embedded ambiguities.

Sources of additional performance uncertainties are described below:

1. Delevering: The main source of uncertainty in this transaction is whether delevering from unscheduled principal proceeds will continue and at what pace. Delevering may accelerate due to high prepayment levels in the bond market and/or collateral sales by the manager, which may have significant impact on the notes' ratings.

2. Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in defaulted assets reported by the trustee and those assumed to be defaulted by Moody's may create volatility in the deal's overcollateralization levels. Further, the timing of recoveries and the manager's decision to work out versus sell defaulted assets create additional uncertainties. Moody's analyzed defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price and the recovery rate in order to account for potential volatility in market prices.

3. Lack of portfolio granularity: The performance of the portfolio depends to a large extent on the credit conditions of a few large obligors, including some rated Caa and Ca, especially when they experience jump to default. Due to the deal's low diversity score and lack of granularity, Moody's supplemented its typical Binomial Expansion Technique analysis with a simulated default distribution using Moody's CDOROM(TM) software and/or individual scenario analysis.

Further information on Moody's analysis of this transaction is available on www.moodys.com. In addition, Moody's publishes a weekly summary of structured finance credit, ratings and methodologies, available to all registered users of our web site, at www.moodys.com/SFQuickCheck.

REGULATORY DISCLOSURES

Information sources used to prepare the credit rating are the following: parties involved in the ratings, public information, and confidential and proprietary Moody's Investors Service information.

Moody's Investors Service considers the quality of information available on the issuer or obligation satisfactory for the purposes of maintaining a credit rating.

Moody's adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality and from sources Moody's considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, Moody's is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process.

Please see ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on Moodys.com for the last rating action and the rating history.

The date on which some Credit Ratings were first released goes back to a time before Moody's Investors Service's Credit Ratings were fully digitized and accurate data may not be available. Consequently, Moody's Investors Service provides a date that it believes is the most reliable and accurate based on the information that is available to it. Please see the ratings disclosure page on our website www.moodys.com for further information.

Please see the Credit Policy page on Moodys.com for the methodologies used in determining ratings, further information on the meaning of each rating category and the definition of default and recovery.

New York
Connie Li
Associate Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

New York
Ramon O. Torres
Senior Vice President
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

Moody's Investors Service
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

Moody's upgrades the rating of notes issued by Nicholas-Applegate CBO I
No Related Data.
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