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Credit ratings and analysis on banks and securities firms, insurance, real estate and non-bank finance companies.


  • 16 Apr 2014
    • Australian and Canadian banks share many credit strengths, but differ on capital deployment
      Banks in Canada and Australia, two of the highest Moody's rated banking systems globally, benefit from favorable industry structures and strong domestic retail franchises that support solid earnings and internal capital generation. In both systems a relatively small number of large banks dominate, posting profitability metrics that compare very favorably with global peers. But capital allocation strategies in the two systems diverge: Canadian banks invest a greater proportion of their earnings in international operations, while Australian banks return more to shareholders... Press Release l Full Report
    • Italian banks’ recent capital increases are credit positive ahead of AQR
      Eight of the 15 Italian banks participating in the European Central Bank’s comprehensive assessment recently announced plans for capital increases totalling almost €8 billion. Capital increases are broadly credit positive, but challenges remain for certain Italian banks ahead of the Asset Quality Review exercise that forms part of the comprehensive assessment... Full Report
    • Poor economic outlook in Russia will pressure banks’ asset quality and profitability
      We expect Russia to slide into recession in 2014, with GDP shrinking by around 1%, as slowing consumption growth, stagnating investment and a weak external environment are exacerbated by the political and economic uncertainty in Ukraine. Bank credit was already under pressure because of structural issues facing the Russian system, including capacity constraints, a shrinking work force and low diversification beyond oil and gas. This secular shift to lower growth, combined with additional Ukraine-related volatility, will have a more adverse effect on Russian banks than the US Fed tapering... Full Report
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