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Bart Oosterveld
Managing Director

Elena Duggar
Group Credit Officer

Asia-Pacific and Middle East

Tom Byrne
Senior Vice President


Yves Lemay
Managing Director

Dietmar Hornung
Associate Managing Director

Sarah Carlson
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer

Latin America

Mauro Leos
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer

Supranational Entities/Multilateral Development Banks

Steven Hess
Senior Vice President

Sovereign & Supranational

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Research on sovereign nations, sovereign-related agencies, and supranational institutions.


  • 23 Apr 2014
    • Economic recovery among CEE sovereigns underpins stabilizing credit trends, despite higher debt
      The economic recovery that began throughout Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) in late 2013 supports the stabilizing creditworthiness of the region’s sovereigns. As fiscal consolidation measures ease, the five key CEE sovereigns – the Czech Republic (A1 stable), Poland (A2 stable), Slovakia (A2 stable), Slovenia (Ba1 stable) and Hungary (Ba1 negative) – will have more flexibility to adjust to what we consider to be a ‘new normal’ of higher government debt and less affordable interest burdens. However, the uneven economic recovery in these countries and lingering economic and fiscal challenges mean that upgrades are unlikely over the next 12-18 months... Press Release l Sovereign Outlook Report
  • 11 Apr 2014
    • Turkey's rating outlook changed to negative because of domestic political turbulence
      We changed the outlook on Turkey's Baa3 sovereign rating to negative from stable because the domestic political turbulence and lower global liquidity are weakening the country's external financing position. These factors are in turn adversely affecting foreign and domestic investor confidence. The more uncertain policy environment is also casting doubt over Turkey’s prospects for growth-enhancing structural reforms and thus its medium-term growth… Press Release l Credit Opinion
  • 31 Mar 2014
    • Low inflation and low growth hanging over euro area credit profiles
      Our report considers the impact that a prolonged period of very low inflation and weak economic growth would have on the credit profile of various euro area asset classes. Under our scenario analysis, which assumes a gradual increase in inflation to 1.8% in 2018, the credit effects on euro area sovereigns and other issuers would not be very severe. However, the recovery in most sectors would weaken, leading to more negative ratings outlooks than might otherwise be expected… Full Report
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