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Alastair Wilson
Global Managing Director

Thorsten Nestmann
Group Credit Officer

Asia-Pacific and Middle East

Atsi Sheth
Associate Managing Director

Anne Van Praagh
Managing Director


Yves Lemay
Managing Director

Dietmar Hornung
Associate Managing Director

Latin America

Mauro Leos
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer

Anne Van Praagh
Managing Director


Matt Robinson
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer

Yves Lemay
Managing Director

Supranational Entities/Multilateral Development Banks

Steven Hess
Senior Vice President

Anne Van Praagh
Managing Director

Sovereign & Supranational

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Research on sovereign nations, sovereign-related agencies, and supranational institutions.


  • 10 May 2016
    • Broadly negative outlook for CIS sovereigns based on low oil price and spillover from Russia's recession
      The considerable terms-of-trade shock resulting from the collapse in oil prices since mid-2014 will continue to drive a broadly negative credit outlook for the nine sovereigns in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) over the next two years. The steep fall in oil export prices was a key cause of Russia’s ongoing recession, which has adversely affected neighbouring economies. In addition, domestic and geopolitical tensions are further complicating economic policy manoeuvrability in several countries…Full Report
    • Chinese sovereign exposed to sizeable and rising contingent liabilities
      The liabilities of Chinese state-owned enterprises (SOEs) rose to 115% of 2015 GDP from less than 100% in 2012, posing larger potential contingent liabilities to the government of China (Aa3 negative) than for any other rated sovereign. While only a fraction of the SOE-related liabilities is likely to crystallize on the Chinese government’s balance sheet, we estimate that SOE debt poses material risk amounting to 20%-25% of China’s GDP…Full Report
  • 3 May 2016
    • Delays in concluding Greece’s bailout program review are credit negative
      The delays in concluding the review of Greece’s current €86 billion bailout programme increase the risk of a new liquidity squeeze in the economy and undermine economic confidence. Between May and December, Greece will have to pay interest and amortisation costs totalling €7.5 billion, of which €5.0 billion (mostly to the IMF and European Central Bank) are due in June and July alone. Yet the next disbursement of €5.7 billion under the bailout programme can only take place after Greece and its official creditors, the European Commission and the International Monetary Fund, have concluded the negotiations they began in February... Full Report
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