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Kumar Kanthan
Senior Vice President
Kumar.kanthan@moodys.com

Sharon Ou
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer
Sharon.ou@moodys.com

Default & Ratings Analytics

Moody's Default and Ratings Analytics team publishes Moody’s default studies, ratings transitions and ratings performance studies for corporates, financial institutions, sovereign and sub-sovereign, public finance and infrastructure sectors. DRA also publishes impairment and loss studies for structured finance sectors. Additionally, DRA publishes analytical research reports on topics that are of interest to broader fixed-income markets community.​

Highlights

  • 19 Feb 2018
    • Global speculative-grade corporate default rate to decline to 1.7% this year
      We forecast that the global speculative-grade corporate default rate will decline to 1.7% in 2018 from 2.9% in 2017 as faster GDP growth in the G-20 countries, recovery in commodity prices, healthy corporate earnings and low refunding risk support credit conditions. Full Report​​
  • 8 Feb 2018
    • Global speculative-grade default rate ticks down to 2.8% in January
      With seven defaults in January, the trailing 12-month global speculative-grade default rate fell to 2.8% from 2.9% in December and 4.6% a year ago. The oil & gas sector accounted for three defaults, but we expect default activity in the sector to continue its recent slowdown. Full Report​ ​
  • 20 Dec 2017
    • Distressed exchanges will remain a common avenue of default
      Distressed exchanges grew to nearly 40% of defaults of North American non-financial companies after the global financial crisis, and they will remain common because their main drivers—private equity ownership, growth of the distressed debt asset class and weakening debt covenants—are still in place.  Full Report
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