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Kumar Kanthan
Senior Vice President

Sharon Ou
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer

Default & Ratings Analytics

Moody's Default and Ratings Analytics team publishes Moody’s default studies, ratings transitions and ratings performance studies for corporates, financial institutions, sovereign and sub-sovereign, public finance and infrastructure sectors. DRA also publishes impairment and loss studies for structured finance sectors. Additionally, DRA publishes analytical research reports on topics that are of interest to broader fixed-income markets community.​


  • 11 Dec 2018
    • November 2018 Default Report: Default rate to end this year at 2.0%
      Moody’s trailing 12-month global speculative-grade default rate fell to its lowest level since May 2015, declining to 2.3% in November. We predict the rate will end this year at 2.0%, then continue its downward path for a few more months before gradually rising to 2.4% by the end of November 2019. Full Report
  • 8 Nov 2018
    • October Default Report: Default outlook remains benign for 2019
      The global speculative-grade default rate slipped to 2.6% at the end of October, the lowest level in the past three years. Looking ahead, our default rate forecasting model signals a modest level of defaults over the next 12 months.  Full Report
  • 10 Oct 2018
    • Cross-Sector - Global: September Default Report
      The corporate default count continued to fall in the third quarter compared with the quarterly tally earlier this year. We recorded 10 corporate defaults in the third quarter, down from 17 in the second quarter and 29 in the first quarter. Full Report
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