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Kumar Kanthan
Senior Vice President - Default and Ratings Analytics
Kumar.kanthan@moodys.com

Sharon Ou
Senior Credit Officer - Default and Ratings Analytics
Sharon.ou@moodys.com

Praveen Varma
Director of Research
Praveen.Varma@moodys.com​​

Default & Ratings Analytics

Moody's Default and Ratings Analytics team publishes Moody’s default studies, ratings transitions and ratings performance studies for corporates, financial institutions, sovereign and sub-sovereign, public finance and infrastructure sectors. DRA also publishes impairment and loss studies for structured finance sectors. Additionally, DRA publishes analytical research reports on topics that are of interest to broader fixed-income markets community.​

Highlights

  • 11 Sep 2017
    • Global spec-grade default rate falls below 3% for first time since 2015
      Moody’s trailing 12-month global speculative-grade default rate closed at 2.9% in August, the first time it has fallen below 3% since October 2015. We expect the rate to continue its downward trajectory despite some geopolitical uncertainties, reflecting a relatively narrow high-yield spread and stable commodity prices. Press Release l Full Report
  • 21 Aug 2017
    • Rising stars outnumber fallen angels in second quarter
      There were 12 fallen angels and 18 rising stars among global non-financial corporates and financial institutions in the second quarter of 2017. Our Credit Transition Model predicts that the rates at which investment-grade companies fall to speculative grade and vice versa will increase by the end of the year. Full Report
  • 11 Aug 2017
    • Asian high-yield non-financial corporate default rate to remain low at end-2017
      We expect a default rate of 2.9% at year end, reflecting broad-based global growth, the recovery of commodity prices and our expectation of cautious monetary tightening in major economies. Press Release l Full Report
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