Moody's Investors Service
ASIA PACIFIC WEEKLY
28 Sep - 5 Oct 2016
 

This week’s Asia Pacific Weekly covers a number of our publications on Japanese credit.

First, we published two reports that assess the impact of the earthquakes in the Kumamoto region in Japan in April this year on the performance of Japanese asset-backed securities (ABS) and residential mortgage backed securities (RMBS) transactions that we rate.

Second, we published our annual outlook for Japan’s banking system, highlighting that strong liquidity, low domestic asset risk and sufficient capital keep the outlook stable.

Third, we also published the latest edition of our Inside Japan newsletter, which this month focuses on the country’s most recent monetary stimulus measures.

Elsewhere, we published a comment on the bankruptcy on 29 September of Dongbei Special Steel, which in our view signals a shift by both the Chinese government and creditors towards a more market-oriented approach to resolving the debt problems of defaulted state-owned enterprises.

On the events front, our Annual India Credit Conference takes place tomorrow in Singapore. And if you missed our webcast on India’s banking system last week, you can listen to a replay of the event here.

For full details on all our upcoming events as well as replays, please refer to the list below.

 

Best regards,

MinYe

Min Ye
Managing Director – Regional Head Asia Pacific

To access the information within this email we ask that you register to Moodys.com. Registration is complimentary.

 

 
In This Edition
 

RESEARCH

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Global Structured Finance Collateral Performance Review
[4 Oct] Delinquencies for Australian auto loan ABS and for Australian RMBS have increased over the six months to July 2016, as well as year-on-year.

Ausdrill Limited, Barminco Holdings : Companies Are Strongest of Weak Peer Group
[4 Oct] The credit profiles of these two mining service providers have improved during the past year and will remain stronger than their rated Australian peers’, reflecting lower debt, earnings growth from new contracts and a bottoming out of industry conditions.

Inside Japan – October 2016
[2 Oct] The latest edition of Moody’s newsletter says that persistent low economic growth and inflation in Japan has prompted a shift toward greater monetary and fiscal accommodation, leading Moody’s to raise its forecasts for real GDP growth to 0.7% this year and 0.9% in 2017, following a 0.5% increase in 2015.

China Credit Market: Dongbei Special Steel Bankruptcy Highlights Restructuring Shift for SOEs
[30 Sep] In particular, the bankruptcy indicates that government owners as well as creditors are taking a more market-oriented approach to resolving the debt problems of defaulted SOEs.

ABS - Japan: Repurchase Rate Rose Following Kumamoto Earthquakes, but Overall Impact Minimal
[30 Sep] Some originators accepted to reschedule the loans for people affected by the disaster, and rescheduled loans are generally repurchased by originators in Japan. Overall, the Japanese ABS that we rate have only a small exposure to the earthquake-affected areas.

Banking System Outlook — Japan: Strong Liquidity, Low Domestic Asset Risk and Sufficient Capital Keep Outlook Stable
[29 Sep] The stable outlook reflects Moody’s expectation that the banks’ operating environment, asset risk and liquidity will remain stable, outweighing pressure on domestic profitability from the Bank of Japan’s negative interest rate policy.

RMBS - Japan: Performance Remained Strong in Q2 2016 Following Earthquakes; Prepayments at Record High
[28 Sep] The RMBS index pool has limited exposure to mortgages on properties in the Kumamoto where the April earthquakes took place. We expect the performance of the pool to remain stable over the next year, and no notable deterioration owing to damage caused by the earthquakes.

 Moody’s Credit Outlook on 29 Sep and 3 Oct

[3 Oct] China Evergrande’s Disposal of Non-Core Business Will Improve Profitability; Portugal Moves to Limit Banks’ Contributions to Resolution Fund, a Credit Positive; Deutsche Post’s Acquisition of UK Mail Is Credit Positive; Greece Moves Closer to €2.8 Billion Disbursement of Bailout Funding, a Credit Positive.

[29 Sep] India’s Rafale Purchase Is Credit Positive for Dassault, Thales, Airbus, BAE Systems and Finmeccanica; Maersk’s Planned Split Is Credit Negative; Saudi Banks Will Benefit from Central Bank’s Latest Liquidity Support; Draft Capital Requirements for Canadian Mortgage Insurers Are Credit Positive.


 

RATING EVENTS

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AUSTRALIA
[4 Oct] Moody's assigns provisional ratings to Pepper's second non-conforming RMBS transaction for 2016
[29 Sep] Moody's assigns Baa1 to GAIP 144A Notes
[28 Sep] Moody's assigns provisional ratings to Macquarie Leasing's second auto ABS transaction for 2016

CHINA

[3 Oct] Moody's downgrades Hua Han to Caa1; outlook negative
[30 Sep] Moody's revises China Aoyuan's rating outlook to positive
[28 Sep] Moody's downgrades Hua Han to B1; reviews rating for further downgrade
[28 Sep] Moody's assigns first-time B2 rating to Guanghui Group

HONG KONG

[4 Oct] Moody's assigns (P)Baa1 rating to Champion REIT's MTN Program and Baa1 to notes drawdown
[29 Sep] Moody's assigns A3 rating to CK Hutchison's USD and euro notes; outlook stable
[28 Sep] Moody's assigns definitive Ba3 to Greenland Hong Kong Holdings' perpetual capital securities

INDIA
[3 Oct] Moody's downgrades GAIL's rating to Baa3; Outlook positive in line with sovereign's outlook
[28 Sep] Moody's assigns Baa3 (sf) to Sansar Trust Sep 2016; Shriram-sponsored auto loan ABS in India

INDONESIA
[30 Sep] Moody's places Gajah Tunggal's B2 rating on review for downgrade

JAPAN
[4 Oct] Moody's assigns a provisional rating to Auto Loan ABS Program 1610 Series
[3 Oct] Moody's assigns (P)A3 to Chubu Electric Power's domestic shelf registration
[30 Sep] Moody's upgrades Japanese RMBS, L-STaRS One
[30 Sep] Moody's assigns (P)Aa3 to Osaka Gas's domestic shelf registration
[30 Sep] Moody's assigns definitive rating to Absolute 1609 backed by auto loan receivables
[30 Sep] Moody's assigns first-time A3 rating to Nissan Canada Financial Services; outlook stable
[30 Sep] Moody's assigns definitive rating to Auto Loan Trust Receivable ABL
No.210168
[30 Sep] Moody's downgrades Arch Finance Limited Series 2010-001 repackaged notes
[29 Sep] Moody's assigns definitive rating to SoftBank's terminal installment sales receivables ABS deal
[29 Sep] Moody's assigns definitive rating to SB's handset receivables ABS
[29 Sep] Moody's assigns definitive ratings to SB handset ABS transaction
[29 Sep] Moody's upgrades Trust Fontana 2 backed by Japanese residential mortgages
[28 Sep] Moody's withdraws Norinchukin Finance (Cayman) Limited's (P)A2 BACKED Subordinate MTN for business reasons

MALAYSIA
[4 Oct] Moody's assigns (P)A3 to Tenaga's sukuk program

SINGAPORE
[4 Oct] Moody's withdraws Sintex's Ba2 rating
[30 Sep] Moody's withdraws Keppel REIT's Baa3 rating

THAILAND
[29 Sep] Moody's assigns Baa1 to KASIKORNBANK's USD note drawdown

 


 

ANNOUNCEMENTS

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CHINA
[4 Oct] Moody's: Evergrande's proposed reorganization would strengthen its access to equity capital
[4 Oct] Moody's: Tingyi's purchase of 5% stake in subsidiary has no immediate rating impact
[29 Sep] Moody's: China Evergrande's disposal of non-core businesses will improve profitability
[28 Sep] Moody's: China Metallurgical Group's 1H 2016 results support its Baa3 ratings

 


 

MOODY'S EVENTS

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Moody’s Annual India Credit Conference: Impact of Bond Market Reforms; Future Issuance Trends
Singapore, 6 Oct

Sponsorship: World Bank - Singapore Infrastructure Finance Summit: Connectivity and Sustainability in an Era of Volatile Markets and Disruptive Technologies
Singapore, 17 Oct

Moody's Briefing: Japanese Automakers - Industry Trends and How Ratings Consider Environmental Risks
Tokyo, 18 Oct

Moody’s Inside ASEAN – Spotlight on Indonesia (Jakarta), 3 November 2016
Jakarta, 3 Nov

Moody’s & KIS 2017 Korea Credit Outlook Conference: Korean Credit in a Challenging Environment: Slower Global Growth, China’s Economic Restructuring, Rising Geopolitical Risks
Seoul, 22 Nov

Click below to access teleconference / webcast replay. (*Free registration is required)

Moody's Webcast: UPL Corporation Limited: Behind the First-Time Baa3 Rating

Moody’s Webcast: Indian Banking System: Asset Quality Is at Cycle Bottom, But How Long Before a Recovery?

 


 

MOODY'S TRAINING SEMINARS

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HONG KONG
Advanced Bank Risk Analysts, 31 Oct-2 Nov
Moody’s Project Finance Masterclass, 31 Oct-2 Nov
Analyzing Sovereign and Country Risk, 3-4 Nov
Structured Finance, 16-18 Nov
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 28-30 Nov
Insurance Credit Analysis, 5-7 Dec
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 8-9 Dec

KUALA LUMPUR
Islamic Finance – Risk Management, 21-22 Nov
Islamic Finance – Sukuk: Theory and Practice, 23-24 Nov

SINGAPORE
Advanced Corporate Credit Analysis, 5-7 Oct
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 17-18 Oct
Insurance Credit Analysis, 19-21 Oct
Covenants & Documentation, 3 Nov
Structured Finance, 21-23 Nov
Advanced Bank Risk Analysis, 21-23 Nov
Analyzing Sovereign and Country Risk, 24-25 Nov
Fundamentals of Corporate Credit, 6-9 Dec
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 12-14 Dec
Covenants & Documentation, 15 Dec

SYDNEY
Advanced Corporate Credit Analysis, 10-12 Oct
Covenants and Documentation, 14 Oct
Insurance Credit Analysis, 28-30 Nov
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Analysis, 1-2 Dec

TOKYO

Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 13-14 Oct
Moody’s Project Finance Masterclass, 26-28 Oct
Insurance Credit Analysis, 7-9 Nov
Credit Reasoning & Writing, 10-11 Nov
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 21-23 Nov
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 1-2 Dec

 


  CONTACT US Back to top button  
 

Asia Pacific Client Desk
Research & Subscriptions
+852.3551.3077

Kelly Moy
Associate Managing Director
North Asia
+852.3758.1323

Vineet Gupta
Vice President
India
+91.750.625.0104

Cynthia Zhao
Vice President
North China - Beijing
+86.10.6319.6566

Maria Lee
Vice President
South China - Hong Kong
+852.3758.1338

Yasushi Furuya
VP-Account Management
Japan
+81.3.5408.4272

James Flitton
Vice President
Singapore
+65.6398.8338

Miki Zhou
Vice President
Central China - Shanghai
+86.21.6101.0227

 


 

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