Moody's Investors Service
ASIA PACIFIC WEEKLY
18-25 May 2016
 

In this week’s Asia Pacific Weekly, we take a close look at Chinese regional and local governments' fiscal and economic positions, which improved in Q1 2016, according to key quarterly statistics. We expect this positive trend to continue in the coming quarters as China's real estate market and macro-economy stabilize.

We also examine revenue growth at Chinese construction companies, which is slowing gradually against the backdrop of the country’s economic slowdown and its reform process. But revenue growth at our rated companies will likely outpace the industry average owing to their positions of market leadership.

And the May edition of Inside ASEAN focuses on the Philippine election; the consequent political transition, with Rodrigo Duterte as the presumptive president-elect, is unlikely to immediately affect the country’s sovereign credit profile. Since 2010, the Philippines has benefited from a pick-up in economic growth, improved price stability, fiscal and debt consolidation, and a robust external payments position.

In terms of events, Moody's Conference “Understanding the Risks of High and Rising Leverage” will be held in Beijing on 31 May, Shanghai on 2 June, Singapore on 7 June, and Hong Kong on 14 June.

And for those who missed our live webcast and teleconference “Government of China: Exposed to Sizeable and Rising Contingent Liabilities,” the live replay is available here.

Please click on the hyperlinks to register. A full list of our upcoming events is provided below.

Finally, Moody’s Investors Service has been awarded “Best Islamic Ratings Agency” at the Asset Triple A Islamic Finance Awards 2016 held on 24 May 2016 at the Shangri-La Hotel in Kuala Lumpur. The award reflects our strong contributions in 2015 for the Islamic Finance sector in terms of ratings, research and outreach.

 

Best Regards,

MinYe

Min Ye
Managing Director – Regional Head Asia Pacific

To access the information within this email we ask that you register to Moodys.com. Registration is complimentary.

 

 
In This Edition
 

RESEARCH

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Construction Companies--China: Revenue Growth Is Slowing Gradually Alongside Economic Growth and Reform
[24 May] We expect revenue growth of the Chinese construction industry to be in the low-single-digit percentage year-on-year in 2016, similar to the 2% recorded in 2015 but down from 8.7% in 2014. The slowdown in revenue growth is gradual owing to construction companies' large order backlogs and the long lead time for project completion.

Inside ASEAN: May Edition
[23 May] Our May edition focuses on effects of Philippine election, 1MDB, sovereign outlooks, and Singapore's three largest banks.

Sub-Sovereign: Chinese Regional and Local Government Debt and Finances  Snapshot
[23 May] Chinese regional and local governments (RLGs) will likely demonstrate improved
fiscal and economic positions throughout 2016, but such positions will vary widely among RLGs across the country, with provinces heavily exposed to excess capacity industries—such as steel and coal—lagging behind.

Thai Banking System Outlook: Strong Loss Buffers and Steady Profits Support Stable Outlook
[23 May] The banks' high provisions and strong capitalization levels—against the backdrop of the slow credit growth environment—will allow them to maintain their credit profiles over the next 12-18 months.

Indian auto ABS: Defaults Will Remain Low Despite High Pre-90-Day Delinquencies
[19 May] Defaults in Indian auto loan asset-backed securities transactions will remain  low despite the high proportion of loans that are less than 90 days delinquent. To a large extent these early delinquencies prove temporary and the proportion of loans that are still delinquent after 90 days, and  particularly after 180 days, drops away significantly

Global Macro Outlook 2016-17 -- Further Weakness in Emerging  Markets Amid Persistent Downside Risks
[19 May] We lowered our 2016 growth forecasts for Argentina, Brazil, Mexico and Turkey, as the effects of the weaker external demand and lower commodity prices have compounded domestic structural and political challenges.

Moody’s Credit Outlook on & 19 May & 23 May

[19 May] US Department Store Sales Register More Declines; Japanese Megabanks’ Exposure to Energy and Resource-Related Businesses Is Credit Negative; and more

[23 May] Pfizer's Pricey Deal for Anacor Is Credit Negative; Midea's Offer to Buy Out KUKA's Shareholders Is CreditPositive for KUKA; Re-Proposed and Strengthened Pay Rules for US Banks Are Credit Positive; and more


 

RATING EVENTS

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AUSTRALIA
[18 May] Moody's affirms and will withdraw all ratings of BOQ Specialist Bank Limited
[23 May] Moody's affirms (P)Aa2 rating assigned to the LGFV Program Trust's medium term note programme

CHINA
[18 May] Moody's assigns (P)A3/(P)P-2 ratings to CCBL (Cayman) 1's proposed MTN program
[19 May] Moody's downgrades Baosteel's ratings; outlook negative
[20 May] Moody's assigned A1 IFSR to CPIC Life
[20 May] Moody's assigns Prime-1 to CIMC Fortune's short-term promissory notes programme
[23 May] Moody's confirms Agile's Ba3 corporate family rating and B1 bond ratings; outlook negative
[24 May] Moody's downgrades Greenland Holding and Greenland Hong Kong; outlook negative
[24 May] Moody's affirms (P)Aa3 for China Development Bank's debt issuance program

HONG KONG
[19 May] Moody's changes Cheung Kong Property's A3 rating outlook to positive

JAPAN
[18 May] Moody's affirms Honda's A1 rating; changes outlook to negative

INDIA
[19 May] Moody's revises Adani Ports' ratings outlook to negative from stable
[23 May] Moody's assigns Baa3 to Axis Bank's proposed green bond

INDONESIA
[23 May] Moody's assigns (P)B1 to Sritex's proposed notes

KOREA
[20 May] Moody's assigns first-time A2 rating to Korea's SR Co. Ltd

 


 

ANNOUNCEMENTS

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AUSTRALIA
[18 May] Moody's Retires Residential Mortgage Servicer Quality Methodology in Australia
[24 May] Moody's: Falling revenues lead to higher deficits for Northern Territory

CHINA
[20 May] Moody's: Midea Group's takeover bid for Germany's KUKA has no rating impact
[23 May] Moody's: Sunac's ratings unaffected by proposed acquisition of property projects

HONG KONG
[20 May] Moody's: Johnson Electric's rating unaffected by weaker year-on-year profitability for FY2016
[20 May] Moody's: Anton's Caa1 ratings capture liquidity risk from covenant breaches

INDIA
[23 May] Moody's: JSW Steel to post better earnings in FY2017; rating unaffected
[24 May] Moody's: Tata Power's FY2016 results are in line with expectations

 


 

MOODY'S EVENTS

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Moody's Mid-Year China Conference: Understanding the Risks of High and Rising Leverage
穆迪年中信用研讨会:诠释高杠杆以及杠杆继续攀升的风险
Beijing, 31 May

Moody's Mid-Year China Conference: Understanding the Risks of High and Rising Leverage
穆迪年中信用研讨会:诠释高杠杆以及杠杆继续攀升的风险
Shanghai, 2 June

Euromoney China Debt Capital Markets Summit
Beijing, 2 June

Moody's Conference: Understanding the Risks of High and Rising Leverage in China
Singapore, 7 June

Moody's Conference: Understanding the Risks of High and Rising Leverage in China
Hong Kong, 14 June


Click below to access teleconference / webcast replay. (*Free registration is required)

Japanese Electronics Manufacturers - Panasonic, TDK and Sony: Credit Implications of Strategic Shift to the Automotive-Related Business

Moody's Global Teleconference Series: The outcome of rating reviews of 16 oil-exporting countries (APAC)

Moody's Live Webcast and Teleconference - Government of China: Exposed to Sizeable and Rising Contingent Liabilities (APAC)

穆迪网络直播和电话会议 (以普通话进行) - 中国政府: 面临庞大且不断上升的或有负债 (北京/香港时间)

 


 

MOODY'S TRAINING SEMINARS

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HONG KONG
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 20-22 Jun
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 23-24 Jun
Counterparty Credit Risk, 15-16 Aug
Introduction to Derivatives, 17-18 Aug
Advanced Corporate Credit Analysis, 5-7 Sep
Credit Reasoning & Writing, 8-9 Sep

KUALA LUMPUR
Islamic Finance – Risk Management, 21-22 Nov
Islamic Finance – Sukuk: Theory and Practice, 23-24 Nov

SINGAPORE
Corporate Cash Flow Analysis, 1-3 June
Bank Regulation: Impact and Implications of Evolving Regimes, 11-12 Aug
Analyzing Sovereign and Country Risk, 15-16 Aug
Advanced Bank Risk Analysis, 17-19 Aug
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 31 Oct-2 Nov
Covenants & Documentation, 3 Nov
Fundamentals of Corporate Credit, 6-9 Dec

SYDNEY
Insurance Credit Analysis, 4-6 July
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 7-8 July
Fundamentals of Corporate Credit, 29 Aug-1 Sep
Advanced Corporate Credit Analysis, 11-13 Oct
Covenants and Documentation, 14 Oct

TOKYO
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 1-2 Dec

 


  CONTACT US Back to top button  
 

Soo-Jung Kim
Representative Director
Korea and Mongolia
+82.2.787.2273

Vineet Gupta
Vice President
India
+91.750.625.0104

Asia Pacific Client Desk
Research & Subscriptions
+852.3551.3077

Yasushi Furuya
VP-Account Management
Japan
+81.3.5408.4272

James Flitton
Vice President
Singapore
+65.6398.8338

Maria Lee
Vice President
South China - Hong Kong
+852.3758.1338

Kelly Moy
Senior Vice President
North Asia
+852.3758.1323

Cynthia Zhao
Vice President
North China - Beijing
+86.10.6319.6566

Miki Zhou
Vice President
Central China - Shanghai
+86.21.6101.0227

 


 

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