Moody's Investors Service
ASIA PACIFIC WEEKLY
22-29 Jul 2015
 

In this week’s Asia Pacific Weekly, we again examine China’s Belt and Road initiative, this time with a focus on emerging markets sovereigns. The initiative -- which has become a cornerstone of Beijing’s foreign economic policy -- will mostly benefit smaller sovereigns with relatively low per-capita incomes, financing constraints on their current account positions and low investment rates.

We also take a close look at the rapid growth in margin financing of Chinese securities firms, which peaked at 4.3% of the A-share tradable market cap on 18 June 2015.

And we discuss in detail the findings from our recent market polling on Asian banks, which shows that the unwinding of asset bubbles is considered the top macroeconomic threat to banks in the region in the coming 12 months, followed by a growth slowdown in China.

Our latest issues of Structured Thinking Asia Pacific, China Property Focus, Quarterly China Shadow Banking Monitor and Inside China are now available.

On the events front, we will be holding a briefing in Tokyo on 12 August on the outlook for the Japanese pharmaceutical industry. Please refer to the list below for full details of our events.

Finally, FinanceAsia’s annual APAC Fixed Income Poll is now live. If you would like to vote for Moody’s, please go here. We appreciate your support!

 

Best regards,

MinYe

Min Ye
Managing Director – Regional Head Asia Pacific

To access the information within this email we ask that you register to Moodys.com. Registration is complimentary.

 

 
In This Edition
 

RESEARCH

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Structured Thinking Asia Pacific
[28 Jul] This edition of Moody's newsletter reports that delinquency rates for Chinese auto loan asset backed securities increased in Q1 2015 from levels seen in Q4 2014. However, delinquency rates remain at low levels.

China's Belt and Road Strategy -- Credit Positive for Emerging Markets
[28 Jul] The Silk Road Economic Belt and 21st Century Maritime Silk Road, which China refers to as its "Belt and Road"  strategy, or "One Belt, One Road," will mostly benefit smaller sovereigns with relatively low per-capita incomes, financing constraints on their  current account positions, and low investment rates.

Korea, Government of: Tighter Household Debt Management Poses Downside Risk to Growth in 2016
[28 Jul] Korea's (Aa3 positive) latest measures to contain the country's high levels of household debt will have a positive long-term effect on financial stability and ultimately support the sovereign credit profile.

Credit Analysis: Sri Lanka
[28 Jul] Sri Lanka's B1 government bond rating is supported by its record of strong growth, but constrained by high government debt  ratios.

China Property Focus
[27 Jul] Offshore bond issuance by Chinese property developers has slowed significantly
year-to-date because of the relatively small volume of maturing bonds and the slowdown in land acquisitions by developers so far in 2015.

Moody's Poll Cites Asset Bubbles, Not Market Volatility, As Top Credit Risk
[27 Jul] Our recent investor poll on Asian banks has shown that the unwinding of asset bubbles is the top macroeconomic threat to Asian banks in the coming 12 months, followed by a growth slowdown in China.

Quarterly China Shadow Banking Monitor
[27 Jul] While tighter regulations in China have been effective in slowing the growth of core shadow banking activity, other shadow banking activities have been expanding more rapidly.

Banking System Outlook: Hong Kong
[24 Jul] The outlook for Hong Kong's banking system is negative, as it has been since June 2013, reflecting an operating environment with notable systemic imbalances and loose monetary conditions.

Inside China
[23 Jul] This edition of Inside China says that China's One Belt, One Road initiative will channel investment into the country's underdeveloped inland and western provinces. The strategy will also benefit certain financial institutions and corporates, promote the internationalization of the renminbi, and help the country export overcapacity in industries such as steel and construction.

Public Support and Strong Capital Mitigate the Downside Risks for Margin Financing
[23 Jul] The rapid growth in margin financing, which peaked at 4.3% of the A-share tradable market cap on 18 June 2015, has—in the current market downturn—exposed securities firms to substantial market and credit risks, even as the business generated interest income and boosted profitability.

Moody’s Credit Outlook on 23 and 27 Jul

[23 Jul] Lockheed Martin Bets on Future at Some Expense to the Present; Boeing’s Tanker Program Needs More Fuel, a Credit Negative; China Railway Construction’s Private Placement Is Credit Positive; and more

[27 Jul] Greece’s Bank Resolution Legislation Is Credit Negative for Unsecured Creditors; Korean Policy Banks’ Rising Exposure to Shipbuilders Is Credit Negative for All Banks; Korea’s Banks Will Benefit from New Measures to Strengthen Mortgage Underwriting; Marubeni’s Additional Investment in Gavilon Is Credit Negative; and more


 

RATING EVENTS

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AUSTRALIA
[23 Jul] Moody's assigns definitive Aaa to Westpac's Series 2015-C5 mortgage covered bonds
[24 Jul] Moody's assigns definitive Aaa to CBA's Series 44 mortgage covered bonds

CHINA
[22 Jul] Moody's assigns definitive ratings to Driver China two Trust
[23 Jul] Moody's upgrades China Vanke's ratings; outlook stable
[23 Jul] Moody's assigns A1 to China Construction Bank-supported bonds of China Minsheng Investment's subsidiary
[24 Jul] Moody's assigns A1 to Bank of China-supported bonds of Goldwind New Energy (HK) Investment Limited
[27 Jul] Moody's assigns Baa1 to China Merchants'  proposed USD notes
[28 Jul] Moody's affirms COFCO HK's A3 ratings; outlook stable

INDONESIA
[23 Jul] Moody's assigns (P)Baa3 rating to Indonesia's global bond offering

JAPAN
[24 Jul] Moody's rates Chiba Bank's USD senior unsecured bonds at A1
[24 Jul] Moody's assigns a definitive Ba1 rating to SoftBank's senior unsecured foreign currency notes
[27 Jul] Moody's affirms A1 (sf) rating for Bora 1 backed by residential mortgages insured by JHF
[27 Jul] Moody's affirms A1 IFSR of Meiji Yasuda, outlook stable

KOREA
[22 Jul] Moody's assigns Aa3 to notes issued by KEXPORT LEASING 2015 and guaranteed by KEXIM
[24 Jul] Moody's: POSCO's ratings unaffected by moderate Q2 results
[24 Jul] Moody's: Hyundai Steel's robust Q2 results support its Baa3 ratings and positive outlook
[27 Jul] Moody's upgrades SK Innovation and SK Global Chemical to Baa2; outlook stable

SINGAPORE
[23 Jul] Moody's affirms OBC's deposit ratings at Baa3; assigns CRA of Baa3(cr)
[23 Jul] Moody's affirms GATE's Caa3 ratings; outlook negative
[27 Jul] Moody's assigns A3 to Cagamas Global's proposed SGD senior unsecured notes

 


 

ANNOUNCEMENTS

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AUSTRALIA
[23 Jul] Moody's: CIMIC's 1H2015 results show improved credit profile; no rating impact

CHINA
[22 Jul] Moody's: GLP's new CLF II facilitates future expansion in China; no immediate rating impact
[22 Jul] Moody's: SGID's ratings unaffected by new ultra-high voltage transmission project in Brazil
[22 Jul] Moody's: Youngor's equity investment is credit positive for CITIC Ltd and CITIC Group
[24 Jul] Moody's: Resignation of auditors is credit negative for Sound Global, but no rating impact
[24 Jul] Moody's: Acquisition of Shanghai commercial property will narrow Link REIT's rating headroom
[24 Jul] Moody's: ZhengTong's potential auto supply chain spinoff is credit positive
[27 Jul] Moody's: Fantasia's consent solicitation will not affect ratings
[27 Jul] Moody's: No immediate ratings impact from Franshion's profit warning
[27 Jul] Moody's: Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties' proposed domestic bonds issuance is credit positive
[28 Jul] Moody's: Mengniu's proposed share issuance to Danone has no immediate impact on Mengniu' ratings
[28 Jul] Moody's : Tingyi's proposed bonds have no immediate impact on its ratings

INDONESIA
[28 Jul] Moody's: XL's liquidity is stronger than Indosat's but long-term foreign-exchange risk is higher

JAPAN
[22 Jul] Moody's Comments on Toshiba's Announcement

KOREA
[23 Jul] Moody's: S-OIL's robust 2Q results support its Baa2 rating
[23 Jul] Moody's: Hyundai Motor's moderate Q2 results still in line with its Baa1 rating
[24 Jul] Moody's: Kia Motors' moderate 2Q results in line with its Baa1 rating
[24 Jul] Moody's: SK Hynix's Ba1 rating unaffected by weaker Q2 2015 results and share buyback
[28 Jul] Moody's: Hyundai Mobis' moderate 2Q results are in line with its Baa1 rating

SINGAPORE
[24 Jul] Moody's: HPHT's 1H 2015 performance in line with expectations

 


 

MOODY'S EVENTS

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Moody's Briefing: Outlook for the Japanese Pharmaceutical Industry
Tokyo, 27 Aug

Click below to access teleconference / webcast replay. (*Free registration is required)

China Series - China: One Belt, One Road Is Credit Positive, Despite Rising Overseas Risk Exposure

Singapore and Asian Banks Resilient to Ongoing Challenges

Shanghai Electric Power Company Ltd: Behind the First-Time Baa2 Issuer Rating and (P)Baa2 Bond Rating

SoftBank’s New US Dollar/Euro Bond Issuance - Factors Behind our Recent Ratings and Outlook Affirmation and View on the Bond Issuance

 


 

MOODY'S TRAINING SEMINARS

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HONG KONG
Counterparty Credit Risk, 18-19 Aug
Advanced Corporate Credit Analysis, 7-9 Sep
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 2-4 Nov
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 5-6 Nov
Insurance Credit Analysis, 25-27 Nov

KUALA LUMPUR
Islamic Finance – Risk Management, 23-24 Nov
Islamic Finance – Sukuk: Theory and Practice, 25-26 Nov

SINGAPORE
Bank Regulation: Impact and Implications of Evolving Regimes, 13-14 Aug
Analyzing Sovereign and Country Risk, 17-18 Aug
Advanced Bank Risk Analysis, 19-21 Aug
Corporate Credit & Cash Flow Analysis, 7-9 Sep
Covenants & Documentation, 11 Nov
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 17-19 Nov
Fundamentals of Corporate Credit, 8-11 Dec

SYDNEY
Insurance Credit Analysis, 26-28 Aug
Fundamentals of Corporate Credit, 31 Aug-3 Sep
Advanced Corporate Credit Analysis, 13-15 Oct
Covenants & Documentation, 16 Oct
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 19-21 Oct
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 22-23 Oct

TOKYO
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 3-4 Dec

 


  CONTACT US Back to top button  
 

Soo-Jung Kim
Representative Director
Korea and Mongolia
+82.2.787.2273

Vineet Gupta
Vice President
India
+91.750.625.0104

Asia Pacific Client Desk
Research & Subscriptions
+852.3551.3077

Yasushi Furuya
VP-Account Management
Japan
+81.3.5408.4272

James Flitton
Vice President
Singapore
+65.6398.8338

Maria Lee
Vice President
South China - Hong Kong
+852.3758.1338

Kelly Moy
Associate Managing Director
North Asia
+852.3758.1323

Cynthia Zhao
Vice President
North China - Beijing
+86.10.6319.6566

Miki Zhou
Vice President
Central China - Shanghai
+86.21.6101.0227

 


 

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