Moody's Investors Service
ASIA PACIFIC WEEKLY
21 – 28 Sep 2016
 

This week’s Asia Pacific Weekly covers research ranging from the property and oil industries to a potential shift in US trade policy after the presidential election in November.

Our property research includes a report published today on real estate investment trusts (REITs) in Australia, and the latest developments in the residential property market in China. Meanwhile, our stable outlook for the Asian refining and marketing industry reflects the slow but steady demand growth from China and India.

On the credit implications for Asia Pacific sovereigns of a potential shift in US policies, we discuss changes in trade and investment if the next US administration adopts a less proactive stance on foreign engagement over time.

In the structured finance space, our research examines – among other topics – China's asset-backed notes (ABN) and auto loan asset-backed securities (ABS) sectors and separately compares mortgage and covered bond markets in Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and Korea.

Finally, in the financial institutions sector, we look at the impact of the latest regulatory developments in China’s insurance industry and the performance of Taiwan’s banking sector.

On the events front, the ASIFMA Structured Finance Conference for 2016 on Securitization and Covered Bonds is taking place in Singapore today and tomorrow. We also have teleconferences today (in Putonghua) and Friday (in English) on the 1H 2016 results of Chinese property developers.

For full details on all our upcoming events as well as replays, please refer to the list below.

 

Best regards,

MinYe

Min Ye
Managing Director – Regional Head Asia Pacific

To access the information within this email we ask that you register to Moodys.com. Registration is complimentary.

 

 
In This Edition
 

RESEARCH

Back to top button  
 

Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) – Australia Steady Operating Income Growth
Underpins Stable Outlook

[28 Sep] Growth in operating income will remain modest and approach 2.5% for the rated A-REITs during the outlook period.

Chinese National Oil Companies: Oil Price Recovery, Proactive Cost Savings and Capex Cuts Stabilize Credit Profiles
[28 Sep] Performance in H1 2016 was in line with our expectations and a sustained recovery in crude oil prices, further cost savings and capex cuts will help stabilize EBITDA and broader credit profiles in the next 12-18 months.

September Edition of China Property Focus
[27 Sep] Home prices for 70 major cities extended their rising trend in August 2016, a development that could attract further regulatory tightening in some second-tier cities.

September Edition of Structured Thinking: Asia Pacific
[27 Sep] The latest edition of our Structured Thinking: Asia Pacific newsletter covers key developments in structured finance markets in the region, including China's asset-backed notes (ABN) and auto loan asset-backed securities (ABS) sectors.

Refining & Marketing – Asia: Demand Growth in China, India Supports Stable Outlook Despite Supply Glut
[26 Sep] Slow but steady demand growth from China and India underpins its stable outlook for the Asian refining and marketing (R&M) industry, despite a likely modest earnings contraction through 2017.

Sovereigns — Asia Pacific: US Post-Election Shift in Trade Policy Would Affect High-Value Manufacturers Most
[22 Sep] The credit implications for Asia Pacific sovereigns of a potential shift in US policies after the election would materialize through changes in trade and investment if the next US administration adopts less proactive foreign engagement over time.

Property — China: First-Half 2016 Results Signal Full-Year Metrics Will Remain Stable
[22 Sep] The average revenue/adjusted debt for all Chinese developers that Moody's rates deteriorated slightly to 68% for the 12 months ended 30 June 2016 from 71% for full-year 2015.

Mortgages and Covered Bonds -- Asia Pacific: Asia Pacific Mortgage and Covered
Bond Markets Incorporate Special Features
[22 Sep] A comparison of the mortgage and covered bond markets of Australia, New
Zealand, Singapore and Korea -- currently the only covered bond markets
in Asia Pacific -- shows similarities with more established markets but
also specific differences.

China: 1H 2016 C-ROSS Solvency Ratios: Life Insurers Show Decreasing Trend, While P&C and Reinsurers Are Largely Unchanged
[21 Sep] The solvency ratios of life insurers generally declined in 1H 2016, mainly due to substantial new business growth, the correction in the equity market, and an increase in reserves due to lower valuation rates.

Taiwan Banks: Steady Performance Amid Subdued Operating Environment (presentation)
[21 Sep] Banks should retain stable credit profiles, while problem loan ratios likely to rise modestly, given pressure on small and medium sized borrowers.

Taiwanese Regulator Penalizes Seven Banks for Compliance Deficiencies, a Credit Negative
[21 Sep] Taiwan’s Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) found that seven domestic banks had compliance deficiencies in their dealings with offshore business unit clients, a credit negative.

Moody’s Credit Outlook on 22 and 26 Sep

[26 Sep] Airbus and Boeing will benefit from US licenses to sell airplanes to Iran; Sunac’s Jinke property investment is credit negative; SME Bank’s capital injection from the Thai government is credit positive.

[22 Sep] Sunac’s planned property acquisitions are credit negative; Korea Water Resources Corporation will benefit from wholesale water tariff hike; Taiwanese regulator penalizes seven banks for compliance deficiencies, a credit negative.


 

RATING EVENTS

Back to top button  
 

AUSTRALIA
[26 Sep]  Moody's assigns definitive ratings to AMP Bank's first RMBS transaction for 2016
[23 Sep] Moody's assigns definitive Aaa to ANZ Bank New Zealand Limited's Series 2016-1 mortgage covered bonds
[23 Sep] Moody's affirms Barminco Holdings' B2 rating; changes outlook to positive from negative
[23 Sep] Moody's affirms Ausdrill Ltd's B1 rating; changes outlook to positive from negative
[23 Sep] Moody's downgrades Alcoa of Australia's rating to Baa3 and places it on review for downgrade

CHINA
[27 Sep] Moody's assigns B3 to Fantasia Holdings' proposed USD bonds
[23 Sep] Moody's assigns first-time Ba2/NP ratings to Bank of Suzhou
[22 Sep] Moody's assigns B1(hyb) to Cinda AMC's proposed offshore preference shares
[22 Sep] Moody's assigns Prime-1 to Grand China Air's USD commercial paper
[21 Sep] Moody's assigns Aa3 rating to Sinopec Group's proposed USD notes

HONG KONG
[26 Sep] Moody's affirms AIA Group's ratings; changes outlook to positive

INDIA
[28 Sep] Moody's assigns first-time Baa3 issuer rating to UPL Corp; outlook stable
[27 Sep] Moody's upgrades Tata Motors to Ba1; outlook stable

INDONESIA
[27 Sep] Moody's assigns Ba3 to Bumi Serpong Damai's proposed senior unsecured notes

JAPAN
[28 Sep] Moody's assigns definitive ratings to Fortune Series1609, credit card receivables ABS
[28 Sep] Moody's assigns definitive ratings to NBL-1609 backed by auto loan receivables
[28 Sep] Moody's upgrades Trust Fontana backed by Japanese residential mortgages
[27 Sep] Moody's assigns definitive ratings to OSCAR US 2016-2 backed by auto loan receivables
[27 Sep] Moody's assigns definitive rating to OSCAR 2016-2 backed by auto loan receivables
[27 Sep] Moody's reviews Arch Finance Limited Series 2007-1 repackaged deal for downgrade
[26 Sep] Moody's assigns definitive rating to Bora 3 backed by residential mortgages insured by JHF
[26 Sep] Moody's affirms A1 (sf) rating for Bora 2 backed by residential mortgages insured by JHF
[26 Sep] Moody's assigns definitive ratings to SMBC Residential Mortgage Trust Certificates No. 32
[21 Sep] Moody's reviews Arch Finance Limited Series 2010-001 repackaged notes for downgrade

MALAYSIA
[21 Sep] Moody's affirms Genting Berhad's Baa1 rating; outlook stable

SINGAPORE
[26 Sep] Moody's rates BTMU Singapore Branch's USD certificates of deposit program at (P)A1/(P)Prime-1
[26 Sep] Moody's assigns Aa3 rating to Singtel Group Treasury Pte Ltd's proposed USD benchmark, 10 year notes
[21 Sep] Moody's upgrades Genting Singapore's issuer rating to A3; outlook stable

 


 

ANNOUNCEMENTS

Back to top button  
 

AUSTRALIA
[27 Sep] Moody's: Emeco's proposed transaction will constitute a distressed exchange, if implemented
[27 Sep] Moody's: Infrastructure investment will rise in Victoria with sales of port lease
[27 Sep] Moody's: AGL Energy's share buyback will reduce financial flexibility but manageable within existing Baa2 rating
[26 Sep] Moody's: No rating impact on BOQ's Series 2008-1 REDS Trust after collateral substitution

CHINA
[23 Sep] Moody's: Baosteel's ratings under pressure by announced merger with Wuhan Iron & Steel

MALDIVES
[26 Sep] Moody's: Maldives' B2 rating supported by robust growth path and strong debt affordability, but economy is narrowly diversified

 


 

MOODY'S EVENTS

Back to top button  
 

Sponsorship: ASIFMA Structured Finance Conference 2016 - Asian Securitization and Covered Bonds
Singapore, 28-29 Sep

Moody’s Webcast: Chinese Property Developers: 1H 2016 Results Signal Full-Year Metrics Will Remain Stable
Asia Pacific, 28 Sep (Putonghua)
Asia Pacific, 30 Sep (English)

Moody’s Annual India Credit Conference: Impact of Bond Market Reforms; Future Issuance Trends
Singapore, 6 Oct

Sponsorship: World Bank - Singapore Infrastructure Finance Summit: Connectivity and Sustainability in an Era of Volatile Markets and Disruptive Technologies
Singapore, 17 Oct

Moody's Briefing: Japanese Automakers - Industry Trends and How Ratings Consider Environmental Risks
Tokyo, 18 Oct

Moody’s & KIS 2017 Korea Credit Outlook Conference: Korean Credit in a Challenging Environment: Slower Global Growth, China’s Economic Restructuring, Rising Geopolitical Risks
Seoul, 22 Nov

Click below to access teleconference / webcast replay. (*Free registration is required)

Moody's Global Teleconference Series (APAC): Securities Firms Methodologies - Request for Comment

Moody’s Webcast: Auto Sector Faces Rising Credit Risks Due to Carbon Transition (APAC)

 


 

MOODY'S TRAINING SEMINARS

Back to top button  
 

HONG KONG
Advanced Bank Risk Analysts, 31 Oct-2 Nov
Moody’s Project Finance Masterclass, 31 Oct-2 Nov
Analyzing Sovereign and Country Risk, 3-4 Nov
Structured Finance, 16-18 Nov
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 28-30 Nov
Insurance Credit Analysis, 5-7 Dec
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 8-9 Dec

KUALA LUMPUR
Islamic Finance – Risk Management, 21-22 Nov
Islamic Finance – Sukuk: Theory and Practice, 23-24 Nov

SINGAPORE
Advanced Corporate Credit Analysis, 5-7 Oct
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 17-18 Oct
Insurance Credit Analysis, 19-21 Oct
Covenants & Documentation, 3 Nov
Structured Finance, 21-23 Nov
Advanced Bank Risk Analysis, 21-23 Nov
Analyzing Sovereign and Country Risk, 24-25 Nov
Fundamentals of Corporate Credit, 6-9 Dec
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 12-14 Dec
Covenants & Documentation, 15 Dec

SYDNEY
Advanced Corporate Credit Analysis, 10-12 Oct
Covenants and Documentation, 14 Oct
Insurance Credit Analysis, 28-30 Nov
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Analysis, 1-2 Dec

TOKYO

Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 13-14 Oct
Moody’s Project Finance Masterclass, 26-28 Oct
Insurance Credit Analysis, 7-9 Nov
Credit Reasoning & Writing, 10-11 Nov
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 21-23 Nov
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 1-2 Dec

 


  CONTACT US Back to top button  
 

Asia Pacific Client Desk
Research & Subscriptions
+852.3551.3077

Kelly Moy
Associate Managing Director
North Asia
+852.3758.1323

Vineet Gupta
Vice President
India
+91.750.625.0104

Cynthia Zhao
Vice President
North China - Beijing
+86.10.6319.6566

Maria Lee
Vice President
South China - Hong Kong
+852.3758.1338

Yasushi Furuya
VP-Account Management
Japan
+81.3.5408.4272

James Flitton
Vice President
Singapore
+65.6398.8338

Miki Zhou
Vice President
Central China - Shanghai
+86.21.6101.0227

 


 

© 2016 Moody’s Corporation, Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., Moody’s Analytics, Inc. and/or their licensors and affiliates (collectively, “MOODY’S”). All rights reserved.

CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE, INC. AND ITS RATINGS AFFILIATES (“MIS”) ARE MOODY’S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND RESEARCH PUBLICATIONS PUBLISHED BY MOODY’S (“MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS”) MAY INCLUDE MOODY’S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES. MOODY’S DEFINES CREDIT RISK AS THE RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL, FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY COME DUE AND ANY ESTIMATED FINANCIAL LOSS IN THE EVENT OF DEFAULT. CREDIT RATINGS DO NOT ADDRESS ANY OTHER RISK, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO: LIQUIDITY RISK, MARKET VALUE RISK, OR PRICE VOLATILITY. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S OPINIONS INCLUDED IN MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACT. MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS MAY ALSO INCLUDE QUANTITATIVE MODEL-BASED ESTIMATES OF CREDIT RISK AND RELATED OPINIONS OR COMMENTARY PUBLISHED BY MOODY’S ANALYTICS, INC. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS DO NOT CONSTITUTE OR PROVIDE INVESTMENT OR FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT AND DO NOT PROVIDE RECOMMENDATIONS TO PURCHASE, SELL, OR HOLD PARTICULAR SECURITIES. NEITHER CREDIT RATINGS NOR MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS COMMENT ON THE SUITABILITY OF AN INVESTMENT FOR ANY PARTICULAR INVESTOR. MOODY’S ISSUES ITS CREDIT RATINGS AND PUBLISHES MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS WITH THE EXPECTATION AND UNDERSTANDING THAT EACH INVESTOR WILL, WITH DUE CARE, MAKE ITS OWN STUDY AND EVALUATION OF EACH SECURITY THAT IS UNDER CONSIDERATION FOR PURCHASE, HOLDING, OR SALE.

MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT INTENDED FOR USE BY RETAIL INVESTORS AND IT WOULD BE RECKLESS AND INAPPROPRIATE FOR RETAIL INVESTORS TO USE MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS OR MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS WHEN MAKING AN INVESTMENT DECISION. IF IN DOUBT YOU SHOULD CONTACT YOUR FINANCIAL OR OTHER PROFESSIONAL ADVISER.

ALL INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS PROTECTED BY LAW, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, COPYRIGHT LAW, AND NONE OF SUCH INFORMATION MAY BE COPIED OR OTHERWISE REPRODUCED, REPACKAGED, FURTHER TRANSMITTED, TRANSFERRED, DISSEMINATED, REDISTRIBUTED OR RESOLD, OR STORED FOR SUBSEQUENT USE FOR ANY SUCH PURPOSE, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, IN ANY FORM OR MANNER OR BY ANY MEANS WHATSOEVER, BY ANY PERSON WITHOUT MOODY’S PRIOR WRITTEN CONSENT.

All information contained herein is obtained by MOODY’S from sources believed by it to be accurate and reliable. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, all information contained herein is provided “AS IS” without warranty of any kind. MOODY'S adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality and from sources MOODY'S considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, MOODY’S is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process or in preparing the Moody’s Publications.
To the extent permitted by law, MOODY’S and its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors and suppliers disclaim liability to any person or entity for any indirect, special, consequential, or incidental losses or damages whatsoever arising from or in connection with the information contained herein or the use of or inability to use any such information, even if MOODY’S or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors or suppliers is advised in advance of the possibility of such losses or damages, including but not limited to: (a) any loss of present or prospective profits or (b) any loss or damage arising where the relevant financial instrument is not the subject of a particular credit rating assigned by MOODY’S.

To the extent permitted by law, MOODY’S and its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors and suppliers disclaim liability for any direct or compensatory losses or damages caused to any person or entity, including but not limited to by any negligence (but excluding fraud, willful misconduct or any other type of liability that, for the avoidance of doubt, by law cannot be excluded) on the part of, or any contingency within or beyond the control of, MOODY’S or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors or suppliers, arising from or in connection with the information contained herein or the use of or inability to use any such information.

NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH RATING OR OTHER OPINION OR INFORMATION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY MOODY’S IN ANY FORM OR MANNER WHATSOEVER.

Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody’s Corporation (“MCO”), hereby discloses that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. have, prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. for appraisal and rating services rendered by it fees ranging from $1,500 to approximately $2,500,000. MCO and MIS also maintain policies and procedures to address the independence of MIS’s ratings and rating processes. Information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities, and between entities who hold ratings from MIS and have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%, is posted annually at www.moodys.com under the heading “Investor Relations — Corporate Governance — Director and Shareholder Affiliation Policy.”
Additional terms for Australia only: Any publication into Australia of this document is pursuant to the Australian Financial Services License of MOODY’S affiliate, Moody’s Investors Service Pty Limited ABN 61 003 399 657AFSL 336969 and/or Moody’s Analytics Australia Pty Ltd ABN 94 105 136 972 AFSL 383569 (as applicable). This document is intended to be provided only to “wholesale clients” within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. By continuing to access this document from within Australia, you represent to MOODY’S that you are, or are accessing the document as a representative of, a “wholesale client” and that neither you nor the entity you represent will directly or indirectly disseminate this document or its contents to “retail clients” within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. MOODY’S credit rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness of a debt obligation of the issuer, not on the equity securities of the issuer or any form of security that is available to retail investors. It would be reckless and inappropriate for retail investors to use MOODY’S credit ratings or publications when making an investment decision. If in doubt you should contact your financial or other professional adviser.

Additional terms for Japan only: Moody's Japan K.K. (“MJKK”) is a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody's Group Japan G.K., which is wholly-owned by Moody’s Overseas Holdings Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of MCO. Moody’s SF Japan K.K. (“MSFJ”) is a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of MJKK. MSFJ is not a Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization (“NRSRO”). Therefore, credit ratings assigned by MSFJ are Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings. Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings are assigned by an entity that is not a NRSRO and, consequently, the rated obligation will not qualify for certain types of treatment under U.S. laws. MJKK and MSFJ are credit rating agencies registered with the Japan Financial Services Agency and their registration numbers are FSA Commissioner (Ratings) No. 2 and 3 respectively.

MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) hereby disclose that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) have, prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) for appraisal and rating services rendered by it fees ranging from JPY200,000 to approximately JPY350,000,000.

MJKK and MSFJ also maintain policies and procedures to address Japanese regulatory requirements.