Moody's Investors Service
ASIA PACIFIC WEEKLY
Oct 11 - 18
 

In this week’s research, we look at the latest Asian Liquidity Stress Index (Asian LSI), which indicates that weak liquidity remains an issue for some companies in Asia. The index rose to 27.3% in September from 26.8% in August, and is above the long-term average of 23.0%.

Research on housing affordability in Australia shows that it deteriorated on average over the year to September 2017; posing in turn a risk to the performance of the Australian residential mortgage backed securities. 

In addition, our analysis of Australia’s real estate investment trusts shows that their strong results for fiscal 2017 will continue through 2018. A-REITs with overweight office positions in Sydney and Melbourne will continue to outperform their domestic peers, and those with substantial exposure to residential development should continue to show strong financial metrics.

We also look at the credit profile for the Government of Sri Lanka, where significant borrowing requirements and heavy reliance on external and foreign-currency funding expose the sovereign to material liquidity and external financing risk.

On the events front, this week, we held a briefing on the trends and rising risks for Japanese automakers and another Japan-related briefing on the Japan banking system outlook.

Looking ahead, next week, we will hold a briefing on Japan’s electric utilities on Tuesday 24 October.

 

Best regards,

MinYe

Min Ye
Managing Director – Regional Head Asia Pacific

To access the information within this email we ask that you register to Moodys.com. Registration is complimentary.

 

 
In This Edition
 

RESEARCH

Back to top button  
 

RMBS - Australia: Deteriorating housing affordability continues to pose risks despite improvement in Sydney
[18 Oct] Housing affordability deteriorated on average across Australia over the year to September 2017; posing in turn a risk to the performance of the local RMBS market.

Government of Sri Lanka, External pressures constrain credit profile
[17 Oct] Sri Lanka's (B1 negative) significant borrowing requirements and heavy reliance on external and foreign-currency funding expose the sovereign to material liquidity and external financing risk, which weighs on the sovereign's credit profile.

Real Estate Investment Trusts -- Australia: Strong fiscal 2017 results will continue through 2018
[17 Oct] A-REITs with overweight office positions in Sydney and Melbourne will continue to outperform their domestic peers, and those with substantial exposure to residential development should continue to show strong financial metrics.

Asian Liquidity Stress Indicator: Asian LSI increases to 27.3% in September from 26.8% in August
[11 Oct] The index’s rise in September and its position above the long-term average of 23.0% highlight that weak liquidity remains an issue for some companies in Asia

Moody’s Credit Outlook on 16 and 12 October

[16 Oct] Sinochem International's Proposed Asset Disposals Are Credit Positive; Agung Podomoro Land's Reclamation in North Jakarta Is Cleared to Proceed, a Credit Positive; Ascott REIT's Equity-Funded Acquisition of Ascott Orchard Singapore Is Credit Positive; and SMCP's IPO Is Credit Positive for Shandong Ruyi

[12 Oct] Honeywell's Planned Spinoffs Are Credit Negative; and SwissRe Will Sell 5% Stake in ReAssure to MS&AD, a Credit Positive for Both

 

RATING EVENTS

Back to top button  
 

AUSTRALIA
[16 Oct] Moody's comments on EdSec Funding Trust No. 1 Repo Series No. 1
[16 Oct] Moody's assigns provisional ratings to RESIMAC's first non-conforming RMBS transaction for 2017
[13 Oct] Moody's takes rating action on Pepper Residential Securities Trust No. 15
[13 Oct] Moody's assigns rating to Class A3-R Notes issued by IDOL 2012-2 Trust

CHINA
[17 Oct] Moody's assigns definitive ratings to Dongfeng Nissan Auto Finance auto loan ABS in China: VINZ 2017-3 Retail Auto Loan Securitization Trust
[17 Oct] Moody's upgrades China Travel Service to Baa1; outlook stable
[16 Oct] Moody's assigns (P)B2 to Jiangsu Nantong Sanjian's proposed USD senior unsecured notes
[16 Oct] Moody's changes LVGEM's ratings outlook to negative
[12 Oct] Moody's revises China General Nuclear's outlook to stable from negative
[11 Oct] Moody's assigns (P)A2 ratings to CDBL Funding 1's keepwell structure MTN program and (P)A1 to its guarantee-supported MTN program
[9 Oct] Moody's affirms China CITIC Bank International's Baa1 ratings and revises outlook to stable

INDIA
[16 Oct] Moody's confirms Lodha's B2 rating; outlook stable
[16 Oct] Moody's affirms State Bank of India's ratings
[11 Oct] Moody's: Canara Bank's ratings unchanged by tap bond issuance

INDONESIA
[17 Oct] Moody's: Alam Sutera's ratings unaffected by consent solicitation

JAPAN
[13 Oct] Moody's assigns a definitive rating to Auto Loan ABS Program 1710 Series
[12 Oct] Moody's assigns A2 rating to Nissan Canada Financial Services notes
[11 Oct] Moody's assigns (P)A3 to Kirin's shelf registration

MALAYSIA
[16 Oct] Moody's assigns first-time Ba3 CFR to Press Metal; outlook stable

NEW ZEALAND
[12 Oct] Moody's takes rating action on Bank of China (New Zealand) Limited

 


 

ANNOUNCEMENTS

Back to top button  
 

CHINA
[17 Oct] Moody's: LVGEM's ratings unchanged by tap bond issuance
[11 Oct] Moody's: Sinochem International's proposed non-core asset disposals are credit positive
[11 Oct] Moody's: SMCP's launch of IPO is credit positive for Shandong Ruyi

INDIA
[16 Oct] Moody's: Bharti's acquisition of Tata's consumer telecom business is credit positive
[11 Oct] Moody's: Adani Transmission's rating not affected by announcement regarding Reliance Infrastructure assets

MALAYSIA
[11 Oct] Moody's assigns Baa1(hyb) to UOB's Additional Tier 1 capital securities

 


 

MOODY'S EVENTS

Back to top button  
 

Moody's Briefing: Japan’s Electric Utilities
Tokyo, 24 October

Moody’s APAC Insurance Summit
Tokyo, 31 October
Hong Kong, 2 November
Beijing, 7 November

Moody’s Briefing: Asian High Yield Corporates’ Trends & Risks
Singapore, 31 October
Hong Kong, 15 November

Pre-Briefing Workshop: Asian High Yield Bond Covenants
Singapore, 31 October
Hong Kong, 15 November

Moody’s Sponsored: Euromoney's 18th Annual Asia Pacific Airfinance Conference
Hong Kong, 1 November 2017

Moody’s & KIS 2018 Korea Credit Outlook Conference
Seoul, 15 November 2017

Moody’s Briefing: Japanese General Trading Companies
Tokyo, 22 November

3rd Annual Moody’s Inside ASEAN – Spotlight on Indonesia
Jakarta, 28 November

Moody's Briefing: Japan’s Real Estate Market
Tokyo, 29 November

Click below to access teleconference / webcast replay. (*Free registration is required)

Moody's Webcast: Assessing China’s Belt and Road Initiative: Largely credit positive for China and recipient countries, but challenges evident (English)

Moody's Webcast: Yihua Enterprise (Group) Co., Ltd.: Behind the first-time B2 rating

Moody's Webcast: Nan Hai Corporation Limited: Behind the first-time B1 corporate family rating and B2 bond rating

 


 

MOODY'S TRAINING SEMINARS

Back to top button  
 

HONG KONG
Advanced Financial Statement Analysis, 16-18 Oct
Structured Finance, 16-18 Oct
Advanced Bank Risk Analysis, 30 Oct-1 Nov
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 1-3 Nov
Analysing Sovereign and Country Risks, 2-3 Nov
Insurance Credit Analysis, 4-6 Dec
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 7-8 Dec

SINGAPORE
Insurance Credit Analysis, 18-20 Oct
Advanced Bank Risk Analysis, 20-22 Nov
Analysing Sovereign and Country Risk, 23-24 Nov
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 27-29 Nov
Covenants and Documentation, 30 Nov
Fundamentals of Corporate Credit, 11-14 Dec

SYDNEY
Insurance Credit Analysis,  27-29 Nov
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 30 Nov-1 Dec

TOKYO
Insurance Credit Analysis, 6-8 Nov
Credit Reasoning & Writing, 9-10 Nov
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 4-5 Dec

 


  CONTACT US Back to top button  
 

Asia Pacific Client Desk
Research & Subscriptions
+852.3551.3077

Kelly Moy
Associate Managing Director
North Asia
+852.3758.1323

Vineet Gupta
Vice President
India
+91.750.625.0104

Cynthia Zhao
Senior Vice President
North China - Beijing
+86.10.6319.6566

Maria Lee
Senior Vice President
South China - Hong Kong
+852.3758.1338

James Flitton
Vice President
Singapore
+65.6398.8338

Yasushi Furuya
Vice President
Japan
+81.3.5408.4272

 


 

© 2017 Moody’s Corporation, Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., Moody’s Analytics, Inc. and/or their licensors and affiliates (collectively, “MOODY’S”). All rights reserved.

CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE, INC. AND ITS RATINGS AFFILIATES (“MIS”) ARE MOODY’S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS MAY INCLUDE MOODY’S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES. MOODY’S DEFINES CREDIT RISK AS THE RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL, FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY COME DUE AND ANY ESTIMATED FINANCIAL LOSS IN THE EVENT OF DEFAULT. CREDIT RATINGS DO NOT ADDRESS ANY OTHER RISK, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO: LIQUIDITY RISK, MARKET VALUE RISK, OR PRICE VOLATILITY. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S OPINIONS INCLUDED IN MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACT. MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS MAY ALSO INCLUDE QUANTITATIVE MODEL-BASED ESTIMATES OF CREDIT RISK AND RELATED OPINIONS OR COMMENTARY PUBLISHED BY MOODY’S ANALYTICS, INC. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS DO NOT CONSTITUTE OR PROVIDE INVESTMENT OR FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT AND DO NOT PROVIDE RECOMMENDATIONS TO PURCHASE, SELL, OR HOLD PARTICULAR SECURITIES. NEITHER CREDIT RATINGS NOR MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS COMMENT ON THE SUITABILITY OF AN INVESTMENT FOR ANY PARTICULAR INVESTOR. MOODY’S ISSUES ITS CREDIT RATINGS AND PUBLISHES MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS WITH THE EXPECTATION AND UNDERSTANDING THAT EACH INVESTOR WILL, WITH DUE CARE, MAKE ITS OWN STUDY AND EVALUATION OF EACH SECURITY THAT IS UNDER CONSIDERATION FOR PURCHASE, HOLDING, OR SALE.

MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT INTENDED FOR USE BY RETAIL INVESTORS AND IT WOULD BE RECKLESS AND INAPPROPRIATE FOR RETAIL INVESTORS TO USE MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS OR MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS WHEN MAKING AN INVESTMENT DECISION. IF IN DOUBT YOU SHOULD CONTACT YOUR FINANCIAL OR OTHER PROFESSIONAL ADVISER.

ALL INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS PROTECTED BY LAW, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, COPYRIGHT LAW, AND NONE OF SUCH INFORMATION MAY BE COPIED OR OTHERWISE REPRODUCED, REPACKAGED, FURTHER TRANSMITTED, TRANSFERRED, DISSEMINATED, REDISTRIBUTED OR RESOLD, OR STORED FOR SUBSEQUENT USE FOR ANY SUCH PURPOSE, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, IN ANY FORM OR MANNER OR BY ANY MEANS WHATSOEVER, BY ANY PERSON WITHOUT MOODY’S PRIOR WRITTEN CONSENT.

All information contained herein is obtained by MOODY’S from sources believed by it to be accurate and reliable. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, all information contained herein is provided “AS IS” without warranty of any kind. MOODY'S adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality and from sources MOODY'S considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, MOODY’S is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process or in preparing the Moody’s publications.

To the extent permitted by law, MOODY’S and its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors and suppliers disclaim liability to any person or entity for any indirect, special, consequential, or incidental losses or damages whatsoever arising from or in connection with the information contained herein or the use of or inability to use any such information, even if MOODY’S or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors or suppliers is advised in advance of the possibility of such losses or damages, including but not limited to: (a) any loss of present or prospective profits or (b) any loss or damage arising where the relevant financial instrument is not the subject of a particular credit rating assigned by MOODY’S.

To the extent permitted by law, MOODY’S and its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors and suppliers disclaim liability for any direct or compensatory losses or damages caused to any person or entity, including but not limited to by any negligence (but excluding fraud, willful misconduct or any other type of liability that, for the avoidance of doubt, by law cannot be excluded) on the part of, or any contingency within or beyond the control of, MOODY’S or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors or suppliers, arising from or in connection with the information contained herein or the use of or inability to use any such information.

NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH RATING OR OTHER OPINION OR INFORMATION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY MOODY’S IN ANY FORM OR MANNER WHATSOEVER.

Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody’s Corporation (“MCO”), hereby discloses that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. have, prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. for appraisal and rating services rendered by it fees ranging from $1,500 to approximately $2,500,000. MCO and MIS also maintain policies and procedures to address the independence of MIS’s ratings and rating processes. Information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities, and between entities who hold ratings from MIS and have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%, is posted annually at www.moodys.com under the heading “Investor Relations — Corporate Governance — Director and Shareholder Affiliation Policy.”

Additional terms for Australia only: Any publication into Australia of this document is pursuant to the Australian Financial Services License of MOODY’S affiliate, Moody’s Investors Service Pty Limited ABN 61 003 399 657AFSL 336969 and/or Moody’s Analytics Australia Pty Ltd ABN 94 105 136 972 AFSL 383569 (as applicable). This document is intended to be provided only to “wholesale clients” within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. By continuing to access this document from within Australia, you represent to MOODY’S that you are, or are accessing the document as a representative of, a “wholesale client” and that neither you nor the entity you represent will directly or indirectly disseminate this document or its contents to “retail clients” within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. MOODY’S credit rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness of a debt obligation of the issuer, not on the equity securities of the issuer or any form of security that is available to retail investors. It would be reckless and inappropriate for retail investors to use MOODY’S credit ratings or publications when making an investment decision. If in doubt you should contact your financial or other professional adviser.

Additional terms for Japan only: Moody's Japan K.K. (“MJKK”) is a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody's Group Japan G.K., which is wholly-owned by Moody’s Overseas Holdings Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of MCO. Moody’s SF Japan K.K. (“MSFJ”) is a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of MJKK. MSFJ is not a Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization (“NRSRO”). Therefore, credit ratings assigned by MSFJ are Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings. Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings are assigned by an entity that is not a NRSRO and, consequently, the rated obligation will not qualify for certain types of treatment under U.S. laws. MJKK and MSFJ are credit rating agencies registered with the Japan Financial Services Agency and their registration numbers are FSA Commissioner (Ratings) No. 2 and 3 respectively.

MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) hereby disclose that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) have, prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) for appraisal and rating services rendered by it fees ranging from JPY200,000 to approximately JPY350,000,000.

MJKK and MSFJ also maintain policies and procedures to address Japanese regulatory requirements.