Moody's Investors Service
ASIA PACIFIC WEEKLY
Nov 29 - Dec 6, 2017
 

This week we published our 2018 outlook for Chinese regional and local governments, the Chinese, Indian and Korean structured finance markets, the Asian steel sector and power sector and Japanese regional and local governments. You can find an overview of all our global and regional 2018 outlooks on this dedicated microsite.

Last week, the Australian government announced it would launch a Royal Commission – the highest form of inquiry available to any government in Australia -- into the conduct of Australian banks, insurers, financial services providers and superannuation funds. Our report explains the short-term negative and long-term positive implications of the Commission for the banking sector.

And the latest edition of our China Property Focus newsletter highlights the strong growth recorded by our rated developers in the first 10 months of 2017, despite slower national sales growth during the same period.

On the events front, we will host a webcast tomorrow on our first-time rating for Guirenniao Co., Ltd, and a webcast next Tuesday on India’s insurance industry. Registration is also open for our annual China Credit Outlook Conference in Beijing on 12 December, Shanghai on 14 December, and Shenzhen on 18 December.

 

Best regards,

MinYe

Min Ye
Managing Director – Regional Head Asia Pacific

To access the information within this email we ask that you register to Moodys.com. Registration is complimentary.

 

 
In This Edition
 

RESEARCH

Back to top button  
 

Power sector - Asia Pacific: 2018 outlook stable, business conditions to diverge on carbon transition policies (slides)
[5 Dec] The outlook for the power sector in Asia Pacific through 2018 is stable, supported by steady market structures and consistent regulated returns.

Regional and Local Governments - Japan: 2018 Outlook
[5 Dec] The outlook for Japanese regional and local governments (RLGs) is stable in 2018, supported by favorable macro-economic trends, while the RLGs will maintain their disciplined approach to spending.

Sovereigns – Global: Small island credit profiles resilient to near-term climate shocks, but climate trends pose longer-term risks
[5 Dec] Based on an assessment of the proportion of low-lying land, size of landmass, scale of the economy and concentration in climate-related sectors, Moody's has identified 18 rated small islands as particularly susceptible to climate change.

Regional & Local Governments – China: 2018 Outlook
[5 Dec] Further adding to the pressure is the consideration that the gradual slowing of China's (A1 stable) economic growth and volatility in revenue from land sales will adversely impact RLG revenues, while the sector also faces an uncertain policy environment.

Structured finance - China, India and Korea : 2018 Outlook - Delinquencies will remain low in China and Korea, but performance will vary by sector in India
[5 Dec] Solid economic growth will support the performance of structured finance transactions in China and Korea in 2018, while performance will vary by sector in India, depending on the impact of government policies and prevailing economic conditions.

Banks: Australian bank credit profiles remain robust despite Royal Commission
[30 Nov] There are short-term negative as well as long-term positive implications for the banking sector in Australia of a Royal Commission into financial misconduct.

Government of Mongolia – Caa1 stable: Annual credit analysis
[29 Nov] Mongolia's credit profile reflects the country's strong growth potential, given its abundant mineral resources, but, also that, as a narrowly diversified economy, it is exposed to commodity price shocks that have resulted in volatile growth and government revenues.

Airports - India: Traffic growth credit positive, but regulatory environment a challenge
[30 Nov] The strong rise in passenger traffic at India's major airports -- with two years of 20%-plus growth -- is credit positive, although the regulatory landscape remains a challenge.

Steel - Asia: 2018 outlook stable as profitability holds steady (Slides)
[29 Nov] The likely stable profitability for Asian steelmakers that we rate is underpinned by the removal of excess steel-production capacity in China and broadly steady demand in Asia as a whole.

China Property Focus: Rated developers' sales growth remained strong amid nationwide slowdown
[28 Nov] Sales for the Chinese developers that Moody's rates grew strongly in the first 10 months of 2017, even though national sales growth slowed during the same period.

Moody’s Credit Outlook on 30 November and 4 December

[4 Dec] Yanzhou Coal’s bank investment will reduce its liquidity; Ho Chi Minh City Development JSC Bank’s planned IPO is credit positive; Armenia’s partnership agreement with the EU boosts competitiveness and strengthens institutions.

[30 Nov] UK’s reduction of stamp duty for first-time homebuyers will benefit RMBS; UK plan to charge overseas investors capital gains tax on commercial real estate will reduce property prices; Zambia’s agriculture infrastructure deal with China Railway Seventh Group is credit positive.


 

RATING EVENTS

Back to top button  
 

AUSTRALIA
[4 Dec] Moody's upgrades Pepper Residential Securities Trust No. 18
[29 Nov] Moody's downgrades SAI Global to B2; outlook stable
[29 Nov] Moody's assigns defintive ratings to Latitude Personal Finance Pty Ltd's Australian personal loan ABS

CHINA
[5 Dec] Moody's upgrades Anton to B3; outlook positive
[5 Dec] Moody's assigns first-time A3 issuer rating to Wuhan Metro Group
[4 Dec] Moody's downgrades Country Garden's senior unsecured rating to Ba2
[4 Dec] Moody's assigns first-time A3 IFSR to Taikang Life, outlook negative; withdraws A3 IFSR for Taikang Insurance Group
[4 Dec] Moody's downgrades Yanlord's backed senior unsecured rating to Ba3
[4 Dec] Moody's downgrades Modern Land's senior unsecured rating to B3
[4 Dec] Moody's assigns first-time B1 CFR to Guirenniao Co., Ltd., B1 to its USD notes; outlook stable
[1 Dec] Moody's affirms Bank of Nanjing's Baa3 deposit rating; changes outlook to stable
[1 Dec] Moody's assigns A1 to Tewoo Group No 4 Limited's bonds and supported by SBLC from ICBC Tianjin
[1 Dec] Moody's affirms A3 IFSR of Chung Kuo Insurance, outlook stable
[1 Dec] Moody's assigns Baa2 to proposed USD-denominated senior unsecured bonds to be issued by China CITIC Bank Corporation Limited; outlook stable
[30 Nov] Moody's assigns provisional ratings to BMW-sponsored auto loan ABS in China: Bavarian Sky China 2017-3 Trust
[30 Nov] Moody's upgrades Senior Class B Notes of Autopia China 2017-1 Retail Auto Mortgage Loan Securitization Trust
[30 Nov] Moody's upgrades Class B Notes of Toyota Glory 2017 Phase I Auto Loan Credit Asset-backed Securities

INDIA
[4 Dec] Moody's assigns Baa3 to Rural Electrification Corporation Limited's USD note drawdown
[30 Nov] Moody's assigns (P)Baa3 rating to Yes Bank's MTN program
[29 Nov] Moody's assigns Baa2 to IRFC's proposed USD senior unsecured green bonds

INDONESIA
[4 Dec] Moody's assigns (P)Baa3 to Indonesia's planned US dollar bond
[1 Dec] Moody's assigns first-time Ba2 rating to WIKA

JAPAN
[4 Dec] Moody's assigns a provisional rating to Auto Loan ABS Program 1712 Series
[1 Dec] Moody's assigns (P)Baa1 to Sumitomo Corp's domestic shelf registration
[1 Dec] Moody's withdraws its ratings for Nippon Accommodations Fund Inc.
[1 Dec] Moody's assigns provisional rating to Trust Beneficial Interest (201712) backed by residential mortgages
[30 Nov] Moody's assigns definitive rating to Ritz Series 12 backed by residential mortgages
[30 Nov] Moody's affirms Sojitz's Ba1 rating; outlook stable
[30 Nov] Moody's upgrades ITOCHU to A3; outlook stable
[29 Nov] Moody's affirms Sumitomo Corp's Baa1 ratings; revises outlook to stable

KOREA
[5 Dec] Moody's affirms Korea Land and Housing Corp's Aa2 ratings; raises BCA to
ba3

[1 Dec] Moody's assigns (P)A2/(P)P-1 long-/short-term ratings to Woori Bank's CD programme

SINGAPORE       
[30 Nov] Moody's assigns Aa1 to OCBC's AUD senior notes

 


 

ANNOUNCEMENTS

Back to top button  
 

CHINA
[29 Nov] Moody's: Yanzhou Coal's investment in Linshang Bank will reduce its liquidity buffer

HONG KONG
[1 Dec] Moody's: Link REIT's asset disposals are credit positive; rating unaffected

 


 

MOODY'S EVENTS

Back to top button  
 

Moody's Webcast: Guirenniao Co., Ltd.: Behind the first-time B1 corporate family rating
Asia Pacific, 6 December

Moody’s Webcast - India Insurance Industry: Benefits from developing regulatory landscape and strong economy
Asia Pacific, 12 December

Moody’s & CCXI 2018 China Credit Outlook Conference
Beijing, 12 December
Shanghai, 14 December
Shenzhen, 18 December

 


 

MOODY'S TRAINING SEMINARS

Back to top button  
 

HONG KONG
Insurance Credit Analysis, 4-6 Dec
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 7-8 Dec

SINGAPORE
Covenants and Documentation, 30 Nov
Fundamentals of Corporate Credit, 11-14 Dec

SYDNEY
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 30 Nov-1 Dec

TOKYO

Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 4-5 Dec

 


  CONTACT US Back to top button  
 

Asia Pacific Client Desk
Research & Subscriptions
+852.3551.3077

Kelly Moy
Associate Managing Director
North Asia
+852.3758.1323

Vineet Gupta
Vice President
India
+91.750.625.0104

Cynthia Zhao
Senior Vice President
North China - Beijing
+86.10.6319.6566

Maria Lee
Senior Vice President
South China - Hong Kong
+852.3758.1338

James Flitton
Vice President
Singapore
+65.6398.8338

Yasushi Furuya
Vice President
Japan
+81.3.5408.4272

 


 

© 2017 Moody’s Corporation, Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., Moody’s Analytics, Inc. and/or their licensors and affiliates (collectively, “MOODY’S”). All rights reserved.

CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE, INC. AND ITS RATINGS AFFILIATES (“MIS”) ARE MOODY’S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS MAY INCLUDE MOODY’S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES. MOODY’S DEFINES CREDIT RISK AS THE RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL, FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY COME DUE AND ANY ESTIMATED FINANCIAL LOSS IN THE EVENT OF DEFAULT. CREDIT RATINGS DO NOT ADDRESS ANY OTHER RISK, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO: LIQUIDITY RISK, MARKET VALUE RISK, OR PRICE VOLATILITY. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S OPINIONS INCLUDED IN MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACT. MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS MAY ALSO INCLUDE QUANTITATIVE MODEL-BASED ESTIMATES OF CREDIT RISK AND RELATED OPINIONS OR COMMENTARY PUBLISHED BY MOODY’S ANALYTICS, INC. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS DO NOT CONSTITUTE OR PROVIDE INVESTMENT OR FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT AND DO NOT PROVIDE RECOMMENDATIONS TO PURCHASE, SELL, OR HOLD PARTICULAR SECURITIES. NEITHER CREDIT RATINGS NOR MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS COMMENT ON THE SUITABILITY OF AN INVESTMENT FOR ANY PARTICULAR INVESTOR. MOODY’S ISSUES ITS CREDIT RATINGS AND PUBLISHES MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS WITH THE EXPECTATION AND UNDERSTANDING THAT EACH INVESTOR WILL, WITH DUE CARE, MAKE ITS OWN STUDY AND EVALUATION OF EACH SECURITY THAT IS UNDER CONSIDERATION FOR PURCHASE, HOLDING, OR SALE.

MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT INTENDED FOR USE BY RETAIL INVESTORS AND IT WOULD BE RECKLESS AND INAPPROPRIATE FOR RETAIL INVESTORS TO USE MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS OR MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS WHEN MAKING AN INVESTMENT DECISION. IF IN DOUBT YOU SHOULD CONTACT YOUR FINANCIAL OR OTHER PROFESSIONAL ADVISER.

ALL INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS PROTECTED BY LAW, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, COPYRIGHT LAW, AND NONE OF SUCH INFORMATION MAY BE COPIED OR OTHERWISE REPRODUCED, REPACKAGED, FURTHER TRANSMITTED, TRANSFERRED, DISSEMINATED, REDISTRIBUTED OR RESOLD, OR STORED FOR SUBSEQUENT USE FOR ANY SUCH PURPOSE, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, IN ANY FORM OR MANNER OR BY ANY MEANS WHATSOEVER, BY ANY PERSON WITHOUT MOODY’S PRIOR WRITTEN CONSENT.

All information contained herein is obtained by MOODY’S from sources believed by it to be accurate and reliable. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, all information contained herein is provided “AS IS” without warranty of any kind. MOODY'S adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality and from sources MOODY'S considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, MOODY’S is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process or in preparing the Moody’s publications.

To the extent permitted by law, MOODY’S and its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors and suppliers disclaim liability to any person or entity for any indirect, special, consequential, or incidental losses or damages whatsoever arising from or in connection with the information contained herein or the use of or inability to use any such information, even if MOODY’S or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors or suppliers is advised in advance of the possibility of such losses or damages, including but not limited to: (a) any loss of present or prospective profits or (b) any loss or damage arising where the relevant financial instrument is not the subject of a particular credit rating assigned by MOODY’S.

To the extent permitted by law, MOODY’S and its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors and suppliers disclaim liability for any direct or compensatory losses or damages caused to any person or entity, including but not limited to by any negligence (but excluding fraud, willful misconduct or any other type of liability that, for the avoidance of doubt, by law cannot be excluded) on the part of, or any contingency within or beyond the control of, MOODY’S or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors or suppliers, arising from or in connection with the information contained herein or the use of or inability to use any such information.

NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH RATING OR OTHER OPINION OR INFORMATION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY MOODY’S IN ANY FORM OR MANNER WHATSOEVER.

Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody’s Corporation (“MCO”), hereby discloses that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. have, prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. for appraisal and rating services rendered by it fees ranging from $1,500 to approximately $2,500,000. MCO and MIS also maintain policies and procedures to address the independence of MIS’s ratings and rating processes. Information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities, and between entities who hold ratings from MIS and have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%, is posted annually at www.moodys.com under the heading “Investor Relations — Corporate Governance — Director and Shareholder Affiliation Policy.”

Additional terms for Australia only: Any publication into Australia of this document is pursuant to the Australian Financial Services License of MOODY’S affiliate, Moody’s Investors Service Pty Limited ABN 61 003 399 657AFSL 336969 and/or Moody’s Analytics Australia Pty Ltd ABN 94 105 136 972 AFSL 383569 (as applicable). This document is intended to be provided only to “wholesale clients” within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. By continuing to access this document from within Australia, you represent to MOODY’S that you are, or are accessing the document as a representative of, a “wholesale client” and that neither you nor the entity you represent will directly or indirectly disseminate this document or its contents to “retail clients” within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. MOODY’S credit rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness of a debt obligation of the issuer, not on the equity securities of the issuer or any form of security that is available to retail investors. It would be reckless and inappropriate for retail investors to use MOODY’S credit ratings or publications when making an investment decision. If in doubt you should contact your financial or other professional adviser.

Additional terms for Japan only: Moody's Japan K.K. (“MJKK”) is a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody's Group Japan G.K., which is wholly-owned by Moody’s Overseas Holdings Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of MCO. Moody’s SF Japan K.K. (“MSFJ”) is a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of MJKK. MSFJ is not a Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization (“NRSRO”). Therefore, credit ratings assigned by MSFJ are Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings. Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings are assigned by an entity that is not a NRSRO and, consequently, the rated obligation will not qualify for certain types of treatment under U.S. laws. MJKK and MSFJ are credit rating agencies registered with the Japan Financial Services Agency and their registration numbers are FSA Commissioner (Ratings) No. 2 and 3 respectively.

MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) hereby disclose that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) have, prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) for appraisal and rating services rendered by it fees ranging from JPY200,000 to approximately JPY350,000,000.

MJKK and MSFJ also maintain policies and procedures to address Japanese regulatory requirements.