Coronavirus Effects
The coronavirus outbreak is disrupting economies and credit markets worldwide. The impact on issuers’ credit profiles and the economy will depend on the severity and duration of the crisis.
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  • Series: Credit After Covid
    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    08 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
     Social distancing has increased digital banking and remote work by bank employees, leading to increased cyber risk. Most banks have developed cyber risk awareness and mitigation measures.
    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    18 Jun 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    The crisis will likely result in fundamental shifts for economies, societies and companies in the coming years. Potential outcomes include weaker long-term economic growth, a prolonged period of extraordinarily low interest rates, and an acceleration of the digital transformation already under way. Listen to the podcast >>
    The pandemic will compound and accelerate key global trends.

    09 Jul 2020
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    Moody's Investors Service

    09 Jul 2020
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    Moody's Investors Service
    Global Ratings Review Summaries
    SECTOR PROFILE
    10 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    This report contains a summary of rating actions in our Infrastructure and Project Finance Group for the month of June.
    SECTOR PROFILE
    06 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    This report contains a summary of non-financial corporate rating actions in the month of June.
    SECTOR PROFILE
    06 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    This report highlights our research insights and rating activities in the week ended 03 July.

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    PODCAST
    08 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    Sarah Carlson of the Sovereign team examines Turkey’s economic and credit prospects following the coronavirus shock. Plus, Merxe Tudela Carreres of the Model Development group discusses the findings of Moody’s new EM Financial Conditions Indicators series.​​
    Coronavirus Policy ResponseView more
    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    25 Jun 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    The support packages vary in scale and scope, and are largely contingent in nature. While they will broadly help reduce some of the negative effects of the crisis, they will not offset the rising recessionary or credit risks for most sectors.
    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    03 Jun 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    Korea has announced financial support packages totaling more than KRW175 trillion ($142 billion) and eased multiple financial regulations to support the economy amid disruptions caused by the coronavirus outbreak. These polices have mixed credit impacts on Korean financial institutions.
    Macroeconomic commentaries and scenarios
    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    26 Jun 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    The QuantCube leading indicator of economic activity is in line with our view that the deepest shock to economic activity from the coronavirus crisis will be concentrated in Q2. But financial market volatility is picking up as risks rise of a new spike in infections.
    OUTLOOK
    22 Jun 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    We continue to expect a gradual recovery beginning in the second half of the year. Our forecast assumes the likelihood of new coronavirus outbreaks without a return of widespread lockdown measures.

    WEBINAR REPLAY
    18 Jun 2020|Moody's Analytics
    Join Mark Zandi, Chief Economist of Moody’s Analytics and the Raymond James Bank Team (hosted by Michael Rose, Managing Director) for an in-depth conversation around Moody’s updated economic outlook scenarios and how they may impact bank CECL models.
    WEBINAR REPLAY
    15 Jun 2020|Moody's Analytics
    While a V-shape recession is becoming less likely, there are signs of recovery. Risks to the expected recovery include subsequent breakouts of the COVID-19, rising debt, trade wars, and oil prices for oil exporters such as Norway.
    Coronavirus impact on sectorsView more
    SECTOR COMMENT
    09 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    Domestic connecting hubs and small airports have shown the strongest passenger recovery through April 2020, while large international hubs in the northeast have been hit hardest.
    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    09 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    Pantry loading, panic buying and more eating at home due to coronavirus will increase topline and profits for supermarkets in 2020

    VIDEO
    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    08 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    The coronavirus pandemic and collapse in oil prices will sharply lower second-quarter earnings for some banks. Deteriorating profitability and loan quality also risk challenging banks’ capital. Our focus, however, remains on how quickly banks rebuild their capital over the coming years, and we are unlikely to change our credit view of most banks based on one quarter alone.
    VIDEO
    01 Jul 2020|Moody's Analytics
    Victor Calanog from the Analytics team discusses the early warning signals of loan distress and other concerns as lockdown abates. Nearly 84% of relief requests in US Commercial Mortgage Back Securities (CMBS) come from hotels and retailers, according to client experience.

    SECTOR IN-DEPTH
    07 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
    Coronavirus-driven economic shocks are increasing risks among US consumer ABS we rate to varying degrees across asset classes and capital structures. 
    SECTOR COMMENT
    01 Jul 2020|Moody's Investors Service
     The credit quality of the collateral backing middle market CLOs is particularly susceptible to COVID-19-related economic shocks.