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26 Oct 2021|Moody's Investors Service

US banks are in good shape to maintain their profitability through the current period of elevated inflation, which in our base case will subside in 2022 but settle at a little above 2%. The banking system’s historical profitability has not been directly correlated with inflation; however, if high inflation persists beyond 2022, the potential for credit negative responses by banks will rise.

25 Oct 2021|Moody's Investors Service

Burgeoning private credit has been a boon to middle market borrowers, but such lending has opaque performance, low liquidity and results in high portfolio company leverage. Lenders’ portfolio diversity and good capitalization help mitigate these risks, along with creditor protections in loan agreements, but the mounting tide of leverage sweeping into this less-regulated market has systemic risks.

25 Oct 2021|Moody's Investors Service

High-frequency alternative data for October show early signs of accelerated economic activity and trade flow in G-20 countries following two months of slowing momentum. Financial conditions have tightened slightly in the US, the euro area and the UK, while they have improved across most G-20 emerging market countries.

21 Oct 2021|Moody's Investors Service

Chief Credit Officer Richard Cantor and Marie Diron, of the Sovereign team, discuss how the pandemic crisis has accelerated the increase in government debt levels globally and what it means for the broader economy.

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21 Oct 2021|Moody's Investors Service

G20 banks have $14 trillion of loans to sectors facing carbon transition risk, equivalent to 19% of their gross lending, with those in emerging economies most exposed. The banking sector will benefit from new lending and investment opportunities, funded in part through green bond issuance, as emerging green industries and technologies seek finance.

26 Oct 2021|Moody's Investors Service

Estimates suggest emerging markets need to increase investment sevenfold to more than $1 trillion annually by the end of this decade to meet their climate transition goals. However, government spending and private sector and concessional financing on green initiatives to date fall well short of this estimate.

20 Oct 2021|Moody's Analytics

Moody’s Analytics economist Mark Zandi and his team are joined by Joe Kennedy, senior principal economist at The MITRE Corporation, to discuss the different schools of thought about US antitrust policy and market competition, with a focus on large technology and pharmaceutical companies. 

Source: Moody's Investors Service
Moody's Credit Outlook

SEC's report on “meme stock” trading is credit positive for market participants

Common EU rules reducing cross-border barriers for European credit purchasers are credit positive

Europe's energy shock will weigh on spending and investment

Source: Moody's Investors Service
Weekly Market Outlook

No Repeal for Law of Demand

We preview economic reports and forecasts from the US, UK/Europe, and Asia/Pacific regions

IBM Headlines Latest Downgrades

Source: Moody's Analytics