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KEY CONTACTS

Alastair Wilson
Global Managing Director
Alastair.Wilson@moodys.com

Thorsten Nestmann
Group Credit Officer
Thorsten.Nestmann@moodys.com

 
Asia Pacific and North America

Marie Diron
Associate Managing Director
Marie.Diron@moodys.com

Atsi Sheth
Managing Director
Atsi.Sheth@moodys.com

 
Europe

Yves Lemay
Managing Director
Yves.Lemay@moodys.com

Dietmar Hornung
Associate Managing Director
Dietmar.Hornung@moodys.com

 
Latin America

Mauro Leos
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer
Mauro.Leos@moodys.com

Atsi Sheth
Managing Director
Atsi.Sheth@moodys.com

 
Africa and Middle East

Matt Robinson
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer
Matt.Robinson@moodys.com

Yves Lemay
Managing Director
Yves.Lemay@moodys.com

 
Supranational Entities/Multilateral Development Banks

Kathrin Muehlbronner
Senior Vice President
Kathrin.Muehlbronner@moodys.com

Yves Lemay
Managing Director
Yves.Lemay@moodys.com

Sovereign & Supranational

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Research on sovereign nations, sovereign-related agencies, and supranational institutions.

Highlights

  • 29 Nov 2016
    • Global sovereign statistical trends point to persistent low growth and high debt levels
      Our latest Country Credit Statistical Handbook and its analytical companion piece, both published twice annually, capture the economic and financial events of the last decade and their impact on government finances across the globe. The data shows that lacklustre growth persists globally, constrained by the slowdown in the previous engines of growth, in the context of a limited recovery in commodity prices and continued turbulence in capital flows. The lower growth environment poses a challenge for highly indebted governments, whose fiscal policies have yet to reverse the structural shift to larger debt burdens across all regions of the world... Country Credit Statistical Handbook
  • 25 Nov 2016
    • UK’s Autumn Statement slows pace of fiscal consolidation; deficits still likely to exceed projections
      The UK government’s (Aa1 negative) first budget since the EU referendum materially loosens fiscal policy compared to the government's targets in the March 2016 budget. Instead of a surplus of 0.5% of GDP by the end of the current parliament, the government now expects to run a deficit of 1% of GDP in 2019/20. It also expects public debt to peak at above 90% of GDP in 2017/18, more than six percentage points of GDP higher than predicted in March. While the government’s easing of fiscal policy to cushion the Brexit-related economic uncertainty is in line with our expectations, we forecast an even slower pace of deficit reduction than is envisaged by the government based on our low economic growth projections... Full Report
  • 14 Nov 2016
    • Negative outlook for global sovereigns in 2017 as low growth, high debt limit policy options
      Our negative outlook for sovereign creditworthiness in 2017 is based on our expectation of continued low growth, a shift towards fiscal stimulus that will increase already high public sector debt, and rising political and geopolitical risks. Many emerging market sovereigns face the added risk of capital outflows. As a result, 26% of the sovereigns whose debt we rate currently have negative rating outlooks, the largest proportion since 2012, while only 9% have positive outlooks, indicating that we expect limited upward rating movement for sovereigns in 2017.... Full Report | View Infographic
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