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Kumar Kanthan
Senior Vice President - Default and Ratings Analytics
Kumar.kanthan@moodys.com

Sharon Ou
Senior Credit Officer - Default and Ratings Analytics
Sharon.ou@moodys.com

Praveen Varma
Director of Research
Praveen.Varma@moodys.com​​

Default & Ratings Analytics

Moody's Default and Ratings Analytics team publishes Moody’s default studies, ratings transitions and ratings performance studies for corporates, financial institutions, sovereign and sub-sovereign, public finance and infrastructure sectors. DRA also publishes impairment and loss studies for structured finance sectors. Additionally, DRA publishes analytical research reports on topics that are of interest to broader fixed-income markets community.​

Highlights

  • 11 Jul 2016
    • BREXIT unlikely to cause spike in corporate defaults
      The global speculative-grade default rate continues to climb as a result of increasing number of defaults in commodity sector due to low commodity prices. BREXIT is unlikely to have a significant impact on corporate defaults. Most central banks are keeping accommodative monetary policies post-Brexit to ensure capital markets have sufficient liquidity, and any Brexit contagion is unlikely to spread to the credit markets…Full Report
  • 8 Jun 2016
    • Commodity Sector still Under Stress, likely to see Relief in 2017
      Driven by stress in commodities and energy sector due to depressed prices, Moody’s global speculative-grade default rate closed at 4.5% in May, surpassing its long-term average of 4.2% for the first time since August 2010. Looking into 2017, however, the upward pressure on the default rate may ease as credit market conditions have improved recently with the high yield spread tightening and new issuance reviving... Full Report
    • Structured Finance Securities continue to Perform as Expected
      The 12-month downgrade rate for global structured finance decreased slightly from the previous month's 4.3%, ending May 2016 at 4.2%. The rate has now remained below 10% for twenty-six consecutive months. The 12-month upgrade rate increased marginally from the previous month's 19.1%, ending May 2016 at 19.2%. The 12-month upgrade rate has exceeded the 12-month downgrade rate since February 2014... Full Report
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