Asia Pacific Weekly
July 4 - July 11, 2018

This week’s research covers the Asian Liquidity Stress Indicator for June, which showed its weakest level since December 2016. We also published our annual credit analysis for China.

We also look at the outlook for the global green bond market, which continues to grow as governments seek to promote sustainable policy agendas, encourage private capital into low-carbon and climate-resilient infrastructure.

For Australia, we look at the outlook for the airport sector, and at a proposal to limit unsuitable credit card lending.


IN THIS EDITION

Research »

Rating Events »

Moody's Events »

Moody's Training Seminars »

Contact Us »

We also discuss Asia bond covenant quality in our quarterly report, and the state of Hong Kong’s property market in light of a new tax on vacant residential assets.

For events, we have a Moody's Webcast for Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. 11 July 2018

Best regards,

MinYe

Min Ye
Managing Director – Regional Head Asia Pacific

To access the information within this email we ask that you register to Moodys.com. Registration is complimentary.

Research

Banks -- Australia: Regulator's proposal to limit unsuitable credit card lending is credit positive
[10 July] Measures proposed by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) to limit unsuitable credit card lending would help reduce asset quality risk at the country's banks, a credit positive

Green Bonds -- Sovereign - Sovereign green bond market on course for critical mass, but challenges remain
[9 July] The pace of sovereign green bond issuance is set to accelerate as governments seek to promote sustainable policy agendas, encourage private capital into low-carbon and climate-resilient infrastructure.

Asian Liquidity Stress Indicator: Asian LSI weakened to 30.9% in June from 29.0% in May
[9 July] Moody’s Asian Liquidity Stress Indicator weakened to 30.9% in June 2018 from 29.0% in May 2018 and is now above 30% for the first time since December 2016, while issuance was largely unchanged.

Inside India
[6 July] The latest edition compiles key research reports relevant to India over the last three months, including the results of a Moody's poll of market participants.

Government of China -- A1 stable: Annual credit analysis
[5 July] China's credit profile reflects a number of strengths, including the vast size and robust growth rate of its economy, denoting very high shock absorption capacity, large domestic savings, and ample foreign exchange reserves.

Covenants -- Asia: Q2 covenant quality continues to falter -- now at all-time weakest level
[5 July] The average covenant quality score for Asian high-yield bonds that Moody's scored and which cleared the market in Q2 2018 was 3.16 (moderate).

Airports -- Australia: 2019 Outlook stable as growth remains supportive and risks are manageable
[5 July] Strong growth in international passenger traffic and non-aeronautical activities support the stable outlook, which is tempered somewhat by large capital expenditure programs and elevated regulatory uncertainty.

Property -- Hong Kong: Tax on vacant primary residential units is manageable for our rated developers
[4 July] The government's newly introduced tax on new vacant private residential units (primary flats) will have a moderate and manageable impact on Moody's-rated Hong Kong developers.

India – Heard from the Market: Oil prices, pace of bank balance sheet clean-up and investment remain key risks
[4 July] Market participants in response to a Moody's poll in Singapore and Mumbai see high oil prices as the main risk to India's economy, but exhibited differences on the second major risk.

Government of Taiwan
[4 July] Taiwan's credit profile reflects its very high per-capita incomes, robust institutions and modest debt levels.

Moody’s Credit Outlook on 9 July

[9 July] Fosun's proposed listing of culture and tourism business is credit positive; Kogas' timely gas price increase to reflect higher costs is credit positive; Singapore banks will benefit from tighter regulations to cool property market; and Capital raising will challenge Vietnam's banks after stock market tumble

Rating Events

AUSTRALIA
[10 July] Moody's assigns first-time rating to Monash University
[5 July] Moody's changes outlook on DBNGP's Baa3 rating to positive from stable; affirms Baa3 rating

CHINA
[10 July] Moody's changes Health & Happiness' ratings outlook to positive
[9 July] Moody's downgrades Wuzhou International Holdings' ratings to Ca; outlook negative
[6 July] Moody's downgrades Huachen Energy to Caa1; outlook negative
[6 July] Moody's downgrades Pactera to Caa1; outlook negative
[5 July] Moody's affirms Great Wall AMC's A3/P-2 issuer ratings; outlook stable
[4 July] Moody's affirms Orient AMC's A3/P-2 issuer ratings; outlook stable

INDONESIA
[10 July] Moody's assigns Baa2 rating to Bank Rakyat Indonesia's USD senior unsecured notes
[6 July] Moody's affirms PGN's Baa2 ratings; outlook stable
[5 July] Moody's assigns Counterparty Risk Ratings to nine Indonesian banks
[4 July] Moody's confirms Matahari's B3 CFR and will withdraw the rating

JAPAN
[10 July] Moody's upgrades Japanese investment-purpose condominium loan RMBS - L-STaRS One's Class E
[9 July] Moody's assigns provisional rating to OSCAR 2018-2 backed by auto loan receivables
[9 July] Moody's assigns provisional ratings to OSCAR US 2018-2 backed by auto loan receivables
[6 July] Moody's affirms Meiji Yasuda Life's A1 IFSR; outlook stable
[5 July] Moody's assigns provisional ratings to Trust Beneficial Interest (201807) backed by residential mortgages
[5 July] Moody's assigns a provisional rating to Auto Loan ABS Program 1807 Series

KOREA
[9 July] Moody's assigns Baa1 to SK Innovation's USD notes
[9 July] Moody's assigns Baa3(hyb) rating to the proposed Shinhan Financial Group's additional Tier 1 notes and (P)Baa3 rating to its $5 billion MTN program

SINGAPORE
[10 July] Moody's downgrades Mapletree Logistics Trust to Baa2; outlook stable

TAIWAN
[4 July] Moody's upgrades Cathay Century's IFSR to A2; outlook stable

THAILAND
[5 July] Moody's assigns Counterparty Risk Ratings to 11 Thailand banks
[5 July] Moody's affirms PTT's Baa1 ratings; outlook stable

VIETNAM
[9 July] Moody's takes positive rating action on Tien Phong Bank

Moody's Events

Moody's Webcast - Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd.
Asia Pacific, 11 July

Moody’s New Zealand Credit Briefing
Auckland, 7 August  
Wellington,10 August

Moody's Insurance Summit 2018: Optimizing Performance in Today's World
Hong Kong, 6 September

Moody's Global Banking Conference
Singapore, 3 October
Hong Kong, 10 October
Tokyo, 16 October

Click below to access teleconference / webcast replay. (*Free registration is required)

Moody's Teleconference: Moody’s modifies its guidance for notching instruments issued by insurance holding companies

Moody’s Webcast – Singapore and Malaysia Banks

Moody's Training Seminars

HONG KONG
Advanced Corporate Credit Analysis, 16-18 Jul
Counterparty Credit Risk, 14-15 Aug
Introduction to Derivatives, 16-17 Aug
Bank Regulation: Impact and Implications of Evolving Regimes, 16-17 Aug
Advanced Corporate Credit Analysis, 29-31 Aug
Insurance Credit Analysis, 10-12 Sep
Corporate Cash Flow Analysis, 9-11 Oct
Advanced Bank Risk Analysis, 29-31 Oct
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 31 Oct-2 Nov
Analyzing Sovereign and Country Risk, 1-2 Nov
Moody’s Project Finance Masterclass, 3-5 Dec

SINGAPORE
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 16-17 Oct
Bank Regulation: Impact and Implications of Evolving Regimes, 18-19 Oct
Advanced Bank Risk Analysis, 19-21 Nov
Analyzing Sovereign and Country Risk, 22-23 Nov
Corporate Cash Flow Analysis, 27-29 Nov
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 27-29 Nov
Covenants & Documentation, 30 Nov
Fundamentals of Corporate Credit, 11-14 Dec

SYDNEY
Fundamentals of Corporate Credit, 28-31 Aug
Insurance Credit Analysis, 3-5 Sep
Analyzing Sovereign and Country Risk, 6-7 Sep
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 29-30 Nov

CONTACT US
Cynthia Zhao
Senior Vice President
North China - Beijing
+86.10.6319.6566
James Flitton
Vice President
Singapore
+65.6398.8338
Kelly Moy
Associate Managing Director
North Asia
+852.3758.1323
Maria Lee
Senior Vice President
South China - Hong Kong
+852.3758.1338
Yasushi Furuya
Vice President
Japan
+81.3.5408.4272
Vineet Gupta
Vice President
India
+91.750.625.0104
Asia Pacific Client Desk
Research & Subscriptions
+852.3551.3077
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