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Credit Outlook
Moody's Credit Outlook
July 16, 2018
Credit implications of current events.
Published twice a week.
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Market Outlook
Moody's Analytics
Weekly Market Outlook
July 12, 2018
Markets Suggest the U.S. Fares
Best in a Trade War
(Capital Markets Research)
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Structured Finance Podcast
Moody’s Talks: Structured Finance
US Multifamily REITs' credit profiles remain strong, despite pressure from higher supply
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The Big Picture
The Big Picture
Six themes that will shape global credit conditions in 2018
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ESG
Environmental, Social and Governance
Implications for fixed income markets
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Corporate defaults in the second quarter numbered 17, down from 29 in the first. Defaults occurred in a variety of industries, led by Oil & Gas, though Retail remains the largest contributor to defaults so far this year.
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For some oil-exporting sovereigns, the shift towards lower reliance on oil-related products – carbon transition – over the coming decades will considerably lower fiscal strength in the absence of additional revenue from other sources, undermining creditworthiness.
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Deep divisions among EU member states over immigration and euro area integration illustrate European policymakers' limited willingness and ability to work together on reforms that would bolster the resilience of both the EU and the euro area.
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The precise direction of the policies of incoming president Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador will not be clear until after his 1 December inauguration. In the meantime, financial markets in Mexico could become unusually volatile, with negative consequences for the exchange rate and market yields.
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Prompt and sizeable financial support from Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries would support Bahrain's financial stability and offset the country’s likely loss of affordable access to international capital markets pursuant to the recent sharp sell-off of Bahraini government bonds.
The Big Picture
Six themes that will shape global credit conditions in 2018
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Financial technologies, artificial intelligence, machine learning, robotics, electric and autonomous vehicles and e-commerce will continue to transform production processes, business models and government regulation. On this page you will find Moody’s research about emerging technologies and their potential to affect credit risk in various sectors and asset classes.
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The far-reaching nature of various political shifts under way across the world, particularly in advanced economies, has raised the potential for significant changes in policy direction. On this page, you will find Moody's research about key credit issues related to upcoming elections and political developments globally
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Market participants are focusing more on the potential for environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues to impact investment decisions and to assist in the development of a more sustainable economy. We capture ESG considerations into our analysis and ratings when we believe that such factors materially affect a debt issuer’s credit quality. This topic page aggregates Moody’s research related to ESG considerations in credit analysis and the growth and development of green finance globally.
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