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16 Sep 2019|Moody's Investors Service

Mexico’s proposed new budget assumes relatively optimistic GDP growth and oil production. These assumptions result in the budget overestimating next year's government revenue and underestimating the financial support that PEMEX, the state-owned petroleum company, may require.

17 Sep 2019|Moody's Investors Service

Our revised aggregate EBITDA forecast calls for no growth this year and flat to about 1% growth in 2020, a fraction of our forecast from earlier this year. A slowing global economy and heightened trade tensions will weigh on an industry critically dependent on trade flow. Several segments within the industry are softening; we expect only aerospace and defense to have solid growth in 2020.

16 Sep 2019|Moody's Investors Service

The recent attacks on Saudi Aramco’s two oil facilities in eastern Saudi Arabia have resulted in a reduction of crude oil production by around 5.7 million barrels per day (mbpd) compared with an average production of 10 mbpd in the first half of 2019. The full extent of the credit impact for the government and Saudi Aramco will depend on the duration of the disruption to oil production.

13 Sep 2019|Moody's Investors Service

Although the government’s proposals would limit the role of the federal housing finance agencies, the basic framework of the US mortgage financing system would remain intact under the proposals most likely to be implemented, which is a credit positive for private mortgage insurers.

17 Sep 2019|Moody's Investors Service

Michael Taylor and George Xu of the Global Credit team discuss the impact of the ongoing US-China trade dispute and China’s economic slowdown on business conditions throughout the rest of Asia. ​​

Related Research: US-China trade dispute and China’s continuing slowdown pose spillover risks to Asia

16 Sep 2019|Moody's Investors Service

Improvements in the future growth potential of many EU countries depend on stepped-up productivity and investment. These are only likely to materialise if progress, which has been patchy so far, is made across much of the EU in the implementation of structural economic reforms of labour markets, product and service markets, and markets that support innovation.

12 Sep 2019|Moody's Investors Service

US interest rates are likely to remain low for some time, which will have a large impact on the financial strategies of US bank and non-bank financial institutions. The low rate environment will encourage more risk-taking, as well as further consolidation of banks in the US.

Moody's Credit Outlook

New regulatory governance initiative is credit positive for Canadian banks

Attacks on oil infrastructure are credit negative for Saudi Arabia and Saudi Aramco

GM strike a threat to Michigan economy, which still has substantial exposure to auto sector

Source: Moody's Investors Service
Weekly Market Outlook

Bond Implied Ratings Hint of More Fallen-Angel Downgrades

The week ahead – US, UK/Europe, and Asia/Pacific regions

Ford Motor Co. Headlines U.S. Downgrades

Source: Moody's Analytics
Source: Moody's Investors Service
Quarterly Update on European Banks - Q3
19 Sep 2019
  |   Moody's Investors Service
Inside LatAm 2019 - Brasil
24 Sep 2019
  |   Moody's Investors Service
Frankfurt Banking Summit
16 Oct 2019
  |   Moody's Investors Service