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Credit Outlook
Moody's Credit Outlook
July 16, 2018
Credit implications of current events.
Published twice a week.
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Market Outlook
Moody's Analytics
Weekly Market Outlook
July 12, 2018
Markets Suggest the U.S. Fares
Best in a Trade War
(Capital Markets Research)
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Structured Finance Podcast
Moody’s Talks: Structured Finance
US Multifamily REITs' credit profiles remain strong, despite pressure from higher supply
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The Big Picture
The Big Picture
Six themes that will shape global credit conditions in 2018
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ESG
Environmental, Social and Governance
Implications for fixed income markets
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Global equity prices have rebounded from the turmoil in the spring but show signs of being weighed down by news on trade, while government bond prices have declined from high levels amid expectations of higher interest rates in the US and in other economies. Systemic financial risks have increased, reflecting reduced liquidity in the US.
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Four technologies are remaking the automotive market: the connectivity of vehicles, alternative fuel vehicles, autonomous driving and ride sharing. This transformation is comparable in scope to the dawn of the automotive age a century ago and will have ramifications for industries well beyond auto manufacturing.
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Belarus and Ukraine are most vulnerable to the negative economic impact of shifting demographics, while the Kyrgyz Republic is most exposed to the credit-negative fiscal implications arising from this trend.
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Corporate defaults in the second quarter numbered 17, down from 29 in the first. Defaults occurred in a variety of industries, led by Oil & Gas, though Retail remains the largest contributor to defaults so far this year.
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For some oil-exporting sovereigns, the shift towards lower reliance on oil-related products – carbon transition – over the coming decades will considerably lower fiscal strength in the absence of additional revenue from other sources, undermining creditworthiness.
The Big Picture
Six themes that will shape global credit conditions in 2018
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Financial technologies, artificial intelligence, machine learning, robotics, electric and autonomous vehicles and e-commerce will continue to transform production processes, business models and government regulation. On this page you will find Moody’s research about emerging technologies and their potential to affect credit risk in various sectors and asset classes.
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The far-reaching nature of various political shifts under way across the world, particularly in advanced economies, has raised the potential for significant changes in policy direction. On this page, you will find Moody's research about key credit issues related to upcoming elections and political developments globally
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Market participants are focusing more on the potential for environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues to impact investment decisions and to assist in the development of a more sustainable economy. We capture ESG considerations into our analysis and ratings when we believe that such factors materially affect a debt issuer’s credit quality. This topic page aggregates Moody’s research related to ESG considerations in credit analysis and the growth and development of green finance globally.
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