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  • 22 Jul 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    While financial institutions are actively exploring ways to implement blockchain technology, robust applications have yet to become widespread. Moody’s believes that potential credit benefits of blockchain technology will be dependent on its more economical transaction processing and recordkeeping, industrywide adoption, and regulatory acceptance. Blockchain also has the potential to spawn new competitors in the financial services space which could change the competitive landscape and may lead to changes in credit profile of existing players...
  • 21 Jul 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    Emerging market economies are increasingly vulnerable as a result of an increase in private sector debt held by foreign investors. External debt has risen to $8.2 trillion in 2015 from $3.0 trillion in 2005, and over the last five years has generally grown faster than GDP and foreign exchange reserves. As a result, external vulnerability, as measured by the ratios of external debt to GDP, external debt to reserves, and other factors, has increased across all regions. Although the risks are not as high as in the early 2000s, challenges such as low commodity prices, sluggish growth and EM currency weakness could exacerbate the situation.
  • 20 Jul 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    We expect greater uncertainty over the UK's trade relationship with the EU to lead to lower economic growth and credit demand, a modest increase in unemployment, reduced property prices and potentially higher and more volatile wholesale funding costs for British banks. These adverse credit drivers will erode asset quality and profitability metrics in the system and led to our 28 June outlook change to negative from stable…
  • 19 Jul 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    Electricity prices across Europe will remain at historically low levels into the early 2020s, reflecting persistently weak gas and coal prices, and continued growth in renewable generation capacity. Low prices will reduce the revenues of European electricity generation plants; however, the risk that some plants will close has spurred the development of capacity mechanisms and power reserves in several markets, providing alternative and potentially more dependable revenue streams for the plants that stay open.
  • 18 Jul 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    The review for downgrade will assess the medium-term impact of the failed military coup on Turkey's economic growth, policymaking institutions and funding levels, given the existing challenges in all of these areas. Despite the coup's failure, we consider its occurrence a reflection of broader political challenges linked to the country's slower-than-expected progress with planned economic reforms to address weakening growth and diminished access to external funding. Turkey’s Baa3 rating has held a negative outlook since April 2014 to reflect these longstanding challenges...
Adjusting to Lower Commodity Prices: A Credit Perspective

  • Adjusting to Lower Commodity Prices: A Credit Perspective

    Commodity prices have fallen to deep multi-year lows. The declines reflect a number of factors, including changes in supply, demand and exchange rates. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s research on the credit impact of the sharp drop in commodity prices.
  • China’s Trilemma: Growth, Reform and Stability

    China’s policy makers have three main policy objectives: maintaining reasonably high rates of GDP growth, reforming and rebalancing the economy, and ensuring financial and economic stability. However, against a backdrop of slower growth, capital flow volatility and rising corporate stress, it will be increasingly difficult for these policy objectives to be achieved in unison, which will pose challenges for China’s credit universe. This page provides a centralized source for Moody's research related to key credit issues in China as the country's macroeconomic story continues to unfold.
  • Euro Area – The Road to Sustainable Growth

    Irrespective of the euro area's emergence from the acute phase of the region's debt crisis in the second half of 2012, economic growth - despite its recent acceleration - has been subdued, reflecting continued large stocks of public debt, restrictive financing conditions and pre-existing long-term structural constraints (including poor demographic prospects). Given these obstacles, as well as the still incomplete nature of the euro area's economic union, the growth model of the European Union and its core, the euro area, continues to face challenges. This page provides a centralized source for Moody's research related to key credit issues concerning these matters.
  • Environmental Risks and Developments

    Concern over environmental change is leading to significant government policy initiatives globally and rising corporate innovation and investment. This heightened attention will lead to disruptive industry change, shifting investor capital allocation strategies and rising input costs related to increased pricing on carbon emissions and water usage. At the same time, severe environmental events, whether natural (earthquakes, hurricanes, droughts and floods) or man-made (oil spills and nuclear accidents), are of growing concern to many market participants who are concerned natural events are increasing in frequency and severity. This page highlights Moody's research on the credit implications of these developing environmental trends.