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Credit Outlook
Moody's Credit Outlook
March 10, 2014
Credit implications of current events.
Now published twice a week.
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Market Outlook
Moody's Analytics
Weekly Market Outlook
March 6, 2014
Corporates Transcend Turmoil Abroad
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2014 Outlooks
Approaching Calmer Waters
Moody's 2014 Outlooks
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Covered Bonds
European Covered Bonds
Monitoring Overview
A quarterly overview of key credit measures
for European covered bond programmes.
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Covenants
Moody's Covenant Service
Discover the latest covenant quality
assessments and trends.
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11 Mar 2014
The bankruptcy litigation surrounding Detroit's general obligation bonds is unlikely to have a broad legal impact on the meaning of the GO pledges in municipal bonds nationwide. Although the Detroit parties may reach a settlement, the outcome of the litigation is unclear, and any bankruptcy court ruling would not be binding in other jurisdictions... Full Report
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11 Mar 2014
As they take on ever-larger corporate targets, shareholder activists are increasing in number among rated companies, with at least five new campaigns launched at rated companies so far this year. With these campaigns typically focused on returning value to shareholders, they have usually been negative for credit quality... Full Report
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11 Mar 2014
The phased reduction of the US Federal Reserve’s asset purchase program, at a time when regional growth prospects are under the microscope, will put a damper on capital flows into Asia, leading to a tightening of credit conditions. In this report, we assess the cross-sector risks of taper-induced volatility on Asian credit. The exposure of Asian credit to Fed tapering is not uniform, and we do not expect a significant deterioration in overall credit quality in Asia... Full Report
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10 Mar 2014
Moody’s trailing 12-month global speculative-grade default rate came in at 2.4% in February, down from 2.6% in January. Our default rate forecasting model now predicts that the default rate will end 2014 at 2.1%. If realized, the rate will be well below the historical average of 4.7%… Full Report
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07 Mar 2014
Last week’s significant volatility in Russia’s financial markets stemming from increased tensions with Ukraine is credit negative for Russian issuers but not sufficient to bring about rating changes. However, an intensification or extended stalemate of the crisis would have a detrimental impact on the country’s growth prospects, the health of its corporate and banking sectors and investor confidence. Such an outcome would result in potential downward pressure on existing ratings... Full Report
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03 Mar 2014
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28 Feb 2014
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04 Mar 2014
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04 Mar 2014
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28 Feb 2014
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03 Mar 2014
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28 Feb 2014
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03 Mar 2014
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03 Mar 2014
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28 Feb 2014
Moody's on Pensions
Global credit implications of pension risks.
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Euro area sovereigns continue to be subject to significant market pressure and face economic and policy challenges affecting their credit. Sovereign credit problems affect other issuers in the region. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s rating actions and research related to sovereigns and other credits affected by the crisis.
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This page highlights key Moody’s research providing insight on employee pensions and the related credit impact on companies, governments, and other entities across the globe that are potentially exposed to pension risks.
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On July 18 Moody’s moved the outlook on the US government back to stable and affirmed the Aaa rating. The action reflects Moody’s assessment that the federal government’s debt trajectory is on track, at least through 2018, to meet the criteria laid out in August 2011 for a return to a stable outlook. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s research related to credits with both direct and indirect linkages to the U.S. fiscal outlook.
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Find all of our structured finance rating actions and research relating to our sovereign and bank rating actions here.
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Since its creation in 2002, Moody's Accounting Specialist Group has worked alongside Moody's credit analysts to incorporate accounting, financial reporting and internal control practices more systematically into the credit rating process. The group publishes research comments on issues within its area of expertise which Moody’s believes impact rated issuers’ credit quality. The group also conducts training for Moody’s analysts on relevant financial reporting, accounting and internal control issues which impact ratings. The Accounting Specialist Group is part of broader initiative to bring specialized expertise to Moody’s credit rating process. Along with specialists in accounting, financial reporting and internal controls, Moody’s Enhanced Analytic Group also has specialists with expertise in corporate governance; risk management; and complex financial instruments.
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