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Credit Outlook
Moody's Credit Outlook
June 21, 2018
Credit implications of current events.
Published twice a week.
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Market Outlook
Moody's Analytics
Weekly Market Outlook
June 14, 2018
May’s High-Yield Bond Offerings Plunge as New Loan Programs Soar (Capital Markets Research)
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Structured Finance Podcast
Moody’s Talks: Structured Finance
US Multifamily REITs' credit profiles remain strong, despite pressure from higher supply
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The Big Picture
The Big Picture
Six themes that will shape global credit conditions in 2018
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ESG
Environmental, Social and Governance
Implications for fixed income markets
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The outlook change reflects higher prices and lower recycled fiber costs across most subsectors of the industry in most regions, leading to consolidated operating income growth of 4%-6% over the next 12 to 18 months.
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Lower cash flow as a result of tax reform as well as high holding company debt levels will increase the financial risks faced by the sector over the next 12-18 months.
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The credit effects of the tariffs will reverberate across sectors and companies in many countries because of the global integration of manufacturing supply chains and international links between financial markets.
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Exposure to older, legacy long-term care business remains a top credit risk for life insurers, because it increases the likelihood the firms could experience declines in margins or take charges in 2018-19.
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Given the government’s high debt burden, the extent to which the new administration can reduce the deficit and overall debt levels are key factors influencing the sovereign’s credit profile.
The Big Picture
Six themes that will shape global credit conditions in 2018
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Financial technologies, artificial intelligence, machine learning, robotics, electric and autonomous vehicles and e-commerce will continue to transform production processes, business models and government regulation. On this page you will find Moody’s research about emerging technologies and their potential to affect credit risk in various sectors and asset classes.
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The far-reaching nature of various political shifts under way across the world, particularly in advanced economies, has raised the potential for significant changes in policy direction. On this page, you will find Moody's research about key credit issues related to upcoming elections and political developments globally
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Market participants are focusing more on the potential for environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues to impact investment decisions and to assist in the development of a more sustainable economy. We capture ESG considerations into our analysis and ratings when we believe that such factors materially affect a debt issuer’s credit quality. This topic page aggregates Moody’s research related to ESG considerations in credit analysis and the growth and development of green finance globally.
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