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Market Outlook
Moody's Analytics
Weekly Market Outlook
June 22, 2017
Low Bond Yields Extend an Aging Upturn (Capital Markets Research)
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Credit Outlook
Moody's Credit Outlook
June 21, 2017
Credit implications of current events.
Published twice a week.
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The Big Picture
The Big Picture
New site features research on six themes that will shape global credit conditions in 2017
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US in Focus
United States in Focus
Read the latest insight and analysis on the factors driving US credit markets
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European Union
European Union
Rising Challenges to Growth and Integration
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Pension investment performance has never been more critical for US state and local government credit quality. With liabilities surpassing $4 trillion, over the next three years costs to keep pace with liability growth could increase 51%.
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The surge is fueling online consumption and facilitating omni-channel retailing and the provision of new services but will not immediately impact banks.
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The strong mandate gained by President Emmanuel Macron’s party in the second round of the National Assembly elections in France (Aa2 stable) increases the likelihood that the new government will be able to implement tough reforms focused on liberalizing France's labour market and tightening benefit rules.
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The proposed changes to simplify the US regulatory framework have no immediate credit implications. But if changes eventually adopted complied fully with the recommendations, they would be negative for US banks' credit standing, particularly if capital and liquidity requirements diverge significantly from global standards.
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Modest growth in Chile will spur only limited improvement for most sectors, and government debt will continue to rise.
European Union - Rising Challenges to Growth and Integration
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The European Union and its core, the euro area, continues to face a challenging growth outlook and the risk of political fragmentation is rising. This page presents Moody's research related to key credit issues concerning growth and stability challenges within the EU
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The far-reaching nature of various political shifts under way across the world, particularly in advanced economies, has raised the potential for significant changes in policy direction. On this page, you will find Moody's research about key credit issues related to upcoming elections and political developments globally
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Concern over environmental change is leading to significant government policy initiatives globally and rising corporate innovation and investment. This heightened attention will lead to disruptive industry change, shifting investor capital allocation strategies and rising input costs related to increased pricing on carbon emissions and water usage. At the same time, severe environmental events, whether natural (earthquakes, hurricanes, droughts and floods) or man-made (oil spills and nuclear accidents), are of growing concern to many market participants who are concerned natural events are increasing in frequency and severity. This page highlights Moody's research on the credit implications of these developing environmental trends.
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