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Market Outlook
Moody's Analytics
Weekly Market Outlook
April 26, 2018
Loan Default Rate May Approach Bond Default Rate (Capital Markets Research)
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Credit Outlook
Moody's Credit Outlook
April 26, 2018
Credit implications of current events.
Published twice a week.
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Structured Finance Podcast
Moody’s Talks: Structured Finance
UK interest-only mortgages - Older borrowers face refinancing risk
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The Big Picture
The Big Picture
Six themes that will shape global credit conditions in 2018
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ESG
Environmental, Social and Governance
Implications for fixed income markets
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Exceptional economic diversification, dynamism and competitiveness combined with the global benchmark status of the US dollar and Treasury market significantly lowers the US sovereign's exposure to credit-related shocks.
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Incumbent banks that pursue agile digital strategies will defend their core franchises, broaden their customer bases and improve efficiency, supporting their creditworthiness. Laggards will face increased customer attrition, reduced pricing power and uncompetitive cost structures.
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Ontario’s 2018 budget includes spending increases for both operations and capital infrastructure. Combined with slower economic growth that will translate into lower revenue, the budget balance will likely return to deficits, resulting in higher debt.
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The direct impact from US tariffs on targeted sectors on China’s exports and GDP growth will be limited, but there are likely to be knock-on effects for other sectors that could greatly increase the total effect.
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Blockchain's potential effects include making cross-border transactions faster and less expensive, a credit positive for banks, and compressing banks' fees and commissions, a credit negative.
The Big Picture
Six themes that will shape global credit conditions in 2018
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Financial technologies, artificial intelligence, machine learning, robotics, electric and autonomous vehicles and e-commerce will continue to transform production processes, business models and government regulation. On this page you will find Moody’s research about emerging technologies and their potential to affect credit risk in various sectors and asset classes.
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The far-reaching nature of various political shifts under way across the world, particularly in advanced economies, has raised the potential for significant changes in policy direction. On this page, you will find Moody's research about key credit issues related to upcoming elections and political developments globally
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Market participants are focusing more on the potential for environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues to impact investment decisions and to assist in the development of a more sustainable economy. We capture ESG considerations into our analysis and ratings when we believe that such factors materially affect a debt issuer’s credit quality. This topic page aggregates Moody’s research related to ESG considerations in credit analysis and the growth and development of green finance globally.
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