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Market Outlook
Moody's Analytics
Weekly Market Outlook
February 08, 2018
Corporate Bonds Beg to Differ with Their Equity Brethren (Capital Markets Research)
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Credit Outlook
Moody's Credit Outlook
February 08, 2018
Credit implications of current events.
Published twice a week.
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Global Credit Podcast
Moody’s Talks: Global Credit
Advancements in AI benefit many sectors, but big tech building a commanding lead
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2018 Outlooks
2018 Outlooks
Credit conditions will improve as global economy strengthens
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ESG
Environmental, Social and Governance
Implications for fixed income markets
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Most of the leading political parties in Italy’s upcoming legislative election are pledging to tackle the government’s high debt load while sharing the benefits of recent economic growth through tax cuts, conflicting goals that will be difficult to achieve.
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The US (Aaa stable) has a very high federal debt burden and large budget deficits, and faces a material deterioration in its balance sheet over the coming years. However, its exceptional economic strength and its currency's central role in the global financial system will offset the credit risks stemming from the expected decline in its fiscal position.
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While artificial intelligence technologies have made considerable progress over the past five years and big tech companies have invested considerably, it will be years before this new technology reshapes the competitive dynamics of entire industries.
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South Korea’s (Aa2 stable) new regulations on cryptocurrency trading will reduce the potential risks associated with rapid growth in cryptocurrency, mostly by increasing oversight to prevent illegal foreign-currency transactions and promoting broader financial stability. Cryptocurrency trading in Korea had surged in late 2017, accounting for as much as 20% of daily global trading volume.
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The recent flooding in parts of north-western and eastern France (Aa2 stable) - including that of Paris when the Seine river overflowed its banks - has disrupted local economies by damaging transport infrastructure and agricultural crops. Looking ahead, the expected increase in rainfall will be credit negative for those French cities that are most exposed to the risks of flooding.
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Moody's 2018 Outlooks provide our forward-looking views on global credit conditions and trends across various sectors and regions.
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The far-reaching nature of various political shifts under way across the world, particularly in advanced economies, has raised the potential for significant changes in policy direction. On this page, you will find Moody's research about key credit issues related to upcoming elections and political developments globally
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Market participants are focusing more on the potential for environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues to impact investment decisions and to assist in the development of a more sustainable economy. We capture ESG considerations into our analysis and ratings when we believe that such factors materially affect a debt issuer’s credit quality. This topic page aggregates Moody’s research related to ESG considerations in credit analysis and the growth and development of green finance globally.
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