A growing market with growing risks

The latest insights from across Moody's.

Moody’s comparative insights on global emerging markets

How ESG is affecting global credit markets

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18 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service

About 8% of emerging market companies will face significant credit stress under our baseline scenario of lower global growth through 2023, compared with about 3% of developed market companies.  But more than a third of emerging market companies are at risk in our downside scenario of an escalation of the conflict.

24 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service

Jim Hempstead of the Cyber Risk team and Sarah Hibler of the Financial Institutions team join host William Foster to discuss how cybersecurity risk is evolving in novel ways, with growing potential to cause significant economic disruption and financial losses as hackers become more sophisticated.​

23 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service

Both public pension funds and insurance companies have aggressively invested in private equity and private credit in search of returns, and, in the case of public pension funds, to reduce state and local governments’ reported liabilities. However, public pension funds have increased their investment risk to a level that exceeds that of insurance companies, which instead have altered products and pricing rather than rely heavily on risky private assets.

23 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service

Our ESG team looks at how nature is declining faster than at any time in human history – increasing pressure on natural capital resources and raising important credit risk implications globally for governments, companies and financial institutions.

27 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service

Antonio Tena and Johann Grieneisen of the Structured Finance Group join host Aaron Johnson to discuss how ESG factors, including the risk of flooding in The Netherlands, affect European transactions we rate.

26 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service

We have lowered our global economic growth projections and raised our inflation forecasts for 2022 and 2023 as ongoing supply shocks stoke inflation, consumer purchasing power weakens and monetary policy becomes more hawkish. We now expect the G-20 economies to grow 3.1% in 2022, down from 5.9% growth in 2021, and we predict a further slowdown in growth to 2.9% in 2023.

23 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service

Environmental risks include emissions standards and climate exposure that pose asset value risk to transactions' underlying collateral. For social risk, consumer preference and regulatory scrutiny are key issues.

Source: Moody's Investors Service
Moody's Credit Outlook

Russia-Ukraine conflict heightens risks for nearly 30% of nonfinancial emerging market companies

For China property developers, liquidity drives credit differentiation amid weak sales and tight funding conditions

Petrobras' frequent changes of CEO are credit negative and require close vigilance on corporate governance

Source: Moody's Investors Service
Weekly Market Outlook

Possible pause

We preview economic reports and forecasts from the US, UK/Europe, and Asia/Pacific regions

U.S. downgrades outstrip upgrades

Source: Moody's Analytics