A growing market with growing risks

The latest insights from across Moody's.

Moody’s comparative insights on global emerging markets

How ESG is affecting global credit markets

Join Moody’s channels or individual webinars and get the latest market impact

17 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has created new stresses for emerging market banks just as economic conditions were starting to recover post-pandemic. Some banking sectors will be harder hit than others.

17 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service

In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Behind the Bonds, Emile El Nems of the Corporates team joins host Jeff Pruzan to bring us up to date on how Russia’s ongoing invasion of Ukraine is affecting corporate credit quality worldwide. And Carlos Winzer of the Telecoms team explains why 5G investment will be an evolution rather than a revolution for the sector.

16 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service

Almost a quarter of emerging market companies’ credit quality would be at risk if the Russia-Ukraine conflict escalated, with consumer sectors most exposed and commodity producers set to benefit.

16 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service

Four Moody's-rated corporate debt issuers globally defaulted in April, down from eight in March, and the trailing 12-month global speculative-grade default rate edged down to 1.9% from 2.1%. Our Credit Transition Model projects a modest rise in the default rate over the next year but risks are increasing as a result of inflationary pressures and the pace of monetary tightening.

18 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service

As mental health and substance abuse problems grow sharply in the US, insurance analyst Dean Ungar explains how US health insurers are trying to break down the wall between medical health and mental health and better integrate the latter into their operations. Also in this episode, insurance analysts Frank Yuen, Soichiro Makimoto and Qian Zhu discuss updates to capital regimes in Asia-Pacific, and what it means for insurers in Hong Kong, SAR, Japan and mainland China.

16 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service

US high-yield bond and loan issuance has fallen sharply since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, as investors turn more risk averse. While private credit lenders have an increasingly important funding role for leveraged middle market companies, the relationship with their private equity-backed portfolio companies is less transparent. Better terms among private credit lenders can also mask underlying risk.

18 May 2022|Moody's Investors Service

While increased usage of cryptocurrencies can facilitate faster transactions for households and increase financial inclusion, it also entails significant risks for emerging markets in particular. These include operational risks (cyber and fraud), reduced government control over monitoring the financial system and increased ability to circumvent capital controls.

Source: Moody's Investors Service
Moody's Credit Outlook

McDonald's exit from Russia will hurt 2022 profit, but credit metrics will remain solid

Renault sells its Russian operations, a credit negative

China's April retail sales decline amid coronavirus-related disruptions

Source: Moody's Investors Service
Weekly Market Outlook

Did inflation peak? Doesn't matter to the fed

We preview economic reports and forecasts from the US, UK/Europe, and Asia/Pacific regions

Upgrades dominate latest U.S. changes

Source: Moody's Analytics