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27 Feb 2017
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  • 23 Feb 2017
    Moody's Investors Service
    The new presidential administration has advocated for changes to the financial sector with material credit implications for US-domiciled life insurers. Stated policies favoring lower corporate tax rates, reduced regulation and higher interest rates would on balance be credit positive for the industry, if implemented...
  • 23 Feb 2017
    Moody's Investors Service
    Strong growth in demand for liquid natural gas (LNG) from China, India and new markets will not be enough to absorb the fresh supply capacity coming online or make up for falling demand from the largest importers, Japan and Korea. Demand will not catch up with supply until the early years of the next decade, when increased gas usage and the build-out of LNG import infrastructure will restore balance to the market. Until then, investment returns for developers of Australian LNG projects will be weak and US LNG buyers will struggle to recover all of their liquefaction costs...
  • 23 Feb 2017
    Moody's Investors Service
    Modest growth rates for emerging market economies, coupled with solid performance from developed countries, will help the global economy expand in 2017. Moody’s has raised its forecast for US growth to accommodate a potential boost from looser fiscal policy, but the this could be offset by significant shifts in US policy on issues such as trade and immigration…
  • 17 Feb 2017
    Moody's Investors Service
    The Russian government has enacted a medium-term fiscal consolidation strategy which we expect will lower the government's dependence on oil and gas revenues and gradually replenish its reserves. In addition, the Russian economy is now recovering after a nearly two-year-long recession. These two factors have reduced the risks that prompted the assignment of a negative outlook to Russia's Ba1 sovereign rating last year…
  • 17 Feb 2017
    Moody's Investors Service
    Already rising, pension costs will further burden state and local government budgets because many large public pension systems are lowering investment return assumptions. Under US public pension accounting and funding, pension costs rise as investment return expectations fall. Even under revised investment assumptions, however, investment volatility risk remains high...
Adjusting to Lower Commodity Prices: A Credit Perspective



  • Adjusting to Lower Commodity Prices: A Credit Perspective

    Commodity prices have fallen to deep multi-year lows. The declines reflect a number of factors, including changes in supply, demand and exchange rates. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s research on the credit impact of the sharp drop in commodity prices.
  • China's Trilemma: Growth, Reform and Stability

    China's policy makers have three main policy objectives: maintaining reasonably high rates of GDP growth, reforming and rebalancing the economy, and ensuring financial and economic stability. However, against a backdrop of slower growth, capital flow volatility and rising corporate stress, it will be increasingly difficult for these policy objectives to be achieved in unison, which will pose challenges for China’s credit universe. This page provides a centralized source for Moody's research related to key credit issues in China as the country's macroeconomic story continues to unfold.
  • Environmental Risks and Developments

    Concern over environmental change is leading to significant government policy initiatives globally and rising corporate innovation and investment. This heightened attention will lead to disruptive industry change, shifting investor capital allocation strategies and rising input costs related to increased pricing on carbon emissions and water usage. At the same time, severe environmental events, whether natural (earthquakes, hurricanes, droughts and floods) or man-made (oil spills and nuclear accidents), are of growing concern to many market participants who are concerned natural events are increasing in frequency and severity. This page highlights Moody's research on the credit implications of these developing environmental trends.