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  • 17 Feb 2017
    Moody's Investors Service
    The Russian government has enacted a medium-term fiscal consolidation strategy which we expect will lower the government's dependence on oil and gas revenues and gradually replenish its reserves. In addition, the Russian economy is now recovering after a nearly two-year-long recession. These two factors have reduced the risks that prompted the assignment of a negative outlook to Russia's Ba1 sovereign rating last year…
  • 15 Feb 2017
    Moody's Investors Service
    The ability of China’s central government to implement its reform agenda, including deleveraging by state-owned enterprises and by regional and local governments (RLGs), is hindered by incentives at the RLG level to preserve local employment and social stability. Despite recent efforts to strengthen central government oversight of RLGs, misaligned incentives between the different tiers of government are likely to remain an obstacle to economic reform and rebalancing, a credit negatively...
  • 17 Feb 2017
    Moody's Investors Service
    Already rising, pension costs will further burden state and local government budgets because many large public pension systems are lowering investment return assumptions. Under US public pension accounting and funding, pension costs rise as investment return expectations fall. Even under revised investment assumptions, however, investment volatility risk remains high...
  • 16 Feb 2017
    Moody's Investors Service
    Institutional and private sector forces will underpin global decarbonisation efforts, despite potential changes in US climate policy. As such, the effects of carbon transition will continue to have material credit implications for rated entities in a number of industrial sectors globally...
  • 08 Feb 2017
    Moody's Investors Service
    US speculative-grade companies have a record $1.063 trillion of debt maturing from 2017-21, with almost 90% due in 2019-21, and will be at greater risk to lose access to the credit markets to refinance their debt. US investment-grade firms have approximately $944 billion of bonds coming due from 2017-21, with maturities more evenly distributed, but should continue to enjoy good credit market access in 2017…
Adjusting to Lower Commodity Prices: A Credit Perspective



  • Adjusting to Lower Commodity Prices: A Credit Perspective

    Commodity prices have fallen to deep multi-year lows. The declines reflect a number of factors, including changes in supply, demand and exchange rates. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s research on the credit impact of the sharp drop in commodity prices.
  • China's Trilemma: Growth, Reform and Stability

    China's policy makers have three main policy objectives: maintaining reasonably high rates of GDP growth, reforming and rebalancing the economy, and ensuring financial and economic stability. However, against a backdrop of slower growth, capital flow volatility and rising corporate stress, it will be increasingly difficult for these policy objectives to be achieved in unison, which will pose challenges for China’s credit universe. This page provides a centralized source for Moody's research related to key credit issues in China as the country's macroeconomic story continues to unfold.
  • Environmental Risks and Developments

    Concern over environmental change is leading to significant government policy initiatives globally and rising corporate innovation and investment. This heightened attention will lead to disruptive industry change, shifting investor capital allocation strategies and rising input costs related to increased pricing on carbon emissions and water usage. At the same time, severe environmental events, whether natural (earthquakes, hurricanes, droughts and floods) or man-made (oil spills and nuclear accidents), are of growing concern to many market participants who are concerned natural events are increasing in frequency and severity. This page highlights Moody's research on the credit implications of these developing environmental trends.