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  • 12 Dec 2017
    Moody's Investors Service
    The key climate-related risks facing European cities over the coming decades are river floods, followed by rising sea levels, heat waves, drought and wildfires. These risks, which could occur suddenly or gradually, will test city governments' ability to adapt, and have the potential to alter their economic and financial strength, which are key components of their credit profiles.
  • 11 Dec 2017
    The Fed will gradually tighten monetary policy as a new chairman grapples with muted inflation alongside low unemployment in the US.  
  • 11 Dec 2017
    Moody's Investors Service
    Strong and coordinated regulation will help maintain financial stability. A steady economy and recovering commodity prices will support corporate profitability and asset quality, and liquidity will remain broadly stable.  
  • 11 Dec 2017
    Moody's Investors Service
    Broadening global growth, rising interest rates and subsiding restructuring costs will lift profitability for global investment banks in 2018. Tail risks will decline as these banks’ non-core portfolios wind down and outstanding litigation largely abates. Liquidity will remain strong, but capital will erode for some of these banks as shareholder payouts rise.  
  • 07 Dec 2017
    Moody's Investors Service
    The energy industry will continue its slow recovery as companies increase production. Excess supply will constrain oil prices, which we expect to remain within the $40-$60-per-barrel band through 2019, while increased demand will modestly boost natural gas prices in North America, making natural gas production more economically viable there.  
2018 Outlooks

  • 2018 Outlooks

    Moody's 2018 Outlooks provide our forward-looking views on global credit conditions and trends across various sectors and regions.
  • Changing tides: politics, elections and credit risk

    The far-reaching nature of various political shifts under way across the world, particularly in advanced economies, has raised the potential for significant changes in policy direction. On this page, you will find Moody's research about key credit issues related to upcoming elections and political developments globally
  • Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG)

    Market participants are focusing more on the potential for environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues to impact investment decisions and to assist in the development of a more sustainable economy. We capture ESG considerations into our analysis and ratings when we believe that such factors materially affect a debt issuer’s credit quality. This topic page aggregates Moody’s research related to ESG considerations in credit analysis and the growth and development of green finance globally.