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22 Jan 2017
20170122
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  • 19 Jan 2017
    Moody's Investors Service
    Repairing or replacing aging transportation infrastructure, such as roads and bridges, will require US states to shoulder additional cost burdens since federal funding has stagnated over the last 20 years. States with large maintenance burdens will face budgetary challenges in meeting those needs. Transportation spending will require a larger chunk of state capital expense. President-elect Donald Trump has proposed increasing infrastructure spending by $1 trillion over the next 10 years, although funding sources and timelines have not been determined...
  • 18 Jan 2017
    Moody's Investors Service
    While Prime Minister Theresa May has provided greater clarity about the UK government’s key objectives for its forthcoming Brexit negotiations with the EU, we consider it unlikely that the comprehensive free trade agreement she seeks will, in its entirety, be acceptable to the remaining EU member states. The risk of the UK exiting the EU without a UK-EU trade deal being in place will therefore remain, posing a threat to the UK’s medium-term growth prospects. The current negative outlook on the UK’s Aa1 credit rating captures this risk...
  • 17 Jan 2017
    Moody's Investors Service
    Sovereigns in Latin America and the Caribbean will record low growth in 2017 because of ongoing fiscal reforms to offset lower-for-longer commodity prices (despite recent increases in oil prices), rising government debt levels and the prospect of higher funding costs given the likely rise in global interest rates. These negative credit conditions will hit South American countries and Mexico (A3 negative) hardest, while Central American and Caribbean countries will fare slightly better...
  • 12 Jan 2017
    Moody's Investors Service
    Stable but subdued real GDP growth, unchanged spending plans and modestly declining debt burdens underpin the stable outlook for euro area sovereign credit quality in 2017. However, the rising political and hence policy risks in some countries may lead to far-reaching political changes that would challenge the governance and even the continuity of the euro area...
  • 12 Jan 2017
    Moody's Investors Service
    While unfunded pension liabilities will continue to weigh on the City of Chicago’s (Ba1 negative) credit profile, plans to significantly increase contributions with higher taxes is a favorable departure from prior funding practices. However, the liquidity crisis at Chicago Public Schools (CPS – B3 negative) is worsening amid a continued budget impasse at the state level...
Adjusting to Lower Commodity Prices: A Credit Perspective



  • Adjusting to Lower Commodity Prices: A Credit Perspective

    Commodity prices have fallen to deep multi-year lows. The declines reflect a number of factors, including changes in supply, demand and exchange rates. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s research on the credit impact of the sharp drop in commodity prices.
  • China's Trilemma: Growth, Reform and Stability

    China's policy makers have three main policy objectives: maintaining reasonably high rates of GDP growth, reforming and rebalancing the economy, and ensuring financial and economic stability. However, against a backdrop of slower growth, capital flow volatility and rising corporate stress, it will be increasingly difficult for these policy objectives to be achieved in unison, which will pose challenges for China’s credit universe. This page provides a centralized source for Moody's research related to key credit issues in China as the country's macroeconomic story continues to unfold.
  • Environmental Risks and Developments

    Concern over environmental change is leading to significant government policy initiatives globally and rising corporate innovation and investment. This heightened attention will lead to disruptive industry change, shifting investor capital allocation strategies and rising input costs related to increased pricing on carbon emissions and water usage. At the same time, severe environmental events, whether natural (earthquakes, hurricanes, droughts and floods) or man-made (oil spills and nuclear accidents), are of growing concern to many market participants who are concerned natural events are increasing in frequency and severity. This page highlights Moody's research on the credit implications of these developing environmental trends.