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View the latest insight on the six themes shaping credit in 2019

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10 Dec 2018|Moody's Investors Service

Economic and employment fundamentals will support a favorable operating environment for US banks in 2019. Rising rates will support profitability, but incremental gains in net interest income will narrow. Capitalization will decline with increasing shareholder payouts, but the US banks’ capital performance in stress scenarios still compares favorably with global peers.

06 Dec 2018|Moody's Investors Service

US RMBS credit quality to remain strong in 2019, but weaknesses are emerging The credit quality of new mortgages will remain solid owing to healthy borrower metrics and economic conditions. However, competition among lenders will lead to looser underwriting, particularly for prime jumbo and credit-risk transfer transactions.

06 Dec 2018|Moody's Investors Service

The outlook for US states in 2019 remains stable, reflecting healthy economic and revenue trends, which have strengthened balance sheets and improved most states' ability to afford fixed costs.

06 Dec 2018|Moody's Investors Service

The banks’ stronger balance sheets and more stable earnings will protect them from risks, and their capital and liquidity will remain strong despite a modest rise in shareholder payouts. The profitability of the peer group will benefit from rising interest rates in the US and reduced legacy and restructuring costs in Europe. Investment will shift to “change the bank” initiatives and digitization, raising efficiency, though cost savings may largely be reinvested.

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05 Dec 2018|Moody's Investors Service

A generally supportive operating environment will help banks preserve the stronger capitalization achieved in recent years, and still low interest rates will support borrowers’ repayment capacity and bank asset quality. Interest rate rises will help improve profitability, though low returns will persist for many banks. Geopolitical and domestic risks pose the greatest source of uncertainty for bank credit in 2019.

06 Dec 2018|Moody's Investors Service

The 2019 outlook for global asset managers is stable, reflecting the sector’s ability to integrate technology, address cost structure issues, and adapt to a new service model.

05 Dec 2018|Moody's Investors Service

Parliament's likely rejection of the agreement on the UK's withdrawal from the EU does not render a no-deal Brexit inevitable – and would therefore not by itself trigger a review of the UK’s credit profile. Our new report discusses various Brexit scenarios that could be brought about by this week’s vote and their credit impact.

Moody's Credit Outlook

Altria's $1.8 billion bet on cannabis is credit negative, but has longer-term potential

LPL’s acquisition of AdvisoryWorld is credit positive

FAQ on possible Brexit scenarios and their credit impact   

Source: Moody's Investors Service
Weekly Market Outlook

Slower growth amid high leverage lessens upside for interest rates

The week ahead – US, Europe, Asia-Pacific

U.S. downgrades headlined by CVS Health

Source: Moody's Analytics
Source: Moody's Investors Service