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  • 08 Dec 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    The outlook for Latin American banks is negative for 2017, as sluggish economic growth weakens the asset quality of banks in the region and higher credit costs crimp earnings. Banks in Mexico and Central America are most vulnerable to the economic uncertainties following the recent US Presidential elections...
  • 08 Dec 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    The global oil and gas industry will continue to struggle under the weight of high debt levels in the coming year, even as the industry rebounds modestly from its 2016 trough. Among sectors, integrated oil and gas and midstream carry stable outlooks, drilling and oilfield services and refining and marketing carry negative outlooks, and the exploration and production sector has a positive outlook ...
  • 08 Dec 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    US President-elect Donald Trump’s proposal for a one-time tax cut on repatriated cash would temporarily boost US non-financial companies’ domestic liquidity, but the credit impact would depend on how companies use the cash. More comprehensive tax reform that improves access to offshore cash would provide companies greater flexibility to make long-term capital allocation decisions and prompt them to raise less debt capital, a credit positive scenario...
  • 08 Dec 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    The outlooks for global pharmaceuticals, US medical products and devices and US for-profit hospitals are stable, with aggregate EBITDAs likely to increase for each sector in 2017, even as pricing pressures remain. Global demand for healthcare products and services will continue to rise and represents a greater portion of GDP for most countries. However, rising healthcare spending creates severe budgetary pressures for countries, and companies will continue struggling to contain costs...
  • 08 Dec 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    The outlook for US states continues to be stable, based on the expectation that modest economic and revenue growth will resume following a year-over-year decline in the second quarter of 2016. The moderate increase in tax revenues will underpin steady credit conditions for most states, but will not be enough to foster broad improvements in credit quality. In the next 12-18 months, states’ revenues will rise at a 2%-3% annual pace, a slowdown from the five-year average of roughly 4%...
Adjusting to Lower Commodity Prices: A Credit Perspective



  • Adjusting to Lower Commodity Prices: A Credit Perspective

    Commodity prices have fallen to deep multi-year lows. The declines reflect a number of factors, including changes in supply, demand and exchange rates. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s research on the credit impact of the sharp drop in commodity prices.
  • China’s Trilemma: Growth, Reform and Stability

    China’s policy makers have three main policy objectives: maintaining reasonably high rates of GDP growth, reforming and rebalancing the economy, and ensuring financial and economic stability. However, against a backdrop of slower growth, capital flow volatility and rising corporate stress, it will be increasingly difficult for these policy objectives to be achieved in unison, which will pose challenges for China’s credit universe. This page provides a centralized source for Moody's research related to key credit issues in China as the country's macroeconomic story continues to unfold.
  • Environmental Risks and Developments

    Concern over environmental change is leading to significant government policy initiatives globally and rising corporate innovation and investment. This heightened attention will lead to disruptive industry change, shifting investor capital allocation strategies and rising input costs related to increased pricing on carbon emissions and water usage. At the same time, severe environmental events, whether natural (earthquakes, hurricanes, droughts and floods) or man-made (oil spills and nuclear accidents), are of growing concern to many market participants who are concerned natural events are increasing in frequency and severity. This page highlights Moody's research on the credit implications of these developing environmental trends.