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  • 01 Jun 2015
    Moody's Investors Service
    The outlook for US banks is stable. GDP growth, low oil prices and rising employment will bolster already strong asset quality. However, low interest rates and competition amongst banks and from the shadow-banking sector will keep banks’ margins and profitability low over the next 12-18 months. Intense competition also raises the risk that banks will relax underwriting standards, leaving them with higher-risk loans on their balance sheets...
  • 01 Jun 2015
    Moody's Investors Service
    Starting 15 June, the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s Rule 15Ga-2 takes effect for new residential mortgage-backed securities. The rule will improve transparency into the credit quality of mortgage loans underlying transactions...
  • 28 May 2015
    Moody's Investors Service
    The review of 13 rated global investment banking (GIB) groups resulted in upgrades of the long-term bank issuer/senior unsecured debt ratings for six GIB groups, four rating affirmations, and two rating confirmations, with one GIB remaining on review for downgrade. Nine of the GIBs also have long-term senior unsecured debt ratings at the holding company level, of which four were upgraded, four downgraded and one affirmed. The actions reflect the application of loss given failure (LGF) analysis and revisions in our government support assumptions for these groups...
  • 28 May 2015
    Moody's Investors Service
    The scale of investment required to fund foreseeable infrastructure needs across the world is vast – amounting to trillions of dollars annually. Although substantial debt capacity is now available from banks and institutional investors to finance infrastructure developments in creditworthy, stable economies, there is a shortage of investment opportunities in those countries. Several recently-launched international initiatives are intended to bring forward high quality, well-structured infrastructure projects across the globe and will give rise to new opportunities in infrastructure debt...
  • 27 May 2015
    Moody's Investors Service
    Over the medium term, liquidity, domestic market exposure, foreign currency exposure and state support levels will be the key credit drivers for Russian companies, utilities and infrastructure firms. While the downgrade of Russia’s foreign-currency bond ceiling to Ba1 was the primary reason for the recent corporate rating actions at the higher end of the rating scale, these additional factors played a crucial part in the final rating decisions and will continue to do so in the years ahead...
Reform and Rebalancing

  • China: Reform and Rebalancing

    The Chinese economy is embarking on a path of rebalancing, defined by a reorientation away from the export and investment-led development model towards a model where consumption gradually becomes a more important engine of growth. This process will be characterized by economic restructuring, policy reform, market liberalization, and credit deceleration, posing both opportunities and challenges for China's credit universe. This page provides a centralized source for Moody's research related to key credit issues in China as the country's rebalancing story unfolds.
  • Euro Area – The Road to Sustainable Growth

    Since the euro area’s emergence from the global financial crisis in the second half of 2013, the region’s growth has remained subdued, reflecting continued large stocks of public debt, restrictive financing conditions and pre-existing long-term structural constraints (in particular poor demographic prospects). Given these obstacles, as well as the still incomplete nature of the euro area’s economic union, it is clear that the future growth model of the European Union and its core, the euro area, continues to faces challenges. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s research related to key credit issues concerning these matters.
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