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Credit Outlook
Moody's Credit Outlook
June 25, 2018
Credit implications of current events.
Published twice a week.
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Market Outlook
Moody's Analytics
Weekly Market Outlook
June 21, 2018
Investment-Grade Looks Softer and
High-Yield Looks Firmer Compared With
Year-End 2007(Capital Markets Research)
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Structured Finance Podcast
Moody’s Talks: Structured Finance
US Multifamily REITs' credit profiles remain strong, despite pressure from higher supply
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The Big Picture
The Big Picture
Six themes that will shape global credit conditions in 2018
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ESG
Environmental, Social and Governance
Implications for fixed income markets
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US export restrictions and investment controls aimed at curbing technology transfer, intellectual property infringement and the effects of the Made in China 2025 initiative would lead to some disruptions in specific US industries, particularly those with extensive involvement in China.
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Over the last decade Chinese investment in Latin America has particularly benefited countries, banks, utilities and companies with limited access to funding. However, higher debt burdens, and weaker trade balances are potential risks for any borrowers dependent on highly discretionary lending.
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The 25% tariff being considered on vehicles and auto parts imported to the US would hurt nearly every group in the industry, including global automakers, parts suppliers, car dealers and transportation companies.
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China’s renewable energy sector will continue to grow its capacity over the next five years, but delays in the payment of government subsidies – sometimes as long as two years – are negatively affecting the financial profiles of companies producing such power.
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The outlook change reflects higher prices and lower recycled fiber costs across most subsectors of the industry in most regions, leading to consolidated operating income growth of 4%-6% over the next 12 to 18 months.
The Big Picture
Six themes that will shape global credit conditions in 2018
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Financial technologies, artificial intelligence, machine learning, robotics, electric and autonomous vehicles and e-commerce will continue to transform production processes, business models and government regulation. On this page you will find Moody’s research about emerging technologies and their potential to affect credit risk in various sectors and asset classes.
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The far-reaching nature of various political shifts under way across the world, particularly in advanced economies, has raised the potential for significant changes in policy direction. On this page, you will find Moody's research about key credit issues related to upcoming elections and political developments globally
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Market participants are focusing more on the potential for environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues to impact investment decisions and to assist in the development of a more sustainable economy. We capture ESG considerations into our analysis and ratings when we believe that such factors materially affect a debt issuer’s credit quality. This topic page aggregates Moody’s research related to ESG considerations in credit analysis and the growth and development of green finance globally.
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