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  • 05 Dec 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    Persistently low interest rates, rising financial markets volatility and legislative changes have moved the outlook on the global life insurance sector to negative from stable. Despite the post-US election bump in yields, historically low interest rates continue to depress investment returns and profitability, pushing insurers to take greater asset risks. Elevated geopolitical risks in 2017 are likely to drive financial markets volatility, while multiple legislative changes would disrupt sales. M&A will continue in 2017...
  • 05 Dec 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    The performance of assets backing Chinese auto loan asset-backed securities (ABS), residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) will be stable through 2017; but negative for collateralized loan obligations (CLOs). However, any future deals with high exposures to China's lower-tier cities or industries facing overcapacity issues will underperform. As for the securitization of nonperforming loans (NPLs), such securitization will grow in China during 2017, underpinned by an increasing volume of NPLs...
  • 02 Dec 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    The results of the Bank of England's annual stress test of the UK's seven largest banks and building societies, published Wednesday, show that the domestically focused UK banking sector has a generally improved ability to withstand a UK stress scenario. However, these institutions, particularly The Royal Bank of Scotland Group, Barclays and Standard Chartered, still exhibit weaknesses in their global exposures, trading books and conduct and litigation risk...
  • 01 Dec 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    Continued growth in the US economy, combined with more seat capacity on US airlines, will push enplanement growth to 2.5% in 2017, slightly below our expectation for 2016 and at our threshold for a positive outlook. Enplanement growth, or the number of seats sold on a flight, is a key indicator for our outlook because it generally translates into higher parking and airport-terminal concession revenue ...
  • 29 Nov 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    A forecasted decline in the corporate default rate and robust CLO structures point to stable performance for newly issued CLOs, despite weakening credit quality for loans of recent origination. The performance of the vast majority of existing CLOs will be stable, as reinvesting deals continue to satisfy their collateral quality tests, and amortizing CLOs reduce their leverage...
Adjusting to Lower Commodity Prices: A Credit Perspective

  • Adjusting to Lower Commodity Prices: A Credit Perspective

    Commodity prices have fallen to deep multi-year lows. The declines reflect a number of factors, including changes in supply, demand and exchange rates. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s research on the credit impact of the sharp drop in commodity prices.
  • China’s Trilemma: Growth, Reform and Stability

    China’s policy makers have three main policy objectives: maintaining reasonably high rates of GDP growth, reforming and rebalancing the economy, and ensuring financial and economic stability. However, against a backdrop of slower growth, capital flow volatility and rising corporate stress, it will be increasingly difficult for these policy objectives to be achieved in unison, which will pose challenges for China’s credit universe. This page provides a centralized source for Moody's research related to key credit issues in China as the country's macroeconomic story continues to unfold.
  • Environmental Risks and Developments

    Concern over environmental change is leading to significant government policy initiatives globally and rising corporate innovation and investment. This heightened attention will lead to disruptive industry change, shifting investor capital allocation strategies and rising input costs related to increased pricing on carbon emissions and water usage. At the same time, severe environmental events, whether natural (earthquakes, hurricanes, droughts and floods) or man-made (oil spills and nuclear accidents), are of growing concern to many market participants who are concerned natural events are increasing in frequency and severity. This page highlights Moody's research on the credit implications of these developing environmental trends.