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Commentary, trends and forecasts from Moody’s Analytics economists

Key global credit themes for 2021

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22 Jun 2021|Moody's Investors Service

Our inaugural Global Emerging Market Banks Chartbook outlines key trends and ratings drivers for emerging market banks, highlighting risks from uneven economic recovery and deteriorating loan performance once support measures expire.

13 Jun 2021|Moody's Corporation

We are placing sustainability at the core of our business. Learn more about our sustainability commitments and initiatives in our 2020 Stakeholder Sustainability report.

21 Jun 2021|Moody's Investors Service

Gulf Cooperation Council sovereigns’ ambitious economic and fiscal diversification efforts have so far yielded only limited results, which are hampered by lower oil prices. Unless they accelerate the adjustment, the global transition to lower carbon emissions and oil price shocks will pressure their credit quality.

02 Jun 2021|Moody's Corporation

We are delighted to be among the companies listed in Fortune magazine’s Global 500 companies list for 2021. This is the first time Moody’s has been featured on the list.

18 Jun 2021|Moody's Analytics

Moody’s Analytics economist Mark Zandi and his team discuss the inflation outlook, and factors contributing to their short-term and longer-term inflation forecast including supply and demand, labor costs, productivity, inflation expectations and the US Federal Reserve’s response.

22 Jun 2021|Moody's Investors Service

Regional and local governments in emerging markets generally report weaker infrastructure and higher levels of poverty and inequality than their advanced economy peers, which weigh on their growth and financial metrics. Given their limited flexibility to address the underlying drivers, we expect that social considerations will continue to constrain their creditworthiness.

17 Jun 2021|Moody's Investors Service

The US average family recovery rate fell to 45% for companies that defaulted during the COVID recession, down from 59% during the global financial crisis. But the default rate peak was less severe than in previous downturns, hitting 8.9% in 2020 versus 14.7% in 2009. 

Source: Moody's Investors Service
Moody's Credit Outlook

Domestic Stability Buffer increase is credit positive for Canadian domestic systemically important banks

Italy extends public guarantee on NPL securitisations, a credit positive for banks

US Policy Brief: Biden agenda advances through executive action; infrastructure bill talks continue; China in focus

Source: Moody's Investors Service
Weekly Market Outlook

The Dot Plot Thickens

We preview economic reports and forecasts from the US, UK/Europe, and Asia/Pacific regions

A Broadcom Debt Upgrade

Source: Moody's Analytics