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research
Policies aimed at dismantling Department of Education add to risks for US school districts

Rapid shifts in federal education policy will create more difficulties for a sector already facing a tightening operating environment.

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Market volatility will hurt US private equity-owned companies’ liquidity

Markets face volatility from fast-developing US policies, inflation fears and tariffs. As private-equity owners juggle volatility and higher borrowing costs, liquidity stress will grow.

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Petrochemical producers face prolonged margin slump

Elevated supply and weak demand pressure margins globally. Slowing global growth signals weak prospects for a near-term rebound in petrochemical demand, with trade tensions aggravating the situation.

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In Asia Pacific, US tariffs will hit banks in Vietnam, Thailand and Bangladesh the hardest

Tariffs will hurt growth in Asia-Pacific economies that are most reliant on exports to the US, which will constrain banks’ lending.

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US tariffs and oversupply heighten risks for Korean companies

Credit conditions will remain difficult for Korean companies amid slowing economic growth, overcapacity and uncertainty around US industrial policy.

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Tariffs and other evolving US federal policies raise risks for consumer securitizations

Increasing borrower expenses, shifting federal spending and decreasing regulatory oversight will introduce more risks than benefits for the performance of asset-backed securities.

article
High US tariffs will curb Vietnam’s growth and weigh on long-term competitiveness

A 46% import tax on Vietnamese goods will strip as much as 2 percentage points from GDP this year and potentially weaken foreign direct investment if not negotiated lower. 

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