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Credit Outlook
Moody's Credit Outlook
October 15, 2018
Credit implications of current events.
Published twice a week.
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Market Outlook
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Moody's Analytics
Weekly Market Outlook
October 11, 2018
Financial Market Volatility May Soon Influence Fed Policy
(Capital Markets Research)
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Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets Analysis
September 21, 2018
Regional credit trends and differences
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The Big Picture
The Big Picture
Six themes that will shape global credit conditions in 2018
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ESG
Environmental, Social and Governance
Implications for fixed income markets
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Portugal’s credit profile has returned to investment grade on account of a gradual but sustained decrease in its debt levels to a still-high 124.8% of GDP in 2017. Moreover, Portugal’s real GDP growth rose to 2.8% in 2017, the highest level in 17 years and close to pre-crisis levels in real terms.
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In our latest Global Trade Monitor, we discuss how a prolonged US-China trade dispute is now more likely. Although our baseline scenario assumes that the tensions will have a manageable impact on global growth and inflation, a large decline in investment or financial markets could derail the current momentum.
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High and rising wealth and income inequality have been exacerbated by the global financial crisis and make it politically more difficult to for the US to mitigate material fiscal challenges.
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Climate challenges facing Australia's states and territories range from very high and rising temperatures, to droughts and bush fires, and increasingly severe storms and cyclones. The impact on economic growth through lost revenue and greater spending on health and infrastructure is mitigated by the diversity of the states' economic bases and their robust institutional framework.
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Brazil’s fintech firms are taking advantage of a large population, low levels of financial inclusion and a smartphone-friendly generation to offer low or even no-cost products and services. The companies still have a tiny market share, however, and many will likely fail or be bought by big banks, which are aggressively rolling out their own digital innovations.
The Big Picture
Six themes that will shape global credit conditions in 2018
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Financial technologies, artificial intelligence, machine learning, robotics, electric and autonomous vehicles and e-commerce will continue to transform production processes, business models and government regulation. On this page you will find Moody’s research about emerging technologies and their potential to affect credit risk in various sectors and asset classes.
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The far-reaching nature of various political shifts under way across the world, particularly in advanced economies, has raised the potential for significant changes in policy direction. On this page, you will find Moody's research about key credit issues related to upcoming elections and political developments globally
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Market participants are focusing more on the potential for environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues to impact investment decisions and to assist in the development of a more sustainable economy. We capture ESG considerations into our analysis and ratings when we believe that such factors materially affect a debt issuer’s credit quality. This topic page aggregates Moody’s research related to ESG considerations in credit analysis and the growth and development of green finance globally.
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