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Global Sovereign Outlook
Video: Global Sovereign Outlook
November 8, 2018
The key factors and risks driving sovereign credit in 2019
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Market Outlook
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Moody's Analytics
Weekly Market Outlook
November 15, 2018
Unprecedented Amount of Baa-Grade Bonds Menaces the Credit Outlook
(Capital Markets Research)
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Credit Outlook
Moody's Credit Outlook
November 15, 2018
Credit implications of current events.
Published twice a week.
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The Big Picture
The Big Picture
Six themes that will shape global credit conditions in 2018
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Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets Analysis
September 21, 2018
Regional credit trends and differences
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The revised FASB standard for long-duration contracts, effective for financial statements filed in 2021, will significantly change the accounting for life insurance and annuity products. The change will likely increase earnings volatility for the companies, but will also improve the transparency of GAAP financial statements, a benefit for investors.
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All 20 Amazon HQ2 finalists have competitive advantages that underpin current and future credit strength. Highly educated, tech-savvy workforces; strong university presence; available and affordable housing; and strong mobility options are attractive to younger populations that will comprise much of the labor force for vibrant, 21st century industries and, by extension, cities.
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The People's Bank of China recently reported that “hidden debt” in an unnamed province was 80% higher than its explicit debt and that most of it was held at city and county level. This underscores the central government's challenge to monitor and reduce the debt held by regional and local governments.
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The central government will ultimately take on more spending responsibilities from local government financing vehicles as it seeks to provide greater transparency on its direct and contingent liabilities.
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Our 2019 outlook reflects overall trends in the emerging markets we rate, which includes 101 sovereigns and more than 1500 other entities. It balances still strong domestic growth and a range of other buffers in most emerging markets with more challenging external credit conditions, as global growth slows, interest rates rise and the effect of trade frictions between the US and China unfold across the global economy.
The Big Picture
Six themes that will shape global credit conditions in 2018
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Financial technologies, artificial intelligence, machine learning, robotics, electric and autonomous vehicles and e-commerce will continue to transform production processes, business models and government regulation. On this page you will find Moody’s research about emerging technologies and their potential to affect credit risk in various sectors and asset classes.
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The far-reaching nature of various political shifts under way across the world, particularly in advanced economies, has raised the potential for significant changes in policy direction. On this page, you will find Moody's research about key credit issues related to upcoming elections and political developments globally
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Market participants are focusing more on the potential for environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues to impact investment decisions and to assist in the development of a more sustainable economy. We capture ESG considerations into our analysis and ratings when we believe that such factors materially affect a debt issuer’s credit quality. This topic page aggregates Moody’s research related to ESG considerations in credit analysis and the growth and development of green finance globally.
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