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  • 23 Oct 2018
    Moody's Investors Service
    Sri Lanka, Armenia and Pakistan are vulnerable to tightening funding conditions in the next few years, while Tajikistan and Zambia are exposed over the next decade.  
  • 22 Oct 2018
    Moody's Investors Service
    US packaged food companies have increasingly turned to M&A to fuel growth amid stagnant sales. But acquisitions have been funded mainly with debt, driving up financial leverage. With several companies’ leverage now exceeding sustainable levels for their rating categories, they are left with little cushion for shortfalls in operating performance at a time when the operating environment is becoming more challenging.  
  • 22 Oct 2018
    Moody's Investors Service
    The intermittent political tensions linked to Catalunya’s unilateral declaration of independence from Spain in October 2017 have had only limited impact on the region’s economic performance. Catalunya remains Spain’s largest regional economy, contributing 19% of national GDP, but has the highest level of debt among the Spanish regions we rate.  
  • 22 Oct 2018
    Moody's Investors Service
    Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (the BRICS), though often considered as a group, have disparate strengths and weaknesses in their banking systems. Overall, Chinese banks have the strongest credit fundamentals and Russian banks the weakest. The operating environment for BRICS banks is favorable, with economic conditions generally improving across the five systems.
  • 19 Oct 2018
    Moody's Investors Service
    The Italian government’s significantly higher budget deficit targets for the next three years will keep its public debt at a high 130% of GDP, a level that makes Italy vulnerable to future economic shocks. Despite a short-lived boost to growth from fiscal stimulus, the government’s economic plans will not allow it to tackle the country’s low growth, which will move back to the trend rate of 1% at best. 
The Big Picture

Six themes that will shape global credit conditions in 2018

  • Technology and innovation

    Financial technologies, artificial intelligence, machine learning, robotics, electric and autonomous vehicles and e-commerce will continue to transform production processes, business models and government regulation. On this page you will find Moody’s research about emerging technologies and their potential to affect credit risk in various sectors and asset classes.
  • Changing tides: politics, elections and credit risk

    The far-reaching nature of various political shifts under way across the world, particularly in advanced economies, has raised the potential for significant changes in policy direction. On this page, you will find Moody's research about key credit issues related to upcoming elections and political developments globally
  • Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG)

    Market participants are focusing more on the potential for environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues to impact investment decisions and to assist in the development of a more sustainable economy. We capture ESG considerations into our analysis and ratings when we believe that such factors materially affect a debt issuer’s credit quality. This topic page aggregates Moody’s research related to ESG considerations in credit analysis and the growth and development of green finance globally.