Forward-looking insights into the global credit conditions and trends for 2020

Explore how ESG issues are impacting credit markets

Introducing the six key themes shaping credit markets in 2020

Event series exploring what themes are set to shape credit markets in the year ahead

Key risk indicators for leveraged loans and high yield bonds.

13 Jan 2020|Moody's Investors Service

The credit implications of Australia’s ongoing bushfire season are limited given the contained near-term economic costs (0.1% of GDP) and the government’s ample fiscal buffers. However, severe bushfires and other natural disasters related to climate change are likely to become more frequent and will result in rising and recurring costs for Australia’s general and local governments.

16 Jan 2020|Moody's Investors Service

Recent US government warnings point to a heightened risk of Iranian cyberattacks. Although predicting which sectors or issuers would be most at risk is difficult, there would likely be a wide range of potential targets. Any credit impact would depend on the scale, scope and duration of the attack.

16 Jan 2020|Moody's Investors Service

Higher enrollment and rising tuition have historically been the main drivers of growing student loan balances, but slow repayments have now become the primary driver of growing student debt. Outstanding debt will continue to grow, with ongoing social and credit implications.

14 Jan 2020|Moody's Investors Service

As governments limit carbon emissions and demand for sustainable energy sources grows, investors are increasingly placing a premium on noncarbon emitting resources, which is driving the value of hydroelectric power generation higher. In addition to its highly sustainable nature, other inherent characteristics — including reliability, flexible and cost-effective operations, and a long asset life — support long-term investment prospects for hydro generation.

15 Jan 2020|Moody's Investors Service

Yves Lemay from the Sovereign team explains how the deteriorating global environment will weigh on growth in euro area economies, heightening their exposure to economic or financial shocks.

16 Jan 2020|Moody's Investors Service

For the most exposed sovereigns, the pace of increased frequency and severity of natural disasters related to rising sea levels and the effectiveness of adaptation measures will determine the degree of credit-negative effects.

15 Jan 2020|Moody's Investors Service

Household consumption will likely improve in 2020, contributing to Brazil’s economic recovery. Key drivers of the improvement will include favorable prospects for consumer price inflation, gradual improvement in labor market conditions and a pick-up in credit growth amid low interest rates.

Moody's Credit Outlook

“Phase one” US-China deal is credit positive, but scope for friction persists

US banks report solid auto loan and mortgage asset quality in fourth quarter, but credit cards weaken modestly

BlackRock’s ESG announcements signal its leadership in sustainable investments

Source: Moody's Investors Service
Weekly Market Outlook

Positive Earnings Outlook Requires Flat to Lower Interest Rates

We preview economic reports and forecasts from the US, UK/Europe, and Asia/Pacific regions

European Upgrades Outnumber Downgrades 5-1

Source: Moody's Analytics
Source: Moody's Investors Service
Credit Trends 2020 Dublin
21 Jan 2020
  |   Moody's Investors Service
Credit Trends 2020 Berlin
21 Jan 2020
  |   Moody's Investors Service
Innovation Briefing
26 Mar 2020
  |   Moody's Investors Service