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  • 16 Oct 2018
    Moody's Investors Service
    Further flattening of the yield curve portends a possible setback for recent improvement in some US regional banks’ net interest margin, a credit negative because net interest income accounts for about 60% of these banks’ net revenue. But banks have some defenses, foremost their large base of very low-cost deposits that will help avert a steep rise in funding costs. 
  • 15 Oct 2018
    Moody's Investors Service
    The development of autonomous vehicles (AV) will increasingly rely on joint ventures and cooperation agreements within the auto industry, such as Honda’s deal with GM, to overcome significant technology integration and capital requirements. 
  • 15 Oct 2018
    Moody's Investors Service
    Bipartisan momentum behind legislative and regulatory initiatives that will benefit asset managers, such as the JOBS Act 3.0, is unlikely to be altered by the outcome of the November 6 US midterm elections. The compilation bill seeks to improve capital formation and reduce the associated costs for relatively small issuers, and would diversify asset managers’ assets under management and provide new revenue streams. 
  • 12 Oct 2018
    Moody's Investors Service
    Portugal’s credit profile has returned to investment grade on account of a gradual but sustained decrease in its debt levels to a still-high 124.8% of GDP in 2017. Moreover, Portugal’s real GDP growth rose to 2.8% in 2017, the highest level in 17 years and close to pre-crisis levels in real terms. 
  • 11 Oct 2018
    Moody's Investors Service
    In our latest Global Trade Monitor, we discuss how a prolonged US-China trade dispute is now more likely. Although our baseline scenario assumes that the tensions will have a manageable impact on global growth and inflation, a large decline in investment or financial markets could derail the current momentum.  
The Big Picture

Six themes that will shape global credit conditions in 2018

  • Technology and innovation

    Financial technologies, artificial intelligence, machine learning, robotics, electric and autonomous vehicles and e-commerce will continue to transform production processes, business models and government regulation. On this page you will find Moody’s research about emerging technologies and their potential to affect credit risk in various sectors and asset classes.
  • Changing tides: politics, elections and credit risk

    The far-reaching nature of various political shifts under way across the world, particularly in advanced economies, has raised the potential for significant changes in policy direction. On this page, you will find Moody's research about key credit issues related to upcoming elections and political developments globally
  • Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG)

    Market participants are focusing more on the potential for environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues to impact investment decisions and to assist in the development of a more sustainable economy. We capture ESG considerations into our analysis and ratings when we believe that such factors materially affect a debt issuer’s credit quality. This topic page aggregates Moody’s research related to ESG considerations in credit analysis and the growth and development of green finance globally.