China Credit Weekly
Mar 14 - 21, 2018

Earlier this month, at the National People’s Congress, China’s central government announced a 69% year-on-year increase in the issuance quota for regional and local government (RLG) special purposes bonds. In our report on this decision, we explain how it will boost the ability of RLGs to meet their capital spending needs and reduce their exposure to volatile land sales. Nevertheless, a significant gap remains between local infrastructure needs and the actual ability of RLGs to fund these needs.


IN THIS EDITION

Research »

Rating Events and Announcements »

Moody's Events »

Contacts »

Staying on China, the government on 5 March released its 2018 budget and fiscal outcomes for 2017. Based on this data, we estimate that China's fiscal impulse in 2018 will measure 4.4% of GDP, around the same as was budgeted by the authorities in 2017, after taking into account the issuance of special bonds by local governments and excluding various fund transfers. The country’s overall fiscal impulse remains sizeable, supporting GDP growth and leading to a gradual increase in government debt.

On the events front, you can find us this month at the ASIFMA Conference on Capital Markets – Connecting China and the World in Beijing on 27 March, and at Euromoney’s China Debt Capital Markets Summit 2018 also in Beijing, on 28 March.

And in case you missed it, you can still listen to a replay of our webcast on Zhengzhou Zhongrui Industrial Group Co., Ltd. – a private enterprise engaged in coal solution and property development - here.

Best regards,

MinYe

Min Ye
Managing Director – Regional Head Asia Pacific

To access the information within this email we ask that you register to Moodys.com. Registration is complimentary.

Research

Regional & Local Governments – China: Higher borrowing limit in 2018 is positive, but significant funding gap remains
[19 Mar] A 69% increase in the RLGs' issuance quota for special purpose bonds will boost the ability to RLGs to meet capital spending needs and reduce their exposure to volatile land sales.

Government of China: Fiscal impulse larger than headline deficit but likely tighter spending in broader public sector
[16 Mar] China's fiscal impulse in 2018 will measure 4.4% of GDP, around the same as was budgeted by the authorities in 2017, after taking into account the issuance of special bonds by local governments and excluding various fund transfers.

Regional & Local Governments – China: Q4 2017 Debt and Finances Update
[15 Mar] Regional and local governments in China achieved their targets on all major economic and fiscal metrics in 2017, resulting in a stable economic and fiscal performance.

Moody’s Credit Outlook on 15 and 19 March

[19 Mar] China prepares to boost banks’ capitalization, a credit positive; Russia’s measures to fight fraudulent banking activity are credit positive; Metrobank’s planned rights issuance is credit positive; Prudential’s demerger will limit diversification, but capital generation will remain strong.

[15 Mar] For Indonesian coal producers, price cap on domestic coal sales to electric utilities is credit negative; Emirates NBD’s planned rights issuance would be credit positive; Agricultural Bank of China plans to increase capital with RMB100 billion private share placement, a credit positive.

Rating Events and Announcements

[19 Mar] Moody's assigns A1 ratings to China Eastern Airlines' credit enhanced bonds
[19 Mar] Moody's assigns A3 to Baidu's proposed senior notes, outlook stable
[16 Mar] Moody's affirms Wanhua Chemical's Baa3 ratings; changes outlook to positive
[16 Mar] Moody's assigns Baa3 issuer rating to Nexteer, withdraws CFR and upgrades bond rating
[15 Mar] Moody's: Longyuan's 2017 results support its A3 issuer rating
[14 Mar] Moody's revises Baidu's ratings outlook to stable from negative

Moody's Events

ASIFMA Conference: Capital Markets – Connecting China and the World
Beijing, 27 March

Euromoney’s China Debt Capital Markets Summit 2018
Beijing, 28 March

Click below to access teleconference / webcast replay. (*Free registration is required)

Moody’s Webcast - Zhengzhou Zhongrui Industrial Group Co., Ltd.

CONTACTS
Jenny Shi (史季)
Managing Director
Country Manager China
+86.10.6319.6588
Cynthia Zhao (赵欣)
SVP-Head of Relationship Mgmt
Beijing
+86.10.6319.6566
Maria Lee (李颂文)
SVP-Head of Relationship Mgmt
Hong Kong
+852.3758.1338
Asia Pacific Client Desk
Research & Subscriptions
+852.3551.3077
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