Moody's Investors Service
ASIA PACIFIC WEEKLY
Jan 31 - Feb 7, 2018
 

The Indian government last week released its Union Budget 2018-19, striking a balance – in our view – between fiscal prudence and growth. Although the budget shows some slippage in deficit targets, this has no material impact on the country’s overall fiscal strength. You can also listen to a replay of our webcast on the budget here.

We also published a report that assesses the year-long implementation in China of its debt-for-equity framework, originally announced in October 2016. While the framework renders near-term liquidity relief to affected Chinese corporates, giving them time to restore their business and credit profiles, sustained deleveraging hinges on the execution of well thought-out corporate restoration plans.

Also on China, we published a report that considers the implications for the sovereign and Chinese corporates of the new US tax law passed in December. We do not anticipate material credit implications, as the broader investment climate, rather than tax rates, will continue to guide inward investment to China.

On the events front, we will host a webcast this Friday on our 2018 outlook for APAC financial institutions, while we will hold next week in Tokyo our annual Global Structure Finance Conference.

 

Best regards,

MinYe

Min Ye
Managing Director – Regional Head Asia Pacific

To access the information within this email we ask that you register to Moodys.com. Registration is complimentary.

 

 
In This Edition
 

RESEARCH

Back to top button  
 

Government of Indonesia – Baa3 Positive: Annual credit analysis
[6 Feb] Indonesia's (Baa3 positive) credit profile is supported by narrow fiscal deficits, low government debt, a large economy and healthy GDP growth prospects.

Cross-Sector - India: Fiscal 2019 budget strikes balance between fiscal prudence and growth
[5 Feb] The revised fiscal consolidation path is modestly shallower than the previous roadmap, but does not fundamentally alter India's overall fiscal strength. Furthermore, the medium-term target to reduce the central government debt-to-GDP ratio to 40% is supportive of the sovereign credit profile.

Banks - Asia-Pacific: Basel III contractual PONV securities dominate as resolution regimes remain rare
[5 Feb] The use of Basel III contractual PONV securities will continue to dominate in the major banking systems in Asia Pacific (APAC) for the foreseeable future, given the slow progress in adopting resolution regimes.

Cross-Sector - China: Debt-equity swaps provide liquidity relief, but some liabilities remain in system
[1 Feb] China's debt-for-equity swap framework -- in an assessment of the year-long implementation of the approach which was originally announced in October 2016 -- renders near-term liquidity relief to affected Chinese corporates, giving them time to restore their business and credit profiles.

Australian auto ABS delinquencies fall in November 2017, while RMBS arrears rise
[1 Feb] Moody's monthly Global Structured Finance Collateral Performance Review report highlights that 30+ day delinquencies for Australian auto loan ABS transactions fell to 1.56% in November 2017 from 1.59% in October 2017,but rose from 1.11% in November 2016.

Cross-Sector — China: New US tax law has few credit implications for Chinese sovereign and companies
[31 Jan] Overall, the law's impact on China's fiscal position or capital flows will be limited, and the broader investment climate, rather than tax rates, will continue to guide inward investment to China.

Structured Finance and Sovereign - Japan, Korea and Australia: Mitigating factors will minimize risks posed by aging populations
[31 Jan] Aging populations in Asia Pacific's advanced economies pose some risks in the long term for structured finance transactions, by potentially driving up the average age of underlying borrowers and thereby turn the risk of delinquencies and defaults, and by weighing on the broader economic environment.

Inside China: January 2018
[31 Jan] Moody’s newsletter this quarter includes articles on the expected decline in leverage among rated state-owned enterprises (SOEs), the improved support for toll road companies, and the progress made by public-private partnerships (PPPs).

Moody’s Credit Outlook on 1 and 5 February

[5 Feb] Korea’s membership in CABEI will strengthen the development bank’s credit quality; Korea’s cryptocurrency regulations are credit positive for the sovereign’s financial stability; Vietnamese banks’ progress in resolving legacy problem assets is credit positive; Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties’ assets disposals and new investors pacts are credit positive.

[1 Feb] China Huiyuan’s convertible bond issuance is credit positive; China’s new regulations for insurers’ investments are credit positive; China’s two largest refiners will benefit from government’s regulatory crackdown; Nomura’s sale of non-core insurance subsidiary is credit positive.


 

RATING EVENTS

Back to top button  
 

AUSTRALIA
[5 Feb] Moody's affirms QBE's ratings, changes outlook to negative
[31 Jan] Moody's upgrades Sydney Airport Finance Company to Baa1; outlook stable

CHINA
[5 Feb] Moody's changes Beijing Energy's outlook to stable from negative
[5 Feb] Moody's assigns first-time B2 rating to Sunriver Holding Group Company Limited
[5 Feb] Moody's assigns first-time A3 issuer rating to Shandong Hi-speed Group
[5 Feb] Moody's assigns (P)A1 to China Eastern Airlines' credit enhanced bonds
[2 Feb] Moody's affirms Parkson's ratings; changes outlook to stable from negative
[2 Feb] Moody's assigns first-time B2 CFR to HC International; outlook stable
[1 Feb] Moody's assigns first-time Baa2 to Hubei Science & Technology Investment Group
[1 Feb] Moody's assigns (P)P-3 to Rhythm Flaming's notes, supported by SCPG Holdings and Bank of Shanghai, Shenzhen Branch

INDONESIA
[5 Feb] Moody's changes Lippo Karawaci's outlook to negative

JAPAN
[2 Feb] Moody's assigns a provisional rating to Auto Loan ABS Program 1802 Series
[1 Feb] Moody's places FUJIFILM Holdings' rating on review for downgrade
[31 Jan] Moody's assigns A3 issuer rating to Nidec Corporation; outlook stable
[31 Jan] Moody's assigns P-1 issuer rating to Mizuho Financial Group, Inc.

THAILAND
[2 Feb] Moody's downgrades ThaiBev's rating to Baa3; outlook negative

 


 

ANNOUNCEMENTS

Back to top button  
 

ASIA PACIFIC
[6 Feb] Moody's wins five Rating Agency of the Year Awards from The Asset
[31 Jan] Moody's: Outlook for Asia Pacific sovereigns, corporates and financial institutions stable; China's LGFVs under pressure

AUSTRALIA
[1 Feb] Moody's: No rating impact on TORRENS Series 2008-4 Trust after uplift

CHINA
[5 Feb] Moody's: Alibaba's ratings unaffected by proposed 33% stake in Ant Financial Group
[5 Feb] Moody's: China's announced cut in container handling tariff is credit negative for port operators
[2 Feb] Moody's: Maoye's positive earnings alert supports its B3 CFR
[1 Feb] Moody's: Tencent and JD.com's ratings unaffected by strategic investments in Wanda Commercial
[1 Feb] Moody's: Sunac's ratings unaffected by planned investments in Wanda's shares
[1 Feb] Moody's: Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties' asset disposals and agreements with new investors are credit positive
[1 Feb] Moody's: China Grand Auto's expectation of improved profit for 2017 supports B1 rating
[31 Jan] Moody's: PetroChina's positive earnings alert supports CNPC's A1 rating

KOREA
[6 Feb] Moody's comments on the release of Samsung Electronics' vice chairman
[1 Feb] Moody's: LG Chem's strong 2017 results support its A3 rating
[1 Feb] Moody's: SK Innovation's strong 2017 results in line with its Baa1 rating
[1 Feb] Moody's: Samsung's robust 2017 results are credit positive
[31 Jan] Moody's: Hyundai Glovis' 2017 results in line with its Baa1 rating

SINGAPORE
[6 Feb] Moody's:  Hutchison Port's FY2017 performance is in line with expectations
[6 Feb] Moody's: Singtel's rating unaffected by proposed investment in Bharti Telecom

 


 

MOODY'S EVENTS

Back to top button  
 

Moody’s Webcast - 2018 Outlook for APAC financial institutions: Impact of regulation and reform
Asia Pacific, 9 February

Moody's Global Structured Finance Conference 2018
Tokyo, 14 February

Moody’s 2018 Australian Credit Conference
Melbourne, 6 March
Sydney, 8 March

Click below to access teleconference / webcast replay. (*Free registration is required)

Moody’s Webcast - Sulfindo Adiusaha (P.T.): Behind the first-time rating for the Indonesian fully integrated chemical producer

Moody’s & ICRA Webcast – Indian Union Budget 2018-2019

Moody's Webcast: Hubei Science & Technology Investment Group: Behind the first-time Baa2 ratings

Moody’s Webcast - HC International, Inc.: Behind the first-time B2 corporate family rating

 


 

MOODY'S TRAINING SEMINARS

Back to top button  
 

HONG KONG
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 28 Feb-2 Mar
Insurance Credit Analysis, 5-7 Mar
Advanced Financial Statement Analysis, 19-21 Mar
Enterprise Risk Management in Banks, 5-6 Apr
Problem Credits: Early Warning Signs and Effective Actions, 9-10 Apr
Advanced Corporate Credit Analysis, 11-13 Apr
Advanced Bank Risk Analysis, 2-4 May
Corporate Debt Restructuring, 3-4 May
Corporate Cash Flow Analysis, 8-10 May
Analyzing Sovereign and Country Risk, 8-9 May
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 9-11 May
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 10-11 May
Covenants & Documentation, 4 Jun
Fundamentals of Corporate Credit, 11-14 Jun
Advanced Corporate Credit Analysis, 16-18 Jul
Counterparty Credit Risk, 14-15 Aug
Introduction to Derivatives, 16-17 Aug
Bank Regulation: Impact and Implications of Evolving Regimes, 16-17 Aug
Advanced Corporate Credit Analysis, 29-31 Aug
Insurance Credit Analysis, 10-12 Sep
Corporate Cash Flow Analysis, 9-11 Oct
Advanced Bank Risk Analysis, 29-31 Oct
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 31 Oct-2 Nov
Analyzing Sovereign and Country Risk, 1-2 Nov
Moody’s Project Finance Masterclass, 3-5 Dec

SINGAPORE
Moody’s Project Finance Masterclass, 12-14 Feb
Insurance Credit Analysis, 26-28 Feb
Advanced Financial Statement Analysis, 14-16 Mar
Moody’s Credit Masterclass, 19-23 Mar
Advanced High Yield Rating Analysis, 3-4 Apr
Counterparty Credit Risk, 3-4 Apr
Analyzing Sovereign and Country Risk, 16-17 Apr
Advanced Bank Risk Analysis, 18-20 Apr
Fundamentals of Corporate Credit, 23-26 Apr
Bank Regulation: Impact and Implications of Evolving Regimes, 26-27 Apr
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 2-4 May
Risk Culture Building, 12-13 Jun
Corporate Cash Flow Analysis, 12-14 Jun
Structured Finance, 20-22 Jun
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 16-17 Oct
Bank Regulation: Impact and Implications of Evolving Regimes, 18-19 Oct
Advanced Bank Risk Analysis, 19-21 Nov
Analyzing Sovereign and Country Risk, 22-23 Nov
Corporate Cash Flow Analysis, 27-29 Nov
Corporate Credit Rating Analysis, 27-29 Nov
Covenants & Documentation, 30 Nov
Fundamentals of Corporate Credit, 11-14 Dec

SYDNEY
Analyzing Sovereign and Country Risk, 12-13 Feb
Advanced Bank Risk Analysis, 14-16 Feb
Insurance Credit Analysis, 11-13 Jun
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 14-15 Jun
Fundamentals of Corporate Credit, 28-31 Aug
Insurance Credit Analysis, 3-5 Sep
Analyzing Sovereign and Country Risk, 6-7 Sep
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 29-30 Nov

TOKYO

Analyzing Sovereign and Country Risk, 15-16 Mar
Fundamentals of Bank Credit Risk Analysis, 10-11 Apr

 


  CONTACT US Back to top button  
 

Asia Pacific Client Desk
Research & Subscriptions
+852.3551.3077

Kelly Moy
Associate Managing Director
North Asia
+852.3758.1323

Vineet Gupta
Vice President
India
+91.750.625.0104

Cynthia Zhao
Senior Vice President
North China - Beijing
+86.10.6319.6566

Maria Lee
Senior Vice President
South China - Hong Kong
+852.3758.1338

James Flitton
Vice President
Singapore
+65.6398.8338

Yasushi Furuya
Vice President
Japan
+81.3.5408.4272

 


 

© 2018 Moody’s Corporation, Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., Moody’s Analytics, Inc. and/or their licensors and affiliates (collectively, “MOODY’S”). All rights reserved.

CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE, INC. AND ITS RATINGS AFFILIATES (“MIS”) ARE MOODY’S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS MAY INCLUDE MOODY’S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES. MOODY’S DEFINES CREDIT RISK AS THE RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL, FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY COME DUE AND ANY ESTIMATED FINANCIAL LOSS IN THE EVENT OF DEFAULT. CREDIT RATINGS DO NOT ADDRESS ANY OTHER RISK, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO: LIQUIDITY RISK, MARKET VALUE RISK, OR PRICE VOLATILITY. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S OPINIONS INCLUDED IN MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACT. MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS MAY ALSO INCLUDE QUANTITATIVE MODEL-BASED ESTIMATES OF CREDIT RISK AND RELATED OPINIONS OR COMMENTARY PUBLISHED BY MOODY’S ANALYTICS, INC. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS DO NOT CONSTITUTE OR PROVIDE INVESTMENT OR FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT AND DO NOT PROVIDE RECOMMENDATIONS TO PURCHASE, SELL, OR HOLD PARTICULAR SECURITIES. NEITHER CREDIT RATINGS NOR MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS COMMENT ON THE SUITABILITY OF AN INVESTMENT FOR ANY PARTICULAR INVESTOR. MOODY’S ISSUES ITS CREDIT RATINGS AND PUBLISHES MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS WITH THE EXPECTATION AND UNDERSTANDING THAT EACH INVESTOR WILL, WITH DUE CARE, MAKE ITS OWN STUDY AND EVALUATION OF EACH SECURITY THAT IS UNDER CONSIDERATION FOR PURCHASE, HOLDING, OR SALE.

MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT INTENDED FOR USE BY RETAIL INVESTORS AND IT WOULD BE RECKLESS AND INAPPROPRIATE FOR RETAIL INVESTORS TO USE MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS OR MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS WHEN MAKING AN INVESTMENT DECISION. IF IN DOUBT YOU SHOULD CONTACT YOUR FINANCIAL OR OTHER PROFESSIONAL ADVISER.

ALL INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS PROTECTED BY LAW, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, COPYRIGHT LAW, AND NONE OF SUCH INFORMATION MAY BE COPIED OR OTHERWISE REPRODUCED, REPACKAGED, FURTHER TRANSMITTED, TRANSFERRED, DISSEMINATED, REDISTRIBUTED OR RESOLD, OR STORED FOR SUBSEQUENT USE FOR ANY SUCH PURPOSE, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, IN ANY FORM OR MANNER OR BY ANY MEANS WHATSOEVER, BY ANY PERSON WITHOUT MOODY’S PRIOR WRITTEN CONSENT.

All information contained herein is obtained by MOODY’S from sources believed by it to be accurate and reliable. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, all information contained herein is provided “AS IS” without warranty of any kind. MOODY'S adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality and from sources MOODY'S considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, MOODY’S is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process or in preparing the Moody’s publications.

To the extent permitted by law, MOODY’S and its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors and suppliers disclaim liability to any person or entity for any indirect, special, consequential, or incidental losses or damages whatsoever arising from or in connection with the information contained herein or the use of or inability to use any such information, even if MOODY’S or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors or suppliers is advised in advance of the possibility of such losses or damages, including but not limited to: (a) any loss of present or prospective profits or (b) any loss or damage arising where the relevant financial instrument is not the subject of a particular credit rating assigned by MOODY’S.

To the extent permitted by law, MOODY’S and its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors and suppliers disclaim liability for any direct or compensatory losses or damages caused to any person or entity, including but not limited to by any negligence (but excluding fraud, willful misconduct or any other type of liability that, for the avoidance of doubt, by law cannot be excluded) on the part of, or any contingency within or beyond the control of, MOODY’S or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors or suppliers, arising from or in connection with the information contained herein or the use of or inability to use any such information.

NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH RATING OR OTHER OPINION OR INFORMATION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY MOODY’S IN ANY FORM OR MANNER WHATSOEVER.

Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody’s Corporation (“MCO”), hereby discloses that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. have, prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. for appraisal and rating services rendered by it fees ranging from $1,500 to approximately $2,500,000. MCO and MIS also maintain policies and procedures to address the independence of MIS’s ratings and rating processes. Information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities, and between entities who hold ratings from MIS and have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%, is posted annually at www.moodys.com under the heading “Investor Relations — Corporate Governance — Director and Shareholder Affiliation Policy.”

Additional terms for Australia only: Any publication into Australia of this document is pursuant to the Australian Financial Services License of MOODY’S affiliate, Moody’s Investors Service Pty Limited ABN 61 003 399 657AFSL 336969 and/or Moody’s Analytics Australia Pty Ltd ABN 94 105 136 972 AFSL 383569 (as applicable). This document is intended to be provided only to “wholesale clients” within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. By continuing to access this document from within Australia, you represent to MOODY’S that you are, or are accessing the document as a representative of, a “wholesale client” and that neither you nor the entity you represent will directly or indirectly disseminate this document or its contents to “retail clients” within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. MOODY’S credit rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness of a debt obligation of the issuer, not on the equity securities of the issuer or any form of security that is available to retail investors. It would be reckless and inappropriate for retail investors to use MOODY’S credit ratings or publications when making an investment decision. If in doubt you should contact your financial or other professional adviser.

Additional terms for Japan only: Moody's Japan K.K. (“MJKK”) is a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody's Group Japan G.K., which is wholly-owned by Moody’s Overseas Holdings Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of MCO. Moody’s SF Japan K.K. (“MSFJ”) is a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of MJKK. MSFJ is not a Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization (“NRSRO”). Therefore, credit ratings assigned by MSFJ are Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings. Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings are assigned by an entity that is not a NRSRO and, consequently, the rated obligation will not qualify for certain types of treatment under U.S. laws. MJKK and MSFJ are credit rating agencies registered with the Japan Financial Services Agency and their registration numbers are FSA Commissioner (Ratings) No. 2 and 3 respectively.

MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) hereby disclose that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) have, prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) for appraisal and rating services rendered by it fees ranging from JPY200,000 to approximately JPY350,000,000.

MJKK and MSFJ also maintain policies and procedures to address Japanese regulatory requirements.