Higher-income households are driving most spending as lower-income consumers face rising essentials costs, leaving the US increasingly dependent on a narrow base of growth.
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Data center developers and hyperscalers are increasingly turning to “behind-the-meter” power and generation ownership to secure their electricity needs, posing risks for traditional power producers.
A water system’s capacity to adequately supply households, industry and agriculture is a key determinant of economic strength in areas facing rising water demand and uneven supply.
Barriers to entry, content differentiation and capital intensity will be key. Theme parks and theaters have little vulnerability, while publishers of commoditized content face the greatest risk.
The digitalization of public-sector financial infrastructure is laying the groundwork for collateral mobility – the ability to move, settle and pledge value for payment or financing purposes quickly across institutional and legal boundaries.
Private equity-backed credits are feeding distressed exchanges (DE) and repeat defaults are likely for weak credits, with liability management exercises — a type of DE — leading to mixed recoveries.
An early review of the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement suggests tariff exemptions for Mexico will continue. A bilateral US-Mexico framework is likely, with Canada so far absent from the trade talks.
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