Moody’s RMS™ Event Response

In a rapidly changing world where the challenges posed by natural catastrophes continue to grow, staying informed is more crucial than ever. (Re)insurers, brokers, capital markets, government agencies, and academia use Moody’s deep insights for real-time event preparation and response, parametric insurance contracts triggers, validation against experience, and research.  

Updated: 2026-07-10
Typhoon Bavi (2609/09W)
Typhoon Bavi (2609/09W)
Loss Drivers: Typhoon
Forecast Taiwan Bypass Intensity: TY
Forecast China Landfall Intensity: TY
Watches/Warnings: >40

event summary

Typhoon Bavi is currently located in the open waters of the Philippine Sea, approximately 240 mi (390 km) south-southeast of Ishigaki Island, Okinawa Prefecture, Japan. The system has 10-minute sustained wind speeds of 98 mph (157 km/hr), according to the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). This corresponds to a very strong typhoon on the JMA tropical cyclone intensity scale and is equivalent to a Category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale (SSHWS). The system is currently moving north-northwest and is expected to turn northwest later today, Friday July 10. The center of the system is expected to bypass offshore the northern coast of Taiwan on Saturday July 11 and may track close enough for typhoon-force winds to impact land. The system is then forecast to make landfall as a typhoon in southern Zhejiang Province, China later on Saturday July 11. However, there is uncertainty regarding Bavi's exact track and intensity at this lead time Taiwan's Central Weather Administration has issued a Sea Typhoon Warning and warned of potentially destructive winds, heavy rainfall, and dangerous coastal conditions across northern and eastern portions of the island. China's National Meteorological Center has issued an Orange Typhoon Warning for Bavi, whilst emergency flood and typhoon response measures have been activated in Zhejiang and Fujian Provinces ahead of the storm's landfall. A Blue Storm Surge Warning and Red Wave Warning for portions of the Zhejiang and Fujian coast. Previously, the center of Typhoon Bavi bypassed 7 mi (11 km) north of Rota Island late on Sunday July 5 and early on Monday July 6. Bavi brought tropical storm-force winds and heavy rainfall to Guam and typhoon-force winds and heavy rainfall to the Northern Mariana Islands on Sunday July 5 and Monday July 6. Damage to homes, road infrastructure, and power and communication services has been reported in Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands

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Updated: 2026-07-09
Severe Tropical Storm Maysak (2610/10W)
Severe Tropical Storm Maysak (2610/10W)
Loss Drivers: Typhoon
China Landfall Intensity: TS
Vietnam Landfall Intensity: STS
Countries Impacted: 3

event summary

Maysak made landfall as a tropical storm over southern coast of Hainan Island, China shortly after 09:00 UTC (17:00 local time) on Friday July 3. At landfall, the system had 10-minute sustained wind speeds of 46 mph (74 km/hr) and a central pressure of 996 hPa, according to the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). This corresponds to a tropical storm on the JMA tropical cyclone intensity scale and is equivalent to a tropical storm on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale (SSHWS). Maysak tracked northwest across Hainan Island and made a second landfall over northeastern Quang Ninh Province, Vietnam shortly after 15:00 UTC (23:00 local time) on Saturday July 4. At this landfall, the system had 10-minute sustained wind speeds of 58 mph (93 km/hr) and a central pressure of 990 hPa, according to the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). This corresponds to a severe tropical storm on the JMA tropical cyclone intensity scale and is equivalent to a tropical storm on the SSHWS. The system brought tropical storm-force winds and heavy rainfall to much of Hainan Province, Guangxi Province, and western portions of Guangdong Province, as well as portions of northeastern Vietnam. Significant flooding has been reported in Fangchenggang, Nanning, Guigang, and Hengzhou in Guanxgi Province, which has inundated homes, vehicles, and streets. Flooding, damage, and power outages have also been reported in Quang Ninh Province, Vietnam.

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Updated: 2026-07-08
Colorado Wildfires (June–July 2026)
Colorado Wildfires (June–July 2026)
Loss Drivers: Fire,Wildfire
Structures Destroyed: >850
Aspen Acres Fire Acres Burned: >91k
Gold Mountain Fire Acres Burned: >29k

event summary

A combination of persistent dry conditions, high temperatures, low humidity, strong winds, and highly receptive vegetation has resulted in wildfire activity across Colorado. The Aspen Acres Fire ignited on Monday June 29 and has burned an estimated 91,982 acres (37,224 hectares) and destroyed more than 850 structures. As of Wednesday July 8, the fire is 13 percent contained. The Gold Mountain Fire ignited on Saturday June 27 and has burned a total of 29,287 acres (11,852 hectares) and destroyed two structures. As of Wednesday July 8, the fire is 2 percent contained. The Ferris Fire ignited on Monday June 29 and has burned a total of 51,622 acres (20,891 hectares). As of Wednesday July 8, the fire is 22 percent contained.

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Updated: 2026-07-07
Midwest, Southeast, and Northeast U.S. Severe Convective Storms (June 30–July 6, 2026)
Midwest, Southeast, and Northeast U.S. Severe Convective Storms (June 30–July 6, 2026)
Loss Drivers: Severe Convective Storm
SPC Filtered Tornado Reports: 19
SPC Filtered SLW Reports: 1,713
SPC Filtered Hail Reports: 205

event summary

A multi-day outbreak of severe convective storms that impacted the Central, Southeast, and Northeast U.S. between Tuesday June 30 and Monday July 6 produced damaging tornadoes, hail, and straight-line wind across 42 states. Hail and straight-line wind damage has been reported across the majority of states in the Central, Southeast, and Northeast U.S., while tornadoes have been reported in Colorado, New York, Michigan, Iowa, South Dakota, Florida, Nebraska, and Wyoming. Power outages impacted more than a million people, and at least five fatalities have been reported. As of Tuesday July 7, across the event, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has received a total of 1,936 filtered storm reports, including 1,713 straight-line wind reports, 204 hail reports, and 19 tornado reports across multiple states

Moody's insurance solutions customers can log in to the Support Center to access the full report.

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Acknowledgement

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